As we head into the abbreviated second round of matches, the bottom five sides get another opportunity on Saturday to measure progress on their first meet with a cheeky eye on manufacturing a major upset against five sides currently inside the top six.

The Cobras owe coach Jason Williams and their fans a buy-in this week when they host competition benchmark Melton at Maddingley Park.

When you're not expected to win, you can go about the task in two ways - accept the likelihood of defeat and play accordingly or 'dig in' and have a crack. At least, provide some resistance with a pride in the jumper performance.

The Cobras effort won't be judged on win or loss, for the Bloods have won 30 of their last 34 games, an amazing achievement.

For the same period the Cobras have won 13. So even with their backs to the wall, the Cobras can impact.

Win a quarter or win a half will be the 'real' expectations on the Cobras who are likely to play in front of a big crowd.

It's the perfect segue ahead of the clubs Round 13 local derby against Darley.

The Cobras top end talent would surely get a game with the powerhouse Bloods so it's not beyond the realms of possibility the hosts can push the ladder leaders for a half as they did against Sunbury in Round 7, when they led by four points at the half.

Melton on the other hand are cruising and will look to put this game to bed early. Their benchmark status has proven intimidating for struggling teams allowing Aaron Tymms’ boys more often a win on their own terms far too soon.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Given the stark contrast of fortunes of these two sides, it's difficult to mount a case for the winless Panthers making an impression on the fifth placed Lions at Clarke Oval.

The rejuvenated Lions returned to their best last week with an 80-point thumping of East Point and welcomed the return of top end talent duo Tyson Lever and Mitch Lewis.

And don't underestimate the confidence build of no less than six Lions who featured at Interleague level a fortnight ago - all made significant contributions in the win over the Hampden League.

That theory was confirmed immediately after strong performances against the Kangas from Harry Minton-Connell, Jake Sutton (five goals) and Cody Brand.

Unfortunately for the Panthers there'll be nowhere to hide on the wide expanses of the Clarke Oval.

Expect the Lions leg speed advantage on the spread to equate to scores the longer this game goes.

Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse for the Panthers on the injury front, the loss of inspirational leader Cody Chapman (hamstring) only compounds the situation and heightens the degrees of difficulty avoiding a loss in excess of three figures.

Who gets the job for the Panthers on dangerous Lions forward Jake Sutton makes for interesting discussion in the aftermath.

Keeping the Essendon VFL listed talent to eight goals will be a fair effort given a genuine lack of depth at the Panthers and the likelihood of a landslide in forward 50 entries.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Swans coach Chris Maple and his young group have an opportunity to correct on its disappointing Round 6 loss when they meet North Ballarat at Mars Stadium this Saturday.

While most have the Swans winning chances slim at best, Maple can take some confidence into the game knowing his boys have won three of their last four games, including a top six scalp with a win over Sunbury.

The trip to Mars Stadium looms a timely footy audit for the Swans, a real chance to measure improvement against one of the best 'home' performing sides of the last three seasons.

Brendan McCartney's 14-3 record at 'Mars' since taking the reins at North Ballarat in 2021 is impressive and is likely to remain in good stead.

It makes you wonder if McCartney and North Ballarat really needed the bye last week, for they were flying.

No doubting they would have been well educated over the break for an assault on the back half of the season, so look for the Roosters to start well as they so often do.

For the Swans, believe, hang in and assess at the break. Where to start the match-up conversation for Maple's hierarchy is an unknown given the Roosters VFL player affiliations. Maybe adopt McCartney's theory that "matchups are a thing of the past".

Spend more time trying to win the game than saving is easier said than done. Tipping North Ballarat to be very hard to beat for the remainder of the season.  

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

East Point will look to bounce back when they head to City Oval for a meeting with legitimate finals contender Redan.

It was said some weeks ago, seven teams don’t go into six finals places, so one of these teams will have to miss out.

But when you look into the draw, the Kangas have so much more at stake.

After this weekend, the Lions have, on paper, the pick of the draws with North Ballarat, Lake Wendouree, Ballarat, Melton South and Sebastopol to come, essentially just two meetings with top six sides.

The Kangas on the other hand have Melton, Ballarat, Sebastopol, Lakers and North Ballarat, three of your current top six meets.

Getting it done on Saturday will be an ideal launching pad for Jackson Merrett's crew who sit a game and percentage outside the six.

The potential fall-out with finals chances on the line will be dealt a severe blow in the event of loss. But they're more than blessed with the talent to overcome the Lions despite their 13-point loss on Eastern Oval back in Round 6.

Merrett will have had little time for learnings on last week’s defeat against Sunbury given the nature of the loss and may have afforded his boys a 'mulligan' for indifferent performances from a young group are seldomly avoided.

The top end talent at the Kangas led by the Johnston brothers will need to be at their best to topple the mounting depth of the Lions.

Containing in-form Redan duo Isaac Grant and Marty Boyer who combined for 34 shots on goal last week would be a good place to start. 

Scoop’s tip: Redan

While the result for many looms inevitable, there's still plenty to gain for warm favorites Sebastopol when they face the one-win Lakers at Marty Busch Reserve.

Sure, the Burra have only lost three games for the season but recently they give every indication they're shy of their best.

Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's men have won just one quarter in each of their games against fellow top six opposition Darley (loss), Redan (win), North Ballarat (loss) and Melton (loss).

Exceptions lie only in their three-quarter win over Sunbury and their 'hang on' win against Redan. But you get the drift, wanting more from the highly talented Burra.

And they're more than capable. In fact, a drought breaking premiership would not surprise and getting back to resembling the best version of themselves could be kick started this weekend.

Conditions didn't help last week against the Devils in fairness, but what else can you expect from weather in July.

Expect a steely focus from the visitors today and added buy-in from the players sounding a clear warning to the Lakers - be prepared! 

Staying in the game for the home side will be easier said than done but an improvement on their 15 point tally in Round 6 is a must, a mini win if you will given the final margin is likely to favour the visitors, comfortably.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

As ladder leaders head into Round 14 as favourites, a steely focus is drawn to games set to determine the make-up of the top six with Sebastopol (2nd) hosting North Ballarat (3rd) and East Point (7th) at home to Ballarat (8th).

Given Redan's softer draw on the way home, East Point must win at home against eighth placed Ballarat to keep their finals hopes alive.

The Kangas still have meetings with Sebastopol (H) and North Ballarat (A) to negotiate with on the run home so getting the prized four premiership points here is paramount.

In fairness to East Point (10), come seasons end, only North Ballarat (11) will have played more top seven opposition for the season (out of the top 7).

But that is the way it goes when teams don't play each other twice - you must find a way to get it done. And the 2018/19 premiers have earned the tougher draw given their recent successes.

The Swans, like the Kangas, seemingly play their best footy in Ballarat and will need to present something close to that if they're trouble Jackson Merrett's group at Eastern Oval.

Drastic improvement on their last meet they will need to find - essentially a 45-point differential from Round 4 at Alfredton Oval.

Surely the Swans young group are beginning to tire despite the recent return of Daniel Kennedy and other depth players that played some role last year in their standout third place finish.

But too often the Swans are kept to scores not capable of winning games. On six occasions this year Chris Maple's young group have been kept to six goals or less.

While you’d expect them to surpass that quota, outscoring the freewheeling nature of the Kangas front half, as witnessed in Round 4, looms a different proposition altogether.

Merrett will be under no illusions what's required from his group - win and win well or contemplate missing finals for the first time since 2017.   

Scoop’s tip: East Point

While a win for the visitors will surely take care of itself, the Bloods will aim to get through unscathed ahead of two big games against Sunbury (H) and Darley (A).

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will consider throwing the magnets around once this game is put to bed as a plan B option for finals, identifying some versatility within his squad.

But don't expect leading forward Ryan Carter to be going anywhere! After his come from behind tied win for the Tony Lockett Medal last year, expect the Bloods to make a certainty of it this time around with a 'Christmas in July', stocking full of goals.

Carter (38 goals) leads the competition by four ahead of Redan's Isaac Grant (34) and Ballarat's Andrew Hooper (33). A double figure bag could be on the radar for the tall, mobile forward.

The Panthers’ young blokes will gain some quality ‘on the job’ learnings running with the likes of Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins. Braedyn Kight will showcase his footy smarts forward and Jordy Cotter down back.

Panthers coach Ryan Hoy, 13 rounds deep into a long season may consider mixing it up at review, highlighting why the Bloods remain the benchmark, and most organised of all clubs in the BFNL.

Making a case for the Panthers upsetting their cross-town rivals today would be a falsehood. Bettering their 161-point loss at their first meet and denying the Bloods a 200-point scoreline looms a more achievable challenge.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Devils have a golden opportunity to advance into third place on the BFNL table (with a game in hand) when they start hot favorites against one-win Lake Wendouree.

While the Lakers’ season has been disappointing, they have shown some improvements, albeit in loss, with recent eight-goal returns against finals contenders Sebastopol, North Ballarat and East Point.

Their tough run of footy, including Melton, should hold them in good stead on the competitive front despite the absence of the O'Connell boys (overseas), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Jacob Coxall (concussion issues).

The inclusions of twin towers, former St Josephs (GFL) big man Tom Zampatti and Rebels tall Felix Fogarty has at least given Lakers mid-season appointed coach Tim Shearer some structural presence to work with.

The towering duo have featured three times in the best in their five and four games respectively,

For the Devils, coach Dan Jordan will have a list of priorities wanting to be achieved as his side continues its journey back to full health and fitness ahead of finals.

While the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker, Brady Wright and Leigh Spiteri have returned, there's nothing like more game time into rebuilding synergy with the group and their own 'tanks' in the process with big games still to come against North Ballarat, Melton and Sunbury.

Since their arrival home on Darley Park the Devils have been a bit leaky in defence over their three games, averaging 77 points against, despite wins over Bacchus Marsh and Sebastopol.

No doubt the Devils will look to reduce this number against the Lakers with finals-like frugality, a key component if Jordan's crew intend to go deep into finals.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

This battle is just what the competition needs ahead of five remaining home and away rounds that will decide the final make-up of the top six.

Depending on who you ask, both sides could play the underdog card with the Burra strong on their home deck while the Roosters arrive on the back of a seven-game winning streak.

Just what version of the Burra we get to witness on Saturday will go a long way determining their fate. Despite a 155-point win over the winless Panthers last week, the club is still not sure of its best 22.

Rushing Jed Hill. James Keeble, Bailey Medwell, Lachie Cassidy and Arnold Kirby back sounds like the ultimate restock, but how many returns are too many?

Often list turnover in the five or more range from one week to the next can be unsettling on the connection front. That's not including Daniel Widgery, Chase Dummett, Graydn Snowden, Jai Harvey and Ryan Birthesel who were also sidelined.

And connection will be just what Kiel and Columbro will need from their selected group if they're to end North Ballarat's middle season blitz.

Roosters’ coach Brendan McCartney is well aware he'll have to earn a top three finish the hard way with four remaining games against tough opposition - Sebastopol (A), Darley (A), Sunbury (H) and East Point (H).

The availability of the VFL affiliates at both clubs, like it or not, will have a bearing.

The Burras’ Jay Dahlhaus (Werribee) has had an immediate impact in his two games with nine goals, admittedly against the bottom two sides.

For North Ballarat, Jamie Quick (Geelong), Sam Glover (Collingwood) and Jack Riding (Werribee) all share match winning qualities that would pose a headache for the Burras’ hierarchy in the event of their selection.

North Ballarat looks the more settled for mine and on that alone, will lean to McCartney's army in a tight one.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Bye

Bacchus Marsh

Redan

Sunbury

With just a month left on the home & away calender, every moment counts out on the field. Round 15 is set to answer some questions on where things stand in the run home of season 2023.

The anticipation is high for this all-important showstopper as two of the BFNL's more experienced mentors aim to implement a winning plan that will keep their side’s top three chances alive.

Brendan McCartney's travelling party will arrive confident having won seven of their last eight games including a 57-point (home) win over the Devils in Round 9.

The Roosters army were at their frugal best on that occasion restricting a disappointing Darley to just 28 points.

To put it in perspective, only Melton South (14) has scored less against the Roosters in their 13 games this season.

However, it wasn't the first time the Devils have failed to flatter in more recent times at Mars Stadium having lost by 69 points under Jordan in round 11, 2022.

As if it were a line in the sand moment for the Devils, they've won 16 of 20 games since. They're a better team now under Jordan, enough to warrant a 'mulligan' for their Round 9 failings without the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Bailey Young.

The fans will be spoilt with the levels of quality we’re likely to see on display.

For the home side, reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (named in the best nine times from 11 games) will lead the likes of Myers, Baker, Young, Matthew Brett, Shane Page and a host of improving types endevouring to impact under the radar.

Not to be outdone, Roosters marquee signing Stewart Crameri arrives with in-form mids Jack Riding, Riley Polkinghorne, star Collingwood VFL listed swingman Sam Glover, the returning Tom Hotchin and dominant big man Cam McCullum.

Unfortunately for the visitors, no Jamie Quick (33 goals) who must follow concussion protocols after a knock in last week’s loss to Sebastopol.

This one should be a ripper.

Fingers crossed, fine weather is forecast and the game is given every chance to deliver on its promise.

Both sides will look the winners for a long way but leaning with history repeating on McCartney's last trip to Darley Park in a lower scoring affair than the Devils 100-82 victory.          

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Cobras will look to gain some reward for their recent competitiveness with the hope of victory over winless Melton South.

While a third win of the season appears more likely for the travelling Cobras, there's nothing like the feeling of a win and rendition of the victory theme song in full voice.

Unfortunately for Ryan Hoy's Panthers they're little chance of enjoying the very thing we can take for granted - winning.

It's been the toughest introduction for any coach in recent memory, averaging 176 points against per game.

Adding salt to the wound does little for the embattled club who have also endured a horror run with injury culminating in a third loss of 200 plus points last weekend.

This week however is no Melton, Sunbury or Darley, the three clubs to have put Melton South to the sword by 200+ points, so look for the Panthers to make positive inroads.

They’ll be eyeing the hope to top their highest return this season with a score of 8.12-60 the benchmark, a tally posted against the Lakers in Round 5.

Easier said than done however, as the Cobras eye some conviction of their own.

Their top end talent led by Jake Owen, Jake McCreery and Luke Goetz will ensure the majority of game is played on the Cobras terms as they endeavor to tick off a number of KPI's.

Coach Jason Williams won't be taking this game lightly and will be reliant on a collective buy-in from the outset, enabling maximum result possibilities.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Sunbury head to MacPherson Park with their slim top three chances still intact. But they will have to do it the hard way on the run home needing wins against Melton (A), North Ballarat (A), Bacchus Marsh (H) and Darley (A).

A big ask, but they're looking ominous ahead of the business end following the return of Tyson Lever (foot) and Mitch Lewis (overseas). Dangerous forward Jake Sutton (overseas) is expected to arrive home on Thursday, prior to the Bloods showdown.

While the Bloods have lost just one game this year, they will have to overcome the Lions without key forward duo Ryan (concussion) and Liam Carter (calf).

Aaron Tymms' men remain the blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory but there is no doubt even the most loyal of Bloods’ fans would be wondering where their scores will come from.

That said they did have 14 goalkickers last week against the Panthers.

Given Port Melbourne VFL have the bye expect former St Kilda listed Brenton Payne to assume the key forward role and Braedyn Kight to sacrifice recent midfield minutes for a return primarily to the front half where he is a proven matchwinner.

That would be a nice place to start in the absence of the Carter brothers.

The midfield battle will be finals-like. We're familiar with each teams’ capabilities offensively in this area but do the Lions have the discipline to impact without the ball, denying the Bloods run in transition.

Not many can say they have, especially on Maccy Park.

Can Sutton and ageless support act Leigh Brennan do enough to trouble the Bloods defence? While Sutton has 28 goals from his eight games, the jury is out whether he can impact 48 hours post an overseas return.

Big Lion Cody Brand will also need to stand up against the reigning premiers - his appointed role at either end will be crucial.

The Lions are 0-3 against top three opposition this year and come into the game with a questionable four-week preparation having had Melton South, Ballarat and the bye in the lead up to this Bloods battle. 

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Visitors Redan will be chasing their first win in four weeks when they meet the tenth placed Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lions head into the game warm favorites and will look to put this game to bed early as they continue their quest for a prized top six finish.

They will be given every chance to usurp East Point (bye) in sixth place. Overcoming the Lakers will see the Lions back into the six, percentage ahead of the Kangas.

An unlikely loss for Gary Learmonth's young group will jeopardise their chances however it would not be the end of the world given the nature of their draw sees the Roos still a strong showing to finish sixth.

So, expect the Kangas from a distance to have one cheeky eye on the prospects of an upset.

But let’s be realistic - Redan should win and win well despite having won just three of their last eight games.

Midfield quartet Isaac Grant (34 goals), Lachie George (in best four times from seven appearances), Cooper Craig-Peters and Daniel Bond will look to assert early dominance around clearance to give opportune forwards Grant Bell (19 goals), Marty Boyer (15 goals) and Lachie McLean (14 goals) first crack impacting the scoreboard.

Despite the Lakers’ capitulating loss to Darley last week, they were very competitive for the best part of three quarters.

Big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty have added some aerial presence while defenders Angus Gove, Bailey Ryan and Cody Helyar showed resilience against quality opposition.

It's a shame the Lakers have had to endure recent weeks without the O'Connell boys (overseas), Jacob Coxall (concussion issues), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Flynn Loader.

Kicking a winning score could be the Lakers’ greatest challenge. They have managed just eight goals in four of their last six games

A tally that will see them struggle to win but maybe enough to keep them in the game long enough.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Bye

East Point

Ballarat

Sebastopol

We're back with a full slate of games this weekend, which will see some crucial contests unfold. There are finals spots on the line and matchups that are set to mould how the final six will fall come seasons end. 

Bottom three combatants Bacchus Marsh and Lake Wendouree will fancy their chances when they meet at Maddingley Park.

Both teams have proven to be competitive for periods against more seasoned opposition in recent times but are yet to breakthrough with an upset.

While the Cobras’ three wins have come against Melton South (twice) and the Lakers, the hosts have three final quarter wins against top six opposition.

Clutching at separation, I know, but it's enough to instill the Cobras as warm favorites given the Lakers’ only win has come against the winless Melton South.

Interesting to note the Lakers form early in games has been encouraging before late fade outs have cost them dearly on the scoreboard.

On the flipside, the Cobras have shown a liking to finish off well. More often however when the game is already put to bed.

Settling on who gets it done is not easy. When in doubt, back in the team with the most influential top end.

Tipping Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz will cancel out Lakers’ tall timber pairing Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty.

Expect Jake McCreery and veteran Tyson Shea to be the immediate beneficiaries with Jake Owen (25 goals) looming dangerously forward. I sense this could be a pattern for the day.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Top six aspirants East Point will need to bring their scoring game if they're to upset third placed Sebastopol.

With the Kanags chances buoyed by the absence of Burra livewire Jay Dahlhaus (hand), plenty more will need to go right to keep their finals hopes alive.

Alternatively, the Burra will look to consolidate its top three and potential top two status with a grinding win on the road.

Despite what the ladder suggests (7th v 3rd) by no means will this be a walk-in-the-park for pre-game favorites Sebastopol.

Both teams come into the game fresh off the bye, just who gets down to business first may be hard to run down given the high stakes.

Surely Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have an eye on containing one of the Johnston brothers but the thought of two negating roles through the middle of the ground could spell danger.

Expect Jackson Merrett's Kangas to roll the dice and back themselves in to hit the scoreboard. Brad Whittaker (24 goals), Jack Jeffrey (17), Bryce McDougall (16), Jordy Johnston (14) alongside Merrett himself (12) are all proven goal scorers in 2023 and will be keen to deliver.

Burras forward duo Toby Hutt (31 goals) and Hugo Papst (27) will present their own set of problems for the hosts, not mentioning a likely return for all important midfielder Lachie Cassidy from a hamstring injury.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Visitors Sunbury will need some genuine inner belief if they're to conquer North Ballarat at Mars Stadium.

The Lions will arrive near full strength and seemingly in-form, despite a four-quarter loss to Melton last week and will want to deliver a strong performance in Ballarat or leave the slim possibility of a sixth or even worse, seventh place season finish in play with two rounds to follow.

Let's be honest, Sunbury's form in Ballarat is cause for concern, having had just three wins from their last ten visits with two of those victories coming against a lowly and rebuilding Lake Wendouree outfit.

While Brendan McCartney's Roosters have lost their last two games on the road, like it or not they're a different team at home boasting a 15-3 win-loss record since 2022.

Expect the hosts to be strengthened with the return of dangerous forward Jamie Quick (33 goals) and Sam Artz, both from concussion, while the availability of Jack Riding (Werribee VFL) remains a 'watch this space'.

Both sides like to run and carry the footy, bordering on similar styles. The result could well be decided by which team can execute the basic fundamentals more efficiently - plain and simple.

Given the Roosters imposing home record and the Lions inability to deliver their A-game against like-for-like opposition in Ballarat you have to lean to the Roosters getting the job done. Sunbury are more than capable, even labelled 'smokies' for the flag. Time to get to work!

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The Devils should move into rare company come 5pm Saturday with a 12th win of their season when they host the winless Panthers.

A minimum 12 wins for Dan Jordan's men beckons, a feat only Melton 2022/23 (14/13*), Ballarat 2022 (12), and East Point 2018 (13) have been able to achieve in the last five seasons.

Given the nature of the 2023 season, it's likely a minimum of 13 wins is what you'll need to guarantee a top two finish allowing very little room for error.

While we know the potential advantages of finishing third, the evenness of the competition gives you no assurance of progressing. Give me a top two finish any day in 2023.

What version of Jordan's best 22 we're likely to see carries more weight than most discussion points surrounding the second v 11th encounter.

The hosts will look to get through unscathed eyeing a healthy list available for the business end. Following the Panthers, the Devils host Melton and Sunbury in the lead up to finals.

For Ryan Hoy's embattled group, the season’s end is near.

Saturday's meeting with the Devils on the road marks the penultimate game of their season with Redan (A) and the bye to come.

While we can expect an honest performance from the Panthers progressive group of youngsters, they're a mile off troubling the Devils, who have bigger fish to fry. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Chris Maple's Swans return home with another opportunity inflicting an upset when they host Redan at the weekend.

Prior to the bye, the Swans had lost their last three games, and even their mojo at times, going down by margins of 52 (East Point), 52 (Sunbury) and 39 (North Ballarat).

Admittedly all three games were on the road, so a chance presents in front of a home crowd to reproduce some of their best footy after a timely break.

The Swans have the cattle to upset teams above them on their day so Gary Learmonth's Lions will need to be switched on.

The visitors have plenty to play for as a spot in the top six looks beckons as things stand.

Despite 33 shots on goal, the Lions managed just 10 goals in their comfortable win over the Lakers last weekend.

Lions’ sharpshooter Isaac Grant was (and not for the first time) largely the culprit finishing with a wayward 3.9. Grant has the unwelcoming stat of the league’s leading scorer of behinds (31) well ahead of the next best with 20.

Something resembling the six goals Grant kicked in their earlier Round 3 meet will be on the wish list for Lions fans.

Alternately, Swans leading goal scorer Andrew Hooper (38 goals) kicked four goals in the 31-point loss at City Oval.

Both sides bring the heat and enjoy a contested brand of footy. I'll lean slightly more towards the broader experience of Redan over the Swans, especially at the coal face.

While the Lions can flirt with their own form from time to time, I can't see them leaving the 'upset' door ajar with so much at stake at this time of the year.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

It's set to be a massive weekend as a number of teams will need to win, and win big, as we enter the penultimate round of the 2023 home and away season.

The 'nothing to lose' Swans are off to Marty Busch Reserve embracing another upset opportunity, this time against third placed Sebastopol.  

Coach Chris Maple will be hoping his young group, first and foremost, can stay in the game up until halftime as they've managed to do so recently against Redan (-4pts), East Point (-19pts) and North Ballarat (-4pts).

The Swans’ opposition, Sebastopol, loom an imposing task, especially in Ballarat. The onus on the importance of the Swans opening half comes on the back of the Burras’ impressive numbers for the period.

Of the Burras’ 11 games played (anywhere) in Ballarat - Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's group have led at the main break 10 times, on the other occasion things were all level.

Only North Ballarat in Round 14 have been able to match the Burra at the halfway mark.

While it's a 'throw at the stumps' game for the Swans there's much more at stake for the hosts. A win will keep their top two chances alive, hoping the Devils can drop at least one of their two remaining games against Melton (H) and Sunbury (H).

Knowing Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro, further improvement and something resembling closer to their best will be enough for the dual appointees to be satisfied. The result will surely have taken care of itself in the event of the Burras delivering on internal expectation.

Keep an eye on the first half - can the plucky Swans buck the trend against the odds? Momentum will play a role here determining the extent of the final result as the hosts look to assert their authority early.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

A significant confidence edge awaits the winner of this top two meeting ahead of the BFNL finals series.

The Bloods and the Devils rank one and two in all areas of scoring both for and against, setting the scene for a mouthwatering match up.

While the Bloods hold the upper hand in all areas, the two are matched identically for shots on goal after 16 rounds with 402 apiece.

The Bloods are coming off the bye while the Devils will look to up the ante after their low pressured 212-point win over Melton South.

Leading forward Ryan Carter and swift ball user Adrian Monitto are expected to be in the mix for a Bloods return while the hosts get a boost with the addition of ruckman Lucas Impey (Western Jets) for another week.

We could expand at length about the likely scenarios of so many what ifs, but the reality is, this game in the context of the season, has more meaning for the Devils.

Dan Jordan's men still need one more win from their last two games to secure second spot and guarantee a prized double chance. Win, lose or draw, the Bloods standing won't be affected.

Sure, the reigning premiers were without Jack Walker, Lachie Watkins and Monitto at their first meet and lost Liam Carter midway through the game but that will account for very little come 2pm Saturday given both sides have moved on from their Round 8 battle of attrition.

While the Devils landed the points that day, they will again start the underdogs against the top placed Bloods. But Dan Jordan’s men are more than capable of claiming the four points at home.

This timely footy audit will be welcomed by both sides, a last chance to fine tune, hone skills and gain learnings against a long-term, well-respected rival.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Bacchus Marsh will look to make it a hattrick of wins in the back half of the season when they endeavour to upset finals fancy Sunbury at Clarke Oval.

While the Cobras have shown encouraging signs with big wins coming in, the reality is all four of their season wins have come against the two sides below them, Lake Wendouree and Melton South.

The Lions however, are fresh from a fortnight footy audit on the road that saw them finish within 27 points of ladder leaders Melton and 12 points of North Ballarat at the fortress that is Mars Stadium.

Consume the form as you please, but the two honourable losses of the Lions carries more weight than the Cobras’ 106 and 92 point wins.

The Lions are near full health and will welcome a solid hitout against the improving Cobras who will retain their Coates Talent League boys for another week. 

Travis Hodgson's group have proven capable of hitting the scoreboard in 2023 with Melton and Darley the only teams bettering their 101-point average per game.

In defence the Lions rank fifth conceding 64 points on average per game. On the flipside the Cobras rank eighth in both offence 67 ppg and defence conceding 81 ppg.

Given the Cobras sheer weight of possession over the last two weeks, their impact without the ball will be tested on the wide expanses of Clarke Oval.

Sunbury are one of the teams more prone to a 'keepings off' style of play.

The ability for the Cobras to win the ball back could be telling. Just an even share of possession will be testing for the Jason Williams’ Cobras hitting the scoreboard given the strength and accountability of the Lions’ defence.

Admittedly youngsters Joel Freeman, Isaac Nixon and Will Lalor give the Cobras a different look forward alongside the BFNLs number one contested marking option in Jake Owen but overcoming Sunbury looms a formidable task.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

While the result of this match-up is deemed inevitable, Redan will look to adhere to the buzz word of many a modern-day coach to max out their returns - 'process'.

Surely if the Lions play to instruction, with a team first mantra, the 'process' will evidently take care of itself, restoring confidence in a group nervously trying to hang on to a spot in the finals.

East Point (7th) are breathing down their necks and have played enough good footy in recent times to suggest they will get the job done comfortably across town against the Lakers.

Just what went wrong last week when the Lions coughed up a 35-point quarter time lead had many, most of all loyal fans, wondering what is going on.

Surely a finals berth is enough motivation to complete the job at hand. I've no doubt executing on the 'process' was found wanting despite the will of the Swans to turn the game around with little to play for on the finals front.

Expect the Lions to take advantage of the struggling Panthers, who can't wait for season's end with the bye to follow. Tipping they'll either be 'pesty' with their efforts knowing it's their last hurrah or the cue is already in the rack and the Lions win big.

Containing the hosts leading scorers Isaac Grant, Grant Bell and progressive youngster Marty Boyer could prove the difference between a respectable loss or a total blow out for the embattled Panthers.

Tipping something in between and the Lions to open right up and resemble something closer to their best adhering to their 'process'.

There's no better time to start finding some touch and sensing a team-oriented buy-in worthy of a prized finals spot inside the top six.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

The Kangas will aim to put this game to bed early and set themselves up for a significant percentage boost when travel to CE Brown Reserve.

Jackson Merrett's seventh placed group remain a live chance to play finals despite the likelihood of sixth placed Redan recording a big win over winless Melton South.

The Kangas energies will be all in on what they can control and that starts with an impressive team victory over the one-win Lakers.

The visitors’ top end talent are in good form and the spread of goals forward evenly balacned. To put it into perspective, the Kangas have seven players with 13 goals or more, the Lakers, just one.

Tim Shearer’s Lakers have shown periods of competitiveness against quality opposition for small periods and will look to bounce back after their disappointing 92-point loss to ninth placed Bacchus Marsh.

The Kangas will look to deny the home side any momentum, especially early. If this can eventuate, look for the visitors to surpass the 100-point total for a seventh time this season and stay within touch of the Lions’ expected percentage again at City Oval.

While Henderson Medal contender Jordy Johnston will look to add a sixth BOG performance to enhance his chances for the prestigious individual award, the revered forward come midfielder would be the first to acknowledge a far greater goal lies at stake for the proud club who haven't missed a finals series since 2017.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

There is all to play for as we head into the final home & away weekend of the 2023 BFNL season. Who will secure an elusive finals spot, with a number of places in the top six still up for grabs!

With North Ballarat's fourth placing a lock for this year’s BFNL finals, don't expect any favours forthcoming for East Point who must win to give themselves any chance of moving into the top six.

Brendan McCartney's record at Mars Stadium since his appointment at the start of 2021 is formidable at 16-3 but will account for very little as Jackson Merrett and his visiting party plan all their efforts to upset the trend with a season on-the-line performance.

The Roosters are coming off the bye and will look to resemble something close to their best ahead of a do-or-die elimination final next week. Despite winning eight of their last 10 games, the Roosters have lost two of their last three albeit against teams above them in Darley and Sebastopol.

The Kangas will take some confidence into the game knowing they have already beaten the Roosters back in Round 5 this year.

That, along with the standout form of mid/forward Jordy Johnston and support crew Joe Dodd, Matty Johnston, Joel Van Meel and Cam Lovig provide a mounting case for the visitors.

Merrett (16 goals), Brad Whittaker (26), Bryson McDougall (25), Liam Canny (21) and JJ (21) are capable of kicking a winning score, and will surely keep the hosts honest on the goal front.

But with top talent Jack Riding, Sam Glover, Jamie Quick, Stewart Crameri and Riley Polkinghorne all likely inclusions for North Ballarat, the task for the visiting Kangas will be far easier said than done.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Expect Melton to mirror its 2022 minor premiership with a 14th win of the home and away season when they take on the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

Ironically, it was the Lakers at MacPherson Park in Round 18 last year that Aaron Tymms’ Bloods claimed the minor premiership with a 122-point win. While there's a certain inevitability about Saturday's result, what fortunes lay ahead for the Bloods are not so clear.

Sure, they only lost two games this season, both to the Devils, but there's seems to be a certain level of mortality about them (unlike last year) despite seemingly 'holding the wood' over all teams, bar Dan Jordan's men.

This hitout against the Lakers will give Tymms' reigning premiers a welcoming opportunity to fine tune their touch and any other concerns they may have applying recent methods.

Those variables aside, options to manage any player niggles will be soaked up by the brains trust ahead of a qualifying final next week against Darley (likely) or Sebastopol.

Some will be required to work through it, others granted the week off. Either way, the minor premiership looms as another feather in Tymms' cap, albeit his final year in charge.

For the Lakers, it's been another tough year on the win/loss front with recent results giving every indication season’s end is near.

Let's hope they can find the energy to give interim coach Tim Shearer a response worthy of his efforts following the mid-season departure of Jack Fitzpatrick.    

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Despite the Devils (second) and Lions (fifth) current standing inside the top six, there's a little more at stake than meets the eye when these two rivals meet at Darley Park.

For the hosts, securing a prized double chance that comes with a second-place finish can only be guaranteed with a 14th win of the season given third placed Sebastopol (12 wins) are breathing down their necks aiming to bridge the Devils’ one game and 14% advantage.

Sunbury (151%) on the other hand sit level on 32 points with Redan (6th-135%) and East Point (7th-121%). The only way Sunbury can miss finals will be in the rare event of a loss and wins by Redan over Sebastopol and East Point over North Ballarat, with both on the road.

Tipping both coaches will have appointed an eager eye to follow the progress of those games and adjust accordingly. 

Putting all the hearsay to one side for a moment, the Devils head into the Lions meet with recent home wins over Melton, North Ballarat and Sebastopol. Sunbury however, while competitive for long periods have won just three of their last nine games including three losses on the trot.

Expect both sides to bring the heat early and depending on what is unfolding around the BFNL in real time will determine how long the burners remain on high. For carrying a healthy list into finals will be deemed of paramount importance given the even spread of competition.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Fact. Sebastopol are yet to be beaten at home all year and are yet to be headed at halftime in any of their 12 games played in Ballarat.

When you throw in they're yet to field (arguably) their best 22 on paper, the chances of the Burra breaking their near 50-year premiership drought look promising.

The Burras’ five game winning streak will be put to the test when they face Redan (6th) who are yet to consolidate a finals berth.

While Gary Learmonth's group can finish as high as fifth at the expense of Sunbury, a heavy loss could see them fall as far as seventh, pending the result of East Point's effort against North Ballarat at Mars Stadium. 

Redan have had their chances to lock in the prized sixth spot but have won just three of their last six games, two of those against Melton South.

On the other hand, the hosts have been ultra consistent, having dropped just three games for the season to Melton, North Ballarat and Darley. Strangely, despite playing off in last year’s grand final, the Burra copped the Bloods just once.

Anyway, if Redan can deliver something similar to their Round 9 performance against the Burra (won three quarters), surely they're a chance of an upset.

On paper, the Lions read a formidable combination. But with the Burra expecting Riley O'Keefe, Jay Dahlhaus and Jed Hill to return, the home side looks ominous, enabling chance to be peaking at the right time.

If Redan can get it done, they will surely have earned their place, but the numbers and scope favoring the Burra suggest Kiel and Columbro’s men won't be willing to part on any momentum ahead of finals, with a slim second place finish still on the radar with the Burra needing need Sunbury to beat Darley comfortably. 

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

While much of the BFNL's attention leans toward how the top seven sides shape the final six on the last day of the home and away season, spare a thought for the unofficial battle for eighth when the Cobras host the Swans at Maddingley Park.

While only percentage separates these two sides, it's the Cobras (at home) who occupy the box seat finishing off their season with six wins including their last four on the trot.

Winning out of turn has been rare for these two despite wins over Sunbury (both) and Redan (Ballarat). But it's the gap between the Swans’ best and worst that has left some unconvinced this season.

They have managed just the one win on the road for the season (Melton South) from seven outings and meet the Cobras who refuse to put the cue away ahead of time.

The Swans have seven losses for the season in the 45+ points range including two over the 100-point mark. Alternatively, the Cobras have four defeats beyond 45 points with just one of those toppling the ton (Round 1 v Sebastopol). 

Momentum and an all-important home ground advantage at this time of year will favour the Cobras despite the likelihood of them losing key personnel back to the Coates Talent League’s final round.

The Swans are more than capable of winning, the list will tell you at as you scroll looking for reason.

But there's a positive vibe sweeping the Cobras at the moment and a win in front of their faithful, a fourth in a row will consolidate the club’s direction even further as well and truly on the right track.   

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Round 2 Football Preview with Scoop!

With Round 1 in the books, this weekend's action provides clubs with the chance to bounce back or continue their strong starts to the season. 

New Cobras coach Jason Williams gets his first taste of the local derby when they host the Devils this weekend.

What's been prepared for Dan Jordan's boys in the lead up has the mind ticking on the back of a 121-point thrashing in Round 1.

It's fair to assume a 'warm welcome' won't be high on the agenda. Once the two teams have split from their collective respects honouring the Anzac tradition, it's game on.

The Cobras will be desperate to start well at home, giving some indication to home fans the rebuild is on the right track.

New Cobra additions Luke Goetz, Josh Onderwater, Jake McReery and Eamon Ogden performed well in their new colors and will be keen to impact again on what will arguably be the biggest stage for their season.

A handful of Cobra youngsters will return from the Coates Talent League Under 18 competition to bolster stocks and could make it interesting early with their sprightly enthusiasm but it will be a big ask to deny the Devils the premiership points.

Despite winning by 40 points in Round 1, the Devils looked every bit in need of the run and will be hopeful experienced campaigners Billy Myers, Matty Brett and Darren Leonard are available. On a positive note, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Shane Page seemingly play their best footy in these big games.

Surely trying conditions in Round 1 played a role in 'the look' of these two teams and we're privy to a spike first hand on that impression today.

Scoop’s tip:Darley

While you can't fully trust what version of Sunbury you're going get, the small sample size so far in 2023 suggests faith is being restored. So much so, I’m going to tip an upset here with the Lions to make it a 2-0 start to their season, by downing the visiting reigning premiers, Melton.

'Visiting' is the key word determining my selection. For all of the Lions frustrations in recent times they were only one of two teams (North Ballarat the other) to overcome the Bloods in 2022. That day at home, it could easily have been more than final 15-point margin given the Lions had 10 more shots on goal.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will welcome the press and conversation leaning toward a Lions win and use it as motivation. I've no doubt the Bloods best is still the best going around but can they bring the heat second after a comfortable win over the Panthers in Round 1. I'm tipping like a few clubs, they're still a way off their best in the contest while the Lions have been all in over the pre-season, desperate for early wins after two ordinary starts in '21 and '22.

Sunbury's additions for '23 have been measured, merely complementing a group that, despite a five-win season, were not far off challenging. The top-ups in, Cody Brand, Josiah Garisto, Rivva Karpany, and the full time addition of Josh Guthrie and Mitch Lewis adds depth and stability.

For me, this ‘Match of the Round’ contest is a flip of the coin result - home ground advantage and an 'up and about' Lions is enough to sway against the reigning premiers in a close one.

Scoop’s tip:Sunbury

Expect North Ballarat to bounce back at home when they take on impressive Round 1 winners Redan. Despite losing to Sunbury last week, Brendan McCartney’s boys showed enough to suggest they will be in the finals mix again.

Visiting Redan will be fresh after a week off but I'm not sure that is the ideal preparation so early in the season - how they adjust to the 'flying start' pressure from the hosts will interesting given they're coming off a 15-day break. The Lions are hunting a place in the final six, and will throw everything at their more fancied rivals. Their winning chances are real having beaten North Ballarat in their last meeting on City Oval.

The start will be all important for these two teams - let’s hope there is no significant wind advantage to one end - it always takes the edge off a promising spectacle. 

North Ballarat marquee signing Stewart Crameri was solid first up and will be improved by the run while the availability of Josh Chatfield (Footscray VFL) may have its own bearing on the result. Same can be said for Lions mid Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). In a boost for the Roosters, star mid Riley Polkinghorne is likely to return while Jack Riding is a 50/50 chance.

Redan are in form albeit a win over the Lakers, who've lost 16 in a row, means the jury remains out until a more formidable opponent is overcome.

Scoop’s tip:North Ballarat

The Panthers travel to Eastern Oval with a horror recent history against the Kangas. They will be praying for rain at least, hopeful of anything that can minimise the damage.

For new Panthers coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy, let me introduce you to the Johnston brothers, for if you don't acknowledge them now they'll certainly get you later. Expect Matty Johnson to have a presence through the midfield and Jordy to help himself to a few goals as they lead the Panthers’ midfield and defence on a merry dance.

For new East Point coach Jackson Merrett, expect him to endure a few butterflies as he prepares for his first season in charge with the expectations on the Kangas sure to fluctuate.

Given the Panthers tough Round 1 result at the hands of Melton, what can we expect from the Kangas? Can they win by enough to please themselves come 5pm. I think Merrett will be just relieved with the four premiership points in the bank, be happy to get through unscathed and be encouraged by what he saw from his young group - for the Kangas will need more from their 'bottom half' talent if they're trouble the big guns in 2023.

Scoop’s tip:East Point

Both sides arrive off a nervous start following losses to Darley (Ballarat) and Redan (Lakers). In fairness, the nature of the Swans performance was considerably more positive. If not for wasted opportunities, they could easily have finished closer. I know the Lakers too visited the 'wasted opportunities' theme but one goal for an entire four quarters is not in the same mantle.

The Lakers bring some degree of confidence knowing they tested the Swans at their last meeting and were in fact beaten on the last kick of the day. They'll be a better team with newcomers Tom Zampatti and Mick Foster in the midfield, but their availability remains under a cloud.

A memo for Lakers coach Jack Fitzpatrick - beware the youth of the Swans and their ability to extricate from clearance, a notable area of difference in the Lakers opening round loss to the Lions.

Swans trio Will Liston (37 disposals), Paddy Simpson and the 'fine drop' Wyatt Squires impressed against the Devils last week and the beneficiaries of all important ruckman Marcus Powling. How much the young Swans can improve on their efficiencies with ball in hand remains their greatest challenge.

The game looms as the perfect opportunity for progress with a chance to go 1-1 on the line for both sides.

Scoop’s tip:Ballarat

With Round 1 in the books, a grand final replay headlines the action in Round 2 as our teams come out to play!

Who could forget the last time these two sides met when Darley came from behind to clinch its third premiership in seven seasons with the last kick of the day.

To put in perspective, over 100,000 viewers combined to watch in real time or replay the final moments of the 2023 Grand Final in a conclusion for the ages.

Given its unique evening time slot, expect again (while not at those lofty heights), significant, curious interest.

While Devils’ coach Dan Jordan is renowned for 'not looking back', it would be remiss of him to ignore his last two visits to Mars Stadium where his chargers have struggled to even score, beaten comfortably in both outings by 57+ points.

For the record, Mars Stadium is the only ground in the BFNL that Jordan (0-2) has yet to salute at. But the Devils won't be alone in this mental battle of attrition.

The heartbreak reminder of the one-point 2023 Grand Final loss against the Devils will feel like yesterday for Brendan McCartney's men at stages I’m sure, and more specifically during the days leading up and moments before the opening bounce.

How effectively the Roosters manage those emotions and turn into positive action will be telling against an in form visiting party that have won their last 11 BFNL games on the trot and are led by the competition’s best player.

Brett Bewley counts the sleeps to a new season of football like a kid counts those down to Christmas. The reigning dual Henderson Medalist's appetite for footy and competing was highlighted with a standout 44 possessions, three goal return in the Devils’ season opener - a 96-point dismantling of East Point.

Tipping some of the North Ballarat faithful in attendance wish they hadn't made the pilgrimage.

Expect Roosters’ trio Cam McCallum (in best v Darley 3 of last 4), Riley Polkinghorne (in best 3 of last 4) and Jamie Quick (kicked 10 goals v Darley last 3 @33%) to have the greatest say in the Roosters’ fortunes.

For the Devils, Bewley aside, midfielder Luther Baker hasn't lost a BFNL game since the 2022 First Semi Final, while Billy Myers is yet to play in a losing BFNL Darley side since his return to the club ahead of the 2023 season (17-0).

PLAYER WATCH

Will Johnson (Darley)
Kicked 40 goals last year (Comp rank 5) and has started the new season in fine style with four goals against East Point. Johnson looks the beneficiary of a solid pre-season and train-on time spent with Geelong VFL - capable of playing a number of roles.

Malachi White (North Ballarat)
New recruit from the Geelong Falcons will add depth to the list of midfield options for Brendan McCartney's group who aim to go one better in season 2024.     

SCOOP’S TIP

Darley

The Burra, under new coach Tony Lockyer, face their nemesis Melton on Saturday and will be keen to change the narrative - albeit a first win over the Bloods since the 2019 preliminary final.

It's not like Sebastopol haven't had the tradesmen to get it done, rather an execution of the tools per se has proven their undoing.

Sure, the Bloods have won 40 of 48 BFNL games for the period since including a premiership and the Burra aren't on their own falling short, but Saturday looms a timely footy audit.

The Bloods made light work of cross-town rivals Melton South with no less than 14 goalkickers with seven players accumulating 20 possessions or more that amounted to a landslide of inside 50s (72-29).

Not too dissimilar, the Burras 80-point routing of the Lakers saw the inside 50 count 64-38, while matching the Bloods for players enjoying 20+ disposals.

In essence, last week’s challenge for both teams could be described as the entree to this feast, spike if you will for the senses and levels of intensity.

Visiting Melton will have to do it without prime mover Liam Carter (5 goals last week) giving the Burra one less obstacle to overcome.

Burra small forward Adam Forbes told 'The Insider' midweek during an interview that the Burra will comply with a new system approach implemented by Lockyer will hold them in good stead, allowing every chance on that MO alone featuring prominently at the business end.

Easier said than done against the Bloods.

Troy Scoble is the new man leading the Bloods and has invigorated a group who would concede 'may have left a flag out there' given the clubs recent dominance.

Scoble is thorough, well credentialled, and popular among the Bloods faithful and brings a fresh set of eyes onto a proud group that has forgiven itself for a straight sets exit from last year’s finals, but surely not forgotten.   

PLAYER WATCH

Jaycob Hickey (Melton)
Seamless return to the club for Hickey landing in the best players last week. Adds vital depth to a midfield group aiming to look a little less predictable despite earning the last two minor premierships. 

Lachie Cassidy (Sebastopol)
Hard working mid who must lead from the front if the Burra are to be any chance ending their run of outs against the Bloods. Fingers crossed for Burra fans his body holds up following hamstring issues the last couple of seasons.  

SCOOP’S TIP

Melton

Former Lions coach Travis Hodgson faces his old team when he arrives with perennial recent battlers Melton South at the Clarke Oval on Saturday.

While intel on the opposition won't be a problem for Hodgson, having his new group more competitive and in games for longer looms his greatest challenge.

Despite trailing last week in their season opener against the mighty Bloods, the quarter time scoreline of three goals to one provided some glimmer of hope looking forward.

The Panthers aren't expected to resemble their best 22 for another week or two leaving Saturday's outcome in the 'worry basket', given Sunbury's block of form in the pre-season and their win over Redan in Ballarat last week.

Expect the 'link up' Lions to expose the under manned nature of the Panthers the further this game goes.

Containing Lions’ leading forward Jake Sutton will be one of many tasks that lies ahead for the Panthers.

Experienced Redan defender Jacob Werts was stoic in his performance last week despite Sutton's five goals.

It would not surprise if Sutton was the target in at least half of the Lions 43 inside 50's. It would be a brave call to estimate how many times Sutton will again be the target of opportunity, given Melton posted a monster 73 inside 50s against the Panthers last week.

Unfortunately, star Panthers’ recruits Patrick Veszpremi (broken hand - 6 weeks) and Anthony Wilson (hamstring - 10 weeks) are set for a significant stint on the sidelines after succumbing to serious injury last week.

For Sunbury, it will be all about maintaining good habits and getting through unscathed with a convincing second win of the season.

Sunbury's depth is as good as any, suggesting the separation on the scoreboard will be mounting the longer this game goes.

Two solid quarters matched on the scoreboard would equate to a mini win for the Panthers.

PLAYER WATCH

Josh Guthrie (Sunbury)
Former North Melbourne VFL listed player now integral part of the Lions midfield. Hit-up accumulator who keeps presenting and keeps opposition accountable. While Panthers coach Travis Hodgson knows all about the Guthrie game as a former coach, denying the mid a 30-possession game will be tough.   

Broden Collins (Melton South)
Hard working ruckman will no doubt be a shining light in a tough afternoon tipped for the Panthers.

SCOOP’S TIP

Sunbury

The Swans gave every indication their unofficial second year rebuild under experienced mentor Chris Maple is on track after a 16-point win on the road against the Cobras in Round 1.

Margin aside, it was the 30 shots on goal that grabbed my attention, all without Andrew Hooper!

Only once under Maple have the Swans had more shots on goal, Round 7, 2023 v Melton South.

The addition of Footscray VFL listed player Rhett Montgomery went under the radar as the former pick #4 in the AFL Rookie draft (Essendon) had 19 disposals, with eight contested, in his first hit-out.

The long-awaited debut of former Collingwood VFL listed product Callan Wellings was also significant (29 disposals ,10 contested).

Organic trio Wyatt Squires (22 disposals, 13 contested), Will Liston (20 disposals, 11 contested) and Paddy Simpson (21 disposals, 6 contested) showed further signs of progression.

A mirror image of those numbers would see the Swans well on their way to a 2-0 start to the season.

Redan aren't shy on quality youth either, paving the way for an entertaining brand of attacking football.

Lions’ forward Marty Boyer kicked two goals to open his 2024 account in last week's 25-point loss to Sunbury but could easily have had five with a touch more, well...touch!

Taj Bond (203cm) is a welcoming addition to the Lions rucks stocks and will have an important role to play against seasoned Swans big man Marcus Powling.

Unfortunately for the Lions, the tape will tell you there is too much reliance on Lachie George around stoppage to reap any clean advantage.

I'd like to see more protection for Kye Jess who was denied any real time to maximise impact, and was often rushed with his decision making.

Harry Lawson is not on his own as a rebound attacker off half back with Rory Gunser and Liam Farnsworth proving more than capable with their piercing left foot.

Looking forward to this battle of the youth brigades but I’m leaning to the Swans top end talent to sway the pendulum in their favour in front of a home crowd.     

PLAYER WATCH

Rhett Montgomery (Ballarat)
A huge asset for the Swans in their 16-point win on the road over the Cobras. Taken pick #4 in the 2022 AFL Rookie Draft the 190cm, 23-year-old utility will prove a handful at the level pending availability (Now Footscray VFL).

Harry Lawson (Redan)
Attacking defender off half back with his run, carry and distribution. Even snuck forward for a goal last week to be on the end of the Lions chain. Just reward for his gut running.

SCOOP’S TIP

Ballarat

The Cobras will aim to bounce back when they travel up the highway for a must win game against the Lakers.

Sure, it's only Round 2, but the Cobras you'd think would have to win with something in hand to gain the necessary confidence ahead of their Anzac Day weekend clash with cross town rivals Darley.

Both sides are coming off season opener defeats but will give themselves a realistic chance squaring the ledger on Saturday.

The fact this game is played in Ballarat does give the Lakers an outside chance given the two sides were locked together late in the corresponding fixture last year before the Cobras finished with their noses in front.

While it's fair to suggest the Cobras will pose a more formidable combination in the new season, coach Dennis Armfield won't take anything for granted given the clubs opening round loss to Ballarat and 0-2 pre-season return against Avondale Heights and Williamstown CYC.

Looking forward to the ruck dual as Lakers duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty aim to deny leading Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz any advantage to his waiting midfield.

The Cobras’ leading mids, Tyson Shea (23), Jake McCreery (25), Josh Huxtable (27) and Ethan McKercher (9) combined for 84 disposals last week and will look to build on the three marks afforded inside 50 to prime aerial targets Jake Owen (2) and Joel Freeman (1).

Only Will Clark (24) had more than 20 disposals for the Lakers in their Round 1 loss to Sebastopol.

Winning more ball for a start will be high on the agenda for new coach Rohan Brown as he strives for an early confidence building win.

For any result favouring the Lakers, with the exception of Melton South, will be rendered an upset at this point in time.

Can't wait to see Jayden Wright's break out game in Lakers colors when it surely comes. If it happens to be against the Cobras, who knows what will happen!           

PLAYER WATCH

Joel Freeman (Bacchus Marsh)
Returns from the Western Jets (last year) for a full season with the Cobras under new coach Dennis Armfield. Has kicked 23 goals from his last nine senior games, is dangerous overhead and accurate shot on goal. Confidence player with plenty of upside.  

Bailey Thompson (Lake Wendouree)
Wiry forward/mid formerly of Camperdown who kicked more goals than any other Laker in 2023. Started well in their season opener with 3 goals against Sebastopol.

SCOOP’S TIP

Bacchus Marsh

The round kicks off with an Anzac Day matchup on Thursday before all eyes turn to Saturday for a flurry of intriguing contests.

The 0-2 Lakers are playing with plenty of spirit and will make hard work of it for Ballarat who aim to keep their unbeaten record intact.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has been 'proud' of his young group and the endeavour shown over his short tenure and will look to build on the nature of their ability to threaten.

Honourable losses can wear thin over time, so changing the narrative with a win will surely do wonders for a group that has clearly improved on previous seasons.

On exposed form Chris Maple's Swans will head into the Anzac Day clash warm favorites.

Sure, the Swans faithful would be rapt with their 2-0 start, but Maple's reservations expressed in the post-match of both wins give every indication there's a lot more work to be done “in all facets of the game,”.

I get it's a coach’s job to keep a lid on things, but there's been plenty to like about the Swans in 2024.

An improvement in personnel, be it organic or outsourced has seen the Swans tipped as league improvers by some rival coaches. On the evidence so far, I think they're right.

An opportunity for consolidation awaits the Swans whose collective speed across the ground will stretch the Lakers, especially on turnover.

Memo for the Lakers - give the ball back at your own peril!

Rhett Montgomerie has proven a real find in the opening fortnight - an injection of top end talent the Swans will need taking the next step. His availability at Footscray VFL however is out of the Swans hands.

Callum Wellings has also provided a major boost to the Swans’ arsenal between the arcs after missing all of last year with travel and surgery.

For the Lakers hopes, I’m keen to see Jayden Wright complement twin towers Felix Fogarty and Tom Zampatti.

The form of Bailey Thompson (seven goals), Timmy Collins (in best 2/2) and Brayden Helyar (2/2) is also having an impact despite a winless opening two rounds.

Do the Anzac Day occasion proud - wishing both sides all the best on an important day that truly represents the fabric of being Australian. 

PLAYER WATCH

Will Liston (Ballarat #2)
Club Best and Fairest winner who has taken his game to a new level over the last 12 months. Reliable mid with speed to burn. Dangerous on the spread.

Felix Fogarty (Lake Wendouree #18)
Mobile tall provides an aerial target for the Lakers. Kicks the ball well for a big man and will look to build on his solid contribution made in last week's narrow loss to the Cobras. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Ballarat

While Redan are expected to win and win well, the timing of having to face the struggling Panthers could well be the worst of the season.

Expect a whisper of unconfirmed top end talent to make a one-off appearance for the navy blue and white providing Coach Travis Hodgson with an injection of the necessary tools capable of aiding and executing a plan.

The long-term injuries to star recruits Patrick Veszpremi and Anthony Wilson has led to the club having to source more talent into the group that does not include Geelong VFL listed key defender Darby Schilder who will also debut having recovered from a calf complaint.

The Panthers will also derive some comfort knowing former Lions’ captain Isaac Grant has moved on in the off-season following returns of 11 and 10 goal hauls from their last two meets.

But what Redan has despite an 0-2 start to the season is some encouraging depth, a mountain of coachable young talent making their way with the Lions.

The youth are being complemented by experienced quartet Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon, and newly appointed captain Jacob Werts.

The Lions should prove too much for the Panthers the longer this game goes but they won't be exempt of an early scare when the legion of Panthers' cameos (up to four) endeavour to sway the pattern of on-field misfortunes embattling the club.  

PLAYER WATCH

Ryder Rousch (Melton South #11)
Up and coming young tall who has been a shining light in a disappointing start for the Panthers. Rousch has been named in the best 2/2 at his new club after making the move from Sunbury.

Grant Bell (Redan #23)
Clever, experienced forward who knows where the goals are. Expect Bell to feature prominently amongst the goals again adding to his impressive nine goal tally to start the season.

SCOOP’S TIP

Redan

The Devils will aim to put this game to bed early as they have done their previous two meetings with cross town rivals Bacchus Marsh.

Dan Jordan's men led by 23 and 35 points at the main break on those occasions before restricting the Cobras to just 14 scoring shorts for the entire game.  

Expect 'Killer Bees' Brett Bewley, Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Brady Wright to lead the Devils with significant intent after the reigning premiers fell short on the road last week against North Ballarat.

For Dennis Armfield's Cobras, a win last week, while not convincing, should derive enough confidence to at least take it up to the Devils early, denying a 'copy paste' version of recent Derby outings.

Cobras’ quintet Jake Owen, Luke Goetz, Joel Freeman, Will Lalor and Rye Penny (if available) will provide enough aerial presence to threaten if the delivery is up to speed.

The pressure from the Devils on the ball carrier has been a feature creating turnover, leading to scores.

The Cobras inferior numbers to the Devils re disposal efficiency could tell its own story on the scoreboard at games end.

The Devils have six current players that finished in the top 40 goalkickers of the 2023 season, Bacchus Marsh just two. Finding less predictable avenues to goal for the Cobras against the miserly Devils defence looms another challenge for Armfield and his staff.          

These games often unveil an unlikely hero or break out game for a youngster on the up.

Let's hope at least one of these encouragable scenarios plays out in what is arguably the biggest home and away stage for both clubs.

PLAYER WATCH

Joel Cadman (Darley #17)
Should be cherry ripe for a big game between the arcs after a big pre-season. His best is very good.

Luke Goetz (Bacchus Marsh #33)
Dominant ruckman will be hoping for a spike in hit outs to advantage and marking presence around the ground.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

After a gritty three-point win over reigning premiers Darley, North Ballarat head to Melton to take on the competition yardstick, concluding a baptism of fire opening for the Roosters’ 2024 campaign.

Take from last week’s result achieved at Mars Stadium what you will, but it was nothing short of willing and courageous in the absence of a handful of top end talent that would walk into any side.

While an early spike in confidence and belief positively consumes the Roosters, it has indeed heightened the levels of expectation from the hosts who have dominated the opposition in their two games to date.

Melton's list bats deeper, but there's no denying the organised nature of North Ballarat, buoyed with the off-season additions of Noah Cockerill, Mal White and Liam Deering who all played a significant role in their debuts for BFNL premiership points last week.

More will be asked of Cockerill this week especially against a rampant Bloods front half boasting four of the competitions nine leading goalscorers already.

A general 'chop out' from the Roosters’ midfielders at the coalface denying the Bloods an exit and repeat entries into the forward 50 will aid organisation and accountability.

If the Bloods get on top between the arcs at speed and on their own terms it will be difficult to hold out.

Just where you expose the Bloods is not easy - in fact the Bloods have won 41/49 games since their 2019 preliminary final exit.

Brendan McCartney, however, can lay claim to being on the winning end of a couple and will be keen to add a third in what would be his one of finest days on the magnets during his four year tenure.

Easier said than done.

Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble has been very impressive in his short time in charge both on and off field and has the players up and about.

Despite losing big men Ben Archard and Brenton Payne the Bloods, albeit a small sample size, look to have taken their game to another level. Catch 'em if you can!

PLAYER WATCH

Braeden Kight (Melton #7)
Dangerous X-factor forward who started the new season with a bang returning back-to-back hauls of seven goals. The Bloods Captain is a man on a mission.

Joshua Sparkman (North Ballarat #1)
A lot will be asked of Sparkman's ability to rebound off half back against the powerhouse Bloods. Expect a solid performance from this progressive type, win, lose or draw. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Melton

Let's be honest, both sides are coming off embarrassing losses and will be desperate to represent a greater version of themselves under lights on Saturday night.

Expect the contest to be dour and low scoring especially if the nighttime dew sweeps through as it did last week at Mars Stadium that witnessed 10 goals for the game, and just two in the second half!

On the flipside, the likelihood of a predominately 'inside' contest could be just what coaches Joe Carmody (East Point) and Tony Lockyer (Sebastopol) are after - an opportunity to get to work in tradesmen like fashion, an area that deserted them in losses to Darley and Melton respectively.

Both sides have talented lists, boasting a succession of recent finals appearances.

An Anzac Day weekend stage in tough conditions is surely to say a lot about the desire and commitment to win the hard footy given a mountain of stoppages are on the cards.

Picking a winner is difficult, neither side will arrive boasting a full book of confidence. Maybe the Kangas with a week off have had longer to process and work on their failings, with a keen eye firmly toward making a better account of themselves against similar opposition on the rebound.

Courage, territory and opportunity will be the overriding themes under the lights at Eastern Oval. Win all three variables, you surely win the game.

PLAYER WATCH

Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (East Point #2)
Inside mid who has returned to the club after a stint in the Mallee. Expect a solid response from one of the more consistent players in the comp after a round one thrashing at the hands of the Devils.

Riley O'Keefe (Sebastopol #2)
U/23 Interleague rep defender who rarely plays a bad game. Will play a key role in the Burras’ defence denying an East Point forward combo on the rebound. 

SCOOP’S TIP

East Point

An action packed Round 4 will give the opportunity for teams to strengthen their finals credentials, while a premiership favourite faces a good test on the road.

Scoop is here to take you through all the games coming up this weekend.

The Bloods return to MARS Stadium for the first time since their Grand Final triumph over Sebastopol in 2022. Again, Aaron Tymms' boys have rightfully retained benchmark status following a come-from-behind win over an improved Sebastopol.

The Bloods won’t want to be slow to react when they meet a determined North Ballarat who are renowned for playing their best footy at home. That observation could not be more relevant given North's win over the reigning premiers on this very ground last year.

The result certainly turned a few heads across the wider competition, but rest assure Tymms wasn't the least bit shocked of North's capabilities under Brendan McCartney. In fact, North Ballarat are 2-0 against the Bloods at MARS Stadium under McCartney.

Expect marquee big man Stewart Crameri to return to bolster North Ballarat's hopes. Whichever Blood defender gets the role, it looms arguably the toughest one-on-one match up for any in the competition.

If Crameri plays, and is contained, expect the Blood responsible to feature amongst the best even without registering a possession.

Tymms loves his role players, that's what makes them so hard to beat. The Bloods will welcome the unlikely unavailability of North Ballarat’s Collingwood VFL listed player Sam Glover, who would pose a double handful.

On the flipside North Ballarat will want to be better by foot with the bar raised this week, for the Bloods lap up any opportunity to rebound off turnover and sparingly give the ball back. North's handball connection, however, is their trump card. 

For the Bloods, the Carters brothers and Braedyn Kight are the obvious headliners forward of centre but merely front a collective 22 man buy-in, with individual returns usurped for the greater good of the team.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Rebuilding Bacchus Marsh are running out of time to notch a win with the aid of their AFL Under 18 crop as the Coates Talent League enters its penultimate week in recess.

Add the highly anticipated debut of Jake Long into the Cobras mix and they have to be some chance to remain in this game for longer than previous weeks.

In fairness, the Cobras have played Sebastopol, Darley and North Ballarat - all bona fide finals chances. Expect Cobras coach Jason Williams to start raising the bar of expectation on his players as we enter the fourth round, for their top end and Coates Talent League Under 18 affiliated talent are better than their current zero from 12 quarter win season suggests. Newcomer Long may prove the catalyst.

For Redan, they won't want to be coughing up this game as their journey toward a finals berth takes another step forward under new coach Gary Learmonth. Sure, there will be some hiccups along the way, all clubs have them. But at home against the 0-3 Cobras, a loss would be a setback.

The Lions start obvious warm favorites, their good players are all in form with the likes of Izaac Grant (14 goals), Lachie George, Pat Fitzgibbon and Jacob Werts all impressing in the opening rounds. They'll be forced to sweat on the availability of Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). The Cobras have the potential to scare a more fancied opponent, time will tell if that is indeed Redan this week.

Scoop’s tip:Redan

Weather permitting, Sunbury hold the aces to bounce back to the winners list in emphatic style when they face the 0-2 Lakers. While the Lakers have proven to be competitive for long periods in their opening two games, their last quarters have been the cause of much frustration for second year coach Jack Fitzpatrick.

In the Round 1 loss to Redan, the Lakers conceded 6.3 to 0.2 before a near repeat fail in Round 2 against Ballarat, as they were outscored 6.2 to 2.0 in the final term.

Just what Fitzpatrick and his support staff have conjured on the back of another 14-day break remains a mystery. Surely more game time is the right medicine for the young Lakers, hinting their bye in Round 3 was untimely.

Sunbury will continue to build, nurturing good habits ahead of their Round 5 meeting with Darley. The connection with new key forward Cody Brand is already showing positive signs as a fourth week legitimises a trusty sample size ahead of the Devils. The Lakers young mids will continue to give their all, guaranteeing the Lions mids for one, will know they've played a tough game of footy.

While premiership points should never be taken for granted, especially from an enigmatic Sunbury, it's fair to say the Lions have bigger fish to fry.

There will be genuine interest in the progress of the Lions’ connection as the underdog Lakers have another crack ending a 17-game losing streak.    

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Expect Sebastopol to use this hitout against an undermanned Melton South to tweak a few things, experiment if you will, with an eye at finding alternative solutions if required to overcome more seasoned opponents, in particular competition benchmarks Melton.

Don't be surprised to see a few new faces roll through the midfield, making the most of an opportunity for depth players to find touch in a game where the result looms an inevitable conclusion.

While the Panthers showed some grit at home in their last meet at the back end of 2022, kicking 14 goals in a 29-point loss, a repeat of that scoreline given the small sample size this year is unlikely.

Games into young talent and further learnings for the more established Panthers will be the theme of the day with an aim at minimising the carnage on the scoreboard. It's been a tough opening month for the Panthers - Melton, East Point, Sunbury and now Sebastopol.

The Burra are likely to miss Lachie Cassidy (hamstring) for a period with the extent of the strain to be treated more on the cautious side referencing a return. The challenge for some of the Burra crop will be holding their place in the side. Impressing against the Panthers will do their prospects no harm.  

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

These two sides represent a common theme across the 2023 BFNL competition - the path of youth. This Round 4 meeting at Alfredton Oval provides another opportunity to showcase the exciting organic talent from around the region.

How that comes to fruition at senior level around more experienced personnel will be worth the watch. Each side has near double-digit numbers aged 20 or under, so if you're contemplating which game to go to amid a full round of games in Ballarat, this may be the pick of them.

But don't expect to see this year’s premiers, rather an appreciation of youth and quality top end talent chasing a second win of the season for their respective teams.

The Swans’ winning chances hit a snag with the injury to progressive young midfielder Paddy Simpson, who has impressed in his new role. Simpson is expected to miss at least a month after his injury setback. Furthermore, the availability of Swans VFL listed trio Bailey Van de Heuvel (Geelong), Angus Bade (Footscray) and Tristan Maple (Footscray) will play its own role impacting the result.

Kanga’s duo Jackson Merrett and Joe Dodd are nearing a return but could be another week away leaving it, to a degree, a battle of the young guns. The Johnston brothers will again have a major say in the fortunes of the Kangas and how much ball forward they can get to Brad Whittaker, Bryce McDougall and the likes of Liam Canny and Jack Jeffrey.

It should be a ripping game, the Swans however will need to play out of their skins to contain the Kangas. If Andrew Hooper can get off the hook forward for the Swans, there may be some cause for concern for the 2018 and 2019 premiers.     

Scoop’s tip: East Point

With early season form lines starting to take shape, Round 4 presents as an opportunity for teams to continue their winning ways and rectify slow starts.

Dennis Armfield’s Cobras will look to jump the Lions early, coming off their bye in round three, aiming toward a first half-time lead of the season.

The visitors arrive with a sprightly 2-0 record under Matthew White and will like their chances to make it a hattrick of wins on a firm deck expected at Maddingley Park.

The midfield battle provides plenty of interest with Lions trio Josh Guthrie, Jake Egan and Ben Cameron up against welcoming party Jake McCreery, Tyson Shea and Josh Huxtable.

Just who can extricate best from a high number of predicted stoppages at the feet of Fraser Ampulski and Luke Goetz will have a large say in the territory game and inevitably the result.

While both sides provide varied options forward, it's Lions’ lead up spearhead Jake Sutton that looms the Cobras’ greatest challenge.

The snowy haired former Essendon VFL listed player has 11 goals already from his opening two games.

Rye Penny is the Cobras’ best defender but given his rebound attacking style it may be a case of 'robbing Peter to pay Paul' entertaining the unlikely match-up.

The Cobras have a significant presence forward of their own with Jake Owen, Joel Freeman and Isaac Nixon all aerially capable.

Fans of the red, yellow and black will be hopeful they have their kicking boots on providing every chance kicking a winning score.

Tipping you'll need to be in the 80 points range at the final siren to earn the 'W'.    

PLAYER WATCH
Ben Cameron (Sunbury #26)
newcomer averaging 25 disposals. Ranks #2 in the comp for ground ball gets, #7 for hard ball gets, #8 for handballs. Handy type.

Jake McCreery (Bacchus Marsh #20)
Ranks #2 in the comp for Pressure and #1 at the club for inside 50s.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

The Lions host Sebastopol at City Oval in one of the more evenly weighted games in Ballarat for the round.

While I’m prepared to afford Sebastopol a 'mulligan' for their disappointing loss to East Point under the lights at Eastern Oval last week I won't be going as far as tipping them.

With a kind draw this season I still expect the Burra to feature at the business end.

They're not in the Melton conversation we know that, but not many are so let's temper expectations a bit.

This match will tell us even more about where the Burra are at. Sure, personnel reads well on paper but what is their ceiling? Can the 30-50 game players get any better, it's not a given.

Footy is a hard game to play let alone developing into an impact player week in week out after 38 hours on the tools.  

Redan too have a promising group of progressive types with even less experience than their Burra counterparts and will again be asked for the 'impact' effort alongside senior bodies Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon and Daniel Bond.

The Lions have been without star recruit Lachie Bond and dangerous forward Lachie McLean for their opening three games (W1L2) so now looms as good as time as any for Tony Locker's men to earn valuable premiership points.

Easier said than done however as was proven the case at their last meeting at Marty Busch Reserve ahead of last year’s finals series when the Lions won by 20 points.

PLAYER WATCH

Rory Gunsser (Redan #8)
Left foot distributer - comp rank #10 for disposals averaging 25.7 inc. 20 of those kicks.

Lachlan Cassidy (Sebastopol #12)
'Elite' numbers in most areas including comp rank #1 for tackles, #3 for handballs, #4 for pressure, #6 for score involvements, #7 for clearances.

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

After a tough draw to start the season, Brendan McCartney's one win, one loss Roosters get an opportunity to consolidate with a win over the Lakers (0-3) at Mars Stadium.

Despite missing a handful of top end talent the frugal Roosters barely gave an inch to last year's minor (Melton) and major Premiers (Darley) winning four of the eight quarters including a win.

Any side would take that, especially in the absence of key personnel.

So, what is to gain for the Roosters against the Lakers? A game spent more on their own terms for starters - so finding more ways to goal on the back of that hard work witnessed in their opening two games will enhance their threat even further. 

I've no doubt the Lakers will deliver some contested resistance for periods but it's the impact of scoring either side of those periods for North Ballarat that provides the greatest means for an interesting read in the aftermath.  

Expect North Ballarat to be too strong replicating a margin similar to their previous meet (68 points) and Jamie Quick to get his first bag of the season (five) and match it with a further five score involvements.

Saturday looms as the Lakers’ greatest challenge of the season in so many ways despite losses to Sebastopol, Bacchus Marsh and Ballarat in the opening three weeks. The reality is the Lakers rank 10th for average points scored, scores against, shots on goal, and quarters won.

PLAYER WATCH
Isaac Carey (North Ballarat)
Enjoying his role at wing and half back. Is top 15 in the comp for rebound 50s, defensive 50 tackles, Intercepts and knock ons.

Tom Zampatti (Lake Wendouree)
Important key tall ranks #2 in comp for throw-in clearances and #5 for hit-outs.

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Saturday's match up between league improvers Ballarat and the reigning premier will tell us more about Chris Maple's Swans following wins over Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

How the Swans progressive midfield group cope against experienced Devils’ quartet Billy Myers, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will go a long way validating the separation on the scoreboard.

The Devils will need to maintain their clearance efficiency advantage (63%-56%) over the Swans or risk being exposed on the spread.

The Swans should hold the faith, believing their group is capable of netting a big fish.

Given their 3-0 start, Saturday's opportunity in front of a home crowd looms the ideal stage to announce their 'official' arrival.

BUT, the Swans will be made to earn that right, with questions raised on all lines.

While the Swans’ abundant leg speed presents a challenge for any opposition, the Devils pose a different assignment altogether (aerially and at ground level) than Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

The Devils are still shifting through their gears since their dominant opening round win over East Point and will aim to peak for longer periods.

For the record, the Devils have won 22 of their last 25 BFNL games.

Swans inclusions Rhett Montgomery (Footscray VFL), Lachie Dalgleish and the availability of Tristan Maple (Footscray VFL) and Angus Bade (Footscray VFL) will only help the hosts cause, denying a versatile and formidable Devils front six led by inform duo Wil Johnson and Brady Wright.   

Naturally, experienced Swans small forward Andrew Hooper will generate his usual level of attention.

PLAYER WATCH
Lewis Rinaldi (Ballarat #24)
Averaging 24 possessions per game, 14 contested (team rank #2), 7 clearances (team rank #1).

Mitch Ward (Darley #9)
Currently the Devils #1 turnover defender (#7 in the comp).

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

It's back to the drawing board again for Travis Hodgson's Melton South following the surprise inclusion of four top end Ovens and Murray league players in last week’s 10 goal loss to Redan.

Given the cameo nature of their selections last week we can hardly call them genuine 'outs' but I’m sure Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody is a little relieved his group has been spared the match up.

In reality, it's a case of how far the Kangas on Saturday at Eastern Oval, a venue the Panthers have been on the wrong end of some big losses in recent years.

Will we see the first big bag of 10 goals from one individual? Kangas’ trio Jordy Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson are the obvious front runners and more than capable.

Party stuff aside, Carmody will look to build on good habits. Sure, selflessness and pressure in the front half are on his radar but it’s the back six and their organisation that will be his biggest (season long) project.

Carmody led the Swans into a Preliminary Final in 2022 on the back of sound, organised defence and will replicate some of those traits at his new club.

For Hodgson, another 100 minutes of senior experience into his young group will aid the rebuild theme as the struggling club aims for a 'mini win' even if that be a quarter of football.

The Panthers won 1/64 quarters in 2023 and are 0/12 for the new season.

The challenge continues.

PLAYER WATCH
Jackson Merrett (East Point #1)
Relinquished of coaching duties, injury free and returned with 38 disposals last week in tough conditions.

Darby Schilder (Melton South #14)
Geelong VFL listed made solid impression first up with 20 disposals @75% including 8 marks (3 contested). Plays key back, plenty will be asked of him on Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Round 5 presents a number of tantalising contests, with the opportunity for first wins and the chance to break away from the pack on the cards for some clubs. Scoop previews all the action coming up this weekend.

Some will suggest that the winner of this contest will assume the third seed favouritism for the flag behind premiership fancies, Melton and Sebastopol, by the time Round 5 concludes.

While the result will not define either side’s season, the outcome should tell us more about Sunbury and their level of improvement.

If you go back to grasp a better sample size of recent form from the Lions, while missing last year’s finals, Sunbury are 6-2 from their last eight games, while Darley sit at 7-1.

If you wanted to dig a little deeper into the form, matches against top six (from last year) opposition sees the Devils with a 5-3 record ahead of the Lions 2-6. Hence the call of onus on Travis Hodgson's near full strength line up at home getting it done.

Not only is Sunbury's list healthy, off-season recruits, Cody Brand, Rivva Karpany and Josiah Garisto have been significant, not mentioning the full-time additions of Mitch Lewis (ex-Port Melbourne VFL) and Josh Guthrie (North Melbourne VFL) - the Lions are primed for success in 2023.

How these two sides settle into their work early will be interesting given the Devils are coming off the bye and Sunbury with dominant wins over the Lakers and Melton South.

Whether the Devils can secure VFL listed duo Mace Cousins and Bailey Young will be important to their chances. The want to bat as deep into the list will likely play its own role in the result.

The best players from both sides have started well in 2023, so there'll be no excuses. Sunbury will start favorites, on home ground advantage alone, and will be keen to play as such. It's fair to say the Lions let their last two matches against the Devils slip through their fingers.

A three peat is unlikely so another mature effort (and some) from Dan Jordan's Devils will be required if they're to leave Clarke Oval with the Premiership points. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

If you're in the 'firm believer' camp regarding Sebastopol's flag prospects this season, expect them to take care of Ballarat on Alfredton Oval and go 3-1 come 5pm on Saturday.

The Burra look more seasoned than the young Swans, with bigger bodies and greater depth. Those features alone will have an impact the further this game goes. In fairness to the Swans, they're under no illusions where they're at and would be the first to accept the underdog tag heading in.

Win/loss aside Swans’ coach Chris Maple will be looking for his young group to hang in longer and take more of their opportunities as they present. Failure to do so will be validated on the scoreboard.

Not to be outdone or ahead of themselves, the Burra concede they too remain a work-in-progress so expect coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro to flirt with the magnets as they strive to find the right combination to challenge for the title moving forward.

The Swans will ask questions of a few Burra players and their capabilities. The job on Swans’ sharpshooter Andrew Hooper is always a difficult task while negating Marcus Powling in the ruck carries its own levels of interest.

Swans midfielder Will Liston has been the beneficiary of Powling's work to be among the top possession winners on the ground. Kiel and Columbro touched on their desire to be a running team with efficient distribution. A run-with-role on Liston will soon determine the running capabilities of a few.

It was pleasing to see Toby Hutt kick a bag of 10 goals last week, he's likely to prove a handful again on projected weight of entries alone. Angus Bade looks the likely match up.

Swans coach Chris Maple summed it up perfectly last week identifying the gulf between their best and worst footy. For how long they bring their best looms their greatest challenge again for anything shy of it could see the young Swans on the wrong end of a blow-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Despite a 3-1 season record (wins over 8th, 9th, 10th) for Redan and an impressive eight wins from their last nine games, reigning Premiers Melton loom a different assignment altogether.

I thought one lifelong Lions’ fan in particular was getting a little ahead of themselves last week touting this match to be top billing, essentially 1v2. Brave call, but for all of Redan's recent form, it pales in comparison to the mighty Bloods.

Redan finished within 10 points on City Oval at their last meet with Melton but the competitions' benchmark was coming off a rare 21-day break and seemingly off their mantle, struggling with the restart.

Don’t expect the Bloods to give the plucky Lions much of a sniff especially if the weather holds up. While one might expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways, the Lions will be hopeful as many of three of their missing six players from last week can return, giving their slim chances of an upset win a welcoming boost - none more so than Footscray VFL affiliate Cooper Craig-Peters.

Melton are not at their best just yet, having trailed at half-time for a second time in three weeks but glimpses of what that resembles has been scary good, against quality opposition - Sunbury, Sebastopol and North Ballarat.

Expect the Bloods to have too many winners across the ground and prove too strong for the Lions.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

For all of North Ballarat's promise (2-2) they've still only won three of their last 10 games giving East Point (2-1) every reason to think they can win at home in an all-important game for both teams.

While the belief that North Ballarat are well and truly in the finals mix this year on sample size thus far, coach Brendan McCartney will be hoping for more evidence of progress against the Kangas. Let's not forget North Ballarat led Melton at half-time last week and turned a few heads midafternoon while East Point piled on nine goals against Ballarat in a match winning second quarter blitz.

North Ballarat will have to get it done without Stewart Crameri (groin) who failed to return after leaving the ground in the third term last week. But the reinforcements, the next gen of North Ballarat soldiers, are well drilled, can run, and not shy on confidence. Surely, it's McCartney's undeniable belief in his boys that exudes the confidence.

There is no reason why North Ballarat can't build on that honest hitout against the Bloods and look the winners for the most part in this game, but if opportunities are not taken, the Kangas will surely swoop.

The Johnston brothers and Alex Molan have led the Kangas midfield while usual suspects Bryce McDougall and Brad Whittaker have looked dangerous forward of centre along with a swarm of young talent waiting to impact at ground level.

Jackson Merrett and Jo Dodd couldn't be far from a return to give the Kangas a major boost but I’m happy to go with my gut at the moment predicting a win for the visitors.     

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

While winless, on the road, and coming off an 18-game losing streak, Expect Lake Wendouree to bring the heat, and even go in favourites, against fellow cellar dwellers Melton South.

On exposed form, bragging rights and a long-awaited celebration are at stake as these two struggling clubs go head-to-head.

Finding a winner despite the winless nature of the two will be easier for most, with every right to assume the Lakers hold the advantage on form, having been competitive for longer periods in their three games to date.

However, Melton South will not know themselves this week on the back of a horror draw namely Melton, East Point, Sunbury and Sebastopol. How they cope with a more evenly matched opposition will go a long way to determining their genuine winning chances.

Either side will be made to earn it, even if the Panthers start underdogs despite being at home. They may have some confidence behind them having beaten the Lakers in Ballarat at their last meet.

Mini wins are a bonus for all clubs in the context of the season but for these two sides there's no such thing. It will be a major result for the winners, and only contemplation of what's next awaits the loser.

This should be an entertaining game. Unfortunately, the Panthers may be too many troops shy of their best 22 to win in front of their faithful. The Lakers while made to earn it, will be hopeful it could be all smiles ahead of the journey home.

Scoop’s tip: Lake Wendouree

Looking ahead to the Round 5 action there is plenty on the line already early on in the 2024 season. With contender or pretender status still up in the air there is everything to play for come Saturday.

The underdog tag won't phase Gary Learmonth's Redan given their recent record over the reigning premiers. And nor will the venue!

For the record the Lions have won four of the last five meetings between the two sides, three of those as underdogs and on three occasions at Darley Park.

The youthful Redan lineup set with the tough assignment will include as many as 10 players still eligible for the Under 19's. Rest assured they're not coming for the experience, rather every intention of winning.

Unfortunately for the Lions I can't see the result ending in anything but an experience. Since the Devils’ upset loss at the hands of Redan (Round 10, 2023),

Dan Jordan's men have gone 10-0 at home with an average winning margin of 62 points! Take the Melton South thrashing (212pts) out and you're still left with a 45+ points advantage.

The Devils are still hitting their straps, striving for the best version of themselves for four quarters.

Jordan is a coach always looking forward but I'm sure the anomalies of recent head-to-head results v Redan has not left the memory bank.

Expect the Devils to be on their mettle, a mission of their own to an extent, putting this game to bed early against a predominantly young group craving for any momentum or sniff of a repeat upset.    

PLAYER WATCH
Leigh Spiteri (Darley)
In form small forward dangerous around goal, four & three majors last two weeks.

Riley Collins (Redan)
Sandringham Dragons rep - clean small forward who has impressed in opening few games. Had 15 disposals last week v Sebastopol, 10 contested.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

The Bloods (3-0) return fresh off the bye for a match-up against league improvers Ballarat.

The bye can play tricks on preparation and translate to starts in games and your capacity to run out games given the interruption, albeit just a week.

For this early time of year especially, teams, and players more to the point, would prefer continuity with their footy in the form of a game every week.

Given the part time nature of the competition, sides can slumber in the void of continuity.

Thats what visiting Swans coach Chris Maple will be hoping for when his young group make the trip to MacPherson Park, hopeful any edge will aid their mission.

The Swans endured a lesson from the Devils last week and will be looking for an immediate response, especially early to get the Bloods on the hop.

If the Swans can be up and about early and it translated to the scoreboard, surely it provides the means of an outside 'throw at the stumps' chance.

Forget last year’s visit from the Swans to MacPherson Park, they're an improved proposition in the here and now.

Yep, the Devils got hold of them last week, but Dan Jordan's army were made to play well and earn the 64-point win.

The same will be asked of Troy Scoble's Melton.

What level of threat the Swans pose to the powerful Bloods will be validated on the scoreboard.

The 'W' I anticipate is beyond them. I won't be on my own with that assessment but there's a curiosity out of both camps and more broadly across the competition, the gap size between the two.

Saturday will tell us.

PLAYER WATCH
Ryan Davis (Melton)
Small forward who can fly under the radar (6 goals / 3 games).

Callan Wellings (Ballarat)
Ex Collingwood VFL knows how to find the footy - had 22 disposals last week v Darley.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Hosts Sunbury (3-0) have done everything right ahead of their first hit out against genuine league heavyweights North Ballarat (2-1).

The Lions look well organised under new coach Matty White.

Compliance to team plan demands are being met on the back of thriving fitness levels and the addition of a handful of players all having an impact in their opening three games.

Sure, the Lions had Redan, Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and duly saluted but they look primed for a timely footy audit on their home deck.

North Ballarat will deny Sunbury the 'outside ball' they've been used to in their three wins to date and will be made to earn every possession, forward 50 entry and score.

Can the Lions withstand the frugal nature of Brendan McCartney's group who deny you any easy ball?

Despite finishing runners-up last year, the Roosters have also added impact players to their make up for the 2024 season, and to great effect given the small sample size.

The visitors have had a tough opening month post bye in Round One having already played Darley (W), Melton (L) and the Lakers (W) and should be ready for the next real challenge that is Sunbury on the big ground at Clarke Oval.

The result of this game will not surprise either way.

Sunbury will start deserved underdogs and will need to replicate finals like qualities to get the job done.

Jack Riding returns from Werribee VFL (bye) for North Ballarat and will provide another hurdle for the Lions to overcome despite the absence of Jamie Quick (doubtful).

The Lions are healthy, in-sync and ready for the North Ballarat challenge.

Surely, they're up to it, aren't they?

PLAYER WATCH
Nathan Wood (Sunbury)
Small defender, solid start to the season - had 27 disposals last week v Bacchus Marsh.

Mal White (North Ballarat)
Newcomer on the rise at new club with another solid game last week including 28 disposals and 2 goals v Lake Wendouree.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Given the Burras (1-3) struggles to start the season the Cobras (1-3) are right in with a chance recording a second win in Ballarat from as many visits in the opening five rounds.

Injuries to key Burra playmakers Lachie Cassidy (calf) and Riley O'Keefe (arm) will aid the Cobras’ cause despite the expected inclusions of Werribee listed pair Jay Dahlhaus and Jesse Clark who have the bye in the VFL.

The absence of Jack Bambury (hamstring) hasn't helped the Burra either.

A change of luck, albeit a win will at least get Sebastopol's season back on track in the short term.

A fourth loss in a row however, will hinder their finals chances despite a favourable draw.

For the Cobras, evidence of growth under Dennis Armfield from week to week is paramount.

Bacchus Marsh will arrive with no excuses, sharing a similar age profile to the hosts and give themselves a genuine hope.

Both sides aren't travelling well on the results front but have had their moments of quality play.

More of 'those' moments surely creates more positivity and confidence for two groups aiming to work their way back squaring the ledger.

Can the Cobras execute on the basic fundamentals for long enough to warrant the four premiership points?

That is their greatest challenge for their efforts without the ball have shown merit. 

The Burra on the other hand will be trying everything to avoid a 1-4 start under new coach Tony Lockyer.

PLAYER WATCH
Jed Hill (Sebastopol)
17 disposals last week against Redan. More will be asked of Hill in 2024 between the arcs as he's moved up the ground. More than capable player.

Ethan McKercher (Bacchus Marsh)
Livewire small forward. Doesn't need many possessions to have an impact (21 disp and a goal last week v Sunbury).

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

East Point (2-1) travel across town for a meeting with the Lakers (0-4) ahead of their Round 6 'ultimate challenge' on the road against Melton (3-0).

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will look to consolidate further on the good habits of the previous two weeks with another big win over the struggling Lakers.

Just how the hosts contain the Johnston brothers, season return pair Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown and dangerous forward Strahan Robinson and Bryson McDougall looms a four-quarter struggle.

I can see the Lakers matching it with East for two quarters on the whole, take your pick which ones.

Tipping the final margin on the scoreboard will be reflective of the two quarters East Point were able to 'getaway'.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has remained positive throughout despite the four losses and will be looking for a response from his young team that can equate to a few 'mini-wins' in game, against a more fancied visiting party.

Unfortunately, we haven't seen much of Lakers exciting new recruit Jayden Wright (ankle - Round 1) but the progress of tall duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will again be on display as the hosts aim to spoil the party for the East Point Kangaroos.

PLAYER WATCH
Angus Gove (Lake Wendouree)
Honest as they come, and you can expect much of the same on the weekend. Had a team high 27 disposals last week v North Ballarat.

Jacob Brown (East Point)
Return game to club last week ended in BOG recognition with his 34 disposals and 16 marks v Melton South.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Get set for a big weekend of games as the BFNL celebrates its Indigenous Round! With plenty of blockbusters across the board, Scoop checks out what there is to look forward to come Saturday.

This game is set to tell us more about North Ballarat, who fell short on expectations again last week with a 20-point loss to East Point.

Despite their 2-3 record heading in, the reality is North Ballarat has won just three of its last 11 games with wins over Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and Redan. Brendan McCartney's boys look a far cry from their Round 13 win last year over eventual premiers Melton.

North Ballarat's best is very good but often reserved for MARS Stadium. On Saturday, the young Swans welcome the Roosters and should hold no fears.

For Chris Maple's young boys another step toward closing the gap between their best and worst footy will be a focus. While McCartney has not said anything public resembling a similar narrative, I suspect they're in the same boat.

This battle will be entertaining, an exciting look into the youth of the BFNL and what it holds for the future, especially for these two sides.

While the Swans averted down the path of youth and have been reluctant to spruik finals for obvious reasons, today looms more as an ideal opportunity for the Roosters to put a game to bed. But that task will come with its challenges, especially on the road.

The contest in the middle should be a ripper with Swans duo Marcus Powling and Will Liston taking on Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne. Jack Riding's availability for North Ballarat will be a point of interest while the return of Tom Hotchin (knee) nears by the day.

Expect North Ballarat to do enough without setting the world on fire as both sides strive for a complete team performance. With that seemingly unachievable in a week, expect some individual brilliance to prove the difference. Given that scenario, it's the Roosters who hold the aces.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Unbeaten Darley will be happy to get through the meeting with bottom side Melton South unscathed, as a top of the table clash looms with Melton in Round 8.

The struggling Panthers are 0-5 to start the season with each loss in excess of 100 points. In fact, the home side hasn't won a game in its last 12 matches.

Darley on the hand are 4-0 and 10-2 in the same timeframe. Only Melton (11-1) has won more over that period, including a premiership and current run of 10 games unbeaten.

Darley second year coach Dan Jordan will be well aware of the plight suffered by Sunbury after their two week build up (Melton South & Lake Wendouree) into the highly anticipated Round 5 meet with the Devils ended in a 56-point disaster.

Jordan will be hopeful any resemblance for his group (vs Melton South Round 6 & vs Lake Wendouree Round 7) into Melton can be avoided. Sunbury booted scores 170+ against the Panthers and Lakers, proving in essence, a false economy.

A handful of tireless Panthers faithfully led by Cody Chapman will keep the Devils honest for a period before the visitors projected weight of possession and forward 50 entries on the small ground takes its toll on the scoreboard. 

How the Panthers contain the Devils top end talent in Brett Bewley and Billy Myers will tell its own tale, while a way around the Devils’ defence to score presents its own degree of difficulty.

The visitors average just 47.5 points against (comp rank #2) from their opening four games, all on the road.

One overriding concern for new Panthers coach duo Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy is these Devils are just warming up with plenty of scope for improvement. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways after this round’s meeting with Bacchus Marsh.

While sharing a common goal, it's fair to say these two are at completely different stages of their journey. The Bloods, under Aaron Tymms are aiming to go back-to-back and sit unbeaten on top of the BFNL table with five wins while the rebuilding Cobras, under new coach Jason Williams, are 10^th with a winless start from their four games.

To put the Cobras rebuild into perspective, just six members played in both meetings against Redan (Round 17, 2022) and more recently (Round 4, 2023), essentially five games apart. What we saw of the Cobras in Round 4’s narrow loss to Redan was encouraging, enough almost label last week's bye as untimely.

A stall in momentum looms more likely for the Cobras as they say goodbye to up to six of their Coates Talent League Under 18 representatives who return to Western Jets and GWV Rebels duties.

Depth against the competition benchmark will be exposed, that is a given, but it provides Williams with another sample of size of where the Cobras are at and where greater improvements lie.

The Bloods enviable strength is with their even spread of impact players. Go after two or three, there's another three or four to assume the mantle and get the job done.

When you combine the Bloods even spread of talent with a collective selfless buy-in, the potion equates to an even broader run of success - 10 games unbeaten, including 11 of their last 12 and a drought breaking Premiership.

The Cobras will look to gain the type of learnings only the very best can provide and look to resemble more of Williams vision into the future.      

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Even the most devout Lakers fan would have savoured last week’s win over Melton South, however forecasting Round 6 chances against the Burra could be slim at best.

The Burra sit at 3-1 on the ladder and have been playing some good footy for a while with nine wins from their previous 12 games - their only three losses coming against Melton.

After shrugging off Ballarat in the second half last week, Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro will aim to put this game to bed early, removing any residual confidence from the Lakers after ending an 18-game losing streak last weekend.

The Burra have been difficult to score against in first quarters from their opening four games with a 111-23 point (+88) advantage. With games already against Bacchus Marsh (0.2), Melton (1.1), Melton South (0.1) and Ballarat (2.1). Only the Swans have manufactured more than one goal.

So, heed the warning Lakers, file away last week's win with an eye forward to your next success. While it's unlikely to come against a well drilled Burras outfit, you can minimise the damage by starting well.

For the record the Burra are 133-61 (+72) for second quarters but would concede the one-sided nature of their numbers are enhanced having played three of the four bottom sides. This week’s meeting against the Lakers will make it four bottom side meets for the Burra in their five games. They must be champing on the bit for their next like-for-like challenge.

Can the Lakers be the ones to surprise and provide that? Only time will tell, but a fair dinkum crack is what coach Jack Fitzpatrick will ask for and knowing Kiel and Clumbro, would gladly welcome.          

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The progressive Kangas will be hoping to deny the Lions four-premiership points and remain firmly inside the top six when the two sides meet on Eastern Oval.

The 2018/19 Premiers will start warm favorites considering the Lions three wins have come against Ballarat (8th), Lake Wendouree (9th) and Bacchus Marsh (10th).

As East Point coach Jackson Merrett nears a return to the playing field he's had a birds-eye view into the potential capabilities of his young group.

The Lions will provide a legitimate challenge as both sides eye a spot in the bottom half of the six.

Merrett's boys could not have been more impressive last week disposing of North Ballarat by 20 points. 30 scoring shots to 20 in favour of the Kangas gives every indication the margin could have been greater. 

For Gary Learmonth's Redan some luck on the selection front will only help their cause. Without Lachie George, Cooper Craig-Peters and Liam Hoy last week, the Lions look well shy of their best despite some encouraging performances from the younger brigade in recent weeks.

There were no surprises in the nature of last week’s 67-point loss to Melton, in fact a run against the competition benchmark should hold them in good stead.

The Kangas took care of the Lions at their last meeting, albeit some time ago, but on current form there is not enough evidence to suggest Redan has made up the ground in that time.

For the record, East Point has won four of the last five meetings between the two sides by an average of 48.5 points.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Some interesting road trips headline the action of Round 7 as the respective tiers of the BFNL ladder start to take shape as we roll into the second third of the season.

Scoop previews all the major games coming up this weekend.

The travelling Lions will have to get it done without their captain and reigning club best and fairest winner in Tyson Lever, with the key defender set to be sidelined for a minimum of six weeks following results of recent foot scans with a specialist.

The absence of Lever in the Lions 56-point loss to the Devils in Round 5 was palpable. Coach Travis Hodgson, eager to kickstart the Lions’ season with a few scalps fell horribly short in their most recent match-up against Darley.

So, the search off the bye for another scalp continues for the Lions against the tenth placed Cobras who are yet to win a game.

Cobras’ coach Jason Williams is under no illusions where his new club is at and can assume some positives knowing his draw doesn't get any harder having already met Sebastopol, Darley and Melton who have lost just one game between them.

Externally, few give the Cobras any chance, but this contest is more about Sunbury than Bacchus Marsh who have been transparent, open and honest with their struggles. The Lions on the other hand, have been tipped to be in the conversation come the business end, but that wouldn't be for the first time.

Sunbury's best is very good. Some resemblance of their ceiling today would see a similar result to their last meeting at Clarke Oval. Anything less than a six-goal win for the Lions would indicate Williams' young Cobras were up for the fight, denying the visitors a game played entirely on their terms.

While little wins within games provide the Williams’ camp with tempered belief and confidence, it pales in comparison to the idea of one and all engaged in song and victory.

The history books tell us Sunbury haven’t conquered at Maddingley Park in 9 years, this may be the chance for the Lions to buck the trend.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Beware East Point, these Bloods are just cruising in second gear and this game may well be the perfect entree into a Round 8 showdown with fellow undefeated challengers Darley.

While the 43-point separation at their last meet in favour of the Bloods gives every indication the Kangas have significant ground to make up, note the Bloods had just three more scoring shots that day (12.12-20.7). Not to mention the 25-point half time deficit, the greatest the Bloods have endured at the main break since their 2021, Round 8 loss to North Ballarat when they trailed by 27 points.

In fairness the Kangas are considerably younger in 2023 despite enviable top end talent that can match their more fancied opposition, but the further you go down the list, the reigning premiers hold sway with seemingly minimal separation between their best and worst compared to their rivals.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms has spoken highly of the buy-in from his group, eager to make it back-to-back titles but that is always easier said than done. The flag favorites have found themselves trailing at half time in two of their six games before hitting the gas in the third term. Their 'premiership quarters’ have been an example to the competition, their one wood to use a golfing vernacular.

It takes more than a half to take care of the Bloods.

Can the Kangas sustain a performance worthy of an upset? There will be doubts on the reliability of an enigmatic young group who fell short against Redan at home last round.

Regardless, of the result - both sides will gain significant learnings from the hit-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Sebastopol can make it five wins against the bottom five sides with a win on the road over North Ballarat at MARS Stadium on Saturday. Somehow, that just doesn't sound right, does it?

North Ballarat is currently outside the six with a 3-3 record so far this season. The seventh placed side will want to replicate the early form that saw them lead reigning premiers Melton at half time in Round 4 by 15 points.

The defensive effort to keep the Bloods to three goals in that half should be the blueprint ahead of the clash with the Burra.

Brendan McCartney's boys will need to bring the heat, for this Burra outfit is ready to burst. Dual coaches Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have been frothing at the mouth for a challenge resembling something like for like, having played only Melton from the top six up to this point.

McCartney has been bullish on the Roosters’ running ability and attack on the footy. Today the Roosters get another opportunity on their home deck to confirm those beliefs worthy of taking down one of the bona fide contenders in 2023. 

We know the Burra got the better of McCartney's men by 15 points in Round 16 last year, but there was very little in it, in fact North Ballarat led at quarter time and shared an equal 20 shots on goal.

But what is daunting for the home side is the seasoned Burra are coming, and loaded with more experience.

It's unlikely the Roosters will hang onto star duo VFL affiliates Sam Glover and Josh Chatfield who combined for eight goals last week as they return to the higher level.

If that is the case, it stands as an almighty challenge for North Ballarat to get the job done without them.    

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Expect the Lakers to make some impression on their previous meet against the Devils, labelled by coach Jack Fitzpatrick as their worst performance of last season.

The ninth placed Lakers kept flag contenders Sebastopol to just 10 goals last week on the back of a 102-point win on the road over the Panthers.

But for all the Lakers defensive kudos, they simply can't score. Outside of their win over the Panthers, Fitzpatrick’s boys have managed just 19 goals in four games.

On the flipside, the Devils look to be going from strength with this hit-out posing as the penultimate lead up ahead of a genuine footy audit against the all-conquering, undefeated Bloods.

Devils’ coach Dan Jordan takes nothing for granted with this group, and nor the broader club considering a winless 2021. Since Jordan's appointment the progressive Devils are now 19-7 for win loss including 11 wins from their last 13. Only Melton (12 from 13) have won more over the period.

Given the medium sized nature of the Lakers group, there is little expectation held for their chances albeit at home. The Devils’ 'top end talent', led by reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (16 goals) and full time addition Billy Myers (19 goals in four games) will prove too much to handle, let alone intercept defender Matty Brett and reborn swingman Darren Leonard.

The Devils hold all the aces ahead of this clash and will get the job done with a bit in hand. Devils’ fans will be hopeful the footy gods are kind, getting through with a win and injury-free ahead of a no excuse showdown against Melton.

But first, they must take care of the Lakers.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Swans have the perfect opportunity to give new season coach Chris Maple his second win in charge when they meet winless Melton South.

The Panthers are a mile off troubling any opposition at the moment, crippled by off-season list turnover and injury. Their 2023 campaign went from bad to worse last week on the end of a season high thrashing at the hands of Darley.

While this week’s result seemingly looms as foregone, the extent of the damage poses a challenge for both coaches.

Can Chris Maple's Swans get the percentage boost they so badly need? Can they turn weight of possession into scores? For the Swans have been held to 40 points or less in four of their six games.

On the flipside, can Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy's Panthers get enough reinforcements back to take it up to the Swans? All the hierarchy at Pantherland can ask for is a red hot crack in front of their loyal supporters, the players owe them that at least.

The struggling Panthers had 10-minute patches of competitiveness last week and will look to increase that to near 20 minutes per quarter against the one win Swans.

Ballarat sharpshooter Andrew Hooper will be hoping for some silver service delivery - if forthcoming the former Western Bulldog is capable of kicking a tally in the double digits. I'll limit expectations, and tip Hooper to kick seven. Tipping this variable at least appears the greater challenge than the match result.

While we expect to see some resistance from the Panthers, the focus will be on the Swans ability to capitilise on majority opportunity, especially in front of goal.    

Scoop’s tip: Ballarat

A top of the table clash is just one of many tasty fixtures coming up in Round 8, with hotly contested top six spots on the line and elusive rare wins up for grabs.

Scoop previews this weekend's action.

Unbeaten league heavyweights Melton and Darley face off in a highly anticipated top of the table clash at MacPherson Park.

For all of the Devils’ progression under second year coach Dan Jordan, a timely footy audit awaits against the reigning premiers. Plenty will need to go right for the hunters, Darley, to walk away with the points come 5pm.

In the event of a seventh straight win on the road ahead of the King's Birthday bye, the Devils will have ended a 2226-day winning drought against the Bloods dating back to April 29 Round 2, 2017 and more broadly, a 16-0 winning run at home for Aaron Tymms' men.

While the Bloods current 7-0 season run has a familiar sense of déjà vu, the jury might still be out to see if they're as strong as last year despite similar returns forward from the Carter brothers and the efforts of Brett McIntyre filling the ruck void in the absence of Ben Archard (now returned) and the departed Mark Orr.

The Bloods have proven to be the competition's blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory. Today will be no exception with crucial midfielder Jack Walker set to miss with concussion.

Despite the Bloods’ six-year reign, the Devils have rarely been put to the sword, even in more testing times. Needless to say, the Devils’ failings to post a winning score against the Bloods must be corrected if they're to cause an upset win on Saturday.

Finding avenues to goal will go a long way determining the Devils’ fate, with fine weather expected. Sure, the Devils rank one in offence after seven rounds but four of the clubs six wins have come against the bottom four teams who have just three wins between them.

The Bloods will be buoyed with Archard and Kyle Borg back in the mix, but it’s no guarantee that Tymms' all conquering Bloods will have the game weighted on their terms.

The Devils will need midfield duo Brett Bewley and Luther Baker to provide enough drive to challenge the Bloods enviable depth of riches. There is no denying questions will be asked of the Devils’ defence to contain the Bloods’ barometer trio in the Carter brothers and Braedyn Kight but don’t be surprised if there is a cat thrown amongst the pigeons and the flag favorites are knocked off in a close one. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Sunbury will look to correct on its previous two slow starts, with a 'statement-like' impression in the first quarter when they host Redan.

While there are doubts on the Sunbury Lions matching it with the top few sides without Tyson Lever (foot), Harrison Minton-Connell (Essendon VFL) and Mitch Lewis (Overseas), Redan are well within their sights.

The visitors too will be without some of their top liners as Lachie George and Liam Hoy endure more time on the sidelines with injury. Redan will be sweating on the availability of Footscray VFL affiliated Cooper Craig-Peters with his selection unknown until Friday. Getting it done on the road without their key mid, George and Hoy will be tough assignment despite a seven-point success at Clarke Oval last year.

Evidently, Craig-Peters missed that game but George and Hoy both featured. To give the visitors some comfort, Sunbury did have Lever, Minton-Connell and Lewis but still fell short.

Just what version we're going to get from these two teams will tell its own story in the aftermath. Both seemingly have patches of minimal impact at stages in games and are prone to conceding back-to-back goals, which would be well known to both camps.

Sunbury simply must get it done at home and rebuild their ruthless Clarke Oval reputation, with the venue once considered a fortress. For the present however, only Lake Wendouree, Bacchus Marsh and North Ballarat have failed to win there over the past two seasons with Sebastopol not making the trip down either. 

There's a bit at stake here, as both sides fight for a similar spot in the top six.

Scoop's tip: Sunbury

You may well expect a similar result to the last time the Roosters met the Panthers at Mars Stadium.

Brendan McCarney's North Ballarat have an opportunity to capitilise on their good doings over the last fortnight that has resulted in the Roosters winning seven of its past eight quarters, including three over flag fancies Sebastopol last week.

If Roosters’ big man Stewart Crameri does indeed play, there's every reason the bona fide key forward will spend a majority of minutes deep inside 50, giving his ailing groin issue some respite.

Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne will enjoy a day out with the latter the likely beneficiary of McCullum's first tap dominance.

Skillful Roosters’ half forward Jamie Quick is every chance to have a big afternoon in front of goal having kicked 17 goals this year to lead the tally for North. While tips on the margin are purely speculative, a mini win for Melton South would be keeping it under 100 points, a feat they haven’t achieved thus far this season. 

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The visiting Kangas will endeavour to back up their near upset performance over competition benchmarks Melton last round when they take on Sebastopol at Marty Busch Reserve, but that will be easier said than done for a young group, especially after such a solid, physical hit-out.

Sebastopol are coming off their own disappointment, finishing 30 points short of North Ballarat and will be eager to atone.

Surely the battle for spots in the Burra line-up is as competitive as ever given their depth, as coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro look for a combative response validating their first choice. On paper, the Burra read seriously good, loaded with an enviable blend of talented youth and experience, cherry ripe in the premiership window.

However, sides laden with depth can struggle with ownership, leaving it up to others to carry the slack. If that scenario infiltrates a group, they can be suspect to flat performances. The Burra will not want to be flat against a promising East Point that's for sure so expect Kiel and Columbro to get the response they're after and with it, a much needed scalp in the finals mix.

For Merrett's well led young Kangas, they're progressing in the right direction and will continue to ask questions of any opposition. This time, Sebastopol.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The travelling Cobras front their best winning opportunity of the season to date when they meet the one-win Lakers.

Coincidentally, the Cobras’ six games in 2023 have been against the top six teams on the ladder as they stand. The Lakers draw hasn't been full of luxuries either, with four of their six games coming against the top six.

But recent history will account for very little today as both sides eye a prized win and a chance to sing as one in victory come 5pm.

Finding a winner is tough. The Lakers, similar to the Cobras, have very inexperienced 'bottom halves' of their groups and what returns will come of those are likely to have a significant bearing on the result.

For if it were solely based on top-end talent, I would lean to the Cobras with Jake Owen, Jake McCreery, Luke Goetz, Eamonn Ogden and in-form consistent duo Tyson Shea and Jack Parente. I'm not sure the Lakers 'bat' as deep with their top end, but to use a cricketing vernacular their tail may wag a little more favourably the further down the list you go.

Both sides will look the winners at some stage in this contest and be hopeful recent lapses in games are kept to a minimum for the result here could well be decided by which team manufactures the greater number of chances in a game of momentum.

While the winners are set to rejoice and embrace this rare opportunity for victory, contemplation and despair awaits the losers.    

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

After the bye weekend the action is back this Saturday with a number of tantalising contests set to be on display across the competition.

Scoop looks ahead to the Round 9 schedule.

Expect the Cobras to make it back-to-back wins when they host the struggling Panthers.

The club is hopeful Cobra fans will turn out in large numbers to witness their second win of the season coinciding with their annual "Fight the Beast" MND Fundraiser where a selected group of Cobra faithful take the plunge down the slide into the icy waters below for the worthy cause.

Despite the Cobras one win season to date, new coach Jason Williams has been relatively pleased with the effort of his under manned group for the most part, giving every indication a big win against the Panthers is on the cards.

If the Cobras midfield can get on top of the visitors early, former Captain Jake Owen can look forward to a big day in front of the sticks.

Any returns for the home side from the AFL's Under 18 pathway competition will only make the Panthers task more difficult as they strive for a first loss of the season under 100 points.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Seventh placed East Point must win and win well when they host the Lakers.

While Jackson Merrett's boys are knocking on the door of the top six, they sit two games and another 34% behind the fifth placed side in Sunbury. East Point will be hopeful a win will be enough to replace sixth placed Redan who face a testing meet with Sebastopol.

Given the departure of Lakers’ coach Jack Fitzpatrick last week, history says a spike in effort more often follows from the playing group, eager to impress off a fresh start.

Merrett will be hoping to put this game to bed early and deny the one-win Lakers any momentum. For the longer the Lakers remain in the game, the less percentage gain the dangerous Kangas will accumulate.

While the likely match result will not surprise, it will be the nature of the projected Kangas win that will attract the greatest attention.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Despite the Devils’ impressive 7-0 run on the road, this match-up looms just as much a danger game for the ladder leaders as it does the hosts.

The Roosters win/loss record under Brendan McCartney at Mars Stadium sits at 14-3, giving every indication a 15th win would not surprise, with their chances set to be buoyed by the likely return of marquee signing Stewart Crameri from injury.

And, when you consider the potential influence of Werribee VFL listed Jack Riding and current BFNL leading goalkicker Jamie Quick (25 goals) forward of centre, the Roosters pose a real handful.

Furthermore, Dan Jordan's boys will have to be at their best around the coal face denying in-form midfield duo Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne first use out of stoppage. The visitors will be without heart and soul inside mid, Luther Baker (hamstring), and will count on an impact contribution from their promoted soldier.

The contest between two of the more astute operators off field with the magnets could also play a role in the outcome. McCartney and Jordan similarly prefer process over match ups - just who gets it done, a game on their terms for longer will surely earn the four points.

The Devils, led by Brett Bewley, Billy Myers, Matthew Brett and Shane Page, have done everything right thus far but something tells me, this game in particular, they're cherry ripe for the taking.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

League improvers Sunbury will be looking to consolidate their place in the top six with a win on the road over Ballarat.

Sure, they'll have to do it without their Captain Tyson Lever and midfielder Mitch Lewis but you're likely to find nearly all sides are shy of their best 22 with the season eight rounds in.

While experienced Swans forward Andrew Hooper (22 goals) poses the Lions greatest threat causing an upset on the goal front, the visitors seemingly hold the aces covering the former Western Bulldog.

Lions’ trio Jake Sutton (17 goals), Cody Brand (14 goals) and ageless go-to-man Leigh Brennan (10 goals) provide enough spread in the front half getting it done on the scoreboard even if Hooper has his way.

Lions’ newcomers Josiah Garisto, RIvva Karpany and Brand are beginning to gel with their team mates and will continue to build on that synergy into the second half of the season. 

An all important sixth win beckons for the Lions who will look to start well having trailed at the half in their previous three games (Redan, Bacchus Marsh, Darley).

Sunbury aside, Saturday provides a young Ballarat outfit with another opportunity to ply their trade under coach Chris Maple with an eye on staying in games for longer.

Sunbury will be stiff opposition and are set to start warm favorites to make it a hattrick of wins ahead of another road trip and tougher assignment against Sebastopol in Round 10.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Redan host Sebastopol in an all-important game as both sides aim to keep the wolves from the door. The Lions cling to sixth place on the BFNL table ahead of East Point, who are knocking, while the Burra aim to stay in touch with the top two.

If Sebastopol are fair dinkum and play to their strengths, they should be too good for Redan despite some genuine resistance in Jarrett Giampaolo's milestone 250th game (Congratulations!).

Again, the Lions will have to sweat on the VFL selections of Cooper Craig Peters (Footscray) and Will Madden (Essendon) and have their fingers crossed on whether crucial mid Lachie George is ready to make a return.

Veteran Liam Hoy will miss again. In a nutshell, the Lions fall shy on experience and polish in the absence of the aforementioned to sway an upset result. 

For the Burra, they’ll be seeking to broaden their avenues to goal. Hugo Papst (14 goals) has been a real find hitting the scoreboard in a support role for Toby Hutt (20 goals). Too often, Tony Lockyer (8 goals) is the Burras saving grace at either end. What a player. You wouldn't think eight rounds in only Papst and Hutt have kicked more goals. 

Despite having played all bottom four sides (4 wins between them), the Burra rank 5th for shots on goal and the same for points scored despite their #1 ranking for goal accuracy.

Clearly, they remain a work in progress, which is a dangerous thought for the remainder of the competition.    

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Please find below important information for supporters and attendees to be aware of for this Saturdays Carlton Draught Grand Final Day at MARS Stadium.

General Information

• Mars Stadium, Creswick Rd, Ballarat

• Saturday 17th September 2022

Match Schedule

Admission prices:

• Adults $15.00
• Family (2A / 2C) $35.00
• Pensioners $8.00
• 8 - 16 y/o $6.00
• Under 8y/o Free
• Football Record $5.00

EFTPOS is available at all gates

NO DOGS

Gates:

• Main entry - Gate 1 on Creswick Rd
• Beech Ave, Wendouree (Best entry point for netball and carparking)
• North Ballarat Sports Club from 10am

Catering

Full catering is available throughout the day with bar facilities from 12pm.

Live scores

Live scores of all football and netball games are available throughout the day at:

• Football - https://bit.ly/3Q4H8gg
• Netball - https://bit.ly/3KPteh6

Live Streaming

Can't get to the game? Catch the live stream of the Senior Football and A-Grade Netball. The Senior Men's Grand Final will be live on BallaratFNL Facebook and Cluch.tv. The A-Grade Netball will be live on Cluch.tv - links below.

• Melton v Sebastopol Senior Mens Football: https://bit.ly/2022-GF-Melton-vs-Sebastopol
• North Ballarat v Darley A-Grade Netball: https://bit.ly/2022-GF-A-Grade-NorthBallarat-vs-Darley

General Parking:

• Creswick Road. No parking within concrete barriers stationed outside Gate 1.
• Around Northern Oval 2. MUST enter via Beech Avenue – Cars will NOT be able to move between the North Ballarat Sports Club Car Park & Northern Oval 2.
• STRICTLY NO PARKING IN NORTH BALLARAT SPORTS CLUB.

Disabled Parking:

• Designated disabled parking can be accessed through North Ballarat Sports Club Entry. Patrons must be always a disabled parking permit holder and display permit.

They kicked off the decade in style by winning the 2010 premiership and continued to be a strong force through the early & middle parts of the decade.

After winning 5 games in 2019, can they rise up the ladder and kick start the new decade just like the last?

The 2022 Federation BFLW Grand Finals will take over Mars Stadium tomorrow. Find all the Grand Final details below, including match times, parking information, entry details and match vision.

Watch the 2022 Federation BFLW Senior Grand Final LIVE from 1:20pm here: https://bit.ly/3KEBMY2

Federation BFLW Grand Finals – Event Information

Ahead of the first Federation BFLW Grand Final Day at Mars Stadium, please see some important information for supporters and attendees to be aware of:

General Information

• MARS Stadium – Creswick Road, Wendouree VIC
• Saturday 3rd September 2022
• The Federation BFLW Grand Finals will be an Alcohol-Free event.

Match Schedule

Admission Fees

BFLW Grand Final 2022

• Adults - $12
• Family (2 adults & 2 children) - $26
• Age Pensioner - $7
• 8 - 16yo - $5
• U/8 – Free
• Footy Record – $2

Note: Eftpos is available and encouraged as the preferred payment method.

Gates & Parking

• Gates open at 7:00am
• Entry into MARS Stadium via Gate 1 (only) located on Creswick Road.

Parking is available at the following locations:

• General Parking:
  • Creswick Road. No parking within concrete barriers stationed outside Gate 1.
  • Around Northern Oval 2. Entry via Beech Avenue ONLY – Cars will NOT be able to move between the North Ballarat Sports Club Carp Park & Northern Oval 2.
  • STRICTLY NO PARKING IN NORTH BALLARAT SPORTS CLUB.

• Disabled Parking:
  • Designated disabled parking can be accessed through North Ballarat Sports Club Entry.
  • PARKING MUST ONLY OCCUR IN DESIGNATED AREA AND IS FOR DISABLED PARKING ONLY.

Grand Final Filming

• All matches will be filmed with the Senior Women’s match being live streamed - link via Facebook and this website on the day.
• Matches will be available for purchase following the Grand Finals and further information will be provided around this in the coming weeks.

Live Scores

• All matches will be live scored on the day for those that are unable to attend the match. Scores can be accessed through specific competitions on the BFNL public results pages here - https://bit.ly/3Q4H8gg