Keen rivals Melton and Darley meet on Saturday to earn their place in the 2024 McDonald’s BFNL Grand Final.

Forget all the hoo-ha surrounding the venue, the Devils have beaten the Bloods just once on Darley Park in seven years.

The Bloods are a better kicking team on the whole and should relish another opportunity to expose the Devils with their spread as they did in their 67-point demolition job back in Round 7.

Saturday's assignment on the big stage will be a tough ask for Dan Jordan's Devils as the Bloods look to peak after a couple of weeks against top three opposition.

If it's any consolation for Jordan, no team in the BFNL has won three in a row against the Devils over his three-year tenure.

Clutching at straws, I know, but the loyal and faithful will take what they can to build a case.

The Bloods will start deserving favourites given their one loss season and unbeaten run of 12 games, dating back 112 days to Round 6.

Troy Scoble has done a fantastic job in his first season in charge, with the Bloods highly fancied taking out the premiership title by a host of rival coaches - most of whom have been on the wrong end of a Melton thrashing.

However, despite the Bloods near faultless campaign, they do look gettable if the last fortnight is any indication.

Sure, conditions made it difficult to replicate world beaters, but the quarters won were split 4-4 with the Devils and the Kangas.

How Jordan goes about winning the disposal and clearance count will tell its own story in the aftermath, a proven recipe for success in the Bloods’ previous two losses against East Point (Round 6) and Darley (2023 Qualifying Final).

Much of the Devils’ fortunes will rest on the back of their highly talented midfield - their ball use out of clearance and their ability to deny the Bloods an inside 50 count shy of 50.

Comparatively speaking, the numbers in isolation suggest there's not a great deal between the two, giving every indication the result may come down to a battle above the shoulders - who is prepared to work the hardest, execute the basic fundamentals under finals pressure, and have the genuine BELIEF to win a game of significant importance against quality opposition.

Have to lean to the Bloods until proven otherwise in a tight one.

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
Melton: Adrian Monitto (#45), Riley Walker (#28) and Lachie Phillips (#9) are the genesis in transition for the Bloods. Monitto and Walker especially provide the spread, run, carry and distribution in the absence of Jordy Cotter (#4) and will stretch the ground, making it uncomfortable for the Devils.

Darley: Matthew Brett (#11) - elite for disposals (22.4) and intercept possessions (10.5)

Midfielders
Melton: Jaycob Hickey (#10) averages 27.2 disposals, ranks ninth in the comp for clearances and tenth for goal involvements while Jack Walker (#11) averages 25.9 disposals, ranks 13th for goal assists and 16th for centre clearances.

Darley: Brett Bewley (#2) ranks first in the comp for disposals (39.9) and clearances (10.5), while partner in crime Luther Baker (#7) is rated elite for disposals (25.2), ranks top 10 in the comp for centre clearances, contested possessions, and ground ball gets. 

Forwards
Melton: Braedan Kight (#7) is the league’s leading goalkicker with 76. Ryan Carter (#23) is fifth on the goalkicking table with 41.

Darley: Brady Wright (#15) ranks eight in the comp for contested marks (2.7) and 11th for Marks I50 (2.7) while Will Johnson (#22) as a medium sized, can play tall. Has kicked 24 goals from 12 games.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

A spot in the preliminary final beckons for the winner of this matchup between once 'giant killers' East Point and once 'under the radar' Ballarat.

Strangely, the Kangas have lost their last two while the Swans remain unbeaten since Round 10, removing any thoughts of presumed certainty finding a winner.

Joe Carmody's predominately young group have been up for a while and would surely be feeling the effects of a long season having played just 32 players for the season, essentially four less than the Swans, six less of the Devils and seven less of the Bloods.

The watch on Jackson Merrett who left the field in discomfort for a period last week will be a 'watch this space'.

His kicking has been a feature all year, and his inability to take kick-ins late last week in a tight game is a cause for concern.

The Swans come from behind win against Sunbury last week was the topic of conversation as the competition and even the Ballarat Football Netball Club came to terms of what had transpired.

It's been a whirlwind back half season for Chris Maple's Swans and it's about to get serious.

Asleep at the wheel last week for the opening half won't cut it this week against the strength of the Kangas.

What the Swans can take into the game is a spike in self-belief they can win from anywhere and against Sunday's opponent given their recent success over East Point in Round 18.

For the Swans to win, favourable numbers in areas similar to their round 18 meet must be replicated.

Namely disposals (+49), intercept possessions (+15), marks (+54), uncontested marks (+62), tackles (+12).

Winning the clearance and ground ball contest will be a tough ask, a KPI beyond the Swans in Round 18 despite the morale boosting win.

East Point haven't done much wrong, having played for little stakes against the Swans at their last meet and a forgive run loss in tough conditions against the Bloods in the qualifying final.

Somehow, it's now do-or-die and season on the line stuff.

Something tells me the Kangas have scope for more say in what's to play out in season 2024, they're truly in the mix and would start equal favourites in Ballarat if a preliminary final berth was achieved.

Got to get it done against the fearless Swans who arrive full of momentum and without fear.

The Kangas will be tested but should get the job done... shouldn't they?   

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
East Point: Jackson Merrett (#1) and Jacob Brown (#4) are the experience and cornerstone of the Kangas’ defence. Merrett ranks second in the comp for uncontested marks, seventh for avg marks and ninth for kicks and effective kicks. Merrett is the go-to distributor. Brown, not dissimilar to Merrett ranks fourth in the comp for effective kicks, 15th for kicks, fifth for marks and seventh for intercept marks. What is also worthy of note is Brown ranks 23rd in the comp for handball receives.  

Ballarat: Rhys Perry (#53) is a solid key defender who ranks elite for intercept marks, contested marks, spoils and 1%s while the experienced rebound and distribution of Lachie Dalgleish (#14) will be crucial for the Swans. Dalgleish averages 18 kicks from his 22 disposals @74% efficiency. Also ranks elite for marks, intercept marks and possessions, rebound 50s and spoils.

Midfielders
East Point: Matty Johnston (#7) ranks third in the comp for avg disposals (33.9) and contested possessions. Johnston also features in the top 10 for a host of other KPIs and ranks elite in all areas when the Kangas have possession of the ball. Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (#2) ranks among the top 25 in the comp for clearances, contested possessions, hard ball gets, ground ball, goal assists/involvements and handballs. 

Ballarat: Will Liston (#2) is a two-time Club B&F winner who ranks elite for disposals (23), contested possessions (10.8), clearances (7.1), Tackles (6.9 - comp rank tenth). Tristan Maple (#7) shares his time between half back/mid and knows how to find the footy averaging 30.2 disposals @74% (comp rank ninth). A predominant 'kick'(20.6/9.6) sees him an integral part of the Swans work between the arcs. Maple is also among the elite rankings for intercept possessions and intercept marks and rebound 50s. The Footscray VFL listed product ranks fourth in the comp for handball receives and fifth for effective kicks.

Forwards
East Point: Bryson McDougall (#12) is second in the league for goals with 70. McDougall has taken more marks I50 than other player in the BFNL and ranks second for total contested marks. Strahan Robinson (#30) has 31 goals, ranks elite for contested marks and marks I50 (9th).

Ballarat: Andrew Hooper (#4) is a dangerous small forward with 25 goals from 15 games. Harry Butler (#25) has played 8 games this year for the Swans including seven wins and a draw. The athletic key forward ranks elite for goal (4.9) and score involvements (7.6) as well as contested marks while averaging two goals per game of his own.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point