As we head into the abbreviated second round of matches, the bottom five sides get another opportunity on Saturday to measure progress on their first meet with a cheeky eye on manufacturing a major upset against five sides currently inside the top six.

The Cobras owe coach Jason Williams and their fans a buy-in this week when they host competition benchmark Melton at Maddingley Park.

When you're not expected to win, you can go about the task in two ways - accept the likelihood of defeat and play accordingly or 'dig in' and have a crack. At least, provide some resistance with a pride in the jumper performance.

The Cobras effort won't be judged on win or loss, for the Bloods have won 30 of their last 34 games, an amazing achievement.

For the same period the Cobras have won 13. So even with their backs to the wall, the Cobras can impact.

Win a quarter or win a half will be the 'real' expectations on the Cobras who are likely to play in front of a big crowd.

It's the perfect segue ahead of the clubs Round 13 local derby against Darley.

The Cobras top end talent would surely get a game with the powerhouse Bloods so it's not beyond the realms of possibility the hosts can push the ladder leaders for a half as they did against Sunbury in Round 7, when they led by four points at the half.

Melton on the other hand are cruising and will look to put this game to bed early. Their benchmark status has proven intimidating for struggling teams allowing Aaron Tymms’ boys more often a win on their own terms far too soon.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Given the stark contrast of fortunes of these two sides, it's difficult to mount a case for the winless Panthers making an impression on the fifth placed Lions at Clarke Oval.

The rejuvenated Lions returned to their best last week with an 80-point thumping of East Point and welcomed the return of top end talent duo Tyson Lever and Mitch Lewis.

And don't underestimate the confidence build of no less than six Lions who featured at Interleague level a fortnight ago - all made significant contributions in the win over the Hampden League.

That theory was confirmed immediately after strong performances against the Kangas from Harry Minton-Connell, Jake Sutton (five goals) and Cody Brand.

Unfortunately for the Panthers there'll be nowhere to hide on the wide expanses of the Clarke Oval.

Expect the Lions leg speed advantage on the spread to equate to scores the longer this game goes.

Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse for the Panthers on the injury front, the loss of inspirational leader Cody Chapman (hamstring) only compounds the situation and heightens the degrees of difficulty avoiding a loss in excess of three figures.

Who gets the job for the Panthers on dangerous Lions forward Jake Sutton makes for interesting discussion in the aftermath.

Keeping the Essendon VFL listed talent to eight goals will be a fair effort given a genuine lack of depth at the Panthers and the likelihood of a landslide in forward 50 entries.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Swans coach Chris Maple and his young group have an opportunity to correct on its disappointing Round 6 loss when they meet North Ballarat at Mars Stadium this Saturday.

While most have the Swans winning chances slim at best, Maple can take some confidence into the game knowing his boys have won three of their last four games, including a top six scalp with a win over Sunbury.

The trip to Mars Stadium looms a timely footy audit for the Swans, a real chance to measure improvement against one of the best 'home' performing sides of the last three seasons.

Brendan McCartney's 14-3 record at 'Mars' since taking the reins at North Ballarat in 2021 is impressive and is likely to remain in good stead.

It makes you wonder if McCartney and North Ballarat really needed the bye last week, for they were flying.

No doubting they would have been well educated over the break for an assault on the back half of the season, so look for the Roosters to start well as they so often do.

For the Swans, believe, hang in and assess at the break. Where to start the match-up conversation for Maple's hierarchy is an unknown given the Roosters VFL player affiliations. Maybe adopt McCartney's theory that "matchups are a thing of the past".

Spend more time trying to win the game than saving is easier said than done. Tipping North Ballarat to be very hard to beat for the remainder of the season.  

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

East Point will look to bounce back when they head to City Oval for a meeting with legitimate finals contender Redan.

It was said some weeks ago, seven teams don’t go into six finals places, so one of these teams will have to miss out.

But when you look into the draw, the Kangas have so much more at stake.

After this weekend, the Lions have, on paper, the pick of the draws with North Ballarat, Lake Wendouree, Ballarat, Melton South and Sebastopol to come, essentially just two meetings with top six sides.

The Kangas on the other hand have Melton, Ballarat, Sebastopol, Lakers and North Ballarat, three of your current top six meets.

Getting it done on Saturday will be an ideal launching pad for Jackson Merrett's crew who sit a game and percentage outside the six.

The potential fall-out with finals chances on the line will be dealt a severe blow in the event of loss. But they're more than blessed with the talent to overcome the Lions despite their 13-point loss on Eastern Oval back in Round 6.

Merrett will have had little time for learnings on last week’s defeat against Sunbury given the nature of the loss and may have afforded his boys a 'mulligan' for indifferent performances from a young group are seldomly avoided.

The top end talent at the Kangas led by the Johnston brothers will need to be at their best to topple the mounting depth of the Lions.

Containing in-form Redan duo Isaac Grant and Marty Boyer who combined for 34 shots on goal last week would be a good place to start. 

Scoop’s tip: Redan

While the result for many looms inevitable, there's still plenty to gain for warm favorites Sebastopol when they face the one-win Lakers at Marty Busch Reserve.

Sure, the Burra have only lost three games for the season but recently they give every indication they're shy of their best.

Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's men have won just one quarter in each of their games against fellow top six opposition Darley (loss), Redan (win), North Ballarat (loss) and Melton (loss).

Exceptions lie only in their three-quarter win over Sunbury and their 'hang on' win against Redan. But you get the drift, wanting more from the highly talented Burra.

And they're more than capable. In fact, a drought breaking premiership would not surprise and getting back to resembling the best version of themselves could be kick started this weekend.

Conditions didn't help last week against the Devils in fairness, but what else can you expect from weather in July.

Expect a steely focus from the visitors today and added buy-in from the players sounding a clear warning to the Lakers - be prepared! 

Staying in the game for the home side will be easier said than done but an improvement on their 15 point tally in Round 6 is a must, a mini win if you will given the final margin is likely to favour the visitors, comfortably.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The action is back after the interleague weekend and sides will have their sights firmly locked on to the backend of the 2024 season.

Plenty will need to go right for Sunbury avoiding a fourth loss in five games when they face Melton for a second time in 21 days.

Who could forget the nailbiting conclusion of their Round 10 meet at the Clarke Oval when Bloods' wingman Kyle Borg put the flag favorites in front just moments ahead of the final siren?

It's hard to push the argument that any have in fact, paving the way for a highly anticipated sequel.

It's often thought the sequel rarely usurps the original but the BFNL Match of the Round crew will be there to bring you all the action LIVE from 2pm Saturday.

While Bloods' defender Riley Walker is expected to return, intercept king Jordy Cotter (foot/ankle) will continue his rehab with an aim to return ahead of finals.

On the flipside, Sunbury have had a relatively good run with injury up until their Round 8 loss to East Point and have had to shuffle the magnets since which has been unsettling, equating to three losses from their last four games.

The Lions most recent 22-point loss to the Swans was no fluke when you look at the numbers in isolation.

Sunbury were beaten in near all KPI's and denied their usual uncontested brand - 51 uncontested marks (down 29 on their season average), marks inside 50 (down 6 ), disposals (down 46), clearances (-16),centre clearance (-8), inside 50s (-25), tackles (-25).

Well done Chris Maple pulling a rabbit out of a hat with all respect, given it was the first win for any side outside of the top five against top five opposition.

The win / loss record for bottom six teams v top five teams is now W1 L29.

A correction from the Lions camp on the numbers front will NOT necessarily guarantee Matt White's pride a winning result against a steely Melton combination that will ask questions of the entire group with and without the ball.

Not dissimilar to Round 10, Sunbury will have their opportunities but can they match the ladder leaders with bang for buck hitting the scoreboard?

Tipping you'll see a host of defenders featuring in the best for the winners, denying potential match winning forwards a day out on their own terms.

Scoop's tip
Melton

The one-win Lakers should hold little or no fears facing the Cobras at Maddingley Park if the last six weeks represents an adequate sample size.

Both sides had their respective first round bye and have won six of their last 20 quarters, four of those coming against bottom side Melton South.

The Lakers, like the Cobras, have just the one win for the period but have a slight percentage edge (72% v 64% last six weeks) adding some weight to the 'winning chance' conversation, albeit on the road.

The Cobras learnt quickly of the importance of big man Luke Goetz (ankle) in his recent absence.

While a return is predicted by some this week, it's far from set in concrete.

Veteran mid Tyson Shea will miss again asking more questions of a young Cobras midfield still finding their way.

I like the thought of dual Cobra BFNL Interleague representatives Isaac Nixon and Rhy Penny up onto a wing in a change up with ferocious leader and coach Dennis Armfield to spend some time behind the ball getting a birds-eye view how his chargers go about it.

Nixon and Penny are fresh off 19 disposal, confidence building performances against the Hampden League and would provide the necessary aerial presence and run with and without the ball to impact this game - shoring up the side gates if you will with a 'Beware of’ sign.  

Needless to add a lot of the Cobras fortunes will rest on the returns of ever consistent forward Jake Owen (23 goals, comp rank #8, in best 6/10 games). Expect Brayden Helyar to get the job.

The Lakers have some aerial presence of their own and will be tough to hold out if conditions suit.

Jaydo Wright, Felix Fogarty, Tom Zampatti, Ben Hayes and leading goalkicker Bailey Thompson (22 goals, comp rank #10) can all take a grab and provide an avenue to score.

Joel O'Connell, Angus Gove, rebound defender Kyle Anderson and exciting 16-year-old Lincoln Koliba will ensure the Cobras are made to earn a fourth win of the season. 

In a 50/50 game, geography had the final say given the Lakers’ struggles away from home.

The Lakers have lost their last 11 games on the road by an average of 74 points including a 92-point defeat here last year.

Scoop’s tip
Bacchus Marsh

If Darley has any legitimate aspirations for a top three finish, a win over North Ballarat is a must.

The Devils will have every opportunity getting the job done over a touring party minus a handful of prime movers including x-factor forward Jamie Quick (ankle) and midfield duo Riley Polkinghorne (ankle) and Brock Leonard (concussion) who have proven a mainstay in pressure and accumulation numbers with and without the ball.

Former Cobra Joel Freeman is expected to debut in Roosters colors having just beat the clearance deadline and will provide a dual pronged aerial target alongside Stewart Crameri (1 game, 2 goals) and opportune forward Ned Nash (20 goals, comp rank #11).

Just how the Roosters find a way denying in form Devils midfield trio Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will be an afternoon long problem for Brendan McCartney and his support staff.

Bewley and Baker especially feature among the top five ball winners in the comp and should thrive in the absence of Polkinghorne and Leonard.

McCartney has little alternative but to focus on the 'what haves' and will need his boys to deliver on their trademark pressure if they're to overcome the Devils who would be well aware of the importance banking the win given remaining 'double up' matches against top three giants East Point, Sunbury and Melton are still to come.

While it will be a 'one week at a time' mission for Dan Jordan and his crew finding their best, there's no denying the Devils top three chances hang in the balance for the here and now.

For North Ballarat, given their 'outs', a win would surely be their most satisfying and deserving of the season, whilst leaving the door ajar on a potential top three finish of their own.

Key Roosters Tom Bromley-Lynch, Simon McCartin and Cam McCallum are expected to return while Devils trio Wil Johnson, Adam Azzopardi and Mitch Ward continue their rehab on the sidelines for at least another week.  

Scoop’s tip
Darley

The Kangas would have fond memories of their last meet against the Burra, a Round 3 encounter that essentially kickstarted their impressive nine game winning streak.

A six-goals-to-one second half under the lights at Eastern Oval was enough to instill the belief and momentum in Joe Carmody's group that sees them now just percentage shy of ladder leaders Melton.

So why the dominance?

The Kangas’ numbers reel ahead of the 'double ups' is compelling, enough to see them with their best chance of winning a flag since their back-to-back achievement of 2018 and 2019.

Carmody's marching band rank #1 for scoring efficiency, centre clearances, groundball gets, marks inside 50 and behinds - rank #2 for kicks, contested possessions, overall clearances, spoils, goals - rank #3 for handballs, contested marks, marks, ball-up clearances, forward 50 tackles, disposal efficiency (kicks and handballs) and rank #4 for disposals.

Pretty impressive, not to mention five players in the top 27 goalkickers including two of the top nine - Bryson McDougall (36 goals, rank #3) and Strahan Robinson (23 goals, rank #9).

So where do you start when you're Burra coach Tony Lockyer trying to tame the flying Kangaroos when one of the biggest struggles of your own team has been scoring?

Well Lockyer is an experienced leader who will narrow the focus of importance. Given where the two teams are at in the context of their respective seasons, Lockyer will be looking for a simple buy-in on the process, hopeful a response from his group will equate to having in them in with a prize fighters chance at three quarter time.

Falling shy of the necessary buy-in would see the Kangas waltz on their merry way to a comfortable tenth win and remain on track for an all-important double chance amid a very even season at the top.

Scoop’s tip
East Point

A cracking game looms at City Oval with the result almost certain to play a role shaping the final six even this far out.

While the thought of finals will be underplayed by these two respective coaches, the lure of the number six spot in the September action will not be denied by fans.

Sure, the two opponents are in the development phase given their age profile but that hasn't stopped the Swans causing the upset of the season to date as recent as Round 11 over third placed Sunbury.

But, as has been the case for a large portion of the season, the Swans’ ability to back up their solid efforts from quarter to quarter let alone game to game has been an ongoing challenge for coach Chris Maple.

For Swans fans, let's hope the win over the Sunbury Lions proves a line in the sand moment and the beginning of something resembling closer to the cliche ambition of consistency.

Hosts Redan today are 0-6 against top six opposition with all four of their season wins coming against the current bottom four. The importance of a win today, bucking the trend would be an understatement and not beyond reach of the Lions. 

The similarities between the two sides around scoring set the tone for another nailbiter despite the Swans having won an extra game and a 10 percent advantage on the BFNL table.

Redan have had two shots more on goal for the season, averaging 4.4 points more per game confirming the like-for-like match up.

The Swans (17.5/40) have won half a quarter more than the Lions while conceding an average of 15.6 points less per game.

All relevant numbers given each team in the BFNL has played each other once.

Looking forward to the battle of the midfield brigades.

If Lions’ pairing Khy Jess and Lachie George can turn their high number territory gains into score involvements, the hosts will prove a handful.

Who will Maple send to GFL listed player Lachie Bond? Angus Bade looks a likely match-up allowing attacking defender Lachie Dalgleish to play a role in the genesis of transition.

Trying conditions are expected, a challenging day for all – both on field and for the decision makers off it.

Flip of the coin game.  

Scoop’s tip
Redan

The action returns on Saturday after the Interleague bye, and Scoop is back to preview an all-important Round 12 with the ladder well and truly in the balance.

Bacchus Marsh has two very good reasons to earn the premiership points when they host North Ballarat at Maddingley Park.

Favourite son Tyson Shea will play his 300th game over a career spanning 20 years at the level in the red, yellow and black as the club prepares for their most important game in the context of their season.

Cobras’ coach Dennis Armfield will be fully aware of the stakes and has every reason to be blooming with confidence on the back of four of his young guns playing a significant role in the BFNL’s win over the Hampden League last week.

Silky mover Josh Huxtable (Under 23 Men’s Interleague Best on Ground), Rye Penny, Isaac Nixon and Jack Kovacevic all hit the scoreboard and were instrumental in many other chains that led to scores. 

Add those four to the more experienced hand of Jake Owen, Luke Goetz, Jake McCreery, Jamie Fulton and Shea, the Cobras line-up reads every bit formidable and capable of earning a finals berth.

Confidence and belief are a contagious variable - with it there's no ceiling, without it you're vulnerable, cherry ripe for the picking.

Starting well is a must for these two sides stimulating those variables.

The Cobras are in form, beat the Roosters at their previous meet in round five and should hold no fears, let alone motivation getting up for the milestone occasion.

Ironically Shea played his 200th against North Ballarat at Maddingley Park in 2018 but it was the Roosters who won comfortably.

So, what say of the 2025 version of North Ballarat under new season coach Clint Proctor.

Enigmatic is a word that springs to mind.

Clearly their best is very good, having finished within three points of Melton.

The Roosters’ four season wins have come by no less than 26 points, but losses of 48 points (Sunbury) and 78 points (East Point) suggest the gap between their best and worse is significant.

Unfortunately for Proctor, he will have to get the job done without Jamie Quick (jaw) and Brock Leonard (concussion) whose seasons are done while Denver Grainger Barrass services will be required at Carlton VFL this week on the back of his recent good form

Both sides have spent time outside the top six and have managed to work their way back into the finals conversation currently 5th (Bacchus Marsh) and 6th (North Ballarat).

Consolidation awaits the winner, and much needed breathing space from a swarming pack all wanting to feature at the business end.      

Scoop’s tip

Bacchus Marsh

Melton will look to narrow the focus enroute to finals aiming to amp up their connection and efficiency when they host Redan at MacPherson Park.

Unfortunately, the Bloods will have to do it without key mid Jaycob Hickey (lower leg) who sustained a potential season ending injury at training ahead of the Interleague weekend.

While it's disappointment for Troy Scoble and his clan, spare a thought for Redan coach Gary Learmonth who has had no luck at the selection table since the season began.

While there is less external expectation on Redan's chances featuring beyond the home and away series, they should provide an ideal hit-out for the reigning premiers who are travelling a little shy on last year’s lofty returns.

For example, we're not even 12 rounds in and the Bloods have already lost 18.5 quarters (58%-win rate per quarter), a far cry from their 53/64 (83%) success rate in 2024.

Take the numbers with a grain of salt if you like, but there's no denying the Bloods are gettable.

On the flipside, Learmonth is sick of the honourable loss conversation and has been on the front foot voicing his disappointment having not taken a top four scalp yet despite their lowly ladder position.

The Lions led the Bloods at half time of their first meeting this year in Round 5 and will look to replicate that for longer as they welcome back Lachie George, Harry Lawson, and Rudie Forde.

Learmonth’s young group are 0-5 in games against the top four at the moment, averaging a reasonable 32-point loss per game - hardly a hiding.        

Scoop’s tip

Melton

Stakes loom large for the winner of Saturday's Match of the Round in the form of third place on the BFNL table.

Host East Point currently sits third (36pts, 132%) and Sunbury fourth (32pts, 151%)

Given what we know of the top six pathways come the business end, one could be forgiven preferring to finish third instead of one or two on degrees of difficulty alone.

Needless to add, finishing fourth makes it extremely tough for ultimate success.

The Lions had their way with the Kangas back in Round 5 on the back of an eight-goal final quarter blitz that saw Jake Sutton boot five goals over a 30-minute period!

It was a remarkable conclusion to the game given the Kangas led narrowly at three-quarter time.  

Gun midfielders Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (East Point) and Josh Guthrie (Sunbury) will miss the top four clash but essentially cancel one another out given they're similar impact players, for one reason or another.

Kangas’ duo Liam Howard (hamstring) and Jack Jeffrey (glute) were late outs for the BFNL Interleague game last week and will be a watch on the track proving their fitness.

Expect Coburg VFL listed forward Daniel Johnston to be available for the Lions despite a three-goal return at the penultimate level last week.

Coburg have the bye leaving the Kangas with a double headache in their back half, not mentioning the goalkicking ability of Jake Egan who dominated their Round 5 meet.

Johnson, Sutton and Egan make up 53% of all Sunbury goals in 2025.

Kangas coach Joe Carmody will need to spend some time orchestrating a response to the last quarter fade out of Round 5.

Does Jordy Johnston (19 goals, in best 10/11) play forward or will the Kangas opt with Jacob Brown (21 goals) to provide an alternative threat alongside Bryson McDougall (26 goals).

While it's a nice problem to have, only hindsight will tell us whether they got it right!

Scoop’s tip

East Point

Despite a 10-game winning streak for the travelling Devils, coach Dan Jordan won't be taking any result for granted when they take on the Swans at Alfredton Oval.

'Complacency' and Jordan simply don't get along as the 2023 premiership coach looks to take his group to another level as we approach the final third of the home and away season.

If the Swans are going to threaten, they will need to recapture their run and carry brand that has deserted them in recent weeks having lost four of their last five games by an average of 40 points.

It's a big ask for Swans’ coach Ash Baker to implement a plan at the coalface denying inform Devils trio Brett Bewley, Nick Hind and Luther Baker.

One of the biggest improvements to the Devils arsenal has been the ability of their midfield hitting the scoreboard.

The trio and pinch hitter Andrew Azzopardi make up 32% of all Darley goals in the opening 11 rounds.

The Swans task will be made more difficult in the absence of marquee recruit Biggie Nyuon (syndesmosis) who could of provided the aerial means forward to test the competitions number one ranked defence.

Hitting up Jack O'Brien (10 goals) and Andrew Hooper (18) has been a clear focus of the Swans in Nyuon's absence, but the quality of supply has denied them.

Scores of 50, 38 and 41 in reasonable conditions validates the Swans struggles of late.

The Devils better start getting used to playing footy in Ballarat with three of their remaining seven games played up the highway, let alone finals.

Time for the Devils to get back to work and the Swans to earn back the respect that took them to within a whisker of landing a berth in last year’s preliminary final.

Scoop’s tip

Darley

Sebastopol must win, and win well, to keep their finals hopes alive when they head to CE Brown Reserve for a meeting with the winless Lakers.

The Burra will look to cash-in, despite the predicted cold conditions, with the intent to narrow the gap between their points for and against variable.

Currently their percentage sits at 86%, 14% shy of North Ballarat (6th) and 22% adrift of Bacchus Marsh (5th).

Given the Roosters and the Cobras go head-to-head this Saturday, the Burra could be just two points away from North Ballarat or a game behind the Cobras by the end of the round.

But let's not forget a three-win team in the name of Sebastopol should not be taking anything for granted.

Sure, the Lakers haven't won a game, but they have won 7/44 quarters this season so the importance of the Burra putting this game to bed early is paramount.

Not dissimilar to North Ballarat, the Burra has had their fair share of peaks and troughs on the result front but cannot afford to faulter.

In fact, failing to take care of the Lakers will mean season over for Tony Lockyer's men as a number of crucial unofficial elimination finals present in the back half of the season.

While the fortunes of Sebastopol to date have been subject to injury and availability, the scenario is not dissimilar to that of the Lakers.

Unfortunately, it has denied the Burra a game or two and impacted the 'better for longer' ambition of Rohan Brown's Lakers.

Both sides have a quality spread of impact players, but you can't deny the depth of the Burra group.

The calibre of O'Keefe, Cassidy, Bambury, Lockyer, Papst, Forbes, Littlehales, Toby and Ben Hutt, Hommelhoff, Wilkinson and Widgery are an adequate dozen that just roll off the keyboard suggesting their best is more than capable matching it with the best.

The Lakers won't be handing the premiership points over without a fight.

Tom Zampatti, Joel O'Connell, Angus Gove, Jaydo Wright, Lincoln Koliba, Kyle Anderson and Bailey Ryan, not to mention a proud coach, will lead a group that will make sure of it.  

Scoop’s tip

Sebastopol

A number of heavyweight battles headline Round 13 with plenty of match ups set to determine the look of the ladder as we head into the pointy end of the season.

Despite the anomaly of the Kangas’ Round 1 failings, Joe Carmody's group will start warm favorites turning the tables on the Devils at Eastern Oval.

Since their 96-point wakeup call at Darley Park, the Kangas have taken all before them marching their way through a 10-game winning streak, beating every side bar Dan Jordan's touring party in the process.

For some Kangas, the loss to Darley will be a distant memory but for some it will feel like yesterday given the four-quarter obliteration.

But what a formidable side East Point have become under new season coach Joe Carmody - some rival clubs and players have gone on the record to say they're the best they've seen so far in 2024.

A win for Darley on the road given the form of the Kangas would be arguably Dan Jordan's biggest win outside of finals and the clubs’ seven-year, drought breaking win over Melton in Round 8 last year.

If the 'just going' Devils are still in the game at half time, the numbers suggest their challenges have only just begun.

Post Round 1, East Point's second half returns have been ridiculous.

For third quarters the Kangas are W9-L1 (348-96) averaging near 35 points (for) while conceding less than 10 (9.6) for the period.

Final quarters are just as impressive for the Kangas icing the cake having W9-D1-L0 (298-145), averaging near 30 points (for) and a miserly 14.5 against. The one-sided nature of the Kangas’ second halves equates to W10 L0 (646 pts FOR, 241 pts AGST) - essentially a seven goal advantage.

Darley's task will be made even tougher in the likely absence of star playmaker Billy Myers (calf) who was unsighted after half time in the club’s 12-point win over North Ballarat.

Myers joins Wil Johnson, Adam Azzopardi, Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley on the injury list, an area East Point have been blessed with since the season opener.... until now.

There are concerns for Joe Dodd (dislocated knee), Deng Lual (leg), Geordie Slater (leg) and Strahan Robinson (minor calf) getting up for the BFNL's Match of the Round, leaving the door slightly ajar for the visitors.

I'm not sure the Devils can get it done with their outs, limited avenues to goal and season long struggles for connection unlike their 2023 premiership year, but you can guarantee a Dan Jordan mentored and Brett Bewley (41.8 avg disposals - comp rank #1) led crew will have other ideas.

The Kangas’ top end are all in career best form - Matty Johnston (36 disp avg - comp rank #2), Jordy Johnston (18 goals, 7.4 marks, 6 inside 50s, 10 score involvements), Bryson McDougall (43 goals - comp rank #2), Joel Van Meel (comp rank #1 for hits to advantage 10.8), Jackson Merrett and Jacob Brown (average 17 marks between them in the back half - comp rank #1 and #4 for uncontested marks) and Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (25 disp - 7 clearances).

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

A young Roosters outfit will endeavour to end the Bloods’ six game winning streak at Mars Stadium this Saturday as Melton head up the highway.

Brendan McCartney would be the first to concede it’s a mission easier said than done despite the Roosters’ impressive record at home.

Only East Point (twice), Melton and Ballarat have been successful at the venue dating back to the start of 2022.

Unfortunately for McCartney's group, injuries and unavailability of key personnel will make it tough tp deny the Bloods a seventh win on the trot.

It won’t be without some minor concerns for the Bloods with the absence of Jordy Cotter, Jono O'Brien and Ryan Davis.

Not dissimilar to last week, expect North Ballarat to will this game into an arm wrestle for as long as possible and minimise the damage the Bloods can inflict given an (uncontested) game on their own terms.

The Bloods are so well set up behind the ball, structurally sound and thriving in a period 'all on the same page'.

Forward, they're dynamite at the moment, in rare air, posing a five-pronged attack who rarely miss their opportunities.

The Kights, the Carters and (push forward) winger Kyle Borg are finding isolation aerially and at ground level to swoop and score far too easily.

Can McCartney and his band of inexperienced soldiers find a way to stifle a recurrence? I anticipate they will for periods but for the long haul, albeit four quarters will be a tough ask.

The effort the Bloods brought to the table in the last quarter of last week’s 77-point win over Sunbury was that of a team on a mission with an unquestionable work ethic.

There was simply no let up as the Bloods kicked the last four goals of the game to put the icing on the cake.

Their premiership credentials this far out are compelling.

McCartney has been on the record making us acutely aware over recent seasons, around this time, there's still 'a long way to go'.

In fact, Melton had lost just the one game at this stage last year adding a sense of deja vu to the conversation.  

The Bloods won't find it easy to shrug the resistance of the hosts, East Point and Darley more recently can attest to that.

Somehow, undermanned North Ballarat hit the front in the last quarter against the Kangas and were within a goal late of the Devils before falling 'respectfully' short.

Consider the evidence a reminder for Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble who will take no prisoners regardless of opposition or where they're situated on the table - it's all part of rendering the mission complete.  

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Sunbury host Redan in a must win game for both clubs given their recent records.

These two sides have lost four of their last five games. Sunbury will be desperate to keep their top three credentials alive while Redan's chances of pinching a spot in the finals action hang by a thread.

In a battle between the Lions in the 'East' and the Lions in the 'West', just who is the hungrier of the two prides and more methodical in the stalking of their prey will surely earn the all-important four premiership points.

With Darley and North Ballarat starting underdogs this round against East Point and Melton respectively it's the ideal opportunity for Sunbury to bounce back.

A win could see the Lions of the 'East' (Sunbury) return into third place come 5pm Saturday, and they should get it done especially on their own territory.

But you can't dismiss the visitors and their agenda with a top six finish still on the cards - just!

Gary Learmonth's group need a win against a team above them if they're to feature.

At the moment seventh placed Redan are W0 L7 against the top six teams. Winning at the Clarke Oval has been a tough assignment for any BFNL touring party regardless of ladder position.

Only Melton (four points) have been successful.

Questions will be asked of Redan as Sunbury welcome back overlap runner and link man Mitch Lewis onto a wing.

Given the size of the Clarke Oval you can't downplay the importance of the wingmen, they're essentially an extension of the midfield.

Expect the former Port Melbourne utility to improve the general makeup of the Sunbury lineup who were without Jack Hannett, Nathan Wood and Jake Egan in last week’s 77-point loss to Melton.

Jordan Tentonello should be fine to go after a 'corky' left him lame on the sidelines for last week’s second half.

Redan's struggles to score are a massive concern given the talent that is in their front half.

The Geelong VFL listed Lachie Bond will appreciate the room at Clarke Oval and be keen for a breakout game alongside more than capable trio Grant Bell, Marty Boyer and Lachie McLean.

Mobile ruckman Rudie Forde is showing great promise and should welcome the big ground giving Khy Jess and Lachie Bond a chance to better a Sunbury midfield that has had its colors lowered in recent weeks against Melton (twice), Ballarat and East Point.

However, I expect in-form Sunbury forwards Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean will prove an afternoon long handful for the Redan defence and arguably the difference in the game come 5pm Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Bacchus Marsh will look to bounce back to the winner’s list when they travel to Melton South this weekend.

After showing periods of promise equating to three wins from their opening six games, the Cobras remain winless post their bye having lost their last five games.

The recent struggles for the Cobras hitting the scoreboard will give the Panthers a live chance recording their first 'quarter win' of the season.

Ironically, it was against the Cobras last year the Panthers recorded their only 'quarter' win of the season.

Since the Cobras’ Round 7 bye, goal returns of nine, six, eight, three and seven have provided them with little chance acquiring an elusive fourth win.

But the perfect opportunity to buck the trend presents in the form of the winless Panthers who average 150 points against per game.

Expect experienced campaigner and tireless key Jake Owen (25 goals - comp rank #7) to feature despite a deliberate match-up from former coach Travis Hodgson who has huge respect for the former Cobras’ captain.  

The Panthers will be refreshed after a week off and buoyed by the recent contributions of Cody Chapman, Mitch Fino and Broden Collins at interleague level that should instill the group with some confidence to take it up to the struggling Cobras for periods.

While Hodgson looks for mini wins from his embattled group, expectations will be much greater out of the Cobras camp led by playing coach Dennis Armfield.

This Round 13 match-up will provide Armfield with the perfect stage to resemble more of the style of footy he wants his group to play.

Failure here to replicate on a simple plan of demands from the former Carlton AFL utility would compound the recent frustrations for a group not shy on talent or will to play for the jumper.

It's all about regaining continuity and connection for the Cobras this weekend.

A spike in enjoyment levels surely follows with compliance, as process takes care of the result, culminating with an overdue rendition of the victory song in smile and unison.

SCOOP’S TIP
Bacchus Marsh

Forget their Round 1 meeting, Lake Wendouree are in with a real live chance upsetting Sebastopol at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lakers consolidated their recent signs of improvement with a 29-point win over Bacchus Marsh ending an 11-game run of outs on the road.

'Run of outs' is probably an understatement given their average 'away' loss for the period was 74 points.

Welcome back!

Excited Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will embrace the challenge against a Burras outfit playing above their three-win season return.

After a horror run with injury, Tony Lockyer’s group are beginning to resemble more of the Burra we're familiar with having taken it up to third placed Darley and more recently second placed East Point.

On both occasions, despite eventual loss, the improving Burra have been within striking distance at the final change.

Not to be outdone, the Lakers were within 25 points of the Devils at three quarter time before the reigning premiers corrected their errant ways in front of goal.

Regardless of the final margin the Lakers did crack in which has been a common theme from rival coaches in the aftermath.

The consensus on the Burra has been equally as encouraging, implying Lockyer's group will trouble a few more fancied runners on the way home.

If that is to be the case, you would think a win over a spirited Lakers is more likely than not. But certainly not the 'given' that was expected in Round 1.

Both sides are on the up, disparity far less than we've seen recent years.

The Lakers should hold no fears for the Burra but must learn good habits around repeat efforts from week to week rather than settling for a monthly celebration in song.

It's time to embrace the next level with work rate, buy-in and consistency. The reward is palpable, we saw what it meant for the group last week.

This match will tell us more about the Lakers and their progress. Can they reproduce and raise the bar?

I guarantee Lockyer and Sebastopol will come ready to test the waters...   

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

Round 13 Football Preview with 'Scoop'

With an even third of the home and away season remaining, Round 13 dishes up some all important clashes set to determine the run home to finals.

This next chapter in this time-honoured local derby will tell us more about Bacchus Marsh in the context of their season, ahead of a timely footy audit against the ladder leaders.

The Cobras are travelling well at the moment having won their last three games, averaging a fraction over 30 scoring shots per game.

Given they're up against the competition’s number one ranked attack and defence, making the most of opportunities going forward will be crucial to their winning chances.

Despite the Devils’ 11 game unbeaten run since the season opener, Cobras’ coach Dennis Armfield and his leaders should have the genuine belief this assignment is not beyond them.

At their last three meets at Darley Park the difference has been no more than 12 points giving every indication the ground should hold no fears for the visitors executing a plan.

In fact, it should be easier for Armfield to implement given the broader dimensions of Darley Park than their narrow home over the bridge at Maddingley.

Forward of the ball the Cobras are humming with leading goal scorer Jake Owen (54 goals) and improving support cast Isaac Nixon (11), Josh Huxtable (19) and Jake McCreery (16) adding to the offensive weaponry.

The four-pronged attack make up 66% (100/152) of all Cobra goals this year.

With up to seven (favourable) changes expected for the Cobras from their previous meet in Round 3 and the Devils a little light on in retrospect, the timing for Armfield is ideal.

Furthermore, Cobras big man Luke Goetz remains the competition's number one ranked ruckman for hitouts and those to advantage.

Given the Cobras are 0-4 against top four opposition this season, at an average losing margin of 29 points, bucking the trend will require a significant peak in performance.

The Devils are blessed with an in-form, five-star midfield, a-grade defenders, x-factor leading forwards and progressive role players, validating their current standing at the top of the BFNL ladder.

A win for the Devils will surpass their previous best of 11 games straight under Dan Jordan.

The 2023 premiership coach is under no illusions every win will be made to earn having seen firsthand against the Cobras despite his 6-1 head-to-head advantage.

Scoop’s tip

Darley

The reigning premiers sit in third place on the BFNL ladder with an enviable 9-3 record ahead of their Round 13 meeting with Sebastopol.

Under Troy Scoble, the Bloods have won 27/31 games and remain in the box seat for a crack at back-to-back flags despite losing their last two games.

The reality is, it's just hard going again after ultimate success.

It's never the same, from the playing list, the health of the playing list, staying in the present and improving the output from week to week.

Coaches from all leagues and levels have gone on the record acknowledging repeat flags are a tough ask.

Scoble would agree his group have endured some of those struggles post their 2024 success.

On Saturday the reigning premiers have the opportunity to 'get back on the bike' against a side they have had the wood over for some five years or more.

The visiting party, led by Tony Lockyer will consider themselves a real live chance but will have to get it done on the road against Melton who strangely haven't won a game since June 21st. 

The Bloods should have an invigorated thirst for that winning feeling, so don't expect the Burra to receive any favours.

While the Bloods’ list has been knocked around for the most part with injury and unavailability, Scoble and his group won't be looking for that excuse to justify their means moving forward.

While the Bloods haven't done much wrong, losing three games by less than a goal, there's enough evidence, scoreboard aside, they're not travelling as well as their all-conquering 19-1 season of last year.

The Burra will be quick to pounce assuming the hunters tag, knowing they have a season of their own to keep alive.

The return of Luke Kiel and Jed Hill makes the assignment (on paper) a little more achievable - let's hope they don't get the second up blues back from injury.

The form of Hugo Papst (25 goals) provides the x-factor talent forward for Lockyer's group not seen since James Keeble's 35 goal season of 2022 - star quality.

The Bloods couldn't lose three in a row, could they?

Scoop’s tip

Melton

Unfortunately for North Ballarat, the aura of Mars Stadium has gone, and through no fault of their own.

Once considered a 50/50 game, odds weigh (for the here and now) in Sunbury's camp, given the unpredictable nature of the 2023 grand finalist's selection issues around injury and unavailability.

The reality is, Sunbury, once battlers on the road in Ballarat should have little difficulty earning the points against the up and down Roosters who are seemingly at a selection table beyond their control.

The Lions are three wins and a loss (+171) involving games in Ballarat in season 2025.

They took it up to flag fancy East Point last week at Eastern Oval despite the absence of Josh Guthrie (ankle-season) and Cody Bramble (ACL-season) while Dean Muir and Brock Landt remained overseas.

Lions’ coach Matty White conceded (paraphrasing) they were their own worst enemy at times with their inability to make the most of their opportunities and expose East Point, who were without any rotations for the second half.

Again, while sounding like a broken record, the Lions are heavily dependent on Jake Sutton (42 goals) delivering once again.

Such is the calibre of the Essendon VFL product I can't see the Roosters denying him another day-out especially if Coburg listed big man Daniel Johnston returns.

Predicting what 22 the Roosters will be made available is a 'throw at the stumps' guess, hence my leaning to an improved performance from the Lions, enough at least to walk away with the points.    

Scoop’s tip

Sunbury

Who says Redan can't make it two top four scalps in as many weeks?

It would take an almighty effort for a relatively young group to back up their come-from-behind win over reigning premiers Melton in seven days, stay in the moment and deliver against the might of East Point who find themselves a game clear in second, with enough motivation to fight for a golden opportunity, top two finish.

Sure, the numbers suggest the Kangas are 22 points less potent away from home in 2025, but when you consider they've won their last 14 games at Eastern Oval, it should come as no surprise.

Weather permitting, the ask of the Lions to be in the hunt, in front of home fans at the final siren will be a minimum score of 85 (East Point away avg).

Ironically, returns beyond the asking target have been achieved by the Lions three times this year, two of those occasions against top four opposition, namely Melton (87 in Round 12) and Sunbury on Good Friday (88).

Lions’ fans will have their fingers crossed reigning Henderson Medallist Matthew Johnston is unavailable due to rolling both ankles and copping a cork in last week’s win over Sunbury, joining smooth mover Alex Molan (ankle - season) on the sidelines.

One event that won't be avoided for the Lions will be the return of Kangas inside mid Mickitja Rotumah-Onus, who is due back from a hamstring complaint.

While the Kangas will go in warm favourites given their 10-2 win/loss record this year, the extent of that expectation will rely heavily on the goal returns of Bryson McDougall (31 goals) and impact of star utility Jordy Johnston (20) who has featured in best on 11 out of 12 occasions.

The Lions aren't without a host of capable weapons on their day either.

But, If the last three encounters head-to-head are anything to go by, it's going to be a tough ask for Redan containing the offensive power of East Point.

Not once over the sample size has Redan restricted the Kangas below 105 points, nor posted more than 78 points of their own at an average losing margin of 65 points.

However, footy can be a funny game, and momentum bare no ceiling, but it's the Kangas pure and simple in the lead up as the team to beat.

Scoop’s tip

East Point

While we're barely two thirds through the home and away season, the business end has arrived prematurely for Ballarat when they host Lake Wendouree on Saturday.

After four losses on the trot and a percentage inferior to all bar the Lakers, this match serves as an unofficial elimination final for the Swans despite their seventh placing on the BFNL table.

Coach Ash Baker's message will be simple.

Bring the pressure you did last week against top side Darley and the process will surely take care of the outcome in the form of a big win in front of their proud and loyal fans.

The band, we'll call them Ballarat in this case, are slowly getting back together and look ominous when on the same page despite losses to Darley (25 points), North Ballarat (26), Sebastopol (36) and Melton (20) over the last month.

The Swans are likely to welcome back important utility Paddy Simpson who has not been seen since post the Sunbury game in Round 4.

The loss of marquee recruit Biggie Nyuon (syndesmosis) has done the Swans no favours, they haven't won a game since.

But the return of Ash Butler and Simpson, experience of Andrew Hooper, sheer presence of Tristan Maple (Footscray VFL), growth of Fraser Perkins, confidence of Luke Gray and the consistency of the Rinaldi brothers should provide the ideal platform for the Swans to get about their business.

Getting within 25 points of flag fancies Darley and Melton is really encouraging.

Time to click Swannies, because road trips to Sunbury and East Point await in the next fortnight.

The Lakers will have gained some confidence from their last three-quarter effort last week against Sebastopol when they recovered from a one-point opening term to post their highest score of the season.

Sure, they were beaten by 58 points, but there was merit in the way they finished off showing pride in the jumper, adding respect to the margin in the end.

While that feature in isolation was a positive for the Lakers it wasn't dissimilar to their patterns of 2024.

The Lakers have proven they can match it with most for three quarters, but they continue to let opposition sides blow their candles out far too prematurely.

Scoop’s tip

Ballarat

As ladder leaders head into Round 14 as favourites, a steely focus is drawn to games set to determine the make-up of the top six with Sebastopol (2nd) hosting North Ballarat (3rd) and East Point (7th) at home to Ballarat (8th).

Given Redan's softer draw on the way home, East Point must win at home against eighth placed Ballarat to keep their finals hopes alive.

The Kangas still have meetings with Sebastopol (H) and North Ballarat (A) to negotiate with on the run home so getting the prized four premiership points here is paramount.

In fairness to East Point (10), come seasons end, only North Ballarat (11) will have played more top seven opposition for the season (out of the top 7).

But that is the way it goes when teams don't play each other twice - you must find a way to get it done. And the 2018/19 premiers have earned the tougher draw given their recent successes.

The Swans, like the Kangas, seemingly play their best footy in Ballarat and will need to present something close to that if they're trouble Jackson Merrett's group at Eastern Oval.

Drastic improvement on their last meet they will need to find - essentially a 45-point differential from Round 4 at Alfredton Oval.

Surely the Swans young group are beginning to tire despite the recent return of Daniel Kennedy and other depth players that played some role last year in their standout third place finish.

But too often the Swans are kept to scores not capable of winning games. On six occasions this year Chris Maple's young group have been kept to six goals or less.

While you’d expect them to surpass that quota, outscoring the freewheeling nature of the Kangas front half, as witnessed in Round 4, looms a different proposition altogether.

Merrett will be under no illusions what's required from his group - win and win well or contemplate missing finals for the first time since 2017.   

Scoop’s tip: East Point

While a win for the visitors will surely take care of itself, the Bloods will aim to get through unscathed ahead of two big games against Sunbury (H) and Darley (A).

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will consider throwing the magnets around once this game is put to bed as a plan B option for finals, identifying some versatility within his squad.

But don't expect leading forward Ryan Carter to be going anywhere! After his come from behind tied win for the Tony Lockett Medal last year, expect the Bloods to make a certainty of it this time around with a 'Christmas in July', stocking full of goals.

Carter (38 goals) leads the competition by four ahead of Redan's Isaac Grant (34) and Ballarat's Andrew Hooper (33). A double figure bag could be on the radar for the tall, mobile forward.

The Panthers’ young blokes will gain some quality ‘on the job’ learnings running with the likes of Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins. Braedyn Kight will showcase his footy smarts forward and Jordy Cotter down back.

Panthers coach Ryan Hoy, 13 rounds deep into a long season may consider mixing it up at review, highlighting why the Bloods remain the benchmark, and most organised of all clubs in the BFNL.

Making a case for the Panthers upsetting their cross-town rivals today would be a falsehood. Bettering their 161-point loss at their first meet and denying the Bloods a 200-point scoreline looms a more achievable challenge.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Devils have a golden opportunity to advance into third place on the BFNL table (with a game in hand) when they start hot favorites against one-win Lake Wendouree.

While the Lakers’ season has been disappointing, they have shown some improvements, albeit in loss, with recent eight-goal returns against finals contenders Sebastopol, North Ballarat and East Point.

Their tough run of footy, including Melton, should hold them in good stead on the competitive front despite the absence of the O'Connell boys (overseas), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Jacob Coxall (concussion issues).

The inclusions of twin towers, former St Josephs (GFL) big man Tom Zampatti and Rebels tall Felix Fogarty has at least given Lakers mid-season appointed coach Tim Shearer some structural presence to work with.

The towering duo have featured three times in the best in their five and four games respectively,

For the Devils, coach Dan Jordan will have a list of priorities wanting to be achieved as his side continues its journey back to full health and fitness ahead of finals.

While the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker, Brady Wright and Leigh Spiteri have returned, there's nothing like more game time into rebuilding synergy with the group and their own 'tanks' in the process with big games still to come against North Ballarat, Melton and Sunbury.

Since their arrival home on Darley Park the Devils have been a bit leaky in defence over their three games, averaging 77 points against, despite wins over Bacchus Marsh and Sebastopol.

No doubt the Devils will look to reduce this number against the Lakers with finals-like frugality, a key component if Jordan's crew intend to go deep into finals.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

This battle is just what the competition needs ahead of five remaining home and away rounds that will decide the final make-up of the top six.

Depending on who you ask, both sides could play the underdog card with the Burra strong on their home deck while the Roosters arrive on the back of a seven-game winning streak.

Just what version of the Burra we get to witness on Saturday will go a long way determining their fate. Despite a 155-point win over the winless Panthers last week, the club is still not sure of its best 22.

Rushing Jed Hill. James Keeble, Bailey Medwell, Lachie Cassidy and Arnold Kirby back sounds like the ultimate restock, but how many returns are too many?

Often list turnover in the five or more range from one week to the next can be unsettling on the connection front. That's not including Daniel Widgery, Chase Dummett, Graydn Snowden, Jai Harvey and Ryan Birthesel who were also sidelined.

And connection will be just what Kiel and Columbro will need from their selected group if they're to end North Ballarat's middle season blitz.

Roosters’ coach Brendan McCartney is well aware he'll have to earn a top three finish the hard way with four remaining games against tough opposition - Sebastopol (A), Darley (A), Sunbury (H) and East Point (H).

The availability of the VFL affiliates at both clubs, like it or not, will have a bearing.

The Burras’ Jay Dahlhaus (Werribee) has had an immediate impact in his two games with nine goals, admittedly against the bottom two sides.

For North Ballarat, Jamie Quick (Geelong), Sam Glover (Collingwood) and Jack Riding (Werribee) all share match winning qualities that would pose a headache for the Burras’ hierarchy in the event of their selection.

North Ballarat looks the more settled for mine and on that alone, will lean to McCartney's army in a tight one.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Bye

Bacchus Marsh

Redan

Sunbury

With seasons on the line and claim local bragging rights at stake, there is plenty to play for this weekend as we head into the Round 14 action.

The Ballarat Swans are aiming for three wins on the trot and an opportunity to consolidate their place inside the top six when they travel to CE Brown Reserve to take on the Lakers this Saturday.

The two recent wins for Chris Maple's group ahead of their bye in Round 13 warranted plenty of merit accounting for Sunbury (22 points) and Redan (69 points).

While the jury rests over the scope and potential of the Swans moving forward, we're left to ponder just what version of the Lakers we're going to get.

On six occasions already this season (twice at home) the enigmatic Lakers have been held to five goals or less for the match holding grave fears for their ability recording an upset over the Swans and third win of 2024.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, despite frequent encouragement from rival coaches in the post-match, they're habitual sleepers at the wheel.

In 12/48 quarters this season, the Lakers have conceded six goals or more with nine of those resulting in seven or more.

On the flipside around scoring, the Lakers have been held goalless in 10/48 quarters.

The Lakers have gone on the record requesting no favours or concessions be made around age or where they're at re development. Request granted.

We look for a response from the Lakers on the perfect stage, the BFNL Match of the Round, streamed LIVE across the country.

Can Rohan Brown's Lakers find their groove and catch the Swans napping early off the bye and throw a spanner in the works for Chris Maple ahead of a likely finals preparation?

I'm not so sure - it's really a game the Swans should be winning on exposed form.

Scoop’s tips
Ballarat

Despite recent improvement, the Panthers face a near impossible task containing crosstown rival and ladder leaders Melton when they venture to MacPherson Park.

Where do you start breaking this game down, defining a 'mini win' for Travis Hodgson's struggling group?

I'm not sure even Hodgson has put a finger on it in the lead up.

Weather permitting the Bloods will have every opportunity matching their Round 1 return on the scoreboard in excess of 200 points if they don their kicking boots.

To put the disparity into perspective, Bloods’ star forward Braedan Kight (58 goals) has kicked 15 more goals than the Panthers have for the season.

Even Ryan Carter (29 goals) and Kyle Borg (19 goals) as an unlikely combo have more, highlighting the degrees of difficulty around containment awaiting the embattled Panthers.

What Hodgson and his club can ask for is effort, an area you can't deny the Panthers of in recent weeks.

Their core group led by Cody Chapman are a proud group despite their winless record in 2024 and will need little motivation getting up for another chapter of the local derby.

This match will tell us more about the Panthers than it will the Bloods.

With the result deemed inevitable given the current landscape - just how long the Panthers can hang in and savour a few moments hitting the scoreboard may be enough to redeem a wry smile out of the Hodgson camp, on an otherwise tough afternoon expected for the navy blue and white.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Despite the undermanned nature of the Roosters, expect them to start red hot favorites when they host the Cobras at Mars Stadium.

Both sides have had their struggles in more recent times with the Roosters dropping their last two games and the Cobras five of their last six. But the form of Brendan McCartney's inexperienced group reads undoubtedly more favourable (Darley, Melton) than Dennis Armfield's touring party.

Mars Stadium has not been a successful hunting ground for any visitors let alone the Cobras, earmarking the challenge for Armfield as one of the toughest over his short tenure.

I know looking back at previous results has its flaws, but there's no denying the Cobras will be up against it despite retaining the likes of Rye Penny and Wil Lalor.

However, they will miss feverish on-ballers Tyson Shea (jaw) and Jake McCreery (suspended) - both crucial to their fortunes, especially against top five opposition.  

If there was ever a time to get last year’s grand finalists, the time is now.

Just 10 players from the Roosters’ agonising one point loss to the Devils in 2023 took the field last week against Melton.

The absentees would walk into any other BFNL side, plain and simple.

So, the Cobras arrive with an outside prizefighter’s chance of walking away with their biggest win of the season and their first against any side currently above them.

Luke Goetz, Jake Owen and a host of improving youngsters are capable of taking it up to the hosts for periods but can the remaining collective match the trademark effort and intensity of a Roosters group on their home deck for long enough?

I anticipate the assignment proves a bridge too far.  

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The injury ravaged Devils could fall from third to fifth in a fortnight and as low as sixth by the end of the home and away season if they fail to account for Sebastopol at Darley Park.

Given the absence of key personnel in all areas, the Devils (4th) will start underdogs, in my opinion, against a surging Burras (8th) outfit, despite their superior position on the BFNL table.

While the Devils squad of 22 is looking less and less familiar by the week, Tony Lockyer's visiting party is beginning to resemble more like the Burra we know following the return of star mid Lachie Cassidy and attacking half back Jack Bambury.

Key intercept defender Riley O'Keefe was a late out last week in the Burras 58-point win over the Lakers and is likely to return, bolstering stocks even further.

Important inside mid Daniel Widgery who has been in the best 4/10 games will also be in consideration after also missing against the Lakers.

Let's not forget, the Burra arrive on a mission of their own with their season on the line.

Led by Tony Lockyer (in best 9/12), the injury free, now reborn midfielder has been in super form, named 'best on' for the Burra in five of his last eight games.

That's Matty Johnston and Brett Bewley kind of stuff!

Speaking of Bewley, let's address the elephant in the room.

If the reigning dual Henderson Medalist does not play (50/50 as it stands), the Devils will surely struggle given Billy Myers, Brady Wright, Wil Johnson, Zane Le Huray (suspended), Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley are already sidelined.

Surely they won't risk their premiership captain ahead of the bye in Round 15 with important run home matches against Sunbury, Bacchus Marsh and Melton.

It's time for the remaining Devils, led by Luther Baker, Matty Brett and Matty Denham to pick up the slack, find a way and drag the backs-to-the-wall reigning premiers over the line.

Tough ask.    

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Bye

East Point

Sunbury

Redan

With just a month left on the home & away calender, every moment counts out on the field. Round 15 is set to answer some questions on where things stand in the run home of season 2023.

The anticipation is high for this all-important showstopper as two of the BFNL's more experienced mentors aim to implement a winning plan that will keep their side’s top three chances alive.

Brendan McCartney's travelling party will arrive confident having won seven of their last eight games including a 57-point (home) win over the Devils in Round 9.

The Roosters army were at their frugal best on that occasion restricting a disappointing Darley to just 28 points.

To put it in perspective, only Melton South (14) has scored less against the Roosters in their 13 games this season.

However, it wasn't the first time the Devils have failed to flatter in more recent times at Mars Stadium having lost by 69 points under Jordan in round 11, 2022.

As if it were a line in the sand moment for the Devils, they've won 16 of 20 games since. They're a better team now under Jordan, enough to warrant a 'mulligan' for their Round 9 failings without the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Bailey Young.

The fans will be spoilt with the levels of quality we’re likely to see on display.

For the home side, reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (named in the best nine times from 11 games) will lead the likes of Myers, Baker, Young, Matthew Brett, Shane Page and a host of improving types endevouring to impact under the radar.

Not to be outdone, Roosters marquee signing Stewart Crameri arrives with in-form mids Jack Riding, Riley Polkinghorne, star Collingwood VFL listed swingman Sam Glover, the returning Tom Hotchin and dominant big man Cam McCullum.

Unfortunately for the visitors, no Jamie Quick (33 goals) who must follow concussion protocols after a knock in last week’s loss to Sebastopol.

This one should be a ripper.

Fingers crossed, fine weather is forecast and the game is given every chance to deliver on its promise.

Both sides will look the winners for a long way but leaning with history repeating on McCartney's last trip to Darley Park in a lower scoring affair than the Devils 100-82 victory.          

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Cobras will look to gain some reward for their recent competitiveness with the hope of victory over winless Melton South.

While a third win of the season appears more likely for the travelling Cobras, there's nothing like the feeling of a win and rendition of the victory theme song in full voice.

Unfortunately for Ryan Hoy's Panthers they're little chance of enjoying the very thing we can take for granted - winning.

It's been the toughest introduction for any coach in recent memory, averaging 176 points against per game.

Adding salt to the wound does little for the embattled club who have also endured a horror run with injury culminating in a third loss of 200 plus points last weekend.

This week however is no Melton, Sunbury or Darley, the three clubs to have put Melton South to the sword by 200+ points, so look for the Panthers to make positive inroads.

They’ll be eyeing the hope to top their highest return this season with a score of 8.12-60 the benchmark, a tally posted against the Lakers in Round 5.

Easier said than done however, as the Cobras eye some conviction of their own.

Their top end talent led by Jake Owen, Jake McCreery and Luke Goetz will ensure the majority of game is played on the Cobras terms as they endeavor to tick off a number of KPI's.

Coach Jason Williams won't be taking this game lightly and will be reliant on a collective buy-in from the outset, enabling maximum result possibilities.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Sunbury head to MacPherson Park with their slim top three chances still intact. But they will have to do it the hard way on the run home needing wins against Melton (A), North Ballarat (A), Bacchus Marsh (H) and Darley (A).

A big ask, but they're looking ominous ahead of the business end following the return of Tyson Lever (foot) and Mitch Lewis (overseas). Dangerous forward Jake Sutton (overseas) is expected to arrive home on Thursday, prior to the Bloods showdown.

While the Bloods have lost just one game this year, they will have to overcome the Lions without key forward duo Ryan (concussion) and Liam Carter (calf).

Aaron Tymms' men remain the blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory but there is no doubt even the most loyal of Bloods’ fans would be wondering where their scores will come from.

That said they did have 14 goalkickers last week against the Panthers.

Given Port Melbourne VFL have the bye expect former St Kilda listed Brenton Payne to assume the key forward role and Braedyn Kight to sacrifice recent midfield minutes for a return primarily to the front half where he is a proven matchwinner.

That would be a nice place to start in the absence of the Carter brothers.

The midfield battle will be finals-like. We're familiar with each teams’ capabilities offensively in this area but do the Lions have the discipline to impact without the ball, denying the Bloods run in transition.

Not many can say they have, especially on Maccy Park.

Can Sutton and ageless support act Leigh Brennan do enough to trouble the Bloods defence? While Sutton has 28 goals from his eight games, the jury is out whether he can impact 48 hours post an overseas return.

Big Lion Cody Brand will also need to stand up against the reigning premiers - his appointed role at either end will be crucial.

The Lions are 0-3 against top three opposition this year and come into the game with a questionable four-week preparation having had Melton South, Ballarat and the bye in the lead up to this Bloods battle. 

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Visitors Redan will be chasing their first win in four weeks when they meet the tenth placed Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lions head into the game warm favorites and will look to put this game to bed early as they continue their quest for a prized top six finish.

They will be given every chance to usurp East Point (bye) in sixth place. Overcoming the Lakers will see the Lions back into the six, percentage ahead of the Kangas.

An unlikely loss for Gary Learmonth's young group will jeopardise their chances however it would not be the end of the world given the nature of their draw sees the Roos still a strong showing to finish sixth.

So, expect the Kangas from a distance to have one cheeky eye on the prospects of an upset.

But let’s be realistic - Redan should win and win well despite having won just three of their last eight games.

Midfield quartet Isaac Grant (34 goals), Lachie George (in best four times from seven appearances), Cooper Craig-Peters and Daniel Bond will look to assert early dominance around clearance to give opportune forwards Grant Bell (19 goals), Marty Boyer (15 goals) and Lachie McLean (14 goals) first crack impacting the scoreboard.

Despite the Lakers’ capitulating loss to Darley last week, they were very competitive for the best part of three quarters.

Big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty have added some aerial presence while defenders Angus Gove, Bailey Ryan and Cody Helyar showed resilience against quality opposition.

It's a shame the Lakers have had to endure recent weeks without the O'Connell boys (overseas), Jacob Coxall (concussion issues), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Flynn Loader.

Kicking a winning score could be the Lakers’ greatest challenge. They have managed just eight goals in four of their last six games

A tally that will see them struggle to win but maybe enough to keep them in the game long enough.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Bye

East Point

Ballarat

Sebastopol

With the race for finals almost locked in across our top six, eyes will turn to the formlines of our teams looking to contend across the September action.

The Swans’ chances of toppling a decimated North Ballarat at Alfedton Oval are 'very real'.

Forget their Round 9 meet.

Ballarat aren't the only side to leave Mars after a failed mission and won't be the last.

The Swans have won their last three games on the trot and have sewn up sixth spot already ahead of finals and could finish as high as fourth.

Let's hope the realisation of finals has the Swans continuing to build on the messaging from outgoing coach Chris Maple.

The Swans are a better side around the ball and look more structurally sound than the group we saw at their previous meeting with the Roosters 49 days ago.

Doesn't seem very long I know, but maybe the penny has dropped at the Swans, boys are becoming men.

The Roosters test will serve as a timely footy audit for Maple and his finals bound Swans.

Can they make an impression with a win at home in front of their loyal and faithful or will they be considered as just making up the numbers come September? 

Guarantee, the Roosters will make you earn the premiership points or any point for that matter regardless of who is missing.

Coach Brendan McCartney has had no choice than to focus on the 'what haves' over a luckless season on the injury and availability front.

The current Roosters’ list is loaded with progressive young talent, not shy on cracking in.

Sure, they're lacking the A-Grade assets at the moment to upset a Melton or East Point, but they will be confident taking the down the Swans in the meantime.

This result will tell us more about the Swans than it will a skeletal version of the Roosters’ best 22.

Scoop’s tip
Ballarat

With finals now seemingly beyond reach of these two, this match could pose as the unofficial decider as the best team outside of the six!

Finding motivation should be easy for these two proud clubs but the Burra are hosting their Sponsors Day lunch and will look to impress in front of a big crowd at Marty Busch.

For visitors Redan, coach Gary Learmonth, while disappointed the reality of finals is now all but off the table, he will see the occasion as another opportunity to develop his young group.

The Burra on the other hand, despite excuses, it's felt too much like trying to make up for lost ground given the club hasn't missed the September action since 2018.

Both sides have had their struggles hitting the scoreboard, so I’m not expecting the heights of their entertaining returns in Round 4 but we can wish for a similarly tight affair.

No Luke Kiel for the Burra is a big out. They missed him last week against the Devils having left the ground in the first quarter with a hyper extension of the knee.

It couldn't have come at a worse time for Tony Lockyer's group aiming to keep their season alive.

Expect Lockyer, Lachie Cassidy, Bailey Medwell and Jack Bambury to pick up the slack in the absence of Kiel to get the job done in front of fans desperate for a second 'home' win of the season.

Redan's troops should hold no fears for the Burra and arrive with every intention of leaving with the premiership points ahead of a night long celebration at their Mid-Year Ball.

There's nothing in this match, just leaning to the hosts spoiling the Lions’ party ahead of their version of the big dance on Saturday night!   

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Sunbury will look to capitilise on their 'double up' meeting with Melton South consolidating the four premiership points on offer and likely percentage boost that comes with it.

Expect livewire Lions’ forwards Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean to be given every opportunity to 'fill their boots' despite the efforts of a 'recently resistant' Panthers. 

Fresh off the bye, Sunbury will welcome a solid hit out ahead of two big games against Darley and East Point.

I'm not sure what Lions coach Matty White will define as success in the aftermath given the inevitable nature of this result, but resembling more of the Sunbury we saw in the opening six weeks of the season is surely on the Lions’ radar.

Needless to add, getting through unscathed would be a bonus for the Lions given some minor setbacks to key personnel in recent weeks.

Jake Egan, Mitch Lewis, Jack Hannett and Nathan Wood have all missed some footy and will look for some continuity in the lead up to finals.

Star mid and Coburg VFL listed player Ben Cameron is arguably the Lions’ best player and will be a welcoming inclusion at finals time if he indeed misses more games at local club level.

It wouldn't take Einstein to predict the Panthers best players named ahead of the game - the sheer weight of dependence is a heavy load to carry.

The unenviable rotating bottom five or six scenario at the Panthers is likely to continue for another week adding further degrees of difficulty to the task at hand.

Tipping Panthers’ coach Travis Hodgson will have one eye on the Sunbury score as a measurement of their ability to contain while the other will be a little more ambitious, a view to the Panthers own inside 50 count and what that can amount to on the goal front.

Either way you look at this game - mini wins loom potentially for the hosts while big wins lie in waiting for the visiting party.

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Fresh off the bye, expect a rejuvenated Kangas outfit to hit the ground running and extend on an unbeaten run of 11 games when they host the Lakers.

The Kangas are the real deal and have been for some time.

They've won more games than any other side from their last 17 that included a Preliminary Final appearance in 2023.

East Point have won 15/17, ahead of Melton and Darley both 13/17 for the period.

The experience of last year’s two finals wins will hold them in good stead especially with the proven returns of key pair Jacob Brown (in best 6/10) and Mickitja Rotumah-Onus (5/12) to the club, and arrival of new coach Joe Carmody who has taught this group how to defend (comp rank #2).

There's a gulf in class that will be on show at Eastern Oval, but nobody needs to tell Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown.

For the here and now, they're just names on paper.

That's the attitude a combative Lakers unit will want to take into the game to unsettle any class differential.

Brown will surely demand the effort and the work rate, that's a given.

But do the Lakers have what it takes to deny the Kangas a blow out, or a real surge in momentum of back-to-back goals? That lies their greatest challenge, a 'mini win' if you will to take from an otherwise (expected) spirited loss.

The Lakers have some good cattle that will ask questions of East Point early, but the sheer quality of depth in the Kangas’ squad will prove too overwhelming.

Their stars are all in form posting big numbers or hitting the scoreboard.

The Kangas by definition are proving 'more than a handful'.

I expect the trend to continue and Carmody's all conquering Kangas will make it 12 wins in a row.       

Scoop’s tip
East Point

Bye

Bacchus Marsh

Darley

Melton

We're back with a full slate of games this weekend, which will see some crucial contests unfold. There are finals spots on the line and matchups that are set to mould how the final six will fall come seasons end. 

Bottom three combatants Bacchus Marsh and Lake Wendouree will fancy their chances when they meet at Maddingley Park.

Both teams have proven to be competitive for periods against more seasoned opposition in recent times but are yet to breakthrough with an upset.

While the Cobras’ three wins have come against Melton South (twice) and the Lakers, the hosts have three final quarter wins against top six opposition.

Clutching at separation, I know, but it's enough to instill the Cobras as warm favorites given the Lakers’ only win has come against the winless Melton South.

Interesting to note the Lakers form early in games has been encouraging before late fade outs have cost them dearly on the scoreboard.

On the flipside, the Cobras have shown a liking to finish off well. More often however when the game is already put to bed.

Settling on who gets it done is not easy. When in doubt, back in the team with the most influential top end.

Tipping Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz will cancel out Lakers’ tall timber pairing Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty.

Expect Jake McCreery and veteran Tyson Shea to be the immediate beneficiaries with Jake Owen (25 goals) looming dangerously forward. I sense this could be a pattern for the day.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Top six aspirants East Point will need to bring their scoring game if they're to upset third placed Sebastopol.

With the Kanags chances buoyed by the absence of Burra livewire Jay Dahlhaus (hand), plenty more will need to go right to keep their finals hopes alive.

Alternatively, the Burra will look to consolidate its top three and potential top two status with a grinding win on the road.

Despite what the ladder suggests (7th v 3rd) by no means will this be a walk-in-the-park for pre-game favorites Sebastopol.

Both teams come into the game fresh off the bye, just who gets down to business first may be hard to run down given the high stakes.

Surely Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have an eye on containing one of the Johnston brothers but the thought of two negating roles through the middle of the ground could spell danger.

Expect Jackson Merrett's Kangas to roll the dice and back themselves in to hit the scoreboard. Brad Whittaker (24 goals), Jack Jeffrey (17), Bryce McDougall (16), Jordy Johnston (14) alongside Merrett himself (12) are all proven goal scorers in 2023 and will be keen to deliver.

Burras forward duo Toby Hutt (31 goals) and Hugo Papst (27) will present their own set of problems for the hosts, not mentioning a likely return for all important midfielder Lachie Cassidy from a hamstring injury.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Visitors Sunbury will need some genuine inner belief if they're to conquer North Ballarat at Mars Stadium.

The Lions will arrive near full strength and seemingly in-form, despite a four-quarter loss to Melton last week and will want to deliver a strong performance in Ballarat or leave the slim possibility of a sixth or even worse, seventh place season finish in play with two rounds to follow.

Let's be honest, Sunbury's form in Ballarat is cause for concern, having had just three wins from their last ten visits with two of those victories coming against a lowly and rebuilding Lake Wendouree outfit.

While Brendan McCartney's Roosters have lost their last two games on the road, like it or not they're a different team at home boasting a 15-3 win-loss record since 2022.

Expect the hosts to be strengthened with the return of dangerous forward Jamie Quick (33 goals) and Sam Artz, both from concussion, while the availability of Jack Riding (Werribee VFL) remains a 'watch this space'.

Both sides like to run and carry the footy, bordering on similar styles. The result could well be decided by which team can execute the basic fundamentals more efficiently - plain and simple.

Given the Roosters imposing home record and the Lions inability to deliver their A-game against like-for-like opposition in Ballarat you have to lean to the Roosters getting the job done. Sunbury are more than capable, even labelled 'smokies' for the flag. Time to get to work!

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The Devils should move into rare company come 5pm Saturday with a 12th win of their season when they host the winless Panthers.

A minimum 12 wins for Dan Jordan's men beckons, a feat only Melton 2022/23 (14/13*), Ballarat 2022 (12), and East Point 2018 (13) have been able to achieve in the last five seasons.

Given the nature of the 2023 season, it's likely a minimum of 13 wins is what you'll need to guarantee a top two finish allowing very little room for error.

While we know the potential advantages of finishing third, the evenness of the competition gives you no assurance of progressing. Give me a top two finish any day in 2023.

What version of Jordan's best 22 we're likely to see carries more weight than most discussion points surrounding the second v 11th encounter.

The hosts will look to get through unscathed eyeing a healthy list available for the business end. Following the Panthers, the Devils host Melton and Sunbury in the lead up to finals.

For Ryan Hoy's embattled group, the season’s end is near.

Saturday's meeting with the Devils on the road marks the penultimate game of their season with Redan (A) and the bye to come.

While we can expect an honest performance from the Panthers progressive group of youngsters, they're a mile off troubling the Devils, who have bigger fish to fry. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Chris Maple's Swans return home with another opportunity inflicting an upset when they host Redan at the weekend.

Prior to the bye, the Swans had lost their last three games, and even their mojo at times, going down by margins of 52 (East Point), 52 (Sunbury) and 39 (North Ballarat).

Admittedly all three games were on the road, so a chance presents in front of a home crowd to reproduce some of their best footy after a timely break.

The Swans have the cattle to upset teams above them on their day so Gary Learmonth's Lions will need to be switched on.

The visitors have plenty to play for as a spot in the top six looks beckons as things stand.

Despite 33 shots on goal, the Lions managed just 10 goals in their comfortable win over the Lakers last weekend.

Lions’ sharpshooter Isaac Grant was (and not for the first time) largely the culprit finishing with a wayward 3.9. Grant has the unwelcoming stat of the league’s leading scorer of behinds (31) well ahead of the next best with 20.

Something resembling the six goals Grant kicked in their earlier Round 3 meet will be on the wish list for Lions fans.

Alternately, Swans leading goal scorer Andrew Hooper (38 goals) kicked four goals in the 31-point loss at City Oval.

Both sides bring the heat and enjoy a contested brand of footy. I'll lean slightly more towards the broader experience of Redan over the Swans, especially at the coal face.

While the Lions can flirt with their own form from time to time, I can't see them leaving the 'upset' door ajar with so much at stake at this time of the year.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

It's set to be a massive weekend as a number of teams will need to win, and win big, as we enter the penultimate round of the 2023 home and away season.

The 'nothing to lose' Swans are off to Marty Busch Reserve embracing another upset opportunity, this time against third placed Sebastopol.  

Coach Chris Maple will be hoping his young group, first and foremost, can stay in the game up until halftime as they've managed to do so recently against Redan (-4pts), East Point (-19pts) and North Ballarat (-4pts).

The Swans’ opposition, Sebastopol, loom an imposing task, especially in Ballarat. The onus on the importance of the Swans opening half comes on the back of the Burras’ impressive numbers for the period.

Of the Burras’ 11 games played (anywhere) in Ballarat - Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's group have led at the main break 10 times, on the other occasion things were all level.

Only North Ballarat in Round 14 have been able to match the Burra at the halfway mark.

While it's a 'throw at the stumps' game for the Swans there's much more at stake for the hosts. A win will keep their top two chances alive, hoping the Devils can drop at least one of their two remaining games against Melton (H) and Sunbury (H).

Knowing Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro, further improvement and something resembling closer to their best will be enough for the dual appointees to be satisfied. The result will surely have taken care of itself in the event of the Burras delivering on internal expectation.

Keep an eye on the first half - can the plucky Swans buck the trend against the odds? Momentum will play a role here determining the extent of the final result as the hosts look to assert their authority early.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

A significant confidence edge awaits the winner of this top two meeting ahead of the BFNL finals series.

The Bloods and the Devils rank one and two in all areas of scoring both for and against, setting the scene for a mouthwatering match up.

While the Bloods hold the upper hand in all areas, the two are matched identically for shots on goal after 16 rounds with 402 apiece.

The Bloods are coming off the bye while the Devils will look to up the ante after their low pressured 212-point win over Melton South.

Leading forward Ryan Carter and swift ball user Adrian Monitto are expected to be in the mix for a Bloods return while the hosts get a boost with the addition of ruckman Lucas Impey (Western Jets) for another week.

We could expand at length about the likely scenarios of so many what ifs, but the reality is, this game in the context of the season, has more meaning for the Devils.

Dan Jordan's men still need one more win from their last two games to secure second spot and guarantee a prized double chance. Win, lose or draw, the Bloods standing won't be affected.

Sure, the reigning premiers were without Jack Walker, Lachie Watkins and Monitto at their first meet and lost Liam Carter midway through the game but that will account for very little come 2pm Saturday given both sides have moved on from their Round 8 battle of attrition.

While the Devils landed the points that day, they will again start the underdogs against the top placed Bloods. But Dan Jordan’s men are more than capable of claiming the four points at home.

This timely footy audit will be welcomed by both sides, a last chance to fine tune, hone skills and gain learnings against a long-term, well-respected rival.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Bacchus Marsh will look to make it a hattrick of wins in the back half of the season when they endeavour to upset finals fancy Sunbury at Clarke Oval.

While the Cobras have shown encouraging signs with big wins coming in, the reality is all four of their season wins have come against the two sides below them, Lake Wendouree and Melton South.

The Lions however, are fresh from a fortnight footy audit on the road that saw them finish within 27 points of ladder leaders Melton and 12 points of North Ballarat at the fortress that is Mars Stadium.

Consume the form as you please, but the two honourable losses of the Lions carries more weight than the Cobras’ 106 and 92 point wins.

The Lions are near full health and will welcome a solid hitout against the improving Cobras who will retain their Coates Talent League boys for another week. 

Travis Hodgson's group have proven capable of hitting the scoreboard in 2023 with Melton and Darley the only teams bettering their 101-point average per game.

In defence the Lions rank fifth conceding 64 points on average per game. On the flipside the Cobras rank eighth in both offence 67 ppg and defence conceding 81 ppg.

Given the Cobras sheer weight of possession over the last two weeks, their impact without the ball will be tested on the wide expanses of Clarke Oval.

Sunbury are one of the teams more prone to a 'keepings off' style of play.

The ability for the Cobras to win the ball back could be telling. Just an even share of possession will be testing for the Jason Williams’ Cobras hitting the scoreboard given the strength and accountability of the Lions’ defence.

Admittedly youngsters Joel Freeman, Isaac Nixon and Will Lalor give the Cobras a different look forward alongside the BFNLs number one contested marking option in Jake Owen but overcoming Sunbury looms a formidable task.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

While the result of this match-up is deemed inevitable, Redan will look to adhere to the buzz word of many a modern-day coach to max out their returns - 'process'.

Surely if the Lions play to instruction, with a team first mantra, the 'process' will evidently take care of itself, restoring confidence in a group nervously trying to hang on to a spot in the finals.

East Point (7th) are breathing down their necks and have played enough good footy in recent times to suggest they will get the job done comfortably across town against the Lakers.

Just what went wrong last week when the Lions coughed up a 35-point quarter time lead had many, most of all loyal fans, wondering what is going on.

Surely a finals berth is enough motivation to complete the job at hand. I've no doubt executing on the 'process' was found wanting despite the will of the Swans to turn the game around with little to play for on the finals front.

Expect the Lions to take advantage of the struggling Panthers, who can't wait for season's end with the bye to follow. Tipping they'll either be 'pesty' with their efforts knowing it's their last hurrah or the cue is already in the rack and the Lions win big.

Containing the hosts leading scorers Isaac Grant, Grant Bell and progressive youngster Marty Boyer could prove the difference between a respectable loss or a total blow out for the embattled Panthers.

Tipping something in between and the Lions to open right up and resemble something closer to their best adhering to their 'process'.

There's no better time to start finding some touch and sensing a team-oriented buy-in worthy of a prized finals spot inside the top six.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

The Kangas will aim to put this game to bed early and set themselves up for a significant percentage boost when travel to CE Brown Reserve.

Jackson Merrett's seventh placed group remain a live chance to play finals despite the likelihood of sixth placed Redan recording a big win over winless Melton South.

The Kangas energies will be all in on what they can control and that starts with an impressive team victory over the one-win Lakers.

The visitors’ top end talent are in good form and the spread of goals forward evenly balacned. To put it into perspective, the Kangas have seven players with 13 goals or more, the Lakers, just one.

Tim Shearer’s Lakers have shown periods of competitiveness against quality opposition for small periods and will look to bounce back after their disappointing 92-point loss to ninth placed Bacchus Marsh.

The Kangas will look to deny the home side any momentum, especially early. If this can eventuate, look for the visitors to surpass the 100-point total for a seventh time this season and stay within touch of the Lions’ expected percentage again at City Oval.

While Henderson Medal contender Jordy Johnston will look to add a sixth BOG performance to enhance his chances for the prestigious individual award, the revered forward come midfielder would be the first to acknowledge a far greater goal lies at stake for the proud club who haven't missed a finals series since 2017.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

The penultimate home and away round is upon us, with just two weeks left in the regular season.

As teams prepare for finals, the away sides all head in as at least mild favourites for this weekend's fixtures.

The Lions’ top three chances hang in the balance ahead of a must win game against a red-hot East Point outfit at Clarke Oval.

While there was little between them on the scoreboard at their previous meet, the Lions did kick the last three goals of the game to flatter the final margin.

But credit to Sunbury, that's the closest any team has been at Eastern Oval all year.

Sure, Clarke Oval flips the advantage ahead of their Round 17 clash but Sunbury will need to address a few things if they're to end the Kangas’ 13-game winning streak.

Fact: Sunbury have won just two (Melton South and Sebastopol) of their last eight 'first' quarters and rank #11 for average clearances per game.

I know clearances aren't everything and are considered an overrated stat by a few experts, but 11th - really?

The return of Jake Egan will add some bite around stoppage as they go head-to-head against the competition's number #2 ranked team in this area.

As for the Lions’ starts, call it coincidence if you like but their three win, five loss games record for the period aligns more with a browse, raising pattern for concern.

Joe Carmody's visiting party arrive with four of the BFNL's top 16 goalkickers and five of the top 25.

Sunbury has just two in the top 40, albeit two of the top five.

The dependance on Lions’ pair Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean to kick a winning score has not waned given the two are responsible for 95 of the team’s 202 goals for the season (47%).

A successful assignment for the Lions will be judged on their ability to multitask in the run.

'Maintaining' and 'containing' will be the order of the day for Matty White's men - a potential third place finish depends on it.

Nothing really needs to change for the high-flying Kangas bar a correction on their disaster 80-point loss here in Round 11 last year (109-29).

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Swans will look to build on the learnings and good habits of recent weeks when they head down the highway to meet the winless Panthers fresh off their highest BFNL score in 39 games!

Let's acknowledge quickly, the Swans will be winning.

Outgoing coach Chris Maple has done a good job with this group.

Finals are a lock, and the Swans remain unbeaten since Round 10.

What I’m liking about the 'semi arrival' of Ballarat is the clarity in which the players are responding to their roles.

Their growing number of ball winners are finding the footy more than ever, the talls are holding their own across all three lines.

What they're not marking is being brought to ground.

Opposition teams aren't just waltzing into goal and out of the back half as they please.

Furthermore, Marcus Powling rarely loses the hit-out count in the ruck, while at ground level there’s enough leg speed at the Swans to trouble any side.

They're the encouraging good habits going on at the Swans and you can expect more of the same against the Panthers.

The 'learnings' side of things are not so fundamental.

Maturity in footy IQ remains a work in progress at the Swans around composure and decision making.

That's not always easy when you're coming up against some of the best players in local footy going around.

But Maple has them tracking nicely ahead of an exciting return to finals.

For the Panthers, well they've set themselves a new bar with the 13 goal scoreline last week against Redan.

Credit to them. Cody Chapman keeps racking up the numbers with and without the ball while Jarrod Bibby sounded the alarm of what's to look forward to with four goals and a tenth appearance in 11 games named among the club’s best players.

Scoop’s tip
Ballarat

North Ballarat head to City Oval for their last home and away game of the season to take on Redan.

Both sides will give themselves a live chance banking the premiership points despite little or no luck on the injury front over recent weeks.

Despite Redan's up and down run, injuries have been more crippling for North Ballarat than any side, but somehow, they've been able to stay competitive.

And not just competitive, the Roosters have had their moments for periods against the two dominant teams Melton and East Point, not to mention the reigning premiers, Darley, who sit third. 

Just who the Roosters get back will be a welcoming discussion for Brendan McCartney and his group given it's their last game before finals with the bye on their fixture for Round 18.

Riley Pokinghorne may return while it's been confirmed Quick, Loader and Crameri (retired) are done for the season.

Leading Lions possession winner Khy Jess is in serious doubt after a heavy landing on his back last week that saw him leave the ground early against Melton South.

The weight shifted onto Lachie George and forward pair Lachie Bond and Grant Bell to lift the Lions over the line.

Expect much of the same this week in the likely absence of Jess, Werts and Fitzgibbon.

Both teams are loaded with players shy of 20 years old, earmarking this game for a genuine, spirited battle of youth.

While experience will be lacking at the level, ironically the familiarity of the opposition won't be given the age profile.

You could see firsthand what impact the return of Roosters bigman Cam McCullum had on the group with his physical presence alone.

Also, the bonus addition of Joel Freeman inside 50 has provided the Roosters with a genuine aerial target.

The former Cobra has 13 goals from his last three games including a bag of five last week against the high-flying Kangas.  

Weather permitting, the game should provide plenty of highlights and pose a genuine look into the future of next generation BFNL talent.

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The Cobras will need little motivation bucking the trend of an ailing win/loss record when they host cross town rivals Darley.

Since their 'first' bye in Round 7, the Cobras have won just one of eight games.

Sure, Dennis Armfield's group have had excuses on the back of injury, suspension and unavailability but they're not alone.

The frustrations for Dan Jordan despite a more favourable win/loss are not dissimilar.

Again, I expect both sides to be well shy of their best 22 on paper.

I'd love to be writing up this game as one for the ages with all the bells and whistles thrown in but in reality, expect a hard-fought scrap, stoppage to stoppage game played predominately on the 'inside'. 

Given the level of desperation we often see in a local derby like this, I don't foresee a final margin to reflect the two sides’ current position on the BFNL ladder.

In fact, four of the last five local derbies have been decided by 12 points or less.

The Devils should win easy, but they won't - they will be made to earn any advantage.

Strangely, this match up for the here and now is the Devils most important in the context of their season as a potential third place beckons.

That alone elevates the status to 'danger game' for the Devils.

The Cobras’ season is done, but their pride and spirit will be in full verse I assure you against the old enemy.

I'm tipping Armfield will get everything out of his young group while his top end aims to match or better the enviable spoils made available out of the Devils’ camp.

The Devils must deliver under the weight of all pressure and expectation because if there's one group that would like to spoil their top three chances it's the progressive next gen brigade of the Cobras.    

Scoop’s tip
Darley

Melton are on the road and will look to extend their nine-game winning streak when they meet the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The hosts are fresh off the bye and should welcome the challenge after a disappointing effort a fortnight ago against the current number two side of the competition, East Point.

Rohan Brown's group barely made an impression in their Round 15 hit-out, smashed by 155 points.

I'm not sure there's that much of a gulf between the Lakers and the top two - clearly belief remains a work in progress at CE Brown up against the powers of the BFNL.

This weekend poses an ideal opportunity for a turnaround despite the fact the assignment won't be any easier.

Intimidation could be another factor for the Lakers to overcome given the recent Bloods dominance in these fixtures.

There's no point mentioning just how one sided they have been, it's old and unwelcoming news for the Lakers who must find a way to change the narrative in their penultimate game of the season.

The Bloods’ front half boasts five of the top 14 goalkickers in the comp and a defence who treat every goal concede as if it were a kick in the teeth!

Their back six averages just 40 points against per game, well clear of the competitions next best in East Point (50 points pg).

The midfield battle will be a fun watch, both have shown encouraging growth in this area relative to their respective journeys throughout '24.

Composed entries will give the Lakers every chance to bettering their two-goal return against the Kangas. 

Anything registered above the Bloods’ season average concede (40 points) would be considered a tick.

On the flipside, any failings around noncompliance and work rate without the footy could open the floodgates for the Bloods to reach 100+ on the scoreboard for a ninth time this season.

Scoop’s tip
Melton

There is all to play for as we head into the final home & away weekend of the 2023 BFNL season. Who will secure an elusive finals spot, with a number of places in the top six still up for grabs!

With North Ballarat's fourth placing a lock for this year’s BFNL finals, don't expect any favours forthcoming for East Point who must win to give themselves any chance of moving into the top six.

Brendan McCartney's record at Mars Stadium since his appointment at the start of 2021 is formidable at 16-3 but will account for very little as Jackson Merrett and his visiting party plan all their efforts to upset the trend with a season on-the-line performance.

The Roosters are coming off the bye and will look to resemble something close to their best ahead of a do-or-die elimination final next week. Despite winning eight of their last 10 games, the Roosters have lost two of their last three albeit against teams above them in Darley and Sebastopol.

The Kangas will take some confidence into the game knowing they have already beaten the Roosters back in Round 5 this year.

That, along with the standout form of mid/forward Jordy Johnston and support crew Joe Dodd, Matty Johnston, Joel Van Meel and Cam Lovig provide a mounting case for the visitors.

Merrett (16 goals), Brad Whittaker (26), Bryson McDougall (25), Liam Canny (21) and JJ (21) are capable of kicking a winning score, and will surely keep the hosts honest on the goal front.

But with top talent Jack Riding, Sam Glover, Jamie Quick, Stewart Crameri and Riley Polkinghorne all likely inclusions for North Ballarat, the task for the visiting Kangas will be far easier said than done.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Expect Melton to mirror its 2022 minor premiership with a 14th win of the home and away season when they take on the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

Ironically, it was the Lakers at MacPherson Park in Round 18 last year that Aaron Tymms’ Bloods claimed the minor premiership with a 122-point win. While there's a certain inevitability about Saturday's result, what fortunes lay ahead for the Bloods are not so clear.

Sure, they only lost two games this season, both to the Devils, but there's seems to be a certain level of mortality about them (unlike last year) despite seemingly 'holding the wood' over all teams, bar Dan Jordan's men.

This hitout against the Lakers will give Tymms' reigning premiers a welcoming opportunity to fine tune their touch and any other concerns they may have applying recent methods.

Those variables aside, options to manage any player niggles will be soaked up by the brains trust ahead of a qualifying final next week against Darley (likely) or Sebastopol.

Some will be required to work through it, others granted the week off. Either way, the minor premiership looms as another feather in Tymms' cap, albeit his final year in charge.

For the Lakers, it's been another tough year on the win/loss front with recent results giving every indication season’s end is near.

Let's hope they can find the energy to give interim coach Tim Shearer a response worthy of his efforts following the mid-season departure of Jack Fitzpatrick.    

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Despite the Devils (second) and Lions (fifth) current standing inside the top six, there's a little more at stake than meets the eye when these two rivals meet at Darley Park.

For the hosts, securing a prized double chance that comes with a second-place finish can only be guaranteed with a 14th win of the season given third placed Sebastopol (12 wins) are breathing down their necks aiming to bridge the Devils’ one game and 14% advantage.

Sunbury (151%) on the other hand sit level on 32 points with Redan (6th-135%) and East Point (7th-121%). The only way Sunbury can miss finals will be in the rare event of a loss and wins by Redan over Sebastopol and East Point over North Ballarat, with both on the road.

Tipping both coaches will have appointed an eager eye to follow the progress of those games and adjust accordingly. 

Putting all the hearsay to one side for a moment, the Devils head into the Lions meet with recent home wins over Melton, North Ballarat and Sebastopol. Sunbury however, while competitive for long periods have won just three of their last nine games including three losses on the trot.

Expect both sides to bring the heat early and depending on what is unfolding around the BFNL in real time will determine how long the burners remain on high. For carrying a healthy list into finals will be deemed of paramount importance given the even spread of competition.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Fact. Sebastopol are yet to be beaten at home all year and are yet to be headed at halftime in any of their 12 games played in Ballarat.

When you throw in they're yet to field (arguably) their best 22 on paper, the chances of the Burra breaking their near 50-year premiership drought look promising.

The Burras’ five game winning streak will be put to the test when they face Redan (6th) who are yet to consolidate a finals berth.

While Gary Learmonth's group can finish as high as fifth at the expense of Sunbury, a heavy loss could see them fall as far as seventh, pending the result of East Point's effort against North Ballarat at Mars Stadium. 

Redan have had their chances to lock in the prized sixth spot but have won just three of their last six games, two of those against Melton South.

On the other hand, the hosts have been ultra consistent, having dropped just three games for the season to Melton, North Ballarat and Darley. Strangely, despite playing off in last year’s grand final, the Burra copped the Bloods just once.

Anyway, if Redan can deliver something similar to their Round 9 performance against the Burra (won three quarters), surely they're a chance of an upset.

On paper, the Lions read a formidable combination. But with the Burra expecting Riley O'Keefe, Jay Dahlhaus and Jed Hill to return, the home side looks ominous, enabling chance to be peaking at the right time.

If Redan can get it done, they will surely have earned their place, but the numbers and scope favoring the Burra suggest Kiel and Columbro’s men won't be willing to part on any momentum ahead of finals, with a slim second place finish still on the radar with the Burra needing need Sunbury to beat Darley comfortably. 

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

While much of the BFNL's attention leans toward how the top seven sides shape the final six on the last day of the home and away season, spare a thought for the unofficial battle for eighth when the Cobras host the Swans at Maddingley Park.

While only percentage separates these two sides, it's the Cobras (at home) who occupy the box seat finishing off their season with six wins including their last four on the trot.

Winning out of turn has been rare for these two despite wins over Sunbury (both) and Redan (Ballarat). But it's the gap between the Swans’ best and worst that has left some unconvinced this season.

They have managed just the one win on the road for the season (Melton South) from seven outings and meet the Cobras who refuse to put the cue away ahead of time.

The Swans have seven losses for the season in the 45+ points range including two over the 100-point mark. Alternatively, the Cobras have four defeats beyond 45 points with just one of those toppling the ton (Round 1 v Sebastopol). 

Momentum and an all-important home ground advantage at this time of year will favour the Cobras despite the likelihood of them losing key personnel back to the Coates Talent League’s final round.

The Swans are more than capable of winning, the list will tell you at as you scroll looking for reason.

But there's a positive vibe sweeping the Cobras at the moment and a win in front of their faithful, a fourth in a row will consolidate the club’s direction even further as well and truly on the right track.   

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

We head into our last round of the home and away season with a number of top six sides set to go head-to-head ahead of a blockbuster finals series next week.

There's a bit to play out at the selection table ahead of the opening bounce in Saturday's BFNL ‘Match of the Round’ when Melton host Darley at MacPherson Park.

With finals imminent and the quandary of little or nothing to gain from a ladder perspective will preservation outweigh the prospect of both sides picking their best available 22?

What would you do if you were Troy Scoble or Dan Jordan?

There are a host of variables, damned if you do, damned if you don't. Only in hindsight can we be certain.

The reality is the Devils need more gametime together, another opportunity to connect with a throw at the stumps look at the Bloods who were way too good at their first meet back in Round 7. 

Darley has just two players that have played every senior game this year, Melton nine.

It's no secret the Devils have had their frustrations with an inability to field their best 22 but the here and now looks as encouraging as it's been all year.

Will they risk top end trio Brett Bewley, Billy Myers and Matthew Brett? Would you?

Jordan and his leadership group will be the best judge of that.

From a mental perspective the Devils don't need to be 10 goals off the mark, nor show their entire hand ahead of a finals series just seven days later.

It's a catch 22 situation and potential double edged sword scenario.

Whatever the approach, Devils fans rest assured, you're in good hands.

The Bloods are simply flying taking all before them having won their last 10 on the trot. After the nightmare straight sets exit from last year’s finals race, what will Scoble do different?

With the stage already set for a highly anticipated qualifying final against East Point on August 31st, what could possibly go wrong?

One thing is certain, the Bloods will welcome a timely hit out against top six opposition, the first of its kind in 35 days.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Ironically, this game 'near' mirrors the scenarios that face Melton and Darley given there's little to gain ahead of finals for these two sides who face off at Alfredton Oval.

However, 'near' is the key word in this case as a win for the Swans would see them usurp North Ballarat on the table into fifth, earning an elimination final against Sunbury, a team they beat by 22 points back in Round 11.

For the Kangas, a win would extend their unbeaten run to 15 and a chance of securing the minor premiership in the event of Dan Jordan's Devils inflicting an upset down the highway.

It's hard to fathom the more likely outcome is East Point finish in second for the home and season having lost just one game. Unheard of!

The Swans have impressed, earning their return to finals with an unbeaten run since round 10.

They’re in form and ready to test themselves against one of the flag fancies.

How will Swans’ coach Chris Maple go about the assignment? 

Will the experienced mentor lean more on the side of caution and preservation, or will he use the opportunity as a timely footy audit and run the gauntlet against the only team that has beaten everyone in 2024.

The narrative for East Point coach Joe Carmody needs no adjustment.

Onwards and upwards for the all-conquering Kangas is likely, given their spread of impact contributors sits enviably at 22 on recent form. Why flirt with that?

Expect the margin to be closer than their first meeting as the improving Swans present as a tougher assignment at home.

Fingers crossed, both teams get through unscathed, as bigger fish to fry scenarios wait on the horizon.

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Cobras will have vivid memories of their upset win at the Clarke Oval in Round 18 last year that essentially torpedoed the Lions out of the finals action.

While the Lions are a lock to feature at the business end this year, there's no denying the Cobras some degree of confidence after an encouraging effort against the Devils last week.

Any copy paste version of that performance would see the Cobras make a cheeky case claiming their deja vu moment.

But, backing up solid performance has been a season long battle for Dennis Armfield's young group, with just one win on the board post the Cobras’ bye in Round 7.

Something tells me they've one more push left in them, as leaders Jack Parente, Jake Owen, Tyson Shea, Luke Goetz and Jake McCreery endeavour to drag the four-win Cobras over the line, providing the means of something to celebrate, ahead of a premature mad Monday release.

The Cobras have an upset in them, always have, but Sunbury need to do some correcting of their own and get their season back on track.

Injuries have been crippling for the Lions in the back half of the season.

Ok, crippling may be an overreach, but they have certainly had an impact and derailed momentum.

Unfortunately, the Lions are vulnerable at the worst time of the year.

Expect Lions’ coach Matty White to raise the enjoyment levels for his players in this performance especially given the outcome has little or no bearing on the ladder.

It's just what the Lions need after an energy sapping loss to East Point last week.  

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Sebastopol will start warm favourites to take care of Melton South when seventh meets eleventh at Marty Busch Reserve.

With finals off the table for both sides, the respective coaches will look for further improvement with an encouraging performance to hang their hats on ahead of a thorough season review.

The Burra should be fresh off the bye and will look to put this game to bed early, denying a Panthers outfit endeavouring to avoid a winless season for the second time in a row.

Home fans deserve a bold showing from Tony Lockyer's men to round out an otherwise disappointing season.

Sure, they've had excuses but the fall from third last year to seventh would have surprised even the most reserved of Burras fans.

But one thing we do know is the Burra are a proud club, are well led and will bounce.

Don't expect them to have put the cue in the rack just yet and rather use this afternoon to maximum effect with a big win.

For the Panthers, the reality is there have been tougher assignments in Ballarat this year and they should welcome the challenge.

Their best has been encouraging, their worst uncompetitive.

Let's hope for Travis Hodgson and the players representing the proud navy blue and white, there’s one more forward showing left in the camp, before the boots are hung up following another tough season on the win / loss front.

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Expect an entertaining game of footy not dissimilar to their last meet when the Lakers host the Lions at CE Brown Reserve.

Weather permitting, I see no reason why we won't see plenty of goals given the strengths forward in these two sides and the recent evidence of 'leaky defence' syndrome.

The Lakers will need to get their match ups right as Lachie Bond (18 goals, 7 games) and Grant Bell (42 goals, 14 games) pose the obvious threat to Rohan Brown's group earning a third win of the season.

The likely absence of Lions’ midfielder Khy Jess opens the door for the Lakers to square away the clearance count as the focus shifts to denying Lachie George.

One problem is better than two.

Lakers’ midfield combo led by Tom Zampatti, Joel O'Connell, Timmy Collins and Angus Gove will ask questions of the visiting party who have had their own struggles on the win/loss front this season.

But regardless of who is afforded the premiership points come 5pm Saturday afternoon, be sure to venture down to CE Brown and check out the next crop of talent on the rise.

Coaches Gary Learmonth and Rohan Brown are under no illusions where they're at for the here and now, but the same cannot be said for the ceiling on their futures.

The game will be played in great spirits with both teams looking the winner at various stages.

Tipping the visitors may have the edge with weaponry in their front half despite the clear and present danger of Bailey Thompson (34 goals) and potentially Jaydo Wright (hamstring) who faces a race against time to return for the hosts last hit out of the 2024 season. 

Scoop’s tip
Redan

Round 2 Football Preview with Scoop!

With Round 1 in the books, this weekend's action provides clubs with the chance to bounce back or continue their strong starts to the season. 

New Cobras coach Jason Williams gets his first taste of the local derby when they host the Devils this weekend.

What's been prepared for Dan Jordan's boys in the lead up has the mind ticking on the back of a 121-point thrashing in Round 1.

It's fair to assume a 'warm welcome' won't be high on the agenda. Once the two teams have split from their collective respects honouring the Anzac tradition, it's game on.

The Cobras will be desperate to start well at home, giving some indication to home fans the rebuild is on the right track.

New Cobra additions Luke Goetz, Josh Onderwater, Jake McReery and Eamon Ogden performed well in their new colors and will be keen to impact again on what will arguably be the biggest stage for their season.

A handful of Cobra youngsters will return from the Coates Talent League Under 18 competition to bolster stocks and could make it interesting early with their sprightly enthusiasm but it will be a big ask to deny the Devils the premiership points.

Despite winning by 40 points in Round 1, the Devils looked every bit in need of the run and will be hopeful experienced campaigners Billy Myers, Matty Brett and Darren Leonard are available. On a positive note, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Shane Page seemingly play their best footy in these big games.

Surely trying conditions in Round 1 played a role in 'the look' of these two teams and we're privy to a spike first hand on that impression today.

Scoop’s tip:Darley

While you can't fully trust what version of Sunbury you're going get, the small sample size so far in 2023 suggests faith is being restored. So much so, I’m going to tip an upset here with the Lions to make it a 2-0 start to their season, by downing the visiting reigning premiers, Melton.

'Visiting' is the key word determining my selection. For all of the Lions frustrations in recent times they were only one of two teams (North Ballarat the other) to overcome the Bloods in 2022. That day at home, it could easily have been more than final 15-point margin given the Lions had 10 more shots on goal.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will welcome the press and conversation leaning toward a Lions win and use it as motivation. I've no doubt the Bloods best is still the best going around but can they bring the heat second after a comfortable win over the Panthers in Round 1. I'm tipping like a few clubs, they're still a way off their best in the contest while the Lions have been all in over the pre-season, desperate for early wins after two ordinary starts in '21 and '22.

Sunbury's additions for '23 have been measured, merely complementing a group that, despite a five-win season, were not far off challenging. The top-ups in, Cody Brand, Josiah Garisto, Rivva Karpany, and the full time addition of Josh Guthrie and Mitch Lewis adds depth and stability.

For me, this ‘Match of the Round’ contest is a flip of the coin result - home ground advantage and an 'up and about' Lions is enough to sway against the reigning premiers in a close one.

Scoop’s tip:Sunbury

Expect North Ballarat to bounce back at home when they take on impressive Round 1 winners Redan. Despite losing to Sunbury last week, Brendan McCartney’s boys showed enough to suggest they will be in the finals mix again.

Visiting Redan will be fresh after a week off but I'm not sure that is the ideal preparation so early in the season - how they adjust to the 'flying start' pressure from the hosts will interesting given they're coming off a 15-day break. The Lions are hunting a place in the final six, and will throw everything at their more fancied rivals. Their winning chances are real having beaten North Ballarat in their last meeting on City Oval.

The start will be all important for these two teams - let’s hope there is no significant wind advantage to one end - it always takes the edge off a promising spectacle. 

North Ballarat marquee signing Stewart Crameri was solid first up and will be improved by the run while the availability of Josh Chatfield (Footscray VFL) may have its own bearing on the result. Same can be said for Lions mid Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). In a boost for the Roosters, star mid Riley Polkinghorne is likely to return while Jack Riding is a 50/50 chance.

Redan are in form albeit a win over the Lakers, who've lost 16 in a row, means the jury remains out until a more formidable opponent is overcome.

Scoop’s tip:North Ballarat

The Panthers travel to Eastern Oval with a horror recent history against the Kangas. They will be praying for rain at least, hopeful of anything that can minimise the damage.

For new Panthers coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy, let me introduce you to the Johnston brothers, for if you don't acknowledge them now they'll certainly get you later. Expect Matty Johnson to have a presence through the midfield and Jordy to help himself to a few goals as they lead the Panthers’ midfield and defence on a merry dance.

For new East Point coach Jackson Merrett, expect him to endure a few butterflies as he prepares for his first season in charge with the expectations on the Kangas sure to fluctuate.

Given the Panthers tough Round 1 result at the hands of Melton, what can we expect from the Kangas? Can they win by enough to please themselves come 5pm. I think Merrett will be just relieved with the four premiership points in the bank, be happy to get through unscathed and be encouraged by what he saw from his young group - for the Kangas will need more from their 'bottom half' talent if they're trouble the big guns in 2023.

Scoop’s tip:East Point

Both sides arrive off a nervous start following losses to Darley (Ballarat) and Redan (Lakers). In fairness, the nature of the Swans performance was considerably more positive. If not for wasted opportunities, they could easily have finished closer. I know the Lakers too visited the 'wasted opportunities' theme but one goal for an entire four quarters is not in the same mantle.

The Lakers bring some degree of confidence knowing they tested the Swans at their last meeting and were in fact beaten on the last kick of the day. They'll be a better team with newcomers Tom Zampatti and Mick Foster in the midfield, but their availability remains under a cloud.

A memo for Lakers coach Jack Fitzpatrick - beware the youth of the Swans and their ability to extricate from clearance, a notable area of difference in the Lakers opening round loss to the Lions.

Swans trio Will Liston (37 disposals), Paddy Simpson and the 'fine drop' Wyatt Squires impressed against the Devils last week and the beneficiaries of all important ruckman Marcus Powling. How much the young Swans can improve on their efficiencies with ball in hand remains their greatest challenge.

The game looms as the perfect opportunity for progress with a chance to go 1-1 on the line for both sides.

Scoop’s tip:Ballarat

With Round 1 in the books, a grand final replay headlines the action in Round 2 as our teams come out to play!

Who could forget the last time these two sides met when Darley came from behind to clinch its third premiership in seven seasons with the last kick of the day.

To put in perspective, over 100,000 viewers combined to watch in real time or replay the final moments of the 2023 Grand Final in a conclusion for the ages.

Given its unique evening time slot, expect again (while not at those lofty heights), significant, curious interest.

While Devils’ coach Dan Jordan is renowned for 'not looking back', it would be remiss of him to ignore his last two visits to Mars Stadium where his chargers have struggled to even score, beaten comfortably in both outings by 57+ points.

For the record, Mars Stadium is the only ground in the BFNL that Jordan (0-2) has yet to salute at. But the Devils won't be alone in this mental battle of attrition.

The heartbreak reminder of the one-point 2023 Grand Final loss against the Devils will feel like yesterday for Brendan McCartney's men at stages I’m sure, and more specifically during the days leading up and moments before the opening bounce.

How effectively the Roosters manage those emotions and turn into positive action will be telling against an in form visiting party that have won their last 11 BFNL games on the trot and are led by the competition’s best player.

Brett Bewley counts the sleeps to a new season of football like a kid counts those down to Christmas. The reigning dual Henderson Medalist's appetite for footy and competing was highlighted with a standout 44 possessions, three goal return in the Devils’ season opener - a 96-point dismantling of East Point.

Tipping some of the North Ballarat faithful in attendance wish they hadn't made the pilgrimage.

Expect Roosters’ trio Cam McCallum (in best v Darley 3 of last 4), Riley Polkinghorne (in best 3 of last 4) and Jamie Quick (kicked 10 goals v Darley last 3 @33%) to have the greatest say in the Roosters’ fortunes.

For the Devils, Bewley aside, midfielder Luther Baker hasn't lost a BFNL game since the 2022 First Semi Final, while Billy Myers is yet to play in a losing BFNL Darley side since his return to the club ahead of the 2023 season (17-0).

PLAYER WATCH

Will Johnson (Darley)
Kicked 40 goals last year (Comp rank 5) and has started the new season in fine style with four goals against East Point. Johnson looks the beneficiary of a solid pre-season and train-on time spent with Geelong VFL - capable of playing a number of roles.

Malachi White (North Ballarat)
New recruit from the Geelong Falcons will add depth to the list of midfield options for Brendan McCartney's group who aim to go one better in season 2024.     

SCOOP’S TIP

Darley

The Burra, under new coach Tony Lockyer, face their nemesis Melton on Saturday and will be keen to change the narrative - albeit a first win over the Bloods since the 2019 preliminary final.

It's not like Sebastopol haven't had the tradesmen to get it done, rather an execution of the tools per se has proven their undoing.

Sure, the Bloods have won 40 of 48 BFNL games for the period since including a premiership and the Burra aren't on their own falling short, but Saturday looms a timely footy audit.

The Bloods made light work of cross-town rivals Melton South with no less than 14 goalkickers with seven players accumulating 20 possessions or more that amounted to a landslide of inside 50s (72-29).

Not too dissimilar, the Burras 80-point routing of the Lakers saw the inside 50 count 64-38, while matching the Bloods for players enjoying 20+ disposals.

In essence, last week’s challenge for both teams could be described as the entree to this feast, spike if you will for the senses and levels of intensity.

Visiting Melton will have to do it without prime mover Liam Carter (5 goals last week) giving the Burra one less obstacle to overcome.

Burra small forward Adam Forbes told 'The Insider' midweek during an interview that the Burra will comply with a new system approach implemented by Lockyer will hold them in good stead, allowing every chance on that MO alone featuring prominently at the business end.

Easier said than done against the Bloods.

Troy Scoble is the new man leading the Bloods and has invigorated a group who would concede 'may have left a flag out there' given the clubs recent dominance.

Scoble is thorough, well credentialled, and popular among the Bloods faithful and brings a fresh set of eyes onto a proud group that has forgiven itself for a straight sets exit from last year’s finals, but surely not forgotten.   

PLAYER WATCH

Jaycob Hickey (Melton)
Seamless return to the club for Hickey landing in the best players last week. Adds vital depth to a midfield group aiming to look a little less predictable despite earning the last two minor premierships. 

Lachie Cassidy (Sebastopol)
Hard working mid who must lead from the front if the Burra are to be any chance ending their run of outs against the Bloods. Fingers crossed for Burra fans his body holds up following hamstring issues the last couple of seasons.  

SCOOP’S TIP

Melton

Former Lions coach Travis Hodgson faces his old team when he arrives with perennial recent battlers Melton South at the Clarke Oval on Saturday.

While intel on the opposition won't be a problem for Hodgson, having his new group more competitive and in games for longer looms his greatest challenge.

Despite trailing last week in their season opener against the mighty Bloods, the quarter time scoreline of three goals to one provided some glimmer of hope looking forward.

The Panthers aren't expected to resemble their best 22 for another week or two leaving Saturday's outcome in the 'worry basket', given Sunbury's block of form in the pre-season and their win over Redan in Ballarat last week.

Expect the 'link up' Lions to expose the under manned nature of the Panthers the further this game goes.

Containing Lions’ leading forward Jake Sutton will be one of many tasks that lies ahead for the Panthers.

Experienced Redan defender Jacob Werts was stoic in his performance last week despite Sutton's five goals.

It would not surprise if Sutton was the target in at least half of the Lions 43 inside 50's. It would be a brave call to estimate how many times Sutton will again be the target of opportunity, given Melton posted a monster 73 inside 50s against the Panthers last week.

Unfortunately, star Panthers’ recruits Patrick Veszpremi (broken hand - 6 weeks) and Anthony Wilson (hamstring - 10 weeks) are set for a significant stint on the sidelines after succumbing to serious injury last week.

For Sunbury, it will be all about maintaining good habits and getting through unscathed with a convincing second win of the season.

Sunbury's depth is as good as any, suggesting the separation on the scoreboard will be mounting the longer this game goes.

Two solid quarters matched on the scoreboard would equate to a mini win for the Panthers.

PLAYER WATCH

Josh Guthrie (Sunbury)
Former North Melbourne VFL listed player now integral part of the Lions midfield. Hit-up accumulator who keeps presenting and keeps opposition accountable. While Panthers coach Travis Hodgson knows all about the Guthrie game as a former coach, denying the mid a 30-possession game will be tough.   

Broden Collins (Melton South)
Hard working ruckman will no doubt be a shining light in a tough afternoon tipped for the Panthers.

SCOOP’S TIP

Sunbury

The Swans gave every indication their unofficial second year rebuild under experienced mentor Chris Maple is on track after a 16-point win on the road against the Cobras in Round 1.

Margin aside, it was the 30 shots on goal that grabbed my attention, all without Andrew Hooper!

Only once under Maple have the Swans had more shots on goal, Round 7, 2023 v Melton South.

The addition of Footscray VFL listed player Rhett Montgomery went under the radar as the former pick #4 in the AFL Rookie draft (Essendon) had 19 disposals, with eight contested, in his first hit-out.

The long-awaited debut of former Collingwood VFL listed product Callan Wellings was also significant (29 disposals ,10 contested).

Organic trio Wyatt Squires (22 disposals, 13 contested), Will Liston (20 disposals, 11 contested) and Paddy Simpson (21 disposals, 6 contested) showed further signs of progression.

A mirror image of those numbers would see the Swans well on their way to a 2-0 start to the season.

Redan aren't shy on quality youth either, paving the way for an entertaining brand of attacking football.

Lions’ forward Marty Boyer kicked two goals to open his 2024 account in last week's 25-point loss to Sunbury but could easily have had five with a touch more, well...touch!

Taj Bond (203cm) is a welcoming addition to the Lions rucks stocks and will have an important role to play against seasoned Swans big man Marcus Powling.

Unfortunately for the Lions, the tape will tell you there is too much reliance on Lachie George around stoppage to reap any clean advantage.

I'd like to see more protection for Kye Jess who was denied any real time to maximise impact, and was often rushed with his decision making.

Harry Lawson is not on his own as a rebound attacker off half back with Rory Gunser and Liam Farnsworth proving more than capable with their piercing left foot.

Looking forward to this battle of the youth brigades but I’m leaning to the Swans top end talent to sway the pendulum in their favour in front of a home crowd.     

PLAYER WATCH

Rhett Montgomery (Ballarat)
A huge asset for the Swans in their 16-point win on the road over the Cobras. Taken pick #4 in the 2022 AFL Rookie Draft the 190cm, 23-year-old utility will prove a handful at the level pending availability (Now Footscray VFL).

Harry Lawson (Redan)
Attacking defender off half back with his run, carry and distribution. Even snuck forward for a goal last week to be on the end of the Lions chain. Just reward for his gut running.

SCOOP’S TIP

Ballarat

The Cobras will aim to bounce back when they travel up the highway for a must win game against the Lakers.

Sure, it's only Round 2, but the Cobras you'd think would have to win with something in hand to gain the necessary confidence ahead of their Anzac Day weekend clash with cross town rivals Darley.

Both sides are coming off season opener defeats but will give themselves a realistic chance squaring the ledger on Saturday.

The fact this game is played in Ballarat does give the Lakers an outside chance given the two sides were locked together late in the corresponding fixture last year before the Cobras finished with their noses in front.

While it's fair to suggest the Cobras will pose a more formidable combination in the new season, coach Dennis Armfield won't take anything for granted given the clubs opening round loss to Ballarat and 0-2 pre-season return against Avondale Heights and Williamstown CYC.

Looking forward to the ruck dual as Lakers duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty aim to deny leading Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz any advantage to his waiting midfield.

The Cobras’ leading mids, Tyson Shea (23), Jake McCreery (25), Josh Huxtable (27) and Ethan McKercher (9) combined for 84 disposals last week and will look to build on the three marks afforded inside 50 to prime aerial targets Jake Owen (2) and Joel Freeman (1).

Only Will Clark (24) had more than 20 disposals for the Lakers in their Round 1 loss to Sebastopol.

Winning more ball for a start will be high on the agenda for new coach Rohan Brown as he strives for an early confidence building win.

For any result favouring the Lakers, with the exception of Melton South, will be rendered an upset at this point in time.

Can't wait to see Jayden Wright's break out game in Lakers colors when it surely comes. If it happens to be against the Cobras, who knows what will happen!           

PLAYER WATCH

Joel Freeman (Bacchus Marsh)
Returns from the Western Jets (last year) for a full season with the Cobras under new coach Dennis Armfield. Has kicked 23 goals from his last nine senior games, is dangerous overhead and accurate shot on goal. Confidence player with plenty of upside.  

Bailey Thompson (Lake Wendouree)
Wiry forward/mid formerly of Camperdown who kicked more goals than any other Laker in 2023. Started well in their season opener with 3 goals against Sebastopol.

SCOOP’S TIP

Bacchus Marsh

This weekend stands out as we're back with a full slate of games as Redan and Sunbury set out to kick off their seasons with intriguing fixtures in Round 2.

Remarkably, since 2011 these two teams have met just fifteen times, during which time Redan has won eleven of these clashes.

Despite this, Bacchus Marsh has had the better of Redan in their last three meetings at the City Oval.

The Cobras have won here on two of their last three visits, losing by just four points in 2023.

A massive injury cloud hung over Redan throughout the 2024 season, with in excess of 20 players unavailable.

Although clear skies seem to be on the horizon for the Club as a whole, with a large influx of Under 17 and Under 19 players transitioning into the Senior ranks.

2024 BFNL Rookie of the Year Khy Jess will be one’s game to watch after he has spent the summer training with Essendon’s VFL side.

Also returning on the Lions’ list is Lachie Bond who lined up for Port Melbourne in their VFL season opener; a very handy addition to the maroon and gold forward set-up when they can see him in for some games.

The Cobras however will take a lot of confidence out their season opener.

Luke Goetz will no doubt again be hard to stop in the middle after he had 67 hitouts to his name.

Huxtable and Owen are another combination up forward that Redan will need to combat.

Tip: Bacchus Marsh

It’s a big ask.

That’s what it is for Rohan Brown’s young Lakers side, who in the second hit out for the season face an experienced and very much still in form Melton Bloods side.

Melton has had the better of Lake Wendouree in recent times, the Bloods having beaten the Lakers in nine of their last ten clashes.

History is a credit to the Lakers. Prior to this Lake Wendouree had won every one of its encounters with Melton between 2010 and 2018, a run of fourteen straight victories.

Fast forward sometime later and it has been a tough slog for the Lakers crew.

From an individual standpoint, there’s plenty to like about Tom Zampatti after he controlled the ruck for the Lakers, 43 hitouts to his name against an experienced opponent.

Kynan Raven also showing good signs for the Lakers in his first Senior game at the club since 2019. 

Melton had plenty of hands on the footy last weekend and good hands at that.

However, they will be looking to hit the scoreboard much more than they did on the weekend, only managing to pile on nine goals for the entire game.

For Melton it will be a case of exceeding the standards for themselves this weekend.

For Lake Wendouree, it may just be a case of limiting the hurt on the scoreboard.

Tip:Melton

Whilst managing two points in their season opener, North Ballarat will be looking to take advantage of a VFL bye this weekend to secure the full four points.

The Roosters boasted standout individual performances from Riley Polkinghorne (162 Ranking Points) and in his second season at the Club, Mal White.

East Point although managing to take the four points in their first game, will need a four-quarter effort to remain on the winners list.

The Roos bounced to a 30-point lead at quarter time, but gradually let that lead slip across the remainder of the game.

Expect the duo of Matt and Jordan Johnston to be acclimatised to the weather of this weekend after their season in the NTFL. The duo was straight back to business in Round 1, both continuing their good form. 

The Roos have won five of their last six matches against North Ballarat, the one loss being the crucial Preliminary Final of 2023.

And Mars Stadium holds no fears for East Point, winning the last two encounters with North on their home turf.

Although their last encounter was not a close one by all means, a very different North outfit will line up against the Roos this weekend.

It will be a slight unknown for East Point, given North Ballarat’s run with injuries in the back half of last season.

With the Roosters squad looking at (almost) full health, East Point will need to maintain their intensity from the first whistle.

Tip:North Ballarat

After going from 2003 to early 2018 without beating Ballarat, Sebastopol has won seven of their last eleven games against the Swans.

Whilst both sides go into Round 2 winless, they should take a lot of confidence out of their clashes.

On paper, it was a big ask of the Swans to take it up to North Ballarat.

Similarly, the Burra had a challenge in facing 2024 grand finalists East Point.

Both sides managing to be competitive against quality teams, right until the final siren.

With Hugo Papst’s impressive return to the club, coach Tony Lockyer will be hoping for improvement in the middle of the ground to get the ball up forward.

The challenge for the Burra may be in the ruck, in which they’ll need to find an answer for Swans star recruit Biggie Nyuon who featured in there on the weekend.

Youngsters Paddy Simpson (29 disposals) and Wyatt Squires (28 disposals) enjoyed impressive starts to their seasons and will no doubt be looked to again.

With both teams’ sights set on the very achievable goal of finals this year, it’s a pretty important game as the sides head into the Easter break next week.

Tip: Sebastopol

With a Round 1 Bye, it is a big ask of Sunbury to take on Darley for their first game of the 2025 Season.

The Devils took on the reigning premiers in Melton for their first clash of the season last week, keeping the game in their grasp until the last ten minutes.

Coming off impressive individual performances in Hind (45 disposals), Bewley (38 disposals) and Myers (13 intercept possessions), the Lions will have several crucial play makers to shut down.

The Lions have enjoyed a pre-season in getting their squad back to full health. The likes of Hannett, Lever, Newitt, Tentonello and Wood have all been confirmed as 100%.

Tall recruit Damien Johnson will line up for the Lions for his debut; a much needed moving forward and strong mark in the contest.

The Devils have won their past three, and six of their last seven, home ground clashes against Sunbury.

Sunbury’s only win at Darley in this period coming in the COVID-shortened 2021 season.

Darley impressively hasn’t missed a finals series in a full season since 2012. For their part, Sunbury’s only three finals misses have been in recent years.

After a first-round exit from the 2024 finals series, Sunbury will be hoping to get their season off to the best start possible.

Whilst Darley will be hoping to head into the Easter Break back on the winners list.

Tip:Darley

The round kicks off with an Anzac Day matchup on Thursday before all eyes turn to Saturday for a flurry of intriguing contests.

The 0-2 Lakers are playing with plenty of spirit and will make hard work of it for Ballarat who aim to keep their unbeaten record intact.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has been 'proud' of his young group and the endeavour shown over his short tenure and will look to build on the nature of their ability to threaten.

Honourable losses can wear thin over time, so changing the narrative with a win will surely do wonders for a group that has clearly improved on previous seasons.

On exposed form Chris Maple's Swans will head into the Anzac Day clash warm favorites.

Sure, the Swans faithful would be rapt with their 2-0 start, but Maple's reservations expressed in the post-match of both wins give every indication there's a lot more work to be done “in all facets of the game,”.

I get it's a coach’s job to keep a lid on things, but there's been plenty to like about the Swans in 2024.

An improvement in personnel, be it organic or outsourced has seen the Swans tipped as league improvers by some rival coaches. On the evidence so far, I think they're right.

An opportunity for consolidation awaits the Swans whose collective speed across the ground will stretch the Lakers, especially on turnover.

Memo for the Lakers - give the ball back at your own peril!

Rhett Montgomerie has proven a real find in the opening fortnight - an injection of top end talent the Swans will need taking the next step. His availability at Footscray VFL however is out of the Swans hands.

Callum Wellings has also provided a major boost to the Swans’ arsenal between the arcs after missing all of last year with travel and surgery.

For the Lakers hopes, I’m keen to see Jayden Wright complement twin towers Felix Fogarty and Tom Zampatti.

The form of Bailey Thompson (seven goals), Timmy Collins (in best 2/2) and Brayden Helyar (2/2) is also having an impact despite a winless opening two rounds.

Do the Anzac Day occasion proud - wishing both sides all the best on an important day that truly represents the fabric of being Australian. 

PLAYER WATCH

Will Liston (Ballarat #2)
Club Best and Fairest winner who has taken his game to a new level over the last 12 months. Reliable mid with speed to burn. Dangerous on the spread.

Felix Fogarty (Lake Wendouree #18)
Mobile tall provides an aerial target for the Lakers. Kicks the ball well for a big man and will look to build on his solid contribution made in last week's narrow loss to the Cobras. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Ballarat

While Redan are expected to win and win well, the timing of having to face the struggling Panthers could well be the worst of the season.

Expect a whisper of unconfirmed top end talent to make a one-off appearance for the navy blue and white providing Coach Travis Hodgson with an injection of the necessary tools capable of aiding and executing a plan.

The long-term injuries to star recruits Patrick Veszpremi and Anthony Wilson has led to the club having to source more talent into the group that does not include Geelong VFL listed key defender Darby Schilder who will also debut having recovered from a calf complaint.

The Panthers will also derive some comfort knowing former Lions’ captain Isaac Grant has moved on in the off-season following returns of 11 and 10 goal hauls from their last two meets.

But what Redan has despite an 0-2 start to the season is some encouraging depth, a mountain of coachable young talent making their way with the Lions.

The youth are being complemented by experienced quartet Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon, and newly appointed captain Jacob Werts.

The Lions should prove too much for the Panthers the longer this game goes but they won't be exempt of an early scare when the legion of Panthers' cameos (up to four) endeavour to sway the pattern of on-field misfortunes embattling the club.  

PLAYER WATCH

Ryder Rousch (Melton South #11)
Up and coming young tall who has been a shining light in a disappointing start for the Panthers. Rousch has been named in the best 2/2 at his new club after making the move from Sunbury.

Grant Bell (Redan #23)
Clever, experienced forward who knows where the goals are. Expect Bell to feature prominently amongst the goals again adding to his impressive nine goal tally to start the season.

SCOOP’S TIP

Redan

The Devils will aim to put this game to bed early as they have done their previous two meetings with cross town rivals Bacchus Marsh.

Dan Jordan's men led by 23 and 35 points at the main break on those occasions before restricting the Cobras to just 14 scoring shorts for the entire game.  

Expect 'Killer Bees' Brett Bewley, Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Brady Wright to lead the Devils with significant intent after the reigning premiers fell short on the road last week against North Ballarat.

For Dennis Armfield's Cobras, a win last week, while not convincing, should derive enough confidence to at least take it up to the Devils early, denying a 'copy paste' version of recent Derby outings.

Cobras’ quintet Jake Owen, Luke Goetz, Joel Freeman, Will Lalor and Rye Penny (if available) will provide enough aerial presence to threaten if the delivery is up to speed.

The pressure from the Devils on the ball carrier has been a feature creating turnover, leading to scores.

The Cobras inferior numbers to the Devils re disposal efficiency could tell its own story on the scoreboard at games end.

The Devils have six current players that finished in the top 40 goalkickers of the 2023 season, Bacchus Marsh just two. Finding less predictable avenues to goal for the Cobras against the miserly Devils defence looms another challenge for Armfield and his staff.          

These games often unveil an unlikely hero or break out game for a youngster on the up.

Let's hope at least one of these encouragable scenarios plays out in what is arguably the biggest home and away stage for both clubs.

PLAYER WATCH

Joel Cadman (Darley #17)
Should be cherry ripe for a big game between the arcs after a big pre-season. His best is very good.

Luke Goetz (Bacchus Marsh #33)
Dominant ruckman will be hoping for a spike in hit outs to advantage and marking presence around the ground.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

After a gritty three-point win over reigning premiers Darley, North Ballarat head to Melton to take on the competition yardstick, concluding a baptism of fire opening for the Roosters’ 2024 campaign.

Take from last week’s result achieved at Mars Stadium what you will, but it was nothing short of willing and courageous in the absence of a handful of top end talent that would walk into any side.

While an early spike in confidence and belief positively consumes the Roosters, it has indeed heightened the levels of expectation from the hosts who have dominated the opposition in their two games to date.

Melton's list bats deeper, but there's no denying the organised nature of North Ballarat, buoyed with the off-season additions of Noah Cockerill, Mal White and Liam Deering who all played a significant role in their debuts for BFNL premiership points last week.

More will be asked of Cockerill this week especially against a rampant Bloods front half boasting four of the competitions nine leading goalscorers already.

A general 'chop out' from the Roosters’ midfielders at the coalface denying the Bloods an exit and repeat entries into the forward 50 will aid organisation and accountability.

If the Bloods get on top between the arcs at speed and on their own terms it will be difficult to hold out.

Just where you expose the Bloods is not easy - in fact the Bloods have won 41/49 games since their 2019 preliminary final exit.

Brendan McCartney, however, can lay claim to being on the winning end of a couple and will be keen to add a third in what would be his one of finest days on the magnets during his four year tenure.

Easier said than done.

Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble has been very impressive in his short time in charge both on and off field and has the players up and about.

Despite losing big men Ben Archard and Brenton Payne the Bloods, albeit a small sample size, look to have taken their game to another level. Catch 'em if you can!

PLAYER WATCH

Braeden Kight (Melton #7)
Dangerous X-factor forward who started the new season with a bang returning back-to-back hauls of seven goals. The Bloods Captain is a man on a mission.

Joshua Sparkman (North Ballarat #1)
A lot will be asked of Sparkman's ability to rebound off half back against the powerhouse Bloods. Expect a solid performance from this progressive type, win, lose or draw. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Melton

Let's be honest, both sides are coming off embarrassing losses and will be desperate to represent a greater version of themselves under lights on Saturday night.

Expect the contest to be dour and low scoring especially if the nighttime dew sweeps through as it did last week at Mars Stadium that witnessed 10 goals for the game, and just two in the second half!

On the flipside, the likelihood of a predominately 'inside' contest could be just what coaches Joe Carmody (East Point) and Tony Lockyer (Sebastopol) are after - an opportunity to get to work in tradesmen like fashion, an area that deserted them in losses to Darley and Melton respectively.

Both sides have talented lists, boasting a succession of recent finals appearances.

An Anzac Day weekend stage in tough conditions is surely to say a lot about the desire and commitment to win the hard footy given a mountain of stoppages are on the cards.

Picking a winner is difficult, neither side will arrive boasting a full book of confidence. Maybe the Kangas with a week off have had longer to process and work on their failings, with a keen eye firmly toward making a better account of themselves against similar opposition on the rebound.

Courage, territory and opportunity will be the overriding themes under the lights at Eastern Oval. Win all three variables, you surely win the game.

PLAYER WATCH

Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (East Point #2)
Inside mid who has returned to the club after a stint in the Mallee. Expect a solid response from one of the more consistent players in the comp after a round one thrashing at the hands of the Devils.

Riley O'Keefe (Sebastopol #2)
U/23 Interleague rep defender who rarely plays a bad game. Will play a key role in the Burras’ defence denying an East Point forward combo on the rebound. 

SCOOP’S TIP

East Point

Anzac Day footy will kick off Round 3 on Friday afternoon before a number of tantalising contests take place on Saturday as the early part of season 2025 continues to unfold.

For the second year running, Lake Wendouree and Ballarat will go head-to-head in the stand-alone Anzac Day clash.

The history between the two sides has been relatively even, but it’s Ballarat who’ve had it over the Lakers in recent years – winning the past five matchups.

You’ve got to go back to 2018 for the last time the Lakers knocked off the Swans, and they’re still chasing that elusive home win against them.

After a couple of weeks of uncharacteristic sunny weather, both sides should feel more at home this week, with a forecast that’s looking more like classic Ballarat footy weather.

It’ll put an importance on clean possession and converting opportunities, two areas both teams have been a bit shaky in so far.

The Swans are off to a great start, leading the competition last round for both inside 50s and intercept possessions. Paddy Simpson has been a key in the forward half, linking up well with veteran Andrew Hooper.

For the Lakers, the win column is still empty – but there were encouraging signs last round against reigning premiers Melton.

The return of Jake Lohman gave them a bit of spark, but he’ll be a big out this week as he suits up for Werribee in their VFL Anzac Day clash with Williamstown.

That puts the pressure on the Lakers' midfield and forward brigade to step up. They’ll need to find extra avenues to goal and bring the heat early.

Ballarat look the more settled and confident outfit at this stage, but Anzac Day footy always has a bit of unpredictability about it.

Can the Lakers break the drought, or will the Swans make it six straight?

Tip: Ballarat

If recent history is anything to go by, the away side might just have the upper hand in this one but Redan will need to pull out something special to keep that trend going when they roll into Eastern Oval to face an in-form East Point.

It’s been a while since the Roos got one over the Lions at home – the last time been 2022.

And while Redan had the better of East Point up until 2017, things have flipped since then, with the Roos taking the upper hand in most clashes since.

Joe Carmody has had his hands full at the selection table already this season, but this week it’s a good problem to have.

After a depleted line-up last round, he’s now looking at a much stronger squad with Matt Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Billy Jones all available.

There’s also a chance for Joe Dodd and Alex Molan to return from injury, which would only add more depth to the home side.

Redan are still chasing their first win of the year, but there were some positive signs in their Good Friday clash against Sunbury – especially their strong opening term.

That kind of start will be crucial again this week, particularly against an East Point outfit that’s leading the comp for first quarter performance.

Accuracy hasn’t been an issue for the Lions – they sit top two in the league when it comes to converting in front of goal – but it’s their final quarters that have left a bit to be desired.

If they want to challenge late in the game, they’ll need strong finishes from the likes of Zac Mortlock and Jacob Short, both of whom have had impressive starts to the season.

As for East Point, it’s hard to fault their form. They’re sitting on top of the ladder and with momentum and confidence, they’ll be hard to stop.

Can Redan spring a surprise and break into the winner’s column? Or will East Point continue to set the pace?

Tip: East Point

There’s just something about these two teams meeting that favours the home side.

In their last 10 meetings, the home team has won nine times – the only exception being way back in 2021, when North Ballarat managed to break through at Clarke Oval.

That stat alone gives Sunbury plenty of confidence heading into this one.

North Ballarat has the stock, no doubt about it.

On paper, they’ve got the depth and experience to be a finals contender.

But a surprise draw in Round 1 and a loss in Round 2 sees them sitting seventh on the ladder, and they’ll be desperate to get a win before next week’s task against Melton.

In terms of efficiency, North aren’t far off.

They’ve been accurate in front of goal and getting it inside 50 hasn’t been the issue.

It’s what’s happening late that’s hurting them – just 17 points total in their two final quarters. And running out of legs is going to be a real concern, especially on the big deck at Clarke Oval.

Sunbury, meanwhile, are coming off a strong Good Friday performance, showing once again they’re a team that knows how to use the footy smartly.

Expect Tyson Lever to play a key role in cutting off North’s forward entries, while the midfield will be looking to tidy up turnovers, particularly through the corridor and inside 50.

If North can bring a four-quarter performance, they’re more than capable of causing problems. But if history repeats, and they fade late again, Sunbury might just run over the top of them.

Tip: Sunbury

It’s only the second time since 2019 that Melton make the trip out to Marty Bush Reserve, and while they’ve had Sebastopol’s number in recent years – winning the last six clashes – that doesn’t tell the whole story.

Three of those six wins were decided by less than three goals, including two single-digit nail-biters – one of those being the 2022 grand final.

So, while Melton may be the reigning premiers and red-hot early in 2025, this one’s far from a walkover.

For Sebastopol, the Easter break couldn’t have come at a better time.

After a bruising Round 1 and a Round 2 performance, the Burra have had a chance to reset, rest up, and refocus.

There have been some key individual efforts, with Lach Cassidy and coach Tony Lockyer leading from the front, but it’s going to take a full-team performance to knock off the calibre of Melton.

The Bloods are looking as sharp as ever.

Braedan Kight is coming off a six-goal haul and is a massive threat inside 50, while the likes of the Carter brothers and Souter, continue to provide class and consistency all over the park.

It’s no surprise Troy Scoble’s side are yet to lose a game – they’ve been efficient.

If Sebastopol are going to push them, it starts with contested ball.

They’ll need to lift significantly in that area and bring the pressure from the first bounce.

The home ground advantage, plus a week’s rest, should give them every chance to bring the heat early and stay in the fight.

Expect this one to be closer than many might think.

Can the Burra shock the comp with a statement win, or will the Bloods continue business as normal?

Tip: Melton

The local derby between Darley and Bacchus Marsh is always a highly anticipated clash and this year's edition is shaping up to be another classic.

Sure, Darley have won the past five matchups against the Cobras, but this one’s never as straightforward as the head-to-head suggests.

Three of those five were decided by two goals or less, and the last time these two met at Darley Park, it was the Devils by just twelve points – twice – with a one-point Bacchus Marsh win in 2022 still fresh in local memory.

The Cobras come in with a bit of a buzz after Good Friday, where they unveiled Zach Tuohy, in what was a major moment for the club.

While Tuohy is still warming into things, his presence gave Bacchus Marsh a serious lift as they pushed ladder-leaders East Point for much of the match.

Darley, on the other hand, are coming off a stat blitzing Round 2.

Dan Jordan's side topped nearly every major team metric and with the class of Brett Bewley leading the way through the midfield, it’s no surprise they’re humming.

For the home side, ruck Luke Goetz is in form, leading the league in hit outs – and more importantly, hit outs to advantage – making first use crucial.

To start the season, Bacchus Marsh have shown strong first-half form, while Darley have built into games late.

If the Devils can start hot, they'll be hard to stop. But if the Cobras can weather that early storm, keep it tight at the stoppages, and hold strong through the third quarter, they’ll be right in this.

Will the Cobras break their drought, or will the Devils make it six straight in the derby?

Tip: Darley

An action packed Round 4 will give the opportunity for teams to strengthen their finals credentials, while a premiership favourite faces a good test on the road.

Scoop is here to take you through all the games coming up this weekend.

The Bloods return to MARS Stadium for the first time since their Grand Final triumph over Sebastopol in 2022. Again, Aaron Tymms' boys have rightfully retained benchmark status following a come-from-behind win over an improved Sebastopol.

The Bloods won’t want to be slow to react when they meet a determined North Ballarat who are renowned for playing their best footy at home. That observation could not be more relevant given North's win over the reigning premiers on this very ground last year.

The result certainly turned a few heads across the wider competition, but rest assure Tymms wasn't the least bit shocked of North's capabilities under Brendan McCartney. In fact, North Ballarat are 2-0 against the Bloods at MARS Stadium under McCartney.

Expect marquee big man Stewart Crameri to return to bolster North Ballarat's hopes. Whichever Blood defender gets the role, it looms arguably the toughest one-on-one match up for any in the competition.

If Crameri plays, and is contained, expect the Blood responsible to feature amongst the best even without registering a possession.

Tymms loves his role players, that's what makes them so hard to beat. The Bloods will welcome the unlikely unavailability of North Ballarat’s Collingwood VFL listed player Sam Glover, who would pose a double handful.

On the flipside North Ballarat will want to be better by foot with the bar raised this week, for the Bloods lap up any opportunity to rebound off turnover and sparingly give the ball back. North's handball connection, however, is their trump card. 

For the Bloods, the Carters brothers and Braedyn Kight are the obvious headliners forward of centre but merely front a collective 22 man buy-in, with individual returns usurped for the greater good of the team.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Rebuilding Bacchus Marsh are running out of time to notch a win with the aid of their AFL Under 18 crop as the Coates Talent League enters its penultimate week in recess.

Add the highly anticipated debut of Jake Long into the Cobras mix and they have to be some chance to remain in this game for longer than previous weeks.

In fairness, the Cobras have played Sebastopol, Darley and North Ballarat - all bona fide finals chances. Expect Cobras coach Jason Williams to start raising the bar of expectation on his players as we enter the fourth round, for their top end and Coates Talent League Under 18 affiliated talent are better than their current zero from 12 quarter win season suggests. Newcomer Long may prove the catalyst.

For Redan, they won't want to be coughing up this game as their journey toward a finals berth takes another step forward under new coach Gary Learmonth. Sure, there will be some hiccups along the way, all clubs have them. But at home against the 0-3 Cobras, a loss would be a setback.

The Lions start obvious warm favorites, their good players are all in form with the likes of Izaac Grant (14 goals), Lachie George, Pat Fitzgibbon and Jacob Werts all impressing in the opening rounds. They'll be forced to sweat on the availability of Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). The Cobras have the potential to scare a more fancied opponent, time will tell if that is indeed Redan this week.

Scoop’s tip:Redan

Weather permitting, Sunbury hold the aces to bounce back to the winners list in emphatic style when they face the 0-2 Lakers. While the Lakers have proven to be competitive for long periods in their opening two games, their last quarters have been the cause of much frustration for second year coach Jack Fitzpatrick.

In the Round 1 loss to Redan, the Lakers conceded 6.3 to 0.2 before a near repeat fail in Round 2 against Ballarat, as they were outscored 6.2 to 2.0 in the final term.

Just what Fitzpatrick and his support staff have conjured on the back of another 14-day break remains a mystery. Surely more game time is the right medicine for the young Lakers, hinting their bye in Round 3 was untimely.

Sunbury will continue to build, nurturing good habits ahead of their Round 5 meeting with Darley. The connection with new key forward Cody Brand is already showing positive signs as a fourth week legitimises a trusty sample size ahead of the Devils. The Lakers young mids will continue to give their all, guaranteeing the Lions mids for one, will know they've played a tough game of footy.

While premiership points should never be taken for granted, especially from an enigmatic Sunbury, it's fair to say the Lions have bigger fish to fry.

There will be genuine interest in the progress of the Lions’ connection as the underdog Lakers have another crack ending a 17-game losing streak.    

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Expect Sebastopol to use this hitout against an undermanned Melton South to tweak a few things, experiment if you will, with an eye at finding alternative solutions if required to overcome more seasoned opponents, in particular competition benchmarks Melton.

Don't be surprised to see a few new faces roll through the midfield, making the most of an opportunity for depth players to find touch in a game where the result looms an inevitable conclusion.

While the Panthers showed some grit at home in their last meet at the back end of 2022, kicking 14 goals in a 29-point loss, a repeat of that scoreline given the small sample size this year is unlikely.

Games into young talent and further learnings for the more established Panthers will be the theme of the day with an aim at minimising the carnage on the scoreboard. It's been a tough opening month for the Panthers - Melton, East Point, Sunbury and now Sebastopol.

The Burra are likely to miss Lachie Cassidy (hamstring) for a period with the extent of the strain to be treated more on the cautious side referencing a return. The challenge for some of the Burra crop will be holding their place in the side. Impressing against the Panthers will do their prospects no harm.  

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

These two sides represent a common theme across the 2023 BFNL competition - the path of youth. This Round 4 meeting at Alfredton Oval provides another opportunity to showcase the exciting organic talent from around the region.

How that comes to fruition at senior level around more experienced personnel will be worth the watch. Each side has near double-digit numbers aged 20 or under, so if you're contemplating which game to go to amid a full round of games in Ballarat, this may be the pick of them.

But don't expect to see this year’s premiers, rather an appreciation of youth and quality top end talent chasing a second win of the season for their respective teams.

The Swans’ winning chances hit a snag with the injury to progressive young midfielder Paddy Simpson, who has impressed in his new role. Simpson is expected to miss at least a month after his injury setback. Furthermore, the availability of Swans VFL listed trio Bailey Van de Heuvel (Geelong), Angus Bade (Footscray) and Tristan Maple (Footscray) will play its own role impacting the result.

Kanga’s duo Jackson Merrett and Joe Dodd are nearing a return but could be another week away leaving it, to a degree, a battle of the young guns. The Johnston brothers will again have a major say in the fortunes of the Kangas and how much ball forward they can get to Brad Whittaker, Bryce McDougall and the likes of Liam Canny and Jack Jeffrey.

It should be a ripping game, the Swans however will need to play out of their skins to contain the Kangas. If Andrew Hooper can get off the hook forward for the Swans, there may be some cause for concern for the 2018 and 2019 premiers.     

Scoop’s tip: East Point