Brendan McCartney's North Ballarat will test the self-belief of an improving Dan Jordan-led Darley who have secured a remarkable return to finals off a winless 2021. Given both sides have locked in a prized finals berth already, it will be interesting to see what version of themselves is represented. I've no doubt both sides will be as strong as they can be on the selection front and keen to impact early. Darley should be especially, given North Ballarat have just monstered them at the contest, with and without the ball in recent times.

The addition of Josh Chatfield this week and for the remainder of the North Ballarat finals campaign is a timely boost given they've only had one win from their last four home and away games. Admittedly their opposition was solid, namely East Point, Ballarat and Sebastopol. McCartney will be keen to improve on the learnings of recent weeks and get hold of a Darley group fresh off the bye. I've no doubt the former Western Bulldogs coach will want this game put to bed early, to enable freedoms of his own volition later in the game.

Who knows what the Devils want to take out from this game? Proving they can match the physicality of North and execute under their trademark pressure remain unknowns and potential areas of growth. Needless to add an extra avenue to goal for the Devils aside from Nick Rodda (55 goals) would be a bonus given the returns of dangerous North trio Jack Riding (34 goals), Jamie Quick (34) and Josh Chatfield (10 from 5 games).
Both sides can prepare knowing the result is not the be-all and end-all. For footy fans, it's another opportunity to see Cam McCallum ply his craft in the ruck, as he aims to provide first use for the likes of Chatfield, Riley Polkinghorne and Tim Spiers. That midfield grouping vs the Devils' Brett Bewley, Dylan Landt (available?) and Luther Baker will be worth the entry ticket alone.

While a win no doubt satisfies the confidence levels ahead of finals, I'm not sure the losers will lose too much sleep unless there is domination and or injury to process.

Six of North Ballarat's eight-win seasons have come at Mars Stadium. Winning away from home remains a work in progress for the 2021 Minor Premiers. Darley is 4-3 this year at home.

Scenarios: If Darley wins they finish 4th and will face East Point in an Elimination Final. If the Devils lose they finish 6th and meet the loser of Sebastopol vs Ballarat in an Elimination Final. If North Ballarat wins they finish 5th and meet East Point in an Elimination Final. If North Ballarat lose they finish 6th and meet the loser of Sebastopol v Ballarat in an Elimination Final.

I'm not sure how to assess the drawings of this top vs bottom clash in the final round of the home and away season. One piece of information that is not circumstantial is that both coaches will lead their respective clubs again in 2023 which must be reassuring for both parties.

Melton will win, but what is there to gain other than an opportunity for the ladder-leading Bloods to brush up on their touch, and share the ball around a bit replicating the trademarks of a near-faultless season? Bloods Coach Aaron Tymms will be hoping Ryan Carter and Daniel O'Leary return, avoiding a potential 21-day break ahead of next week's Qualifying Final against either Ballarat or Sebastopol. I've no doubt the Bloods faithful will have their fingers crossed hoping to get through this game unscathed.

And that essentially is likely to carry more weight than the margin.

For the Lakers, what a way to measure the levels of organic growth from such a young group under the tutelage of Jack Fitzpatrick. All the former Hawthorn and Melbourne player can ask of his boys is one concerted effort for the road. While the Lakers are facing a 15th straight loss the message from Fitzpatrick, before anything else, will remain the same - be better for longer. I know it's a popular phrase for clubs seeking evidence of improvement but it doesn't apply to any one team in the BFNL this year more than the one-win Lakers.

Just whether they can execute and deliver on such a request against the yardstick of the competition looms arguably their greatest challenge of the season despite the 'dead rubber' nature of the meet.

The five winning teams from last week posted scores beyond 100 and you would be within reason to predict (weather permitting) the Bloods will surpass that figure again.

*For the record, it would be the 10th occasion this year the Bloods have achieved this feat. In the most recent East Point Premiership years the Kangas broke the 100 mark nine times in 2018 and just five times in 2019.

Locks: Melton - Minor Premiers, Lakers - Wooden Spooners

Expect Redan to finish their season on a high with a fourth win on the trot when they meet the struggling Panthers at City Oval.

Full credit to Lions coach Jarrett Giampaolo and his progressive group, recording a fourth win in as many attempts in the east last week with an old-fashioned 92-point thumping of Bacchus Marsh. The Lions are unbeaten since July 16, and see no reason for any stall in momentum, albeit one round to go. Gee, the Lions would be lamenting their opening round loss to Lake Wendouree given their very watchable style of play on a number of occasions since. Including wins over the top six teams Sebastopol, North Ballarat and Darley.

Clearly, the Lions' best is good enough to match it with any team for large periods. There is enough evidence to suggest Melton South will have their work cut out matching the spread and run of the Lions. If Giampaolo can get his boys up for one final assault, expect this game to really open up late. If Cooper Craig-Peters plays, the Lions look set for a day out.

For the Panthers, one more big effort, pride in the jumper performance will be asked from coach Heath Pritchard. Whether his fatiguing young group has enough fuel left to deliver on such a request remains to be seen. Unfortunately for the visitors, a three-win season finish appears likely, having not won a game since Round Nine.

Scenarios: If Redan wins, they finish 7th. If they lose, the Redan Lions can fall to 8th only if Bacchus Marsh wins.

Lock: Panthers finish 10th.

The second spot and a guaranteed double chance await the winner in this highly anticipated match between the 'Burras and the 'Swans. Both sides boast super form heading in, paving the way for a nail-biting finish similar to their earlier meet in Round 9. Sebastopol has won their last five games on the trot and will be as strong as ever to give this battle for 2nd an almighty shake. Their opponents Ballarat are not to be sneezed at, having the best home and away record in the competition over their last nine games - the Swans are 8-1.

While Joe Carmody's Swans wins have been unorthodox at times with their come-from-behind nature, the theory was put to bed last week when they put giant-killers Sunbury to the sword with ten goals to four in the opening half. But don't expect to be afforded the same liberties around goal by the 'Burras defence (Comp #3 - averaging 63.5pts against per game). The similarities between the two sides at both ends give every indication we'll need every bit of Saturday afternoon to find a winner.

Comparatively, Ballarat's defence (Comp #4 -averaging 67.5pts against per game) and offence (Comp #7 - averaging 72.5pts for per game) rate just shy of Sebastopol (offence Comp #6 - averaging 74.5pts for per game). So the numbers and a home-ground advantage are enough to sway me in favour of the 'Burras as they welcome the return of Luke Kiel from suspension. Coincidentally Kiel missed their Round 9 clash on June 18 along with Lachie Cassidy and Riley O'Keefe.

Swans forward Andrew Hooper remains 'Burras coach Michael Searl greatest concern given his seven-goal haul last week and matchwinning five-goal effort in their earlier meet.

Let's hope the weather permits both sides to present the best versions of themselves in what looms as the ultimate preview of things to come ahead of a mouth-watering BFNL finals series.

Scenarios: Winner finishes 2nd and plays Melton in Qualifying Final. Loser finishes third and meets loser of Darley v North Ballarat in an Elimination Final. 

Expect Sunbury to expose Bacchus Marsh with their run and carry on the bigger Clarke Oval, reversing the Round 9 disaster of their earlier meet.

Despite losing last week and just four wins to their name in 2022, all is not lost at Sunbury. A win over flag favourites Melton on this very ground just a fortnight ago is an indication that Travis Hodgson's men are heading in the right direction. Not only have they improved with their organic growth in the second half of the season, but they're also simply playing better footy, period. I'm sure the hierarchy at the Lions would agree their ball use has been their achilles heel, for the most part, losing seven games by 21 points or less. And today, despite the Cobras' superior record over them in 2022, I have the Lions earmarked clear favourites. You just need to look at the last five weeks in isolation to tip the scales in favour of the home side. Since Round 12, Sunbury are 3 (wins) - 2 (losses) with a healthy percentage of 125%, average 90 points FOR per game and 72 points AGST. The Cobras for the same period however are 1-4, with a poor percentage (69%), averaging 62 points FOR and 90 points AGST.

Similar to 2021, the Lions are just getting warm late in an otherwise disappointing season on the win/loss front given their draw and levels of expectation. A home win will surely spark the mood ahead of Mad Monday - albeit a premature one for the proud club.

The Cobras welcome back inspirational leader Jake Owen (concussion) for this bragging rights clash against former coach Travis Hodgson's Lions. The only way I can see the Cobras getting it done is on the back of a day out from their midfielders and a bag of goals (shared is ok) from Aaron Willetts, Rex Hickman and Joel Freeman (available?). Conditions should suit gun runner Michael Culliver down to the ground but I'm not certain there's enough run and carry weapons amid the group likely to be without Harry King (hamstring).            

Scenarios: Cobras (likely) finish 8th. Can move up to 7th only if they win and Redan lose.

Lock: Sunbury finish 9th.

Scenarios: Kangas finish 4th if North Ballarat defeat Darley setting up an Elimination Final with North Ballarat next week.