The Run Home

Your team's run home, with Scoop

BFNL footy returns, with the 2021 season re-jigged, refreshed, and ready to relaunch this weekend (minus crowds). With only four rounds of the 2021 McDonald's BFNL home and away season remaining, Scoop takes a look at your team's finals prospects on the road home, in what's been a very even and testing 2021 season.

Teams listed in ladder order

Ahead of Round 11

Club	Scoops take	Ladder position & remaining matches
North Ballarat	Deserved ladder leaders. Win two of remaining three games = Minor Premiership.	(P9 - W8, L1, 151%, 32pts) - Darley (A), Sunbury (H), East Point (H), Bye
Melton	Three away games to finish is not ideal, but second spot is theirs to lose.	(P9 - W7, L2, 136%, 28pts) - B/Marsh (A), Sebastopol (A), M/South (A), Bye
East Point	Aiming at a three-peat - their best is good enough. Won just 1/4 v current top six - percentage advantage over teams below is as good as a game.	(P9 - W5, L4, 131%, 20pts) - Redan (H), Bye, NBC (A), Sebastopol (A)
Ballarat	Have only two games left, the equation is simple: 2 x wins = finals. Gibson is ready.	(P10 - W5, L5, 110%, 20pts) - Bye, Redan (H), Lakers (A), Bye
Bacchus Marsh	Winning two of the remaining three games will deliver a finals berth for the Cobras.	(P9 - W5, L4, 102%, 20pts) - Melton (H), Bye, Darley (A), M/South (H)
Redan	Tough run home, all away. If the Lions can win two of their last three, including a win over Ballarat in Round 13, a finals spot awaits them.	(P9 - W5, L4, 99%, 20pts) - East Point (A), Ballarat (A), Bye, Lakers (A)

Club	Scoops take	Ladder positions & remaining matches
Sebastopol	Won just 1/3 at home this year. Three wins from the remaining three games will guarantee a finals berth for the 'Burra.	(P9 - W4, L5, 112%, 16pts) - M/South (H), Melton (H), bye, East Point (H)
Sunbury	Must win all three to be a chance given their vulnerable percentage - would include an upset win over NBC Round 13 (away). Will need other results to go their way given they don't play a team between 3rd and 7th in the run home - where only one game and percentage separates them all.	(P9 - W4, L5, 91%, 16pts) - Lakers (H), NBC (A), Bye, Darley (H)
Lake Wendouree	Inferior percentage means winning all three their only finals hope. All remaining Lakers games are scheduled against others in the mix with all results certain to play a part in shaping Week One of the finals. Saturday looms as the Lakers first unofficial Elimination Final.	(P9 - W4, L5, 85%, 16pts) - Sunbury (A), Bye, Ballarat (H), Redan(H)
Melton South	Too far back - can do a few teams (vying for a finals spot) a favour in the run home upsetting Sebastopol or B/Marsh.	(P9 - W3, L6, 69%, 12pts) - Sebastopol (A), Bye, Melton (H), B/Marsh (A)
Darley	Inevitable wooden spooners - pride games remain - their unofficial Grand Final v Bacchus Marsh, Round 13.	(P9 - W0, L9, 57%, 0pts) - NBC (H), Bye, B/Marsh (H), Sunbury (A)