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BFNL Round 10 Preview


Round 10 Football Preview

with 'Scoop'

While the excitement of Round 9 will be tough to emulate, the thought of an upset in Round 10 is enough to whet the appetite as we return to a full book of five games at the weekend. Ballarat has the bye while the remaining five teams that make up the current top six meet the five teams outside.



Darley

Vs

Lake Wendouree

SATURDAY JUNE 25th - 2.15PM @ DARLEY PARK

Last time they met: Lake Wendouree 75 def Darley 41

Improvers Darley can't afford a slip up against bottom side Lake Wendouree as the fight for an elusive top six position gathers momentum. The Devils cling to sixth place on the BFNL table with four wins, with only percentage separating them from eighth. Saturday's game looms another perfect opportunity for the Devils to develop, just eight games in, under coach Dan Jordan.

Three of the Devils' four wins have come against teams outside the six and when you consider the visiting Lakers' 1-7 start to the season, Jordan's boys will start firm favourites.

Lakers coach Jack Fitzpatrick is in the infancy of a rebuild of his own. Despite just the one win over Redan in Round One, his young group has had moments in games to indicate the Devils will need to deliver on work rate for starters, and this 6th v 11th clash is by no means a foregone conclusion. The young Lakers are competitive and will keep the Devils honest. Fitzpatrick wouldn't have it any other way.

Just how the visitors can minimise the influence of Devils leading forward Nick Rodda and star midfielder Brett Bewley, will tell its own story come 5pm. But I'm sure Jordan will be looking for a greater spread of contributors getting the job done. While the Devils average just 8.75 goals per game against top-six opposition in '22 some comfort can be drawn from the 14-goal avg. returns against the bottom five sides. The Lakers have had their own struggles on the goal front and lack a genuine '35 goal' season forward.

Since Round One the Lakers have averaged just 49 pts per game. Darley will want to start well and go on with it. They have been known to loiter in front on the scoreboard during games (vs. Sebastopol, Bacchus Marsh, Sunbury and East Point) and seemingly lack the feverish knockout punch to put teams away. No doubt, Jordan will be looking for improvement in this area among others, while Fitzpatrick will be counting on a collective spread of intensity and effort to warrant an upset.  


Melton South

Vs

North Ballarat

SATURDAY JUNE 25th - 2.15PM @ MELTON RECREATION RESERVE

Last time they met: Melton South 51 lost to North Ballarat 132

The Panthers return home after a third away win of the season for a meeting with fifth-placed North Ballarat. And coach Heath Pritchard will be giving his boys every chance to seal the club's first home win of '22 against their more fancied rivals led by experienced mentor Brendan McCartney. North Ballarat are looking a little 'same same' at the moment with their usual suspects a one constant featuring in the best players.

From the outside, I'm not sure they're travelling as well or boast the luxury of quality depth once thought. Simon McCartin, Riley Polkinghorne, Cam McCallum, Ryan Hobbs and Jack Riding continue to be North's most important players and will be asked to shoulder a bulk of the workload again on the road if Jarrod Curran (collarbone) and Jonathan O'Brien (heavy knock) are unavailable. It's clear the absence of Josh Chatfield (Footscray VFL), Tom Hotchin (knee), Joey Symonds and Elliott Lamb (foot) has taken a toll and brought them back to the pack. McCartney remains optimistic about his boys' season citing 'a long way to go' and 'we're resembling a little more the way we want to'.

For Pritchard and his Panthers, they'll be fingers crossed at the selection table this week hoping for a return of Dylan Conway and Jake Thornton-Gielen. While the Panthers have shown they can win without Conway especially, they're a five-goal better team with him in it. That's not taking anything away from Jake Thornton-Gielen either, his currency and value to the Panthers continue on an upward trend.

The dual in the ruck is the pick of the battles for mine as in-form big men Dylan Jones and Callum McCallum face off at stoppage. The Captains Shaun Wyatt and Simon McCartin will go head-to-head in the middle while Ryan Hobbs (or Jarrod Curran) may get the first crack at Conway if he plays. While North Ballarat will have a game in hand over Melton South, a win for the Panthers will see them draw level with Macca's Roosters on four wins. Who would have thought?


Redan

Vs

Melton

SATURDAY JUNE 25th - 2.15PM @ BALLARAT CITY OVAL

Last time they met: Melton 120 def Redan 62

Redan aim to make it four wins in a row this weekend when they take on season powerhouse and undefeated Melton at City Oval. Only Bacchus Marsh has managed to finish within 28 points of the Bloods in the opening half of the season and despite the Lions' impressive record over recent weeks, I see no reason for the pattern to change. The Bloods simply bat deeper than any other list in the comp and have been fortunate on the injury front with big man Mark Orr (calf) the only real key to miss multiple games.

Melton coach Aaron Tymms has welcomed Brock Kennedy and Brenton Payne into the line-up adding further depth while the senior debut of early-season recruit Daniel O'Leary (Altona) is imminent. The Lions will need to hit the ground running to be any chance of an upset, exposing the Bloods fresh off a 21-day break. Lions Coach Jarrett Giampaolo would welcome the inclusion of Cooper Craig-Peters for another week if relieved of Footscray VFL duties, joining Lachie George in the midfield to take on the two-way running power of Jack Walker, Jacob Hickey and Lachie Watkins.

Both sides have form on the wings, just who gets the better of those match-ups will inevitably have an impact on the scoreboard via the weight of forward entries. The concern for Redan will be containing the Bloods' firepower in their front half with Ryan (31 goals) and Liam Carter (14), Braedan Kight (21), Luke Heaney (12) and Lachlan Hickey (14) - all proven and dangerous around goal. 

I know 2018 and 2019 feel like a long time ago for many, but I guarantee you this, Aaron Tymms will take no prisoners in the back half of the season as he aims for a return to the 'big dance' in September. Runners Up in '18 and a third-place finish in '19 are not enough for the Bloods to hang their hats on. Rest assured they will be ruthless for the remainder, with a keen focus on another crack at footy's ultimate prize - one that has eluded them since 2005.


Sebastopol

Vs

Bacchus Marsh

SATURDAY JUNE 25th - 2.15PM @ MARTY BUSCH RESERVE

Last time they met: Bacchus Marsh 55 def Sebastopol 49

If a refreshed Bacchus Marsh turns up with the necessary intensity, this game looms as the pick of the round. The Cobras front a determined 'Burra outfit keen to bounce back after last week's three-point loss to Ballarat having led for 95 per cent of the day. The 'Burras four-game winning streak came to an end leaving coach Michael Searl with little more option than to move on and immediately shift his focus to dismantling the Cobras.

Whether key Cobra defenders Jack Williams and Jason Robinson make it back we'll wait and see but inspirational leader Jake Owen is filling the void with aplomb after two good games behind the ball in recent weeks v North Ballarat and Sunbury.

For me, the looming problem for the Cobras is 'Burra small forward Jed Hill who has 11 goals this year including two bags of four. Just his player type will be a tough match-up for the Cobras to get right given the back six sample seen so far this year. James Keeble (15 goals) and Tony Lockyer (9 goals) have also been significant, in what has been a tough year on the injury front for Michael Searl's men. Reigning Henderson Medalist Lachie Cassidy, is nearing a return off a hamstring, but expect a precautionary approach. Maybe Round 11?

In fairness, the Cobras have had issues of their own for the most part as mids Nick Stuhldreier, Tom German and Max Eastmure have missed along with defenders Williams and Robinson and forward Aaron Willetts.

Despite both teams missing top-end talent over the last month or so, pressure has been their one constant. Opposition coaches have praised the intensity of these teams shy of their best 22 finding a way to get it done.

Newcomers Bailey Veale (Sebastopol) and Max Eastmure (Bacchus Marsh) continue with their tireless effort around stoppage while we can expect conditions to suit opposing soldiers Tony Lockyer and Tom German down to the ground. The Burra should win but the Cobras at their best would be hard to hold out.    


Sunbury

Vs

East Point

SATURDAY JUNE 25th - 2.15PM @ CLARKE OVAL

Last time they met: East Point 93 def Sunbury 70

Lions coach Travis Hodgson will have had 14 days to contemplate the unenviable match-up with in-form Kangas star forward Jordy Johnston. I know how important Lions defender Tyson Lever is with his rebound off half-back but with the likely absence of athletic type Thomas Cree, Lever looks the obvious next in line.

The former Coburg VFL defender may be the only Lion with the footy smarts to match with Johnston who has kicked 35 goals in his last seven games. In two of the Kangas' three losses, Johnston was goalless. His influence is clearly paramount to the reigning dual Premier's fortunes and is arguably the most important player to any one team in the competition. Some acknowledgement must go to the Kangas' remaining five forwards who enable Johnston the separation to strut his stuff.   

The Kangas offensive advantage (97 pts. per game, comp rank #2) will be too much for the struggling Lions (60 pts. per game, comp rank #10) to overcome as Hoggy's men stare down the barrel of a 1-8 horror start to the season. The Lions were touted as genuine finals contenders on the back of a favourable draw but nothing seems to be working out onfield at the moment.

What can the Sunbury faithful expect to draw from the game even in the event of a loss? I'm sure Hoggy will have them up for a red hot crack at the weekend and with a bit of luck at the selection table, can deliver on a 'pride in the jumper' performance to give their more fancied opponents a genuine scare. History says winning down the highway is never easy so don't expect Bridges' boys to take the foot off the gas - they're as keen as any to consolidate a spot in the top six.

For Sunbury, their onfield struggles at the moment are palpable. Just have a crack.


Ballarat

Bye