With seasons on the line and claim local bragging rights at stake, there is plenty to play for this weekend as we head into the Round 14 action.

The Ballarat Swans are aiming for three wins on the trot and an opportunity to consolidate their place inside the top six when they travel to CE Brown Reserve to take on the Lakers this Saturday.

The two recent wins for Chris Maple's group ahead of their bye in Round 13 warranted plenty of merit accounting for Sunbury (22 points) and Redan (69 points).

While the jury rests over the scope and potential of the Swans moving forward, we're left to ponder just what version of the Lakers we're going to get.

On six occasions already this season (twice at home) the enigmatic Lakers have been held to five goals or less for the match holding grave fears for their ability recording an upset over the Swans and third win of 2024.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, despite frequent encouragement from rival coaches in the post-match, they're habitual sleepers at the wheel.

In 12/48 quarters this season, the Lakers have conceded six goals or more with nine of those resulting in seven or more.

On the flipside around scoring, the Lakers have been held goalless in 10/48 quarters.

The Lakers have gone on the record requesting no favours or concessions be made around age or where they're at re development. Request granted.

We look for a response from the Lakers on the perfect stage, the BFNL Match of the Round, streamed LIVE across the country.

Can Rohan Brown's Lakers find their groove and catch the Swans napping early off the bye and throw a spanner in the works for Chris Maple ahead of a likely finals preparation?

I'm not so sure - it's really a game the Swans should be winning on exposed form.

Scoop’s tips
Ballarat

Despite recent improvement, the Panthers face a near impossible task containing crosstown rival and ladder leaders Melton when they venture to MacPherson Park.

Where do you start breaking this game down, defining a 'mini win' for Travis Hodgson's struggling group?

I'm not sure even Hodgson has put a finger on it in the lead up.

Weather permitting the Bloods will have every opportunity matching their Round 1 return on the scoreboard in excess of 200 points if they don their kicking boots.

To put the disparity into perspective, Bloods’ star forward Braedan Kight (58 goals) has kicked 15 more goals than the Panthers have for the season.

Even Ryan Carter (29 goals) and Kyle Borg (19 goals) as an unlikely combo have more, highlighting the degrees of difficulty around containment awaiting the embattled Panthers.

What Hodgson and his club can ask for is effort, an area you can't deny the Panthers of in recent weeks.

Their core group led by Cody Chapman are a proud group despite their winless record in 2024 and will need little motivation getting up for another chapter of the local derby.

This match will tell us more about the Panthers than it will the Bloods.

With the result deemed inevitable given the current landscape - just how long the Panthers can hang in and savour a few moments hitting the scoreboard may be enough to redeem a wry smile out of the Hodgson camp, on an otherwise tough afternoon expected for the navy blue and white.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Despite the undermanned nature of the Roosters, expect them to start red hot favorites when they host the Cobras at Mars Stadium.

Both sides have had their struggles in more recent times with the Roosters dropping their last two games and the Cobras five of their last six. But the form of Brendan McCartney's inexperienced group reads undoubtedly more favourable (Darley, Melton) than Dennis Armfield's touring party.

Mars Stadium has not been a successful hunting ground for any visitors let alone the Cobras, earmarking the challenge for Armfield as one of the toughest over his short tenure.

I know looking back at previous results has its flaws, but there's no denying the Cobras will be up against it despite retaining the likes of Rye Penny and Wil Lalor.

However, they will miss feverish on-ballers Tyson Shea (jaw) and Jake McCreery (suspended) - both crucial to their fortunes, especially against top five opposition.  

If there was ever a time to get last year’s grand finalists, the time is now.

Just 10 players from the Roosters’ agonising one point loss to the Devils in 2023 took the field last week against Melton.

The absentees would walk into any other BFNL side, plain and simple.

So, the Cobras arrive with an outside prizefighter’s chance of walking away with their biggest win of the season and their first against any side currently above them.

Luke Goetz, Jake Owen and a host of improving youngsters are capable of taking it up to the hosts for periods but can the remaining collective match the trademark effort and intensity of a Roosters group on their home deck for long enough?

I anticipate the assignment proves a bridge too far.  

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The injury ravaged Devils could fall from third to fifth in a fortnight and as low as sixth by the end of the home and away season if they fail to account for Sebastopol at Darley Park.

Given the absence of key personnel in all areas, the Devils (4th) will start underdogs, in my opinion, against a surging Burras (8th) outfit, despite their superior position on the BFNL table.

While the Devils squad of 22 is looking less and less familiar by the week, Tony Lockyer's visiting party is beginning to resemble more like the Burra we know following the return of star mid Lachie Cassidy and attacking half back Jack Bambury.

Key intercept defender Riley O'Keefe was a late out last week in the Burras 58-point win over the Lakers and is likely to return, bolstering stocks even further.

Important inside mid Daniel Widgery who has been in the best 4/10 games will also be in consideration after also missing against the Lakers.

Let's not forget, the Burra arrive on a mission of their own with their season on the line.

Led by Tony Lockyer (in best 9/12), the injury free, now reborn midfielder has been in super form, named 'best on' for the Burra in five of his last eight games.

That's Matty Johnston and Brett Bewley kind of stuff!

Speaking of Bewley, let's address the elephant in the room.

If the reigning dual Henderson Medalist does not play (50/50 as it stands), the Devils will surely struggle given Billy Myers, Brady Wright, Wil Johnson, Zane Le Huray (suspended), Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley are already sidelined.

Surely they won't risk their premiership captain ahead of the bye in Round 15 with important run home matches against Sunbury, Bacchus Marsh and Melton.

It's time for the remaining Devils, led by Luther Baker, Matty Brett and Matty Denham to pick up the slack, find a way and drag the backs-to-the-wall reigning premiers over the line.

Tough ask.    

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Bye

East Point

Sunbury

Redan

With just a month left on the home & away calender, every moment counts out on the field. Round 15 is set to answer some questions on where things stand in the run home of season 2023.

The anticipation is high for this all-important showstopper as two of the BFNL's more experienced mentors aim to implement a winning plan that will keep their side’s top three chances alive.

Brendan McCartney's travelling party will arrive confident having won seven of their last eight games including a 57-point (home) win over the Devils in Round 9.

The Roosters army were at their frugal best on that occasion restricting a disappointing Darley to just 28 points.

To put it in perspective, only Melton South (14) has scored less against the Roosters in their 13 games this season.

However, it wasn't the first time the Devils have failed to flatter in more recent times at Mars Stadium having lost by 69 points under Jordan in round 11, 2022.

As if it were a line in the sand moment for the Devils, they've won 16 of 20 games since. They're a better team now under Jordan, enough to warrant a 'mulligan' for their Round 9 failings without the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Bailey Young.

The fans will be spoilt with the levels of quality we’re likely to see on display.

For the home side, reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (named in the best nine times from 11 games) will lead the likes of Myers, Baker, Young, Matthew Brett, Shane Page and a host of improving types endevouring to impact under the radar.

Not to be outdone, Roosters marquee signing Stewart Crameri arrives with in-form mids Jack Riding, Riley Polkinghorne, star Collingwood VFL listed swingman Sam Glover, the returning Tom Hotchin and dominant big man Cam McCullum.

Unfortunately for the visitors, no Jamie Quick (33 goals) who must follow concussion protocols after a knock in last week’s loss to Sebastopol.

This one should be a ripper.

Fingers crossed, fine weather is forecast and the game is given every chance to deliver on its promise.

Both sides will look the winners for a long way but leaning with history repeating on McCartney's last trip to Darley Park in a lower scoring affair than the Devils 100-82 victory.          

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Cobras will look to gain some reward for their recent competitiveness with the hope of victory over winless Melton South.

While a third win of the season appears more likely for the travelling Cobras, there's nothing like the feeling of a win and rendition of the victory theme song in full voice.

Unfortunately for Ryan Hoy's Panthers they're little chance of enjoying the very thing we can take for granted - winning.

It's been the toughest introduction for any coach in recent memory, averaging 176 points against per game.

Adding salt to the wound does little for the embattled club who have also endured a horror run with injury culminating in a third loss of 200 plus points last weekend.

This week however is no Melton, Sunbury or Darley, the three clubs to have put Melton South to the sword by 200+ points, so look for the Panthers to make positive inroads.

They’ll be eyeing the hope to top their highest return this season with a score of 8.12-60 the benchmark, a tally posted against the Lakers in Round 5.

Easier said than done however, as the Cobras eye some conviction of their own.

Their top end talent led by Jake Owen, Jake McCreery and Luke Goetz will ensure the majority of game is played on the Cobras terms as they endeavor to tick off a number of KPI's.

Coach Jason Williams won't be taking this game lightly and will be reliant on a collective buy-in from the outset, enabling maximum result possibilities.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Sunbury head to MacPherson Park with their slim top three chances still intact. But they will have to do it the hard way on the run home needing wins against Melton (A), North Ballarat (A), Bacchus Marsh (H) and Darley (A).

A big ask, but they're looking ominous ahead of the business end following the return of Tyson Lever (foot) and Mitch Lewis (overseas). Dangerous forward Jake Sutton (overseas) is expected to arrive home on Thursday, prior to the Bloods showdown.

While the Bloods have lost just one game this year, they will have to overcome the Lions without key forward duo Ryan (concussion) and Liam Carter (calf).

Aaron Tymms' men remain the blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory but there is no doubt even the most loyal of Bloods’ fans would be wondering where their scores will come from.

That said they did have 14 goalkickers last week against the Panthers.

Given Port Melbourne VFL have the bye expect former St Kilda listed Brenton Payne to assume the key forward role and Braedyn Kight to sacrifice recent midfield minutes for a return primarily to the front half where he is a proven matchwinner.

That would be a nice place to start in the absence of the Carter brothers.

The midfield battle will be finals-like. We're familiar with each teams’ capabilities offensively in this area but do the Lions have the discipline to impact without the ball, denying the Bloods run in transition.

Not many can say they have, especially on Maccy Park.

Can Sutton and ageless support act Leigh Brennan do enough to trouble the Bloods defence? While Sutton has 28 goals from his eight games, the jury is out whether he can impact 48 hours post an overseas return.

Big Lion Cody Brand will also need to stand up against the reigning premiers - his appointed role at either end will be crucial.

The Lions are 0-3 against top three opposition this year and come into the game with a questionable four-week preparation having had Melton South, Ballarat and the bye in the lead up to this Bloods battle. 

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Visitors Redan will be chasing their first win in four weeks when they meet the tenth placed Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lions head into the game warm favorites and will look to put this game to bed early as they continue their quest for a prized top six finish.

They will be given every chance to usurp East Point (bye) in sixth place. Overcoming the Lakers will see the Lions back into the six, percentage ahead of the Kangas.

An unlikely loss for Gary Learmonth's young group will jeopardise their chances however it would not be the end of the world given the nature of their draw sees the Roos still a strong showing to finish sixth.

So, expect the Kangas from a distance to have one cheeky eye on the prospects of an upset.

But let’s be realistic - Redan should win and win well despite having won just three of their last eight games.

Midfield quartet Isaac Grant (34 goals), Lachie George (in best four times from seven appearances), Cooper Craig-Peters and Daniel Bond will look to assert early dominance around clearance to give opportune forwards Grant Bell (19 goals), Marty Boyer (15 goals) and Lachie McLean (14 goals) first crack impacting the scoreboard.

Despite the Lakers’ capitulating loss to Darley last week, they were very competitive for the best part of three quarters.

Big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty have added some aerial presence while defenders Angus Gove, Bailey Ryan and Cody Helyar showed resilience against quality opposition.

It's a shame the Lakers have had to endure recent weeks without the O'Connell boys (overseas), Jacob Coxall (concussion issues), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Flynn Loader.

Kicking a winning score could be the Lakers’ greatest challenge. They have managed just eight goals in four of their last six games

A tally that will see them struggle to win but maybe enough to keep them in the game long enough.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Bye

East Point

Ballarat

Sebastopol

We're back with a full slate of games this weekend, which will see some crucial contests unfold. There are finals spots on the line and matchups that are set to mould how the final six will fall come seasons end. 

Bottom three combatants Bacchus Marsh and Lake Wendouree will fancy their chances when they meet at Maddingley Park.

Both teams have proven to be competitive for periods against more seasoned opposition in recent times but are yet to breakthrough with an upset.

While the Cobras’ three wins have come against Melton South (twice) and the Lakers, the hosts have three final quarter wins against top six opposition.

Clutching at separation, I know, but it's enough to instill the Cobras as warm favorites given the Lakers’ only win has come against the winless Melton South.

Interesting to note the Lakers form early in games has been encouraging before late fade outs have cost them dearly on the scoreboard.

On the flipside, the Cobras have shown a liking to finish off well. More often however when the game is already put to bed.

Settling on who gets it done is not easy. When in doubt, back in the team with the most influential top end.

Tipping Cobras’ big man Luke Goetz will cancel out Lakers’ tall timber pairing Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty.

Expect Jake McCreery and veteran Tyson Shea to be the immediate beneficiaries with Jake Owen (25 goals) looming dangerously forward. I sense this could be a pattern for the day.

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Top six aspirants East Point will need to bring their scoring game if they're to upset third placed Sebastopol.

With the Kanags chances buoyed by the absence of Burra livewire Jay Dahlhaus (hand), plenty more will need to go right to keep their finals hopes alive.

Alternatively, the Burra will look to consolidate its top three and potential top two status with a grinding win on the road.

Despite what the ladder suggests (7th v 3rd) by no means will this be a walk-in-the-park for pre-game favorites Sebastopol.

Both teams come into the game fresh off the bye, just who gets down to business first may be hard to run down given the high stakes.

Surely Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have an eye on containing one of the Johnston brothers but the thought of two negating roles through the middle of the ground could spell danger.

Expect Jackson Merrett's Kangas to roll the dice and back themselves in to hit the scoreboard. Brad Whittaker (24 goals), Jack Jeffrey (17), Bryce McDougall (16), Jordy Johnston (14) alongside Merrett himself (12) are all proven goal scorers in 2023 and will be keen to deliver.

Burras forward duo Toby Hutt (31 goals) and Hugo Papst (27) will present their own set of problems for the hosts, not mentioning a likely return for all important midfielder Lachie Cassidy from a hamstring injury.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Visitors Sunbury will need some genuine inner belief if they're to conquer North Ballarat at Mars Stadium.

The Lions will arrive near full strength and seemingly in-form, despite a four-quarter loss to Melton last week and will want to deliver a strong performance in Ballarat or leave the slim possibility of a sixth or even worse, seventh place season finish in play with two rounds to follow.

Let's be honest, Sunbury's form in Ballarat is cause for concern, having had just three wins from their last ten visits with two of those victories coming against a lowly and rebuilding Lake Wendouree outfit.

While Brendan McCartney's Roosters have lost their last two games on the road, like it or not they're a different team at home boasting a 15-3 win-loss record since 2022.

Expect the hosts to be strengthened with the return of dangerous forward Jamie Quick (33 goals) and Sam Artz, both from concussion, while the availability of Jack Riding (Werribee VFL) remains a 'watch this space'.

Both sides like to run and carry the footy, bordering on similar styles. The result could well be decided by which team can execute the basic fundamentals more efficiently - plain and simple.

Given the Roosters imposing home record and the Lions inability to deliver their A-game against like-for-like opposition in Ballarat you have to lean to the Roosters getting the job done. Sunbury are more than capable, even labelled 'smokies' for the flag. Time to get to work!

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The Devils should move into rare company come 5pm Saturday with a 12th win of their season when they host the winless Panthers.

A minimum 12 wins for Dan Jordan's men beckons, a feat only Melton 2022/23 (14/13*), Ballarat 2022 (12), and East Point 2018 (13) have been able to achieve in the last five seasons.

Given the nature of the 2023 season, it's likely a minimum of 13 wins is what you'll need to guarantee a top two finish allowing very little room for error.

While we know the potential advantages of finishing third, the evenness of the competition gives you no assurance of progressing. Give me a top two finish any day in 2023.

What version of Jordan's best 22 we're likely to see carries more weight than most discussion points surrounding the second v 11th encounter.

The hosts will look to get through unscathed eyeing a healthy list available for the business end. Following the Panthers, the Devils host Melton and Sunbury in the lead up to finals.

For Ryan Hoy's embattled group, the season’s end is near.

Saturday's meeting with the Devils on the road marks the penultimate game of their season with Redan (A) and the bye to come.

While we can expect an honest performance from the Panthers progressive group of youngsters, they're a mile off troubling the Devils, who have bigger fish to fry. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Chris Maple's Swans return home with another opportunity inflicting an upset when they host Redan at the weekend.

Prior to the bye, the Swans had lost their last three games, and even their mojo at times, going down by margins of 52 (East Point), 52 (Sunbury) and 39 (North Ballarat).

Admittedly all three games were on the road, so a chance presents in front of a home crowd to reproduce some of their best footy after a timely break.

The Swans have the cattle to upset teams above them on their day so Gary Learmonth's Lions will need to be switched on.

The visitors have plenty to play for as a spot in the top six looks beckons as things stand.

Despite 33 shots on goal, the Lions managed just 10 goals in their comfortable win over the Lakers last weekend.

Lions’ sharpshooter Isaac Grant was (and not for the first time) largely the culprit finishing with a wayward 3.9. Grant has the unwelcoming stat of the league’s leading scorer of behinds (31) well ahead of the next best with 20.

Something resembling the six goals Grant kicked in their earlier Round 3 meet will be on the wish list for Lions fans.

Alternately, Swans leading goal scorer Andrew Hooper (38 goals) kicked four goals in the 31-point loss at City Oval.

Both sides bring the heat and enjoy a contested brand of footy. I'll lean slightly more towards the broader experience of Redan over the Swans, especially at the coal face.

While the Lions can flirt with their own form from time to time, I can't see them leaving the 'upset' door ajar with so much at stake at this time of the year.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

With the top six sides all but locked in for 2024, Round 16 presents a number of clashes set to go a long way in telling the tale of how the September action may play out.

While its second placed East Point taking on fifth placed North Ballarat, the Roosters could well be in for a long afternoon.

The Kangas have won their last 12 in a row, having won all six of their season home games by an average of just under 82 points. Extraordinary really.

Their overwhelming firepower has seen them catapulted to equal flag fancy alongside Melton boasting four of the top 14 goalkickers and number one target for marks inside 50 (Bryson McDougall).

Coach Joe Carmody has delivered on a team defence model led by Jacob Brown and Jackson Merrett that sees them ranked only behind Melton for average points conceded per game - a miserly 49 points.

North Ballarat had just seven players from their 2023 Grand Final side in their draw against Ballarat last week and will look to get a body of work into a host of potential returns ahead of a finals campaign.

Even in the event of four or five returning, which is unlikely, first up on Eastern Oval - expectations would be low given their respective (lengthy) layoffs.

But you have to give credit to Brendan McCartney's undermanned Roosters for hanging in, up against more seasoned opposition Darley, Melton and East Point having not been blown away in any.

In fact, the Roosters hit the front at Mars Stadium in the last quarter of their previous meet with the high-flying Kangaroos which poses a timely reminder for Carmody to keep the pedal to the metal.

Star Kangas midfielder Matty Johnston is endeavouring to make it four best on ground efforts in a row and give his Henderson Medal chances another boost.

Good luck the Roosters containing arguably the most in form midfielder in the competition.

A tough ask lies in waiting for the visitors, let's hope they get a change of luck at the selection table ahead of the BFNL's Match of the Round LIVE with vision and commentary via the BFNL Match Centre from 2pm Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Redan will enjoy a change of fortunes when they host Melton South at City Oval.

The reality is, the Lions have lost six of their last seven games by an average of 63.5 points - their only win for the period coming against Bacchus Marsh in Round 10.

Sure, five of the Lions’ six defeats have come against top six opposition so expect the Pride to embrace the class drop here in front of home fans with a big win.

Getting back to hitting the scoreboard will be a welcoming feature for Gary Learmonth and his team who have been denied in recent weeks despite the weaponry forward of Lachie Bond, Grant Bell and Marty Boyer.

The connection of midfield entries into the Lions’ forward line has been a frustrating constant for Learmonth with four of their last six games ending in scores of 40 or less.

Look for some freedom on City Oval, no doubt Learmonth will push the want for his boys to enjoy their footy and as a result I’m sure we'll witness some bang for buck on the scoreboard.

The Lions had 26 scoring shots against the Burra last week, for just 10 goals. With a landslide of inside 50s predicted, expect something in the 20 goals+ range against the Panthers, whose struggles in Ballarat look set to continue.

Travis Hodgson's young group managed just the one goal in each of their previous two games, albeit against Melton and Sunbury.

I anticipate the former Cobras premiership coach will be wanting in excess of a five goal return against a leaking Lions defence who have conceded over 100 points, five times this season.     

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

The fourth placed Devils welcome back star duo Brett Bewley and Billy Myers for their all-important meeting with the third placed Lions at Darley Park this Saturday.

Forget the first 15 rounds. In reality, the Devils title defence begins NOW as they move a step closer to resembling their best 22.

To suggest the stakes are high would be an understatement given the value of third place in the context of the BFNL finals series. The winner will move a game clear of the other with two games left to play.

The Devils at home, on talent alone will start slight favourites, but what's under the bonnet?

Questions will be asked of the Devils to produce for four quarters, not dissimilar to their last meet when the Lions over ran Dan Jordan's men. 

In essence it will be just the fifth game for the Devils in 10 weeks, not to mention a challenging period on the injury front.

The visiting Lions will be supremely fit, that's a given but will need to overcome the absence of under rated trio Jack Hannett, Jack Newitt and Jordan Tentonello - three bona fide defenders, good ball users, all crucial with their efficient rebounding, especially under pressure.

Expect the Lions’ inspirational leader Tyson Lever and breakout small forward Mitch McLean (34 goals) to return into a side coming off a monster 180-point win over Melton South.

Given the Lions’ bye in Round 14, it will be Lever and McLean's first hit-out in 21 days.

With Harry Power doubtful and Jake Egan likely to return through the reserves having not played since Round 11, the door is ajar for the Devils to turn the tables.

The two club’s fierce and healthy rivalry pre dates their entry into the BFNL in the mid-nineties with the weight of public interest likely to replicate a finals atmosphere on a perfect day forecast for football.

There's a bit left to play out here - I’ll let "actions" take care of the rest.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Quite an interesting matchup looms at Marty Bush Reserve when the Burra host the Swans.

While I branded last week’s Sebastopol v Redan game as the unofficial decider for the 'best side outside the six', this showdown could easily be built up as the Burras’ grand final.

A chance to make it two wins in a row before a bye and potential third at home against Melton South beckons, finishing the year off on a high.

So given the scenario put to them, the Burra will need little motivation getting up for this game against a team that has essentially taken the one spot in the finals Tony Lockyer’s men were eyeing off a month ago.

So, what do the Swans have to play for? They're a lock for finals, won't want to get injured and may err on the weight of caution to make sure all is well upon their return to the September action.

I've no doubt outgoing Swans coach Chris Maple won't see it that way, he's not on a journey simply to make up the numbers in the first week of finals and will use this opportunity for further growth.

There is more to do at Ballarat this year and the Burra will provide the ideal hit out to work on the learnings of previous weeks.

Ball use and coping with pressure and perceived pressure will be high on the agenda at the Swans.

Their cattle is of sound quality, and proven more than capable on their day after a 22-point breakout win over Sunbury in Round 11.

I'm tipping Sebastopol to play with more freedoms under less pressure given what lies ahead for these two in 2024.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

The Cobras host relentless flag fancies Melton at Maddingley Park this weekend.

Just where to start making a case for Dennis Armfield's group is not easy given they've won just one game post their Round 7 bye and have a 0-7 record against top six opposition in 2024.

The Bloods, put simply, are flying. The Cobras, still learning.

Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble will welcome a solid hit out in the lead up to finals with the 10th placed Lakers and Darley to come. Given the nature of the ladder, the Round 18 clash with the Devils could be a dead rubber, essentially two hours of preservation before the 'real stuff' begins.

The Cobras at their best would provide Scoble's Bloods with the desired intensity to sharpen them up off the bye. But what version of the red, yellow and black are we likely to see?

They were in the game on the road against North Ballarat just a fortnight ago before the flood gates opened.

The season long struggles for the Cobras conceding back-to-back goals is likely to go on for at least another week, such has been the dominance of the Bloods over the competition.

While we're sure to witness another promising performance from a next gen Cobra, the likelihood of that impacting the result is an ambitious call.

Mini wins will be on the agenda for Dennis Armfield.

Winning a half or even a quarter would be a huge result for the Cobras given the standings of the two clubs on the BFNL table.

Since the Cobras’ bye in Round 7 they have won just five quarters including games against bottom two sides Melton South and Lake Wendouree.

On the flipside, the Bloods have won 17 of their last 18 quarters, having lost just nine quarters for the season, rank one in the competition.

Look out Cobras, leading Bloods’ forward Braedan Kight will be on a mission to add to his tally of 59 goals and build on his four-goal advantage in the race for the Tony Lockett Medal.

I wish his direct opponent all the best!

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

It's set to be a massive weekend as a number of teams will need to win, and win big, as we enter the penultimate round of the 2023 home and away season.

The 'nothing to lose' Swans are off to Marty Busch Reserve embracing another upset opportunity, this time against third placed Sebastopol.  

Coach Chris Maple will be hoping his young group, first and foremost, can stay in the game up until halftime as they've managed to do so recently against Redan (-4pts), East Point (-19pts) and North Ballarat (-4pts).

The Swans’ opposition, Sebastopol, loom an imposing task, especially in Ballarat. The onus on the importance of the Swans opening half comes on the back of the Burras’ impressive numbers for the period.

Of the Burras’ 11 games played (anywhere) in Ballarat - Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's group have led at the main break 10 times, on the other occasion things were all level.

Only North Ballarat in Round 14 have been able to match the Burra at the halfway mark.

While it's a 'throw at the stumps' game for the Swans there's much more at stake for the hosts. A win will keep their top two chances alive, hoping the Devils can drop at least one of their two remaining games against Melton (H) and Sunbury (H).

Knowing Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro, further improvement and something resembling closer to their best will be enough for the dual appointees to be satisfied. The result will surely have taken care of itself in the event of the Burras delivering on internal expectation.

Keep an eye on the first half - can the plucky Swans buck the trend against the odds? Momentum will play a role here determining the extent of the final result as the hosts look to assert their authority early.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

A significant confidence edge awaits the winner of this top two meeting ahead of the BFNL finals series.

The Bloods and the Devils rank one and two in all areas of scoring both for and against, setting the scene for a mouthwatering match up.

While the Bloods hold the upper hand in all areas, the two are matched identically for shots on goal after 16 rounds with 402 apiece.

The Bloods are coming off the bye while the Devils will look to up the ante after their low pressured 212-point win over Melton South.

Leading forward Ryan Carter and swift ball user Adrian Monitto are expected to be in the mix for a Bloods return while the hosts get a boost with the addition of ruckman Lucas Impey (Western Jets) for another week.

We could expand at length about the likely scenarios of so many what ifs, but the reality is, this game in the context of the season, has more meaning for the Devils.

Dan Jordan's men still need one more win from their last two games to secure second spot and guarantee a prized double chance. Win, lose or draw, the Bloods standing won't be affected.

Sure, the reigning premiers were without Jack Walker, Lachie Watkins and Monitto at their first meet and lost Liam Carter midway through the game but that will account for very little come 2pm Saturday given both sides have moved on from their Round 8 battle of attrition.

While the Devils landed the points that day, they will again start the underdogs against the top placed Bloods. But Dan Jordan’s men are more than capable of claiming the four points at home.

This timely footy audit will be welcomed by both sides, a last chance to fine tune, hone skills and gain learnings against a long-term, well-respected rival.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Bacchus Marsh will look to make it a hattrick of wins in the back half of the season when they endeavour to upset finals fancy Sunbury at Clarke Oval.

While the Cobras have shown encouraging signs with big wins coming in, the reality is all four of their season wins have come against the two sides below them, Lake Wendouree and Melton South.

The Lions however, are fresh from a fortnight footy audit on the road that saw them finish within 27 points of ladder leaders Melton and 12 points of North Ballarat at the fortress that is Mars Stadium.

Consume the form as you please, but the two honourable losses of the Lions carries more weight than the Cobras’ 106 and 92 point wins.

The Lions are near full health and will welcome a solid hitout against the improving Cobras who will retain their Coates Talent League boys for another week. 

Travis Hodgson's group have proven capable of hitting the scoreboard in 2023 with Melton and Darley the only teams bettering their 101-point average per game.

In defence the Lions rank fifth conceding 64 points on average per game. On the flipside the Cobras rank eighth in both offence 67 ppg and defence conceding 81 ppg.

Given the Cobras sheer weight of possession over the last two weeks, their impact without the ball will be tested on the wide expanses of Clarke Oval.

Sunbury are one of the teams more prone to a 'keepings off' style of play.

The ability for the Cobras to win the ball back could be telling. Just an even share of possession will be testing for the Jason Williams’ Cobras hitting the scoreboard given the strength and accountability of the Lions’ defence.

Admittedly youngsters Joel Freeman, Isaac Nixon and Will Lalor give the Cobras a different look forward alongside the BFNLs number one contested marking option in Jake Owen but overcoming Sunbury looms a formidable task.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

While the result of this match-up is deemed inevitable, Redan will look to adhere to the buzz word of many a modern-day coach to max out their returns - 'process'.

Surely if the Lions play to instruction, with a team first mantra, the 'process' will evidently take care of itself, restoring confidence in a group nervously trying to hang on to a spot in the finals.

East Point (7th) are breathing down their necks and have played enough good footy in recent times to suggest they will get the job done comfortably across town against the Lakers.

Just what went wrong last week when the Lions coughed up a 35-point quarter time lead had many, most of all loyal fans, wondering what is going on.

Surely a finals berth is enough motivation to complete the job at hand. I've no doubt executing on the 'process' was found wanting despite the will of the Swans to turn the game around with little to play for on the finals front.

Expect the Lions to take advantage of the struggling Panthers, who can't wait for season's end with the bye to follow. Tipping they'll either be 'pesty' with their efforts knowing it's their last hurrah or the cue is already in the rack and the Lions win big.

Containing the hosts leading scorers Isaac Grant, Grant Bell and progressive youngster Marty Boyer could prove the difference between a respectable loss or a total blow out for the embattled Panthers.

Tipping something in between and the Lions to open right up and resemble something closer to their best adhering to their 'process'.

There's no better time to start finding some touch and sensing a team-oriented buy-in worthy of a prized finals spot inside the top six.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

The Kangas will aim to put this game to bed early and set themselves up for a significant percentage boost when travel to CE Brown Reserve.

Jackson Merrett's seventh placed group remain a live chance to play finals despite the likelihood of sixth placed Redan recording a big win over winless Melton South.

The Kangas energies will be all in on what they can control and that starts with an impressive team victory over the one-win Lakers.

The visitors’ top end talent are in good form and the spread of goals forward evenly balacned. To put it into perspective, the Kangas have seven players with 13 goals or more, the Lakers, just one.

Tim Shearer’s Lakers have shown periods of competitiveness against quality opposition for small periods and will look to bounce back after their disappointing 92-point loss to ninth placed Bacchus Marsh.

The Kangas will look to deny the home side any momentum, especially early. If this can eventuate, look for the visitors to surpass the 100-point total for a seventh time this season and stay within touch of the Lions’ expected percentage again at City Oval.

While Henderson Medal contender Jordy Johnston will look to add a sixth BOG performance to enhance his chances for the prestigious individual award, the revered forward come midfielder would be the first to acknowledge a far greater goal lies at stake for the proud club who haven't missed a finals series since 2017.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

The penultimate home and away round is upon us, with just two weeks left in the regular season.

As teams prepare for finals, the away sides all head in as at least mild favourites for this weekend's fixtures.

The Lions’ top three chances hang in the balance ahead of a must win game against a red-hot East Point outfit at Clarke Oval.

While there was little between them on the scoreboard at their previous meet, the Lions did kick the last three goals of the game to flatter the final margin.

But credit to Sunbury, that's the closest any team has been at Eastern Oval all year.

Sure, Clarke Oval flips the advantage ahead of their Round 17 clash but Sunbury will need to address a few things if they're to end the Kangas’ 13-game winning streak.

Fact: Sunbury have won just two (Melton South and Sebastopol) of their last eight 'first' quarters and rank #11 for average clearances per game.

I know clearances aren't everything and are considered an overrated stat by a few experts, but 11th - really?

The return of Jake Egan will add some bite around stoppage as they go head-to-head against the competition's number #2 ranked team in this area.

As for the Lions’ starts, call it coincidence if you like but their three win, five loss games record for the period aligns more with a browse, raising pattern for concern.

Joe Carmody's visiting party arrive with four of the BFNL's top 16 goalkickers and five of the top 25.

Sunbury has just two in the top 40, albeit two of the top five.

The dependance on Lions’ pair Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean to kick a winning score has not waned given the two are responsible for 95 of the team’s 202 goals for the season (47%).

A successful assignment for the Lions will be judged on their ability to multitask in the run.

'Maintaining' and 'containing' will be the order of the day for Matty White's men - a potential third place finish depends on it.

Nothing really needs to change for the high-flying Kangas bar a correction on their disaster 80-point loss here in Round 11 last year (109-29).

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Swans will look to build on the learnings and good habits of recent weeks when they head down the highway to meet the winless Panthers fresh off their highest BFNL score in 39 games!

Let's acknowledge quickly, the Swans will be winning.

Outgoing coach Chris Maple has done a good job with this group.

Finals are a lock, and the Swans remain unbeaten since Round 10.

What I’m liking about the 'semi arrival' of Ballarat is the clarity in which the players are responding to their roles.

Their growing number of ball winners are finding the footy more than ever, the talls are holding their own across all three lines.

What they're not marking is being brought to ground.

Opposition teams aren't just waltzing into goal and out of the back half as they please.

Furthermore, Marcus Powling rarely loses the hit-out count in the ruck, while at ground level there’s enough leg speed at the Swans to trouble any side.

They're the encouraging good habits going on at the Swans and you can expect more of the same against the Panthers.

The 'learnings' side of things are not so fundamental.

Maturity in footy IQ remains a work in progress at the Swans around composure and decision making.

That's not always easy when you're coming up against some of the best players in local footy going around.

But Maple has them tracking nicely ahead of an exciting return to finals.

For the Panthers, well they've set themselves a new bar with the 13 goal scoreline last week against Redan.

Credit to them. Cody Chapman keeps racking up the numbers with and without the ball while Jarrod Bibby sounded the alarm of what's to look forward to with four goals and a tenth appearance in 11 games named among the club’s best players.

Scoop’s tip
Ballarat

North Ballarat head to City Oval for their last home and away game of the season to take on Redan.

Both sides will give themselves a live chance banking the premiership points despite little or no luck on the injury front over recent weeks.

Despite Redan's up and down run, injuries have been more crippling for North Ballarat than any side, but somehow, they've been able to stay competitive.

And not just competitive, the Roosters have had their moments for periods against the two dominant teams Melton and East Point, not to mention the reigning premiers, Darley, who sit third. 

Just who the Roosters get back will be a welcoming discussion for Brendan McCartney and his group given it's their last game before finals with the bye on their fixture for Round 18.

Riley Pokinghorne may return while it's been confirmed Quick, Loader and Crameri (retired) are done for the season.

Leading Lions possession winner Khy Jess is in serious doubt after a heavy landing on his back last week that saw him leave the ground early against Melton South.

The weight shifted onto Lachie George and forward pair Lachie Bond and Grant Bell to lift the Lions over the line.

Expect much of the same this week in the likely absence of Jess, Werts and Fitzgibbon.

Both teams are loaded with players shy of 20 years old, earmarking this game for a genuine, spirited battle of youth.

While experience will be lacking at the level, ironically the familiarity of the opposition won't be given the age profile.

You could see firsthand what impact the return of Roosters bigman Cam McCullum had on the group with his physical presence alone.

Also, the bonus addition of Joel Freeman inside 50 has provided the Roosters with a genuine aerial target.

The former Cobra has 13 goals from his last three games including a bag of five last week against the high-flying Kangas.  

Weather permitting, the game should provide plenty of highlights and pose a genuine look into the future of next generation BFNL talent.

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The Cobras will need little motivation bucking the trend of an ailing win/loss record when they host cross town rivals Darley.

Since their 'first' bye in Round 7, the Cobras have won just one of eight games.

Sure, Dennis Armfield's group have had excuses on the back of injury, suspension and unavailability but they're not alone.

The frustrations for Dan Jordan despite a more favourable win/loss are not dissimilar.

Again, I expect both sides to be well shy of their best 22 on paper.

I'd love to be writing up this game as one for the ages with all the bells and whistles thrown in but in reality, expect a hard-fought scrap, stoppage to stoppage game played predominately on the 'inside'. 

Given the level of desperation we often see in a local derby like this, I don't foresee a final margin to reflect the two sides’ current position on the BFNL ladder.

In fact, four of the last five local derbies have been decided by 12 points or less.

The Devils should win easy, but they won't - they will be made to earn any advantage.

Strangely, this match up for the here and now is the Devils most important in the context of their season as a potential third place beckons.

That alone elevates the status to 'danger game' for the Devils.

The Cobras’ season is done, but their pride and spirit will be in full verse I assure you against the old enemy.

I'm tipping Armfield will get everything out of his young group while his top end aims to match or better the enviable spoils made available out of the Devils’ camp.

The Devils must deliver under the weight of all pressure and expectation because if there's one group that would like to spoil their top three chances it's the progressive next gen brigade of the Cobras.    

Scoop’s tip
Darley

Melton are on the road and will look to extend their nine-game winning streak when they meet the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

The hosts are fresh off the bye and should welcome the challenge after a disappointing effort a fortnight ago against the current number two side of the competition, East Point.

Rohan Brown's group barely made an impression in their Round 15 hit-out, smashed by 155 points.

I'm not sure there's that much of a gulf between the Lakers and the top two - clearly belief remains a work in progress at CE Brown up against the powers of the BFNL.

This weekend poses an ideal opportunity for a turnaround despite the fact the assignment won't be any easier.

Intimidation could be another factor for the Lakers to overcome given the recent Bloods dominance in these fixtures.

There's no point mentioning just how one sided they have been, it's old and unwelcoming news for the Lakers who must find a way to change the narrative in their penultimate game of the season.

The Bloods’ front half boasts five of the top 14 goalkickers in the comp and a defence who treat every goal concede as if it were a kick in the teeth!

Their back six averages just 40 points against per game, well clear of the competitions next best in East Point (50 points pg).

The midfield battle will be a fun watch, both have shown encouraging growth in this area relative to their respective journeys throughout '24.

Composed entries will give the Lakers every chance to bettering their two-goal return against the Kangas. 

Anything registered above the Bloods’ season average concede (40 points) would be considered a tick.

On the flipside, any failings around noncompliance and work rate without the footy could open the floodgates for the Bloods to reach 100+ on the scoreboard for a ninth time this season.

Scoop’s tip
Melton

There is all to play for as we head into the final home & away weekend of the 2023 BFNL season. Who will secure an elusive finals spot, with a number of places in the top six still up for grabs!

With North Ballarat's fourth placing a lock for this year’s BFNL finals, don't expect any favours forthcoming for East Point who must win to give themselves any chance of moving into the top six.

Brendan McCartney's record at Mars Stadium since his appointment at the start of 2021 is formidable at 16-3 but will account for very little as Jackson Merrett and his visiting party plan all their efforts to upset the trend with a season on-the-line performance.

The Roosters are coming off the bye and will look to resemble something close to their best ahead of a do-or-die elimination final next week. Despite winning eight of their last 10 games, the Roosters have lost two of their last three albeit against teams above them in Darley and Sebastopol.

The Kangas will take some confidence into the game knowing they have already beaten the Roosters back in Round 5 this year.

That, along with the standout form of mid/forward Jordy Johnston and support crew Joe Dodd, Matty Johnston, Joel Van Meel and Cam Lovig provide a mounting case for the visitors.

Merrett (16 goals), Brad Whittaker (26), Bryson McDougall (25), Liam Canny (21) and JJ (21) are capable of kicking a winning score, and will surely keep the hosts honest on the goal front.

But with top talent Jack Riding, Sam Glover, Jamie Quick, Stewart Crameri and Riley Polkinghorne all likely inclusions for North Ballarat, the task for the visiting Kangas will be far easier said than done.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Expect Melton to mirror its 2022 minor premiership with a 14th win of the home and away season when they take on the Lakers at CE Brown Reserve.

Ironically, it was the Lakers at MacPherson Park in Round 18 last year that Aaron Tymms’ Bloods claimed the minor premiership with a 122-point win. While there's a certain inevitability about Saturday's result, what fortunes lay ahead for the Bloods are not so clear.

Sure, they only lost two games this season, both to the Devils, but there's seems to be a certain level of mortality about them (unlike last year) despite seemingly 'holding the wood' over all teams, bar Dan Jordan's men.

This hitout against the Lakers will give Tymms' reigning premiers a welcoming opportunity to fine tune their touch and any other concerns they may have applying recent methods.

Those variables aside, options to manage any player niggles will be soaked up by the brains trust ahead of a qualifying final next week against Darley (likely) or Sebastopol.

Some will be required to work through it, others granted the week off. Either way, the minor premiership looms as another feather in Tymms' cap, albeit his final year in charge.

For the Lakers, it's been another tough year on the win/loss front with recent results giving every indication season’s end is near.

Let's hope they can find the energy to give interim coach Tim Shearer a response worthy of his efforts following the mid-season departure of Jack Fitzpatrick.    

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Despite the Devils (second) and Lions (fifth) current standing inside the top six, there's a little more at stake than meets the eye when these two rivals meet at Darley Park.

For the hosts, securing a prized double chance that comes with a second-place finish can only be guaranteed with a 14th win of the season given third placed Sebastopol (12 wins) are breathing down their necks aiming to bridge the Devils’ one game and 14% advantage.

Sunbury (151%) on the other hand sit level on 32 points with Redan (6th-135%) and East Point (7th-121%). The only way Sunbury can miss finals will be in the rare event of a loss and wins by Redan over Sebastopol and East Point over North Ballarat, with both on the road.

Tipping both coaches will have appointed an eager eye to follow the progress of those games and adjust accordingly. 

Putting all the hearsay to one side for a moment, the Devils head into the Lions meet with recent home wins over Melton, North Ballarat and Sebastopol. Sunbury however, while competitive for long periods have won just three of their last nine games including three losses on the trot.

Expect both sides to bring the heat early and depending on what is unfolding around the BFNL in real time will determine how long the burners remain on high. For carrying a healthy list into finals will be deemed of paramount importance given the even spread of competition.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Fact. Sebastopol are yet to be beaten at home all year and are yet to be headed at halftime in any of their 12 games played in Ballarat.

When you throw in they're yet to field (arguably) their best 22 on paper, the chances of the Burra breaking their near 50-year premiership drought look promising.

The Burras’ five game winning streak will be put to the test when they face Redan (6th) who are yet to consolidate a finals berth.

While Gary Learmonth's group can finish as high as fifth at the expense of Sunbury, a heavy loss could see them fall as far as seventh, pending the result of East Point's effort against North Ballarat at Mars Stadium. 

Redan have had their chances to lock in the prized sixth spot but have won just three of their last six games, two of those against Melton South.

On the other hand, the hosts have been ultra consistent, having dropped just three games for the season to Melton, North Ballarat and Darley. Strangely, despite playing off in last year’s grand final, the Burra copped the Bloods just once.

Anyway, if Redan can deliver something similar to their Round 9 performance against the Burra (won three quarters), surely they're a chance of an upset.

On paper, the Lions read a formidable combination. But with the Burra expecting Riley O'Keefe, Jay Dahlhaus and Jed Hill to return, the home side looks ominous, enabling chance to be peaking at the right time.

If Redan can get it done, they will surely have earned their place, but the numbers and scope favoring the Burra suggest Kiel and Columbro’s men won't be willing to part on any momentum ahead of finals, with a slim second place finish still on the radar with the Burra needing need Sunbury to beat Darley comfortably. 

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

While much of the BFNL's attention leans toward how the top seven sides shape the final six on the last day of the home and away season, spare a thought for the unofficial battle for eighth when the Cobras host the Swans at Maddingley Park.

While only percentage separates these two sides, it's the Cobras (at home) who occupy the box seat finishing off their season with six wins including their last four on the trot.

Winning out of turn has been rare for these two despite wins over Sunbury (both) and Redan (Ballarat). But it's the gap between the Swans’ best and worst that has left some unconvinced this season.

They have managed just the one win on the road for the season (Melton South) from seven outings and meet the Cobras who refuse to put the cue away ahead of time.

The Swans have seven losses for the season in the 45+ points range including two over the 100-point mark. Alternatively, the Cobras have four defeats beyond 45 points with just one of those toppling the ton (Round 1 v Sebastopol). 

Momentum and an all-important home ground advantage at this time of year will favour the Cobras despite the likelihood of them losing key personnel back to the Coates Talent League’s final round.

The Swans are more than capable of winning, the list will tell you at as you scroll looking for reason.

But there's a positive vibe sweeping the Cobras at the moment and a win in front of their faithful, a fourth in a row will consolidate the club’s direction even further as well and truly on the right track.   

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

We head into our last round of the home and away season with a number of top six sides set to go head-to-head ahead of a blockbuster finals series next week.

There's a bit to play out at the selection table ahead of the opening bounce in Saturday's BFNL ‘Match of the Round’ when Melton host Darley at MacPherson Park.

With finals imminent and the quandary of little or nothing to gain from a ladder perspective will preservation outweigh the prospect of both sides picking their best available 22?

What would you do if you were Troy Scoble or Dan Jordan?

There are a host of variables, damned if you do, damned if you don't. Only in hindsight can we be certain.

The reality is the Devils need more gametime together, another opportunity to connect with a throw at the stumps look at the Bloods who were way too good at their first meet back in Round 7. 

Darley has just two players that have played every senior game this year, Melton nine.

It's no secret the Devils have had their frustrations with an inability to field their best 22 but the here and now looks as encouraging as it's been all year.

Will they risk top end trio Brett Bewley, Billy Myers and Matthew Brett? Would you?

Jordan and his leadership group will be the best judge of that.

From a mental perspective the Devils don't need to be 10 goals off the mark, nor show their entire hand ahead of a finals series just seven days later.

It's a catch 22 situation and potential double edged sword scenario.

Whatever the approach, Devils fans rest assured, you're in good hands.

The Bloods are simply flying taking all before them having won their last 10 on the trot. After the nightmare straight sets exit from last year’s finals race, what will Scoble do different?

With the stage already set for a highly anticipated qualifying final against East Point on August 31st, what could possibly go wrong?

One thing is certain, the Bloods will welcome a timely hit out against top six opposition, the first of its kind in 35 days.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Ironically, this game 'near' mirrors the scenarios that face Melton and Darley given there's little to gain ahead of finals for these two sides who face off at Alfredton Oval.

However, 'near' is the key word in this case as a win for the Swans would see them usurp North Ballarat on the table into fifth, earning an elimination final against Sunbury, a team they beat by 22 points back in Round 11.

For the Kangas, a win would extend their unbeaten run to 15 and a chance of securing the minor premiership in the event of Dan Jordan's Devils inflicting an upset down the highway.

It's hard to fathom the more likely outcome is East Point finish in second for the home and season having lost just one game. Unheard of!

The Swans have impressed, earning their return to finals with an unbeaten run since round 10.

They’re in form and ready to test themselves against one of the flag fancies.

How will Swans’ coach Chris Maple go about the assignment? 

Will the experienced mentor lean more on the side of caution and preservation, or will he use the opportunity as a timely footy audit and run the gauntlet against the only team that has beaten everyone in 2024.

The narrative for East Point coach Joe Carmody needs no adjustment.

Onwards and upwards for the all-conquering Kangas is likely, given their spread of impact contributors sits enviably at 22 on recent form. Why flirt with that?

Expect the margin to be closer than their first meeting as the improving Swans present as a tougher assignment at home.

Fingers crossed, both teams get through unscathed, as bigger fish to fry scenarios wait on the horizon.

Scoop’s tip
East Point

The Cobras will have vivid memories of their upset win at the Clarke Oval in Round 18 last year that essentially torpedoed the Lions out of the finals action.

While the Lions are a lock to feature at the business end this year, there's no denying the Cobras some degree of confidence after an encouraging effort against the Devils last week.

Any copy paste version of that performance would see the Cobras make a cheeky case claiming their deja vu moment.

But, backing up solid performance has been a season long battle for Dennis Armfield's young group, with just one win on the board post the Cobras’ bye in Round 7.

Something tells me they've one more push left in them, as leaders Jack Parente, Jake Owen, Tyson Shea, Luke Goetz and Jake McCreery endeavour to drag the four-win Cobras over the line, providing the means of something to celebrate, ahead of a premature mad Monday release.

The Cobras have an upset in them, always have, but Sunbury need to do some correcting of their own and get their season back on track.

Injuries have been crippling for the Lions in the back half of the season.

Ok, crippling may be an overreach, but they have certainly had an impact and derailed momentum.

Unfortunately, the Lions are vulnerable at the worst time of the year.

Expect Lions’ coach Matty White to raise the enjoyment levels for his players in this performance especially given the outcome has little or no bearing on the ladder.

It's just what the Lions need after an energy sapping loss to East Point last week.  

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Sebastopol will start warm favourites to take care of Melton South when seventh meets eleventh at Marty Busch Reserve.

With finals off the table for both sides, the respective coaches will look for further improvement with an encouraging performance to hang their hats on ahead of a thorough season review.

The Burra should be fresh off the bye and will look to put this game to bed early, denying a Panthers outfit endeavouring to avoid a winless season for the second time in a row.

Home fans deserve a bold showing from Tony Lockyer's men to round out an otherwise disappointing season.

Sure, they've had excuses but the fall from third last year to seventh would have surprised even the most reserved of Burras fans.

But one thing we do know is the Burra are a proud club, are well led and will bounce.

Don't expect them to have put the cue in the rack just yet and rather use this afternoon to maximum effect with a big win.

For the Panthers, the reality is there have been tougher assignments in Ballarat this year and they should welcome the challenge.

Their best has been encouraging, their worst uncompetitive.

Let's hope for Travis Hodgson and the players representing the proud navy blue and white, there’s one more forward showing left in the camp, before the boots are hung up following another tough season on the win / loss front.

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Expect an entertaining game of footy not dissimilar to their last meet when the Lakers host the Lions at CE Brown Reserve.

Weather permitting, I see no reason why we won't see plenty of goals given the strengths forward in these two sides and the recent evidence of 'leaky defence' syndrome.

The Lakers will need to get their match ups right as Lachie Bond (18 goals, 7 games) and Grant Bell (42 goals, 14 games) pose the obvious threat to Rohan Brown's group earning a third win of the season.

The likely absence of Lions’ midfielder Khy Jess opens the door for the Lakers to square away the clearance count as the focus shifts to denying Lachie George.

One problem is better than two.

Lakers’ midfield combo led by Tom Zampatti, Joel O'Connell, Timmy Collins and Angus Gove will ask questions of the visiting party who have had their own struggles on the win/loss front this season.

But regardless of who is afforded the premiership points come 5pm Saturday afternoon, be sure to venture down to CE Brown and check out the next crop of talent on the rise.

Coaches Gary Learmonth and Rohan Brown are under no illusions where they're at for the here and now, but the same cannot be said for the ceiling on their futures.

The game will be played in great spirits with both teams looking the winner at various stages.

Tipping the visitors may have the edge with weaponry in their front half despite the clear and present danger of Bailey Thompson (34 goals) and potentially Jaydo Wright (hamstring) who faces a race against time to return for the hosts last hit out of the 2024 season. 

Scoop’s tip
Redan

Round 2 Football Preview with Scoop!

With Round 1 in the books, this weekend's action provides clubs with the chance to bounce back or continue their strong starts to the season. 

New Cobras coach Jason Williams gets his first taste of the local derby when they host the Devils this weekend.

What's been prepared for Dan Jordan's boys in the lead up has the mind ticking on the back of a 121-point thrashing in Round 1.

It's fair to assume a 'warm welcome' won't be high on the agenda. Once the two teams have split from their collective respects honouring the Anzac tradition, it's game on.

The Cobras will be desperate to start well at home, giving some indication to home fans the rebuild is on the right track.

New Cobra additions Luke Goetz, Josh Onderwater, Jake McReery and Eamon Ogden performed well in their new colors and will be keen to impact again on what will arguably be the biggest stage for their season.

A handful of Cobra youngsters will return from the Coates Talent League Under 18 competition to bolster stocks and could make it interesting early with their sprightly enthusiasm but it will be a big ask to deny the Devils the premiership points.

Despite winning by 40 points in Round 1, the Devils looked every bit in need of the run and will be hopeful experienced campaigners Billy Myers, Matty Brett and Darren Leonard are available. On a positive note, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Shane Page seemingly play their best footy in these big games.

Surely trying conditions in Round 1 played a role in 'the look' of these two teams and we're privy to a spike first hand on that impression today.

Scoop’s tip:Darley

While you can't fully trust what version of Sunbury you're going get, the small sample size so far in 2023 suggests faith is being restored. So much so, I’m going to tip an upset here with the Lions to make it a 2-0 start to their season, by downing the visiting reigning premiers, Melton.

'Visiting' is the key word determining my selection. For all of the Lions frustrations in recent times they were only one of two teams (North Ballarat the other) to overcome the Bloods in 2022. That day at home, it could easily have been more than final 15-point margin given the Lions had 10 more shots on goal.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will welcome the press and conversation leaning toward a Lions win and use it as motivation. I've no doubt the Bloods best is still the best going around but can they bring the heat second after a comfortable win over the Panthers in Round 1. I'm tipping like a few clubs, they're still a way off their best in the contest while the Lions have been all in over the pre-season, desperate for early wins after two ordinary starts in '21 and '22.

Sunbury's additions for '23 have been measured, merely complementing a group that, despite a five-win season, were not far off challenging. The top-ups in, Cody Brand, Josiah Garisto, Rivva Karpany, and the full time addition of Josh Guthrie and Mitch Lewis adds depth and stability.

For me, this ‘Match of the Round’ contest is a flip of the coin result - home ground advantage and an 'up and about' Lions is enough to sway against the reigning premiers in a close one.

Scoop’s tip:Sunbury

Expect North Ballarat to bounce back at home when they take on impressive Round 1 winners Redan. Despite losing to Sunbury last week, Brendan McCartney’s boys showed enough to suggest they will be in the finals mix again.

Visiting Redan will be fresh after a week off but I'm not sure that is the ideal preparation so early in the season - how they adjust to the 'flying start' pressure from the hosts will interesting given they're coming off a 15-day break. The Lions are hunting a place in the final six, and will throw everything at their more fancied rivals. Their winning chances are real having beaten North Ballarat in their last meeting on City Oval.

The start will be all important for these two teams - let’s hope there is no significant wind advantage to one end - it always takes the edge off a promising spectacle. 

North Ballarat marquee signing Stewart Crameri was solid first up and will be improved by the run while the availability of Josh Chatfield (Footscray VFL) may have its own bearing on the result. Same can be said for Lions mid Cooper Craig-Peters (Footscray VFL). In a boost for the Roosters, star mid Riley Polkinghorne is likely to return while Jack Riding is a 50/50 chance.

Redan are in form albeit a win over the Lakers, who've lost 16 in a row, means the jury remains out until a more formidable opponent is overcome.

Scoop’s tip:North Ballarat

The Panthers travel to Eastern Oval with a horror recent history against the Kangas. They will be praying for rain at least, hopeful of anything that can minimise the damage.

For new Panthers coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy, let me introduce you to the Johnston brothers, for if you don't acknowledge them now they'll certainly get you later. Expect Matty Johnson to have a presence through the midfield and Jordy to help himself to a few goals as they lead the Panthers’ midfield and defence on a merry dance.

For new East Point coach Jackson Merrett, expect him to endure a few butterflies as he prepares for his first season in charge with the expectations on the Kangas sure to fluctuate.

Given the Panthers tough Round 1 result at the hands of Melton, what can we expect from the Kangas? Can they win by enough to please themselves come 5pm. I think Merrett will be just relieved with the four premiership points in the bank, be happy to get through unscathed and be encouraged by what he saw from his young group - for the Kangas will need more from their 'bottom half' talent if they're trouble the big guns in 2023.

Scoop’s tip:East Point

Both sides arrive off a nervous start following losses to Darley (Ballarat) and Redan (Lakers). In fairness, the nature of the Swans performance was considerably more positive. If not for wasted opportunities, they could easily have finished closer. I know the Lakers too visited the 'wasted opportunities' theme but one goal for an entire four quarters is not in the same mantle.

The Lakers bring some degree of confidence knowing they tested the Swans at their last meeting and were in fact beaten on the last kick of the day. They'll be a better team with newcomers Tom Zampatti and Mick Foster in the midfield, but their availability remains under a cloud.

A memo for Lakers coach Jack Fitzpatrick - beware the youth of the Swans and their ability to extricate from clearance, a notable area of difference in the Lakers opening round loss to the Lions.

Swans trio Will Liston (37 disposals), Paddy Simpson and the 'fine drop' Wyatt Squires impressed against the Devils last week and the beneficiaries of all important ruckman Marcus Powling. How much the young Swans can improve on their efficiencies with ball in hand remains their greatest challenge.

The game looms as the perfect opportunity for progress with a chance to go 1-1 on the line for both sides.

Scoop’s tip:Ballarat

Round 3 action looms with plenty of massive clashes set to take place, but a grand final rematch headlines this weekend's games. Scoop has a look at all the fixtures for this Saturday. 

Round 3 marks 1313 days since the last time the Burra had their way with the Bloods. That won't bother new coach combo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro too much but there's no doubting Tymms' crew have proven their nemesis over recent years.

In fact the Burra have struggled to hit the scoreboard against the reigning premiers in their last few hitouts prompting Kiel and Columbro to narrow the focus in the off season. "Adding efficient ball users with an ability to run," has been the player type targeted by the Burra.

How they'll stand up against the competition benchmark makes for compelling viewing - a classic footy audit awaits the hunters - albeit three rounds in. This scenario will suit them down to the ground as win, loss or draw learnings come sooner rather than later.

Previously, injuries have denied the Burra a real crack with 'genuine' momentum - they will surely ask questions of the Bloods who have answered all challengers in their opening two games. The Burra smashed an undermanned Cobras as outfit in Round 1 but this is a different assignment altogether.

In this instance, the Bloods have every right to consider themselves head of the class, just how they deal with the challenge will be timely for the competition after some big results in the opening rounds. Kiel and Columbro will have done their homework, they saw the Bloods in full flight last week, but whether they can get it done off a 14-day break and soft kill in Round 1, that’s the ultimate question we have heading into this one.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Cobras will be hoping to unleash new recruit Jake Long on North Ballarat to bolster their slim winning chances at Maddingley Park. The former Bomber has missed the opening part of the season with a hamstring injury but is right in the mix heading into Round 3.

With fine weather predicted Cobras’ coach Jason Williams will expect further progress from his developing team to challenge Brendan McCartney's men.

The visitors, while deserving favorites, will look to do some improving of their own - building on a system, a connection that can hold them in good stead. They've won just two of their last eight games since their upset win over Melton in Round 13 last year.

So, Cobras beware and be on notice - this will be the first time under McCartney North Ballarat meet the Cobras on a fine day.

Their only two previous meets (under McCartney) have been on heavy rain effected tracks yet somehow the Roosters near doubled the Cobras’ score. Sunbury key forward Cody Brand offered one piece of advice after playing North Ballarat in Round 1, "run and gun". In fact, the Cobras may need their bike to contain this lot. Even McCartney himself has been bullish of his teams' new ability to run. And a good track will suit.

There is plenty to like about the inclusions of the young Cobras back from the Coates Talent League, they can run. And they’ll need them all. Marquee recruit Jake Long will be a bonus too. Containing Stewart Crameri forward looms as Williams’ greatest problem - Jake Owen surely gets first crack?

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

It's been a brutal opening two weeks for Melton South and for dual coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy it won’t get any easier for them when they host Sunbury in front of the Panthers loyal and faithful.

While the result for many externally looms foregone, you can bet your life Lions’ coach Travis Hodgson won't be taking his foot off the pedal, having lost two of his last three hitouts against the Panthers. Needless to add there'll be a few missing from that Panthers’ line up that got it done on those occasions.

Hodgson will understand percentage may well play a part in the latter season. In the event of ideal conditions, he will not want to waste them. The Panthers’ six-goal final term against East Point gives them some belief heading in, so expect them to show something early.

Hodgson will be all over it, homework complete, with only the exam to complete. Anything less will ask questions of the genuine nature of the Lions who are keen to bounce in 2023.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Have every reason to expect another 'down to the wire' encounter between these two well respected rivals. It's hard to gauge the early season form given the small sample size. What we do know is that East Point thrashed the struggling Panthers to kickstart their season while the Devils went 2-0 with 'modest' wins over Ballarat and Bacchus Marsh.

Just who can roll up the sleeves and raise the bar on Eastern Oval will walk away with the premiership points and remain one of just two undefeated teams in the competition.

For visitors Darley, their ability to win the ball is as good as any. The support, especially with the ball, has been encouraging but skill execution and reward for those deeds are lagging. If the Devils fail the execution test against the quality of the Kangas they will be made pay on the scoreboard.

The home side has an enviable offering of riches forward of centre with the likes of Jordy Johnston, Brad Whittaker, Bryce McDougall and Isaac Hucker waiting to pounce.

Even if you don't support either of these teams it would be worth the entry fee alone to watch elite midfielders Matty Johnston and Brett Bewley go head-to-head. Both players would agree the duel for individual bragging rights sits at 1-1.

Jordy Johnston can be a thorn in the Devils side, even the most one-eyed supporters of the black-and-white have acknowledged his x-factor brilliance. With time spent on matchups seemingly aging in footy, you can back it in there'll be at least one reserved for 'JJ'. On the other hand Bewley looms the obvious 'contain' for new Kangas coach Jackson Merrett with MJ the likely run with option. Should be a belter.    

Scoop’s tip: Darley

This clash looms a potential crystal ball moment for these two sides even this far out as both teams aim to quash each other’s finals credentials. The hierarchy of both clubs wouldn't waste a minute agreeing with the theory, but the reality is eight does not go into six. Even the poorest mathematicians can tell you that.

The Swans reached the magic 12-win mark last season to earn second spot on the ladder - a remarkable achievement given Melton (2022) and East Point (2019) have been the only other two teams to do so in the last five seasons. The Swans had (as they did many) the Lions measure narrowly at their last meet but given the small sample size to date, my opinion has swayed.

The experience lost at the Swans will take its toll on their final win-loss tally, that for me is inevitable. However, the growth of the next generation of Swans are already mounting an impact to test the more seasoned Lions list. Even if the Swans lose, the learnings for midfielders Will Liston and Paddy Simpson will be invaluable against the Lions 'footy smart' clearance king, Lachie George.

If Bailey Van de Heuvel plays, the Swans have to be some hope of containing the Lions’ avenues to goal on their home deck. He's the player that behind the ball can really set the young Swans up with his intercept marking and distribution.

Lions forward Isaac Grant has two bags of four from his opening two games and will be dangerous again. Redan too have Grant Bell, Liam Hoy, Lachie McLean and George who can hit the scoreboard. Expect the visitor’s options forward will prove too much for the Swans in an entertaining affair despite both sides looking the winner at times.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

The round kicks off with an Anzac Day matchup on Thursday before all eyes turn to Saturday for a flurry of intriguing contests.

The 0-2 Lakers are playing with plenty of spirit and will make hard work of it for Ballarat who aim to keep their unbeaten record intact.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has been 'proud' of his young group and the endeavour shown over his short tenure and will look to build on the nature of their ability to threaten.

Honourable losses can wear thin over time, so changing the narrative with a win will surely do wonders for a group that has clearly improved on previous seasons.

On exposed form Chris Maple's Swans will head into the Anzac Day clash warm favorites.

Sure, the Swans faithful would be rapt with their 2-0 start, but Maple's reservations expressed in the post-match of both wins give every indication there's a lot more work to be done “in all facets of the game,”.

I get it's a coach’s job to keep a lid on things, but there's been plenty to like about the Swans in 2024.

An improvement in personnel, be it organic or outsourced has seen the Swans tipped as league improvers by some rival coaches. On the evidence so far, I think they're right.

An opportunity for consolidation awaits the Swans whose collective speed across the ground will stretch the Lakers, especially on turnover.

Memo for the Lakers - give the ball back at your own peril!

Rhett Montgomerie has proven a real find in the opening fortnight - an injection of top end talent the Swans will need taking the next step. His availability at Footscray VFL however is out of the Swans hands.

Callum Wellings has also provided a major boost to the Swans’ arsenal between the arcs after missing all of last year with travel and surgery.

For the Lakers hopes, I’m keen to see Jayden Wright complement twin towers Felix Fogarty and Tom Zampatti.

The form of Bailey Thompson (seven goals), Timmy Collins (in best 2/2) and Brayden Helyar (2/2) is also having an impact despite a winless opening two rounds.

Do the Anzac Day occasion proud - wishing both sides all the best on an important day that truly represents the fabric of being Australian. 

PLAYER WATCH

Will Liston (Ballarat #2)
Club Best and Fairest winner who has taken his game to a new level over the last 12 months. Reliable mid with speed to burn. Dangerous on the spread.

Felix Fogarty (Lake Wendouree #18)
Mobile tall provides an aerial target for the Lakers. Kicks the ball well for a big man and will look to build on his solid contribution made in last week's narrow loss to the Cobras. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Ballarat

While Redan are expected to win and win well, the timing of having to face the struggling Panthers could well be the worst of the season.

Expect a whisper of unconfirmed top end talent to make a one-off appearance for the navy blue and white providing Coach Travis Hodgson with an injection of the necessary tools capable of aiding and executing a plan.

The long-term injuries to star recruits Patrick Veszpremi and Anthony Wilson has led to the club having to source more talent into the group that does not include Geelong VFL listed key defender Darby Schilder who will also debut having recovered from a calf complaint.

The Panthers will also derive some comfort knowing former Lions’ captain Isaac Grant has moved on in the off-season following returns of 11 and 10 goal hauls from their last two meets.

But what Redan has despite an 0-2 start to the season is some encouraging depth, a mountain of coachable young talent making their way with the Lions.

The youth are being complemented by experienced quartet Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon, and newly appointed captain Jacob Werts.

The Lions should prove too much for the Panthers the longer this game goes but they won't be exempt of an early scare when the legion of Panthers' cameos (up to four) endeavour to sway the pattern of on-field misfortunes embattling the club.  

PLAYER WATCH

Ryder Rousch (Melton South #11)
Up and coming young tall who has been a shining light in a disappointing start for the Panthers. Rousch has been named in the best 2/2 at his new club after making the move from Sunbury.

Grant Bell (Redan #23)
Clever, experienced forward who knows where the goals are. Expect Bell to feature prominently amongst the goals again adding to his impressive nine goal tally to start the season.

SCOOP’S TIP

Redan

The Devils will aim to put this game to bed early as they have done their previous two meetings with cross town rivals Bacchus Marsh.

Dan Jordan's men led by 23 and 35 points at the main break on those occasions before restricting the Cobras to just 14 scoring shorts for the entire game.  

Expect 'Killer Bees' Brett Bewley, Billy Myers, Luther Baker and Brady Wright to lead the Devils with significant intent after the reigning premiers fell short on the road last week against North Ballarat.

For Dennis Armfield's Cobras, a win last week, while not convincing, should derive enough confidence to at least take it up to the Devils early, denying a 'copy paste' version of recent Derby outings.

Cobras’ quintet Jake Owen, Luke Goetz, Joel Freeman, Will Lalor and Rye Penny (if available) will provide enough aerial presence to threaten if the delivery is up to speed.

The pressure from the Devils on the ball carrier has been a feature creating turnover, leading to scores.

The Cobras inferior numbers to the Devils re disposal efficiency could tell its own story on the scoreboard at games end.

The Devils have six current players that finished in the top 40 goalkickers of the 2023 season, Bacchus Marsh just two. Finding less predictable avenues to goal for the Cobras against the miserly Devils defence looms another challenge for Armfield and his staff.          

These games often unveil an unlikely hero or break out game for a youngster on the up.

Let's hope at least one of these encouragable scenarios plays out in what is arguably the biggest home and away stage for both clubs.

PLAYER WATCH

Joel Cadman (Darley #17)
Should be cherry ripe for a big game between the arcs after a big pre-season. His best is very good.

Luke Goetz (Bacchus Marsh #33)
Dominant ruckman will be hoping for a spike in hit outs to advantage and marking presence around the ground.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

After a gritty three-point win over reigning premiers Darley, North Ballarat head to Melton to take on the competition yardstick, concluding a baptism of fire opening for the Roosters’ 2024 campaign.

Take from last week’s result achieved at Mars Stadium what you will, but it was nothing short of willing and courageous in the absence of a handful of top end talent that would walk into any side.

While an early spike in confidence and belief positively consumes the Roosters, it has indeed heightened the levels of expectation from the hosts who have dominated the opposition in their two games to date.

Melton's list bats deeper, but there's no denying the organised nature of North Ballarat, buoyed with the off-season additions of Noah Cockerill, Mal White and Liam Deering who all played a significant role in their debuts for BFNL premiership points last week.

More will be asked of Cockerill this week especially against a rampant Bloods front half boasting four of the competitions nine leading goalscorers already.

A general 'chop out' from the Roosters’ midfielders at the coalface denying the Bloods an exit and repeat entries into the forward 50 will aid organisation and accountability.

If the Bloods get on top between the arcs at speed and on their own terms it will be difficult to hold out.

Just where you expose the Bloods is not easy - in fact the Bloods have won 41/49 games since their 2019 preliminary final exit.

Brendan McCartney, however, can lay claim to being on the winning end of a couple and will be keen to add a third in what would be his one of finest days on the magnets during his four year tenure.

Easier said than done.

Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble has been very impressive in his short time in charge both on and off field and has the players up and about.

Despite losing big men Ben Archard and Brenton Payne the Bloods, albeit a small sample size, look to have taken their game to another level. Catch 'em if you can!

PLAYER WATCH

Braeden Kight (Melton #7)
Dangerous X-factor forward who started the new season with a bang returning back-to-back hauls of seven goals. The Bloods Captain is a man on a mission.

Joshua Sparkman (North Ballarat #1)
A lot will be asked of Sparkman's ability to rebound off half back against the powerhouse Bloods. Expect a solid performance from this progressive type, win, lose or draw. 

SCOOP’S TIP

Melton

Let's be honest, both sides are coming off embarrassing losses and will be desperate to represent a greater version of themselves under lights on Saturday night.

Expect the contest to be dour and low scoring especially if the nighttime dew sweeps through as it did last week at Mars Stadium that witnessed 10 goals for the game, and just two in the second half!

On the flipside, the likelihood of a predominately 'inside' contest could be just what coaches Joe Carmody (East Point) and Tony Lockyer (Sebastopol) are after - an opportunity to get to work in tradesmen like fashion, an area that deserted them in losses to Darley and Melton respectively.

Both sides have talented lists, boasting a succession of recent finals appearances.

An Anzac Day weekend stage in tough conditions is surely to say a lot about the desire and commitment to win the hard footy given a mountain of stoppages are on the cards.

Picking a winner is difficult, neither side will arrive boasting a full book of confidence. Maybe the Kangas with a week off have had longer to process and work on their failings, with a keen eye firmly toward making a better account of themselves against similar opposition on the rebound.

Courage, territory and opportunity will be the overriding themes under the lights at Eastern Oval. Win all three variables, you surely win the game.

PLAYER WATCH

Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (East Point #2)
Inside mid who has returned to the club after a stint in the Mallee. Expect a solid response from one of the more consistent players in the comp after a round one thrashing at the hands of the Devils.

Riley O'Keefe (Sebastopol #2)
U/23 Interleague rep defender who rarely plays a bad game. Will play a key role in the Burras’ defence denying an East Point forward combo on the rebound. 

SCOOP’S TIP

East Point

With early season form lines starting to take shape, Round 4 presents as an opportunity for teams to continue their winning ways and rectify slow starts.

Dennis Armfield’s Cobras will look to jump the Lions early, coming off their bye in round three, aiming toward a first half-time lead of the season.

The visitors arrive with a sprightly 2-0 record under Matthew White and will like their chances to make it a hattrick of wins on a firm deck expected at Maddingley Park.

The midfield battle provides plenty of interest with Lions trio Josh Guthrie, Jake Egan and Ben Cameron up against welcoming party Jake McCreery, Tyson Shea and Josh Huxtable.

Just who can extricate best from a high number of predicted stoppages at the feet of Fraser Ampulski and Luke Goetz will have a large say in the territory game and inevitably the result.

While both sides provide varied options forward, it's Lions’ lead up spearhead Jake Sutton that looms the Cobras’ greatest challenge.

The snowy haired former Essendon VFL listed player has 11 goals already from his opening two games.

Rye Penny is the Cobras’ best defender but given his rebound attacking style it may be a case of 'robbing Peter to pay Paul' entertaining the unlikely match-up.

The Cobras have a significant presence forward of their own with Jake Owen, Joel Freeman and Isaac Nixon all aerially capable.

Fans of the red, yellow and black will be hopeful they have their kicking boots on providing every chance kicking a winning score.

Tipping you'll need to be in the 80 points range at the final siren to earn the 'W'.    

PLAYER WATCH
Ben Cameron (Sunbury #26)
newcomer averaging 25 disposals. Ranks #2 in the comp for ground ball gets, #7 for hard ball gets, #8 for handballs. Handy type.

Jake McCreery (Bacchus Marsh #20)
Ranks #2 in the comp for Pressure and #1 at the club for inside 50s.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

The Lions host Sebastopol at City Oval in one of the more evenly weighted games in Ballarat for the round.

While I’m prepared to afford Sebastopol a 'mulligan' for their disappointing loss to East Point under the lights at Eastern Oval last week I won't be going as far as tipping them.

With a kind draw this season I still expect the Burra to feature at the business end.

They're not in the Melton conversation we know that, but not many are so let's temper expectations a bit.

This match will tell us even more about where the Burra are at. Sure, personnel reads well on paper but what is their ceiling? Can the 30-50 game players get any better, it's not a given.

Footy is a hard game to play let alone developing into an impact player week in week out after 38 hours on the tools.  

Redan too have a promising group of progressive types with even less experience than their Burra counterparts and will again be asked for the 'impact' effort alongside senior bodies Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon and Daniel Bond.

The Lions have been without star recruit Lachie Bond and dangerous forward Lachie McLean for their opening three games (W1L2) so now looms as good as time as any for Tony Locker's men to earn valuable premiership points.

Easier said than done however as was proven the case at their last meeting at Marty Busch Reserve ahead of last year’s finals series when the Lions won by 20 points.

PLAYER WATCH

Rory Gunsser (Redan #8)
Left foot distributer - comp rank #10 for disposals averaging 25.7 inc. 20 of those kicks.

Lachlan Cassidy (Sebastopol #12)
'Elite' numbers in most areas including comp rank #1 for tackles, #3 for handballs, #4 for pressure, #6 for score involvements, #7 for clearances.

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

After a tough draw to start the season, Brendan McCartney's one win, one loss Roosters get an opportunity to consolidate with a win over the Lakers (0-3) at Mars Stadium.

Despite missing a handful of top end talent the frugal Roosters barely gave an inch to last year's minor (Melton) and major Premiers (Darley) winning four of the eight quarters including a win.

Any side would take that, especially in the absence of key personnel.

So, what is to gain for the Roosters against the Lakers? A game spent more on their own terms for starters - so finding more ways to goal on the back of that hard work witnessed in their opening two games will enhance their threat even further. 

I've no doubt the Lakers will deliver some contested resistance for periods but it's the impact of scoring either side of those periods for North Ballarat that provides the greatest means for an interesting read in the aftermath.  

Expect North Ballarat to be too strong replicating a margin similar to their previous meet (68 points) and Jamie Quick to get his first bag of the season (five) and match it with a further five score involvements.

Saturday looms as the Lakers’ greatest challenge of the season in so many ways despite losses to Sebastopol, Bacchus Marsh and Ballarat in the opening three weeks. The reality is the Lakers rank 10th for average points scored, scores against, shots on goal, and quarters won.

PLAYER WATCH
Isaac Carey (North Ballarat)
Enjoying his role at wing and half back. Is top 15 in the comp for rebound 50s, defensive 50 tackles, Intercepts and knock ons.

Tom Zampatti (Lake Wendouree)
Important key tall ranks #2 in comp for throw-in clearances and #5 for hit-outs.

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Saturday's match up between league improvers Ballarat and the reigning premier will tell us more about Chris Maple's Swans following wins over Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

How the Swans progressive midfield group cope against experienced Devils’ quartet Billy Myers, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will go a long way validating the separation on the scoreboard.

The Devils will need to maintain their clearance efficiency advantage (63%-56%) over the Swans or risk being exposed on the spread.

The Swans should hold the faith, believing their group is capable of netting a big fish.

Given their 3-0 start, Saturday's opportunity in front of a home crowd looms the ideal stage to announce their 'official' arrival.

BUT, the Swans will be made to earn that right, with questions raised on all lines.

While the Swans’ abundant leg speed presents a challenge for any opposition, the Devils pose a different assignment altogether (aerially and at ground level) than Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

The Devils are still shifting through their gears since their dominant opening round win over East Point and will aim to peak for longer periods.

For the record, the Devils have won 22 of their last 25 BFNL games.

Swans inclusions Rhett Montgomery (Footscray VFL), Lachie Dalgleish and the availability of Tristan Maple (Footscray VFL) and Angus Bade (Footscray VFL) will only help the hosts cause, denying a versatile and formidable Devils front six led by inform duo Wil Johnson and Brady Wright.   

Naturally, experienced Swans small forward Andrew Hooper will generate his usual level of attention.

PLAYER WATCH
Lewis Rinaldi (Ballarat #24)
Averaging 24 possessions per game, 14 contested (team rank #2), 7 clearances (team rank #1).

Mitch Ward (Darley #9)
Currently the Devils #1 turnover defender (#7 in the comp).

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

It's back to the drawing board again for Travis Hodgson's Melton South following the surprise inclusion of four top end Ovens and Murray league players in last week’s 10 goal loss to Redan.

Given the cameo nature of their selections last week we can hardly call them genuine 'outs' but I’m sure Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody is a little relieved his group has been spared the match up.

In reality, it's a case of how far the Kangas on Saturday at Eastern Oval, a venue the Panthers have been on the wrong end of some big losses in recent years.

Will we see the first big bag of 10 goals from one individual? Kangas’ trio Jordy Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson are the obvious front runners and more than capable.

Party stuff aside, Carmody will look to build on good habits. Sure, selflessness and pressure in the front half are on his radar but it’s the back six and their organisation that will be his biggest (season long) project.

Carmody led the Swans into a Preliminary Final in 2022 on the back of sound, organised defence and will replicate some of those traits at his new club.

For Hodgson, another 100 minutes of senior experience into his young group will aid the rebuild theme as the struggling club aims for a 'mini win' even if that be a quarter of football.

The Panthers won 1/64 quarters in 2023 and are 0/12 for the new season.

The challenge continues.

PLAYER WATCH
Jackson Merrett (East Point #1)
Relinquished of coaching duties, injury free and returned with 38 disposals last week in tough conditions.

Darby Schilder (Melton South #14)
Geelong VFL listed made solid impression first up with 20 disposals @75% including 8 marks (3 contested). Plays key back, plenty will be asked of him on Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Round 5 presents a number of tantalising contests, with the opportunity for first wins and the chance to break away from the pack on the cards for some clubs. Scoop previews all the action coming up this weekend.

Some will suggest that the winner of this contest will assume the third seed favouritism for the flag behind premiership fancies, Melton and Sebastopol, by the time Round 5 concludes.

While the result will not define either side’s season, the outcome should tell us more about Sunbury and their level of improvement.

If you go back to grasp a better sample size of recent form from the Lions, while missing last year’s finals, Sunbury are 6-2 from their last eight games, while Darley sit at 7-1.

If you wanted to dig a little deeper into the form, matches against top six (from last year) opposition sees the Devils with a 5-3 record ahead of the Lions 2-6. Hence the call of onus on Travis Hodgson's near full strength line up at home getting it done.

Not only is Sunbury's list healthy, off-season recruits, Cody Brand, Rivva Karpany and Josiah Garisto have been significant, not mentioning the full-time additions of Mitch Lewis (ex-Port Melbourne VFL) and Josh Guthrie (North Melbourne VFL) - the Lions are primed for success in 2023.

How these two sides settle into their work early will be interesting given the Devils are coming off the bye and Sunbury with dominant wins over the Lakers and Melton South.

Whether the Devils can secure VFL listed duo Mace Cousins and Bailey Young will be important to their chances. The want to bat as deep into the list will likely play its own role in the result.

The best players from both sides have started well in 2023, so there'll be no excuses. Sunbury will start favorites, on home ground advantage alone, and will be keen to play as such. It's fair to say the Lions let their last two matches against the Devils slip through their fingers.

A three peat is unlikely so another mature effort (and some) from Dan Jordan's Devils will be required if they're to leave Clarke Oval with the Premiership points. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

If you're in the 'firm believer' camp regarding Sebastopol's flag prospects this season, expect them to take care of Ballarat on Alfredton Oval and go 3-1 come 5pm on Saturday.

The Burra look more seasoned than the young Swans, with bigger bodies and greater depth. Those features alone will have an impact the further this game goes. In fairness to the Swans, they're under no illusions where they're at and would be the first to accept the underdog tag heading in.

Win/loss aside Swans’ coach Chris Maple will be looking for his young group to hang in longer and take more of their opportunities as they present. Failure to do so will be validated on the scoreboard.

Not to be outdone or ahead of themselves, the Burra concede they too remain a work-in-progress so expect coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro to flirt with the magnets as they strive to find the right combination to challenge for the title moving forward.

The Swans will ask questions of a few Burra players and their capabilities. The job on Swans’ sharpshooter Andrew Hooper is always a difficult task while negating Marcus Powling in the ruck carries its own levels of interest.

Swans midfielder Will Liston has been the beneficiary of Powling's work to be among the top possession winners on the ground. Kiel and Columbro touched on their desire to be a running team with efficient distribution. A run-with-role on Liston will soon determine the running capabilities of a few.

It was pleasing to see Toby Hutt kick a bag of 10 goals last week, he's likely to prove a handful again on projected weight of entries alone. Angus Bade looks the likely match up.

Swans coach Chris Maple summed it up perfectly last week identifying the gulf between their best and worst footy. For how long they bring their best looms their greatest challenge again for anything shy of it could see the young Swans on the wrong end of a blow-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Despite a 3-1 season record (wins over 8th, 9th, 10th) for Redan and an impressive eight wins from their last nine games, reigning Premiers Melton loom a different assignment altogether.

I thought one lifelong Lions’ fan in particular was getting a little ahead of themselves last week touting this match to be top billing, essentially 1v2. Brave call, but for all of Redan's recent form, it pales in comparison to the mighty Bloods.

Redan finished within 10 points on City Oval at their last meet with Melton but the competitions' benchmark was coming off a rare 21-day break and seemingly off their mantle, struggling with the restart.

Don’t expect the Bloods to give the plucky Lions much of a sniff especially if the weather holds up. While one might expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways, the Lions will be hopeful as many of three of their missing six players from last week can return, giving their slim chances of an upset win a welcoming boost - none more so than Footscray VFL affiliate Cooper Craig-Peters.

Melton are not at their best just yet, having trailed at half-time for a second time in three weeks but glimpses of what that resembles has been scary good, against quality opposition - Sunbury, Sebastopol and North Ballarat.

Expect the Bloods to have too many winners across the ground and prove too strong for the Lions.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

For all of North Ballarat's promise (2-2) they've still only won three of their last 10 games giving East Point (2-1) every reason to think they can win at home in an all-important game for both teams.

While the belief that North Ballarat are well and truly in the finals mix this year on sample size thus far, coach Brendan McCartney will be hoping for more evidence of progress against the Kangas. Let's not forget North Ballarat led Melton at half-time last week and turned a few heads midafternoon while East Point piled on nine goals against Ballarat in a match winning second quarter blitz.

North Ballarat will have to get it done without Stewart Crameri (groin) who failed to return after leaving the ground in the third term last week. But the reinforcements, the next gen of North Ballarat soldiers, are well drilled, can run, and not shy on confidence. Surely, it's McCartney's undeniable belief in his boys that exudes the confidence.

There is no reason why North Ballarat can't build on that honest hitout against the Bloods and look the winners for the most part in this game, but if opportunities are not taken, the Kangas will surely swoop.

The Johnston brothers and Alex Molan have led the Kangas midfield while usual suspects Bryce McDougall and Brad Whittaker have looked dangerous forward of centre along with a swarm of young talent waiting to impact at ground level.

Jackson Merrett and Jo Dodd couldn't be far from a return to give the Kangas a major boost but I’m happy to go with my gut at the moment predicting a win for the visitors.     

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

While winless, on the road, and coming off an 18-game losing streak, Expect Lake Wendouree to bring the heat, and even go in favourites, against fellow cellar dwellers Melton South.

On exposed form, bragging rights and a long-awaited celebration are at stake as these two struggling clubs go head-to-head.

Finding a winner despite the winless nature of the two will be easier for most, with every right to assume the Lakers hold the advantage on form, having been competitive for longer periods in their three games to date.

However, Melton South will not know themselves this week on the back of a horror draw namely Melton, East Point, Sunbury and Sebastopol. How they cope with a more evenly matched opposition will go a long way to determining their genuine winning chances.

Either side will be made to earn it, even if the Panthers start underdogs despite being at home. They may have some confidence behind them having beaten the Lakers in Ballarat at their last meet.

Mini wins are a bonus for all clubs in the context of the season but for these two sides there's no such thing. It will be a major result for the winners, and only contemplation of what's next awaits the loser.

This should be an entertaining game. Unfortunately, the Panthers may be too many troops shy of their best 22 to win in front of their faithful. The Lakers while made to earn it, will be hopeful it could be all smiles ahead of the journey home.

Scoop’s tip: Lake Wendouree

Looking ahead to the Round 5 action there is plenty on the line already early on in the 2024 season. With contender or pretender status still up in the air there is everything to play for come Saturday.

The underdog tag won't phase Gary Learmonth's Redan given their recent record over the reigning premiers. And nor will the venue!

For the record the Lions have won four of the last five meetings between the two sides, three of those as underdogs and on three occasions at Darley Park.

The youthful Redan lineup set with the tough assignment will include as many as 10 players still eligible for the Under 19's. Rest assured they're not coming for the experience, rather every intention of winning.

Unfortunately for the Lions I can't see the result ending in anything but an experience. Since the Devils’ upset loss at the hands of Redan (Round 10, 2023),

Dan Jordan's men have gone 10-0 at home with an average winning margin of 62 points! Take the Melton South thrashing (212pts) out and you're still left with a 45+ points advantage.

The Devils are still hitting their straps, striving for the best version of themselves for four quarters.

Jordan is a coach always looking forward but I'm sure the anomalies of recent head-to-head results v Redan has not left the memory bank.

Expect the Devils to be on their mettle, a mission of their own to an extent, putting this game to bed early against a predominantly young group craving for any momentum or sniff of a repeat upset.    

PLAYER WATCH
Leigh Spiteri (Darley)
In form small forward dangerous around goal, four & three majors last two weeks.

Riley Collins (Redan)
Sandringham Dragons rep - clean small forward who has impressed in opening few games. Had 15 disposals last week v Sebastopol, 10 contested.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

The Bloods (3-0) return fresh off the bye for a match-up against league improvers Ballarat.

The bye can play tricks on preparation and translate to starts in games and your capacity to run out games given the interruption, albeit just a week.

For this early time of year especially, teams, and players more to the point, would prefer continuity with their footy in the form of a game every week.

Given the part time nature of the competition, sides can slumber in the void of continuity.

Thats what visiting Swans coach Chris Maple will be hoping for when his young group make the trip to MacPherson Park, hopeful any edge will aid their mission.

The Swans endured a lesson from the Devils last week and will be looking for an immediate response, especially early to get the Bloods on the hop.

If the Swans can be up and about early and it translated to the scoreboard, surely it provides the means of an outside 'throw at the stumps' chance.

Forget last year’s visit from the Swans to MacPherson Park, they're an improved proposition in the here and now.

Yep, the Devils got hold of them last week, but Dan Jordan's army were made to play well and earn the 64-point win.

The same will be asked of Troy Scoble's Melton.

What level of threat the Swans pose to the powerful Bloods will be validated on the scoreboard.

The 'W' I anticipate is beyond them. I won't be on my own with that assessment but there's a curiosity out of both camps and more broadly across the competition, the gap size between the two.

Saturday will tell us.

PLAYER WATCH
Ryan Davis (Melton)
Small forward who can fly under the radar (6 goals / 3 games).

Callan Wellings (Ballarat)
Ex Collingwood VFL knows how to find the footy - had 22 disposals last week v Darley.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Hosts Sunbury (3-0) have done everything right ahead of their first hit out against genuine league heavyweights North Ballarat (2-1).

The Lions look well organised under new coach Matty White.

Compliance to team plan demands are being met on the back of thriving fitness levels and the addition of a handful of players all having an impact in their opening three games.

Sure, the Lions had Redan, Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and duly saluted but they look primed for a timely footy audit on their home deck.

North Ballarat will deny Sunbury the 'outside ball' they've been used to in their three wins to date and will be made to earn every possession, forward 50 entry and score.

Can the Lions withstand the frugal nature of Brendan McCartney's group who deny you any easy ball?

Despite finishing runners-up last year, the Roosters have also added impact players to their make up for the 2024 season, and to great effect given the small sample size.

The visitors have had a tough opening month post bye in Round One having already played Darley (W), Melton (L) and the Lakers (W) and should be ready for the next real challenge that is Sunbury on the big ground at Clarke Oval.

The result of this game will not surprise either way.

Sunbury will start deserved underdogs and will need to replicate finals like qualities to get the job done.

Jack Riding returns from Werribee VFL (bye) for North Ballarat and will provide another hurdle for the Lions to overcome despite the absence of Jamie Quick (doubtful).

The Lions are healthy, in-sync and ready for the North Ballarat challenge.

Surely, they're up to it, aren't they?

PLAYER WATCH
Nathan Wood (Sunbury)
Small defender, solid start to the season - had 27 disposals last week v Bacchus Marsh.

Mal White (North Ballarat)
Newcomer on the rise at new club with another solid game last week including 28 disposals and 2 goals v Lake Wendouree.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Given the Burras (1-3) struggles to start the season the Cobras (1-3) are right in with a chance recording a second win in Ballarat from as many visits in the opening five rounds.

Injuries to key Burra playmakers Lachie Cassidy (calf) and Riley O'Keefe (arm) will aid the Cobras’ cause despite the expected inclusions of Werribee listed pair Jay Dahlhaus and Jesse Clark who have the bye in the VFL.

The absence of Jack Bambury (hamstring) hasn't helped the Burra either.

A change of luck, albeit a win will at least get Sebastopol's season back on track in the short term.

A fourth loss in a row however, will hinder their finals chances despite a favourable draw.

For the Cobras, evidence of growth under Dennis Armfield from week to week is paramount.

Bacchus Marsh will arrive with no excuses, sharing a similar age profile to the hosts and give themselves a genuine hope.

Both sides aren't travelling well on the results front but have had their moments of quality play.

More of 'those' moments surely creates more positivity and confidence for two groups aiming to work their way back squaring the ledger.

Can the Cobras execute on the basic fundamentals for long enough to warrant the four premiership points?

That is their greatest challenge for their efforts without the ball have shown merit. 

The Burra on the other hand will be trying everything to avoid a 1-4 start under new coach Tony Lockyer.

PLAYER WATCH
Jed Hill (Sebastopol)
17 disposals last week against Redan. More will be asked of Hill in 2024 between the arcs as he's moved up the ground. More than capable player.

Ethan McKercher (Bacchus Marsh)
Livewire small forward. Doesn't need many possessions to have an impact (21 disp and a goal last week v Sunbury).

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

East Point (2-1) travel across town for a meeting with the Lakers (0-4) ahead of their Round 6 'ultimate challenge' on the road against Melton (3-0).

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will look to consolidate further on the good habits of the previous two weeks with another big win over the struggling Lakers.

Just how the hosts contain the Johnston brothers, season return pair Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown and dangerous forward Strahan Robinson and Bryson McDougall looms a four-quarter struggle.

I can see the Lakers matching it with East for two quarters on the whole, take your pick which ones.

Tipping the final margin on the scoreboard will be reflective of the two quarters East Point were able to 'getaway'.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has remained positive throughout despite the four losses and will be looking for a response from his young team that can equate to a few 'mini-wins' in game, against a more fancied visiting party.

Unfortunately, we haven't seen much of Lakers exciting new recruit Jayden Wright (ankle - Round 1) but the progress of tall duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will again be on display as the hosts aim to spoil the party for the East Point Kangaroos.

PLAYER WATCH
Angus Gove (Lake Wendouree)
Honest as they come, and you can expect much of the same on the weekend. Had a team high 27 disposals last week v North Ballarat.

Jacob Brown (East Point)
Return game to club last week ended in BOG recognition with his 34 disposals and 16 marks v Melton South.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Get set for a big weekend of games as the BFNL celebrates its Indigenous Round! With plenty of blockbusters across the board, Scoop checks out what there is to look forward to come Saturday.

This game is set to tell us more about North Ballarat, who fell short on expectations again last week with a 20-point loss to East Point.

Despite their 2-3 record heading in, the reality is North Ballarat has won just three of its last 11 games with wins over Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and Redan. Brendan McCartney's boys look a far cry from their Round 13 win last year over eventual premiers Melton.

North Ballarat's best is very good but often reserved for MARS Stadium. On Saturday, the young Swans welcome the Roosters and should hold no fears.

For Chris Maple's young boys another step toward closing the gap between their best and worst footy will be a focus. While McCartney has not said anything public resembling a similar narrative, I suspect they're in the same boat.

This battle will be entertaining, an exciting look into the youth of the BFNL and what it holds for the future, especially for these two sides.

While the Swans averted down the path of youth and have been reluctant to spruik finals for obvious reasons, today looms more as an ideal opportunity for the Roosters to put a game to bed. But that task will come with its challenges, especially on the road.

The contest in the middle should be a ripper with Swans duo Marcus Powling and Will Liston taking on Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne. Jack Riding's availability for North Ballarat will be a point of interest while the return of Tom Hotchin (knee) nears by the day.

Expect North Ballarat to do enough without setting the world on fire as both sides strive for a complete team performance. With that seemingly unachievable in a week, expect some individual brilliance to prove the difference. Given that scenario, it's the Roosters who hold the aces.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Unbeaten Darley will be happy to get through the meeting with bottom side Melton South unscathed, as a top of the table clash looms with Melton in Round 8.

The struggling Panthers are 0-5 to start the season with each loss in excess of 100 points. In fact, the home side hasn't won a game in its last 12 matches.

Darley on the hand are 4-0 and 10-2 in the same timeframe. Only Melton (11-1) has won more over that period, including a premiership and current run of 10 games unbeaten.

Darley second year coach Dan Jordan will be well aware of the plight suffered by Sunbury after their two week build up (Melton South & Lake Wendouree) into the highly anticipated Round 5 meet with the Devils ended in a 56-point disaster.

Jordan will be hopeful any resemblance for his group (vs Melton South Round 6 & vs Lake Wendouree Round 7) into Melton can be avoided. Sunbury booted scores 170+ against the Panthers and Lakers, proving in essence, a false economy.

A handful of tireless Panthers faithfully led by Cody Chapman will keep the Devils honest for a period before the visitors projected weight of possession and forward 50 entries on the small ground takes its toll on the scoreboard. 

How the Panthers contain the Devils top end talent in Brett Bewley and Billy Myers will tell its own tale, while a way around the Devils’ defence to score presents its own degree of difficulty.

The visitors average just 47.5 points against (comp rank #2) from their opening four games, all on the road.

One overriding concern for new Panthers coach duo Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy is these Devils are just warming up with plenty of scope for improvement. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways after this round’s meeting with Bacchus Marsh.

While sharing a common goal, it's fair to say these two are at completely different stages of their journey. The Bloods, under Aaron Tymms are aiming to go back-to-back and sit unbeaten on top of the BFNL table with five wins while the rebuilding Cobras, under new coach Jason Williams, are 10^th with a winless start from their four games.

To put the Cobras rebuild into perspective, just six members played in both meetings against Redan (Round 17, 2022) and more recently (Round 4, 2023), essentially five games apart. What we saw of the Cobras in Round 4’s narrow loss to Redan was encouraging, enough almost label last week's bye as untimely.

A stall in momentum looms more likely for the Cobras as they say goodbye to up to six of their Coates Talent League Under 18 representatives who return to Western Jets and GWV Rebels duties.

Depth against the competition benchmark will be exposed, that is a given, but it provides Williams with another sample of size of where the Cobras are at and where greater improvements lie.

The Bloods enviable strength is with their even spread of impact players. Go after two or three, there's another three or four to assume the mantle and get the job done.

When you combine the Bloods even spread of talent with a collective selfless buy-in, the potion equates to an even broader run of success - 10 games unbeaten, including 11 of their last 12 and a drought breaking Premiership.

The Cobras will look to gain the type of learnings only the very best can provide and look to resemble more of Williams vision into the future.      

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Even the most devout Lakers fan would have savoured last week’s win over Melton South, however forecasting Round 6 chances against the Burra could be slim at best.

The Burra sit at 3-1 on the ladder and have been playing some good footy for a while with nine wins from their previous 12 games - their only three losses coming against Melton.

After shrugging off Ballarat in the second half last week, Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro will aim to put this game to bed early, removing any residual confidence from the Lakers after ending an 18-game losing streak last weekend.

The Burra have been difficult to score against in first quarters from their opening four games with a 111-23 point (+88) advantage. With games already against Bacchus Marsh (0.2), Melton (1.1), Melton South (0.1) and Ballarat (2.1). Only the Swans have manufactured more than one goal.

So, heed the warning Lakers, file away last week's win with an eye forward to your next success. While it's unlikely to come against a well drilled Burras outfit, you can minimise the damage by starting well.

For the record the Burra are 133-61 (+72) for second quarters but would concede the one-sided nature of their numbers are enhanced having played three of the four bottom sides. This week’s meeting against the Lakers will make it four bottom side meets for the Burra in their five games. They must be champing on the bit for their next like-for-like challenge.

Can the Lakers be the ones to surprise and provide that? Only time will tell, but a fair dinkum crack is what coach Jack Fitzpatrick will ask for and knowing Kiel and Clumbro, would gladly welcome.          

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The progressive Kangas will be hoping to deny the Lions four-premiership points and remain firmly inside the top six when the two sides meet on Eastern Oval.

The 2018/19 Premiers will start warm favorites considering the Lions three wins have come against Ballarat (8th), Lake Wendouree (9th) and Bacchus Marsh (10th).

As East Point coach Jackson Merrett nears a return to the playing field he's had a birds-eye view into the potential capabilities of his young group.

The Lions will provide a legitimate challenge as both sides eye a spot in the bottom half of the six.

Merrett's boys could not have been more impressive last week disposing of North Ballarat by 20 points. 30 scoring shots to 20 in favour of the Kangas gives every indication the margin could have been greater. 

For Gary Learmonth's Redan some luck on the selection front will only help their cause. Without Lachie George, Cooper Craig-Peters and Liam Hoy last week, the Lions look well shy of their best despite some encouraging performances from the younger brigade in recent weeks.

There were no surprises in the nature of last week’s 67-point loss to Melton, in fact a run against the competition benchmark should hold them in good stead.

The Kangas took care of the Lions at their last meeting, albeit some time ago, but on current form there is not enough evidence to suggest Redan has made up the ground in that time.

For the record, East Point has won four of the last five meetings between the two sides by an average of 48.5 points.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Get set for a massive weekend of BFNL football action with a number of tantalising contests across the league as we close in on the opening third of season 2024.

Given what transpired at their last meeting it's hard to fathom visiting Sebastopol's chances of repeating the dose are slim at best.

Ironically it was barely 10 games ago the Burra were seemingly up and about heading into a final’s series on the back of a 22-point win over the Roosters.

Unfortunately for Tony Lockyer's group, barring the 80-point win over the Lakers in Round 1, Burra fans have had little to smile about.

And this week’s assignment doesn't get any easier for the Burra who head to Mars Stadium aiming to avoid a fifth straight loss.

The hosts deserve a forgiven run for their failings on the road against Sunbury last week for they were decimated for reasons beyond their control.

Any resemblance of Brendan McCartney's group to the one that downed the Devils in Round 2 or were within a goal of Melton will likely prove too much for the Burra who have had their own share of bad luck with injury and unavailability.

Given the current landscape McCartney will be just happy banking the win and seeing his players healthy with a response following last week’s disappointment.

And I expect them to do so against a Burra outfit completely bereft of confidence. What confidence they do in fact have will not be enough to trouble the Roosters on their home deck.

Lockyer is a realist, he'll be citing 'mini wins' throughout the afternoon to validate signs of improvement given an upset result is firmly in the 'highly unlikely' basket.

While the thought of the Burra slipping to 1-5 on the win/loss front and entrenched in the bottom three, the Roosters will be keen to return to the winners list themselves, avoiding the unlikely scenario going 2 wins and 3 loses come 5pm.

PLAYER WATCH
Brock Leonard (North Ballarat)
Enjoying break-out season with elite returns in most areas - disposals (26.8), Contested possessions 14.8), Handballs (13.2), Clearances (7.5), Inside 50'5 (4.8), Tackles (7.8), Turnovers (5.5), Ground ball gets (11).

Bailey Medwell (Sebastopol)
Shinng light in tough start to the Burra season. Ranks elite for disposals (23.8), Contested possessions (12), Handballs (13), Marks (7.2) and Groundball gets (8.6)

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Who could forget the Kangas’ nail-biting upset win over the Bloods in last year’s Semi Final?

Well, Melton can.

A fresh set of eyes in the name of a coach into the 2024 season has re-invigorated a Bloods list determined to deliver on a range of new goals and KPI's from week to week, confident process will take care of results.

It’s hard to fault Troy Scoble in the infancy of his Bloods’ reign with the club’s unbeaten, superior percentage record from its opening four games.

Only North Ballarat gave them a scare getting within a goal despite the Bloods leading all day.

It's hoped more broadly the same challenges for the Bloods will come in the form of the Kangas because let's face it - only North Ballarat, East Point, Darley and Sunbury look capable, on exposed form, of upsetting Scoble's scrupulous plan.

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will be no stranger to the potency of the Bloods outfit especially forward of the ball.

Denying dangerous quartet Braedan Kight (25 goals, comp rank #1), Ryan Carter (12, #9), Kyle Borg (10, #13) and Ryan Davis (8, #15) opportunities around goal won't be easy.

Sure, the direct matchups will have a say, but it's the source, the providers that will determine this result - namely the midfield.

If, and only if, the Kangas midfield can win stoppage and clearance numbers efficiently enough to limit turnover can they be given a chance. And it's in this area they match up well against the Bloods - The Johnston brothers, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus, Alex Molan (if available) and Joe Dodd are more than capable of getting the numbers to warrant advantage.

It's how efficiently they avoid an unforgiving, rebounding Bloods half back line that will ask more their execution and decision-making abilities.

The Kangas have two primary threats forward, Strahan Robinson (14 goals, rank #5), and Bryson McDougall (12, #10) both of whom proved a handful at their last meet, on the back of an efficient midfield without Jordy Johnston.

The result will tell us more about East Point and their credentials after their horror first round failure against the similar opposition Darley, a month ago.

PLAYER WATCH
Braedan Kight (Melton)
Dangerous x-factor forward leading the Tony Locket Medal with 25 goals (4 games). Averaging just under 17 disposals per game means Kight is kicking a goal every 2.68 possessions (avg). Look out!

Matty Johnston (East Point)
Key driver in the Kangas upset Semi-Final win over the Bloods at their last meet. The classy midfielder is averaging 20 kicks, 13 handballs, 7 marks, 7 clearances and 5 inside 50's in 2024.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Similar to the East Point scenario, this game’s outcome will tell us more about high flying Sunbury (4-0) on their home deck when they meet reigning premiers Darley (4-1).

The Lions have done everything right under new coach Matt White, making the adjustment to team planning and preferred structure look seamless.

Nonetheless, four games in is not enough sample size to get carried away with any forecasting just yet.

Let's see how the Lions perform under the pressure against the likes of Darley, East Point at Eastern Oval (Round 8) and league heavyweights Melton (Round 10).

I'm happy to give decimated North Ballarat a mulligan for their effort last week, due largely for health reasons.

So that leaves the Lions form with a win over Redan (25 points), Melton South and Bacchus Marsh.

In fairness, each of the Lions’ four wins have shown compliance and an heir of dominance that Devils’ coach Dan Jordan cannot ignore.

While Lions forward duo Jake Sutton (20 goals, comp rank #2) and Mitch McLean (13, #6) make up 44% of all Sunbury goals to warrant like for like attention, it's the efficiency of their defence that has seen the greatest improvement on last year.

Tyson Lever, Nathan Wood, Jack Newitt, Jack Hannett, Sean Reilly, newcomers Dean Muir and Jordan Tentonello make up an impressive back seven option and are clearly thriving under the team defence theory with high efficiency numbers.

Their ability to exit cleanly at low risk has been a feature- Wood, Hannett and Muir especially. You know what you're getting with Lever - essentially the licensed beneficiary to rebound pressured or bombed entries with his customary intercept mark game.

However, the likelihood of an experienced Devils’ midfield succumbing to the Lions intentions are slim at best.

In form trio Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham remain the competition yardstick of midfield combos and will stretch the Lions core for output with and without the ball.

The dominance at their two previous meets was palpable, two wins for the Devils by a margin of 40+ points.

Any midfield advantage for the Devils will equate to considerably more entries inside 50 to a feverish forward line eager to put a dent in the Lions new found levels of trust and confidence.

For the record, Sunbury (4-0) have won 15.5 of their 16 quarters to date (comp rank #1), Darley 15/20 (comp rank #3).

PLAYER WATCH
Mitch McLean (Sunbury)
Confident pressure small forward enjoying weight of Lions forward 50 entries. Kicked 13 goals from 4 games (comp rank #6)

Brett Bewley (Darley)
The reigning dual Henderson Medalist even had Lions fans in awe at his last trip to the Clarke Oval with 50 possessions and six goals out of the midfield. Ridiculous numbers!

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Expect Bacchus Marsh (2-3) to consolidate with back-to-back wins and square their win/loss ledger under new coach Dennis Armfield when they host the embattled Panthers at Maddingley Park.

Ironically, it was this corresponding fixture last year that Melton South won their only quarter of the season after leading the Cobras 3.2 to 1.5 at the first change in Round 9.

As it stands, since the beginning of the 2023 season Melton South have won just one of 80 quarters.

To be frank, this meeting gives every indication of how far for the Cobras.

Armfield will not be taking anything for granted as the Cobras remain a work in progress themselves striving for the complete four quarter performance under the former Carlton utility.

There were many encouraging signs for the Cobras witnessed on the road last week in the club’s big win over Sebastopol.

Surely the group needs little motivation to build on those habits in front of a home crowd given a likely win will see them inside the top six come 5pm ahead of their bye in Round 7.

The Cobras, as their form suggests, can vary from matching it with the best for periods by taking the game on with their encouraging run and carry with the ball and frantic pressure to a stagnant, insular brand Armfield is desperate eradicate.

Count on more of the 'positive' Cobras against the struggling Panthers, an all-in attempt to peak again with an eye toward adding another layer of belief and confidence that will prepare them mentally post bye.

Looking forward to seeing the potency, discipline and isolation of the Cobras front half and what that can amount to.

Surely the team first theme will prevail over the want of any individual's agenda and that be validated on the scoreboard.

Given the right service and weight of entries a compliant Cobras outfit could eye something in the 25-goal range on the scoreboard.

For Travis Hodgson's Melton South, another tough day at the office is expected but they can take solace getting more games into progressive young talent, remaining on the path of increased sense and purpose at the level.

PLAYER WATCH  
Dennis Armfield (Bacchus Marsh)
Despite his primary role as coach the former Carlton player is averaging a handy 16 disposals and 5.4 score involvements. Also 8 goals, 5 games (comp rank #14)

Cody Chapman (Melton South)
An injury interrupted start to the season has since witnessed a positive return for the Panthers Captain - above average for disposals (19) and elite for tackles (6.7)

SCOOP’S TIP
Baccus Marsh

Despite a 66-point loss to Darley last week Gary Learmonth’s young Lions will look to replicate their efforts from the last three quarters when they host Lake Wendouree at City Oval.

While the Lions will again be without a few prime movers, they're not short on quality young depth that can come in and fill a role.

At least 10 Under 19 eligible players including two Under 17s tested their mettle against the Devils and performed admirably. Enough to carry further confidence into this matchup against the winless Lakers.

Lions’ forwards Grant Bell (19 goals) and Marty Boyer (7 goals) will look to bounce back and fill their pockets after a tough day at the office in Round 5.

Expect them to be up and about wreaking havoc with a weight of forward 50 entries that will provide them with every chance hitting the scoreboard.

Tipping Lakers duo Brayden Helyar and Angus Gove might be set the task of containment. Both have enjoyed solid starts to their respective seasons despite the 0-5 narrative.

Lakers big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will enjoy a distinct height advantage in the ruck in the absence of Taj Bond who is subject to availability with his Coates Talent League commitments.

Looking forward to seeing if Bailey Thompson can add to his innate ability of hitting the scoreboard.

The wiry forward/mid has 12 goals (comp rank #7) to his name from five games and has impressed.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will be wanting a response from his midfield this week up against a youthful Lions combo with the exception of experienced campaigner Lachie George.

Both sides will again have the opportunity to explore the potential of their young groups in what should be an entertaining watch for those in attendance.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, the Lions look well ahead in the progress stakes, hence their unofficial warm favorites tag.

PLAYER WATCH
Rory Gunsser (Redan)
Excellent inside fifty kick averages elite for kicks (22.2) and inside 50's (5.2)

Will Clark (Lake Wendouree)
Ranks elite for average kicks (19) and turnovers (4.4).

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

Some interesting road trips headline the action of Round 7 as the respective tiers of the BFNL ladder start to take shape as we roll into the second third of the season.

Scoop previews all the major games coming up this weekend.

The travelling Lions will have to get it done without their captain and reigning club best and fairest winner in Tyson Lever, with the key defender set to be sidelined for a minimum of six weeks following results of recent foot scans with a specialist.

The absence of Lever in the Lions 56-point loss to the Devils in Round 5 was palpable. Coach Travis Hodgson, eager to kickstart the Lions’ season with a few scalps fell horribly short in their most recent match-up against Darley.

So, the search off the bye for another scalp continues for the Lions against the tenth placed Cobras who are yet to win a game.

Cobras’ coach Jason Williams is under no illusions where his new club is at and can assume some positives knowing his draw doesn't get any harder having already met Sebastopol, Darley and Melton who have lost just one game between them.

Externally, few give the Cobras any chance, but this contest is more about Sunbury than Bacchus Marsh who have been transparent, open and honest with their struggles. The Lions on the other hand, have been tipped to be in the conversation come the business end, but that wouldn't be for the first time.

Sunbury's best is very good. Some resemblance of their ceiling today would see a similar result to their last meeting at Clarke Oval. Anything less than a six-goal win for the Lions would indicate Williams' young Cobras were up for the fight, denying the visitors a game played entirely on their terms.

While little wins within games provide the Williams’ camp with tempered belief and confidence, it pales in comparison to the idea of one and all engaged in song and victory.

The history books tell us Sunbury haven’t conquered at Maddingley Park in 9 years, this may be the chance for the Lions to buck the trend.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Beware East Point, these Bloods are just cruising in second gear and this game may well be the perfect entree into a Round 8 showdown with fellow undefeated challengers Darley.

While the 43-point separation at their last meet in favour of the Bloods gives every indication the Kangas have significant ground to make up, note the Bloods had just three more scoring shots that day (12.12-20.7). Not to mention the 25-point half time deficit, the greatest the Bloods have endured at the main break since their 2021, Round 8 loss to North Ballarat when they trailed by 27 points.

In fairness the Kangas are considerably younger in 2023 despite enviable top end talent that can match their more fancied opposition, but the further you go down the list, the reigning premiers hold sway with seemingly minimal separation between their best and worst compared to their rivals.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms has spoken highly of the buy-in from his group, eager to make it back-to-back titles but that is always easier said than done. The flag favorites have found themselves trailing at half time in two of their six games before hitting the gas in the third term. Their 'premiership quarters’ have been an example to the competition, their one wood to use a golfing vernacular.

It takes more than a half to take care of the Bloods.

Can the Kangas sustain a performance worthy of an upset? There will be doubts on the reliability of an enigmatic young group who fell short against Redan at home last round.

Regardless, of the result - both sides will gain significant learnings from the hit-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Sebastopol can make it five wins against the bottom five sides with a win on the road over North Ballarat at MARS Stadium on Saturday. Somehow, that just doesn't sound right, does it?

North Ballarat is currently outside the six with a 3-3 record so far this season. The seventh placed side will want to replicate the early form that saw them lead reigning premiers Melton at half time in Round 4 by 15 points.

The defensive effort to keep the Bloods to three goals in that half should be the blueprint ahead of the clash with the Burra.

Brendan McCartney's boys will need to bring the heat, for this Burra outfit is ready to burst. Dual coaches Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have been frothing at the mouth for a challenge resembling something like for like, having played only Melton from the top six up to this point.

McCartney has been bullish on the Roosters’ running ability and attack on the footy. Today the Roosters get another opportunity on their home deck to confirm those beliefs worthy of taking down one of the bona fide contenders in 2023. 

We know the Burra got the better of McCartney's men by 15 points in Round 16 last year, but there was very little in it, in fact North Ballarat led at quarter time and shared an equal 20 shots on goal.

But what is daunting for the home side is the seasoned Burra are coming, and loaded with more experience.

It's unlikely the Roosters will hang onto star duo VFL affiliates Sam Glover and Josh Chatfield who combined for eight goals last week as they return to the higher level.

If that is the case, it stands as an almighty challenge for North Ballarat to get the job done without them.    

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Expect the Lakers to make some impression on their previous meet against the Devils, labelled by coach Jack Fitzpatrick as their worst performance of last season.

The ninth placed Lakers kept flag contenders Sebastopol to just 10 goals last week on the back of a 102-point win on the road over the Panthers.

But for all the Lakers defensive kudos, they simply can't score. Outside of their win over the Panthers, Fitzpatrick’s boys have managed just 19 goals in four games.

On the flipside, the Devils look to be going from strength with this hit-out posing as the penultimate lead up ahead of a genuine footy audit against the all-conquering, undefeated Bloods.

Devils’ coach Dan Jordan takes nothing for granted with this group, and nor the broader club considering a winless 2021. Since Jordan's appointment the progressive Devils are now 19-7 for win loss including 11 wins from their last 13. Only Melton (12 from 13) have won more over the period.

Given the medium sized nature of the Lakers group, there is little expectation held for their chances albeit at home. The Devils’ 'top end talent', led by reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (16 goals) and full time addition Billy Myers (19 goals in four games) will prove too much to handle, let alone intercept defender Matty Brett and reborn swingman Darren Leonard.

The Devils hold all the aces ahead of this clash and will get the job done with a bit in hand. Devils’ fans will be hopeful the footy gods are kind, getting through with a win and injury-free ahead of a no excuse showdown against Melton.

But first, they must take care of the Lakers.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Swans have the perfect opportunity to give new season coach Chris Maple his second win in charge when they meet winless Melton South.

The Panthers are a mile off troubling any opposition at the moment, crippled by off-season list turnover and injury. Their 2023 campaign went from bad to worse last week on the end of a season high thrashing at the hands of Darley.

While this week’s result seemingly looms as foregone, the extent of the damage poses a challenge for both coaches.

Can Chris Maple's Swans get the percentage boost they so badly need? Can they turn weight of possession into scores? For the Swans have been held to 40 points or less in four of their six games.

On the flipside, can Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy's Panthers get enough reinforcements back to take it up to the Swans? All the hierarchy at Pantherland can ask for is a red hot crack in front of their loyal supporters, the players owe them that at least.

The struggling Panthers had 10-minute patches of competitiveness last week and will look to increase that to near 20 minutes per quarter against the one win Swans.

Ballarat sharpshooter Andrew Hooper will be hoping for some silver service delivery - if forthcoming the former Western Bulldog is capable of kicking a tally in the double digits. I'll limit expectations, and tip Hooper to kick seven. Tipping this variable at least appears the greater challenge than the match result.

While we expect to see some resistance from the Panthers, the focus will be on the Swans ability to capitilise on majority opportunity, especially in front of goal.    

Scoop’s tip: Ballarat

With a number of last year's finalists set to face-off for the first time since September action there is plenty to look forward to this weekend.

Expect a monster crowd to witness the renewal of this fierce rivalry when Darley (3rd - W4L2) host Melton (2nd - W4L1).

If the game can live anywhere up to the hype, lock yourself in - we're in for a hell of a ride.

The Devils under Dan Jordan had the wood over the Bloods winning all three meets in 2023.

Prior to that you had to go back to 2017 to find any joy for the Devils, one of the club’s longest run of outs against any team since joining the BFNL in the mid to late 90's.

New Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble will have done his due diligence, having cast an eagle eye over the reigning premier for some time.

The former Geelong development coach will be fully aware of the Devils’ strengths, and gets his first opportunity (of at least two) to find a way through with arguably the best defensive and potent front half combos in the comp.

But it's the battle between the arcs that looms as Scoble’s greatest challenge.

Keeping Devils’ quintet Brett Bewley (41.5 avg disposals), Luther Baker (26.3), Billy Myers (25.5), Adam Azzopardi (20.8) and Matt Denham (23.8) in check won't be easy, a midfield combo that has had a large say in the clubs (current) 11 game winning streak on Darley Park.

On the other hand, Jordan will be the first to concede that previous results account for very little come Saturday and will have endured his own set of prioritising mid-week hoping to find a way through the league heavyweights on the rebound.

The Bloods have matchwinners at both ends and two bona fide mids of their own namely Jack Walker and Jaycob Hickey who average 26 and 27 disposals per game.

The Devils missed Brady Wright last week, his availability will be structurally crucial with his aerial presence alongside Billy Myers who has proven a handful at their previous three meets.

My leaning to the Devils is with Wright in the team and the trust in Jordan's group to resemble more of their best for longer.

Surely the Bloods will bring theirs, they have some improving to do also having won just 3/8 quarters (at home) against fellow top three contenders North Ballarat and East Point. 

TEAM WATCH
Darley
Comp rank #1 for contested possessions (168.7 avg) and contested marks (19.5 avg)

Melton
Comp rank #1 for intercept marks (20 avg) and centre clearance (13 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Visiting Sebastopol (9th - W1 L5) will welcome the idea of celebrating a second win of the season when they meet winless Melton South (11th W0 L5).

The phrase 'better for longer' has been an ongoing struggle for both sides.

Three of the Burra’s five losses saw Tony Locker's men concede six goals or more in four quarters against Melton (twice), Bacchus Marsh and North Ballarat.

They just can't stem the flow on the run in games, I bet Lockyer would have liked the option of a 'time-out' to reset his group.

How Lockyer’s support staff in the dug-out look to stop the bleeding moving forward will be an ongoing case study.

I know the Burra have personnel issues missing up to 16 names from last year’s squad, but the show must go on.

Can the Burra find their feet and connection to trouble a few sides this year? Welcoming back Luke Kiel after a rest will be a major boost for a start.

Resembling the pressure of last week’s opening quarter and a half against North Ballarat will be the level Lockyer demands of his group.

If that can be achieved, expect the Burra to end a five-game losing streak despite their vulnerabilities.

For Travis Hodgson's Panthers, mini-wins will be the order of the day.

Given the current landscape, anything under a 100-point loss could be deemed a mini-win.

That's the unfortunate reality for a team who hasn't won a game since Round 9, 2022.

One positive for the Panthers has been the recent signing of former Collingwood/Hawthorn player Tom Phillips (now Carlton VFL listed). 

TEAM WATCH
Melton South
Comp rank #1 for defensive 50 tackles (18.4 avg)

Sebastopol
Comp rank #2 for creating turnovers

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

North Ballarat (5th W3 L2) will look to build on last week’s nine goal final term that catapulted Brendan McCartney's men to a 106-point win over Sebastopol when they host Redan (7th W3 L3).

Not too dissimilar to the age profile of the Lions, the young Roosters get another opportunity to show their talents in front of loyal and faithful fans, aiming to keep their unblemished 2024 home record intact.

McCartney conceded his boys were a little slow out of the blocks last week and won't want to give Gary Learmonth's young brigade any momentum.

The Lions will again front with no less than ten Under 19 eligible players who are making healthy progress at the level.

The surface at Mars Stadium is as good as any and will give both sides every chance to deliver on their potential.

Learmonth will look to contain the Roosters, eyeing a match-up for Jamie Quick and Ned Nash who combined for 12 goals last week.

The Quick (10 goals/3 games) match-up especially is always a tough one given his x-factor brilliance.

If anything, you need the elusive forward to aid the cause with an off day.

Cutting supply will be paramount for Learmonth against the competition’s number one ranked side for clearances (Redan #7th) and ball up clearances (Redan #7th).

If it's any consolation the Lions rank second for centre clearances behind Melton - for Redan's sake they'll hope each centre bounce has not come on the back of a Quick or Nash goal.

The midfield battle will be an interesting one.

Lions’ ruckman Taj Bond (if available) will be conceding a lot of weight to North big man Cam McCallum and will need to be smart around stoppage not getting thrown around.

Can Khy Jess, Lachie George and co deny in form trio ball magnets Riley Polkinghorne, Brock Leonard and Elliott Lamb long enough to correlate to an advantage on the scoreboard?

I'm not so sure, especially on Mars, the Roosters play the venue better than any.

Looking forward to seeing if the North Ballarat defence can put an end to Lions’ forward Grant Bell's run of multiple goal returns (8 games).  

TEAM WATCH
North Ballarat
Comp rank #1 for clearances (49.8 avg)

Redan
Have 10+ Under 19 eligible players in senior line-up

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

East Point (4th - W4 L1) return home to consolidate their recent run of good form when they host Ballarat (8th - W3 L2) coming off the bye.

The frenetic nature of last week’s win over Melton will have instilled Joe Carmody's group with the necessary confidence capable of matching it with any opposition.

The Swans arrive without their season-to-date best player Rhett Montgomery who has left the club for the SANFL.

The loss of the rebounding half back will surely impact the win/loss prospects of Chris Maple's group, especially against teams above them - and more immediately East Point.

Sure, the Swans have improved in their second year under Maple, enough to make inroads on their last visit here that ended in a 52-point win to the Kangas.

Given the youthful age profile of the Swans, the bye was timely after big losses against bigger bodied Melton and Darley.

Given last week’s feat, the Kangas won't be any easier assignment for the Swans despite their recent freshen up.

The Kangas’ impressive work between the arcs has amounted to them being the number one team for inside 50's providing dangerous pairing Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson with repeat opportunities hitting the scoreboard.

The Johnston brothers and the return of Mickitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown has seen the weight of inside 50 numbers on the rise at the Kangas.

The young Swans midfield will need to be on their mettle in this uphill battle for time spent in the front half.

Unfortunately for the Swans I’m not convinced they have the personnel to post a winning score, weather permitting on Eastern Oval.

X-factor forward Andrew Hooper (6 goals) is the leading Swans goalkicker ahead of Ben Wardly and Jake Drever (5 apiece).

No Swans player is listed in the top 30 race for the Tony Lockett Medal.

East Point has three - Strahan Robinson (16), Bryson McDougall (13) and Jack Jeffrey.  

Expect the Kangas to usurp the loser of Darley (3rd) v Melton (2nd) on the BFNL ladder come 5pm Saturday.   

TEAM WATCH
East Point
Comp rank #1 for inside 50s (58.4 avg)

Ballarat
Comp rank #2 for Marks (102.6 avg) and Intercept marks (19.4 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Lake Wendouree (10th - W0 L6) host an unbeaten Sunbury outift (1st - W5 L0) who are flying at the moment after recent wins over last year’s grand finalists Darley and North Ballarat.

While it's hard to make a case for the Lakers on the scoreboard, coach Rohan Brown will be asking for genuine effort, at the levels witnessed in last week’s narrow loss to Redan.

Brown went on the record saying his young team were "the most resilient group of any he has coached,". I'm tipping that resilience will be tested to maximum levels given the form of the Lions who have taken all before them under new coach Matty White.

Lakers’ defender Brayden Helyar will likely get first crack at Lions’ leading forward Jake Sutton (22 goals), while the jury is out on a like for like match up with pressure forward Mitch McLean (16).

The two have combined for 38 of Sunbury's 85 goals (44.7%). That's a fair place for the Lakers to start!

But the Lions boast aerial and ground ball quality, not to mention leg speed.

Newcomers Jordan Tentonello, Brock Landt and Ben Cameron all have 'good wheels' and make Sunbury a different proposition in degrees of difficulty to face than recent years.

The Lions’ midfield and forward group are complemented by a well organised defence led by Tyson Lever.

It won't be easy for the Lakers to score unless Bailey Thompson (14 goals) and spruik recruit Jaydon Wright can find a way through in general play.

The odds are against them.    

TEAM WATCH
Lake Wendouree
Comp rank #1 for rebound 50s (44.8 avg)

Sunbury
Comp rank #1 for marks (103 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

A top of the table clash is just one of many tasty fixtures coming up in Round 8, with hotly contested top six spots on the line and elusive rare wins up for grabs.

Scoop previews this weekend's action.

Unbeaten league heavyweights Melton and Darley face off in a highly anticipated top of the table clash at MacPherson Park.

For all of the Devils’ progression under second year coach Dan Jordan, a timely footy audit awaits against the reigning premiers. Plenty will need to go right for the hunters, Darley, to walk away with the points come 5pm.

In the event of a seventh straight win on the road ahead of the King's Birthday bye, the Devils will have ended a 2226-day winning drought against the Bloods dating back to April 29 Round 2, 2017 and more broadly, a 16-0 winning run at home for Aaron Tymms' men.

While the Bloods current 7-0 season run has a familiar sense of déjà vu, the jury might still be out to see if they're as strong as last year despite similar returns forward from the Carter brothers and the efforts of Brett McIntyre filling the ruck void in the absence of Ben Archard (now returned) and the departed Mark Orr.

The Bloods have proven to be the competition's blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory. Today will be no exception with crucial midfielder Jack Walker set to miss with concussion.

Despite the Bloods’ six-year reign, the Devils have rarely been put to the sword, even in more testing times. Needless to say, the Devils’ failings to post a winning score against the Bloods must be corrected if they're to cause an upset win on Saturday.

Finding avenues to goal will go a long way determining the Devils’ fate, with fine weather expected. Sure, the Devils rank one in offence after seven rounds but four of the clubs six wins have come against the bottom four teams who have just three wins between them.

The Bloods will be buoyed with Archard and Kyle Borg back in the mix, but it’s no guarantee that Tymms' all conquering Bloods will have the game weighted on their terms.

The Devils will need midfield duo Brett Bewley and Luther Baker to provide enough drive to challenge the Bloods enviable depth of riches. There is no denying questions will be asked of the Devils’ defence to contain the Bloods’ barometer trio in the Carter brothers and Braedyn Kight but don’t be surprised if there is a cat thrown amongst the pigeons and the flag favorites are knocked off in a close one. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Sunbury will look to correct on its previous two slow starts, with a 'statement-like' impression in the first quarter when they host Redan.

While there are doubts on the Sunbury Lions matching it with the top few sides without Tyson Lever (foot), Harrison Minton-Connell (Essendon VFL) and Mitch Lewis (Overseas), Redan are well within their sights.

The visitors too will be without some of their top liners as Lachie George and Liam Hoy endure more time on the sidelines with injury. Redan will be sweating on the availability of Footscray VFL affiliated Cooper Craig-Peters with his selection unknown until Friday. Getting it done on the road without their key mid, George and Hoy will be tough assignment despite a seven-point success at Clarke Oval last year.

Evidently, Craig-Peters missed that game but George and Hoy both featured. To give the visitors some comfort, Sunbury did have Lever, Minton-Connell and Lewis but still fell short.

Just what version we're going to get from these two teams will tell its own story in the aftermath. Both seemingly have patches of minimal impact at stages in games and are prone to conceding back-to-back goals, which would be well known to both camps.

Sunbury simply must get it done at home and rebuild their ruthless Clarke Oval reputation, with the venue once considered a fortress. For the present however, only Lake Wendouree, Bacchus Marsh and North Ballarat have failed to win there over the past two seasons with Sebastopol not making the trip down either. 

There's a bit at stake here, as both sides fight for a similar spot in the top six.

Scoop's tip: Sunbury

You may well expect a similar result to the last time the Roosters met the Panthers at Mars Stadium.

Brendan McCarney's North Ballarat have an opportunity to capitilise on their good doings over the last fortnight that has resulted in the Roosters winning seven of its past eight quarters, including three over flag fancies Sebastopol last week.

If Roosters’ big man Stewart Crameri does indeed play, there's every reason the bona fide key forward will spend a majority of minutes deep inside 50, giving his ailing groin issue some respite.

Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne will enjoy a day out with the latter the likely beneficiary of McCullum's first tap dominance.

Skillful Roosters’ half forward Jamie Quick is every chance to have a big afternoon in front of goal having kicked 17 goals this year to lead the tally for North. While tips on the margin are purely speculative, a mini win for Melton South would be keeping it under 100 points, a feat they haven’t achieved thus far this season. 

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The visiting Kangas will endeavour to back up their near upset performance over competition benchmarks Melton last round when they take on Sebastopol at Marty Busch Reserve, but that will be easier said than done for a young group, especially after such a solid, physical hit-out.

Sebastopol are coming off their own disappointment, finishing 30 points short of North Ballarat and will be eager to atone.

Surely the battle for spots in the Burra line-up is as competitive as ever given their depth, as coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro look for a combative response validating their first choice. On paper, the Burra read seriously good, loaded with an enviable blend of talented youth and experience, cherry ripe in the premiership window.

However, sides laden with depth can struggle with ownership, leaving it up to others to carry the slack. If that scenario infiltrates a group, they can be suspect to flat performances. The Burra will not want to be flat against a promising East Point that's for sure so expect Kiel and Columbro to get the response they're after and with it, a much needed scalp in the finals mix.

For Merrett's well led young Kangas, they're progressing in the right direction and will continue to ask questions of any opposition. This time, Sebastopol.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The travelling Cobras front their best winning opportunity of the season to date when they meet the one-win Lakers.

Coincidentally, the Cobras’ six games in 2023 have been against the top six teams on the ladder as they stand. The Lakers draw hasn't been full of luxuries either, with four of their six games coming against the top six.

But recent history will account for very little today as both sides eye a prized win and a chance to sing as one in victory come 5pm.

Finding a winner is tough. The Lakers, similar to the Cobras, have very inexperienced 'bottom halves' of their groups and what returns will come of those are likely to have a significant bearing on the result.

For if it were solely based on top-end talent, I would lean to the Cobras with Jake Owen, Jake McCreery, Luke Goetz, Eamonn Ogden and in-form consistent duo Tyson Shea and Jack Parente. I'm not sure the Lakers 'bat' as deep with their top end, but to use a cricketing vernacular their tail may wag a little more favourably the further down the list you go.

Both sides will look the winners at some stage in this contest and be hopeful recent lapses in games are kept to a minimum for the result here could well be decided by which team manufactures the greater number of chances in a game of momentum.

While the winners are set to rejoice and embrace this rare opportunity for victory, contemplation and despair awaits the losers.    

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Ahead of the King's Birthday Bye next weekend, teams across the league will be looking to head into the break on a high with strong performances this Saturday.

League improvers Sunbury will aim to make it seven wins on the trot in a dream start for the club under new coach Matty White.

While the Lions are flying and have done everything right, let's not get too ahead of ourselves.

They came from the clouds to beat Darley who were all over them for three quarters and dismantled North Ballarat who had legitimate health issues - both games were at home.

The Lions match ups with East Point and Melton over the next three weeks will tell us more of where Sunbury is at in the pecking order.

What is real for the Lions is they're healthy and have added quality ball users and leg speed to a list many had in the finals conversation last year before they fell off the perch.

Having former Essendon VFL listed dangerous forward Jake Sutton (28 goals - comp #2) full time and breakout accomplice Mitch McLean (21 – comp #4) hitting the scoreboard has been an overwhelming feature for the super-efficient Lions who rank first for conversion on goal, which is a mighty effort given their number of shots on goal. 

The additions of Dean Muir, Ben Cameron, Jordan Tentonello, Ben Eales and Brock Landt should not be underestimated either.

Super depth, with few injuries will make it hard for Joe Carmody's Kangas endeavouring to extend their winning run to six. And why shouldn't they give themselves every chance to deny the all-conquering (thus far) Lions.

Ironically the Kangas’ off day against the Lions in Round 11 last year was arguably the line in the sand game for them having since won 11/15 games since including a preliminary final appearance.

The Kangas remain a serious proposition in their own right given the returns of Jacob Brown, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and the rise of Alex Molan and Strahan Robinson.

The Johnston's have always been, well, the Johnstons, with Jordy adding fuel to the friendly 'better mid or forward' debate with six reminder goals last week. Jackson Merrett and Bryson McDougall have been healthy too, complementing the Kangas’ run of solid form.

Nonetheless, the hosts must take care with their distribution, especially post clearance given a host of intercept Lions’ defenders will be waiting with open arms to swing the 'Whitey plan' led by Tyson Lever, into action.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

The Cobras’ hierarchy understand that wins over the bottom three teams will not be enough to validate progress under new coach Dennis Armfield.

What they're chasing is a scalp, and North Ballarat present as the ideal footy audit when the two sides meet at Maddingley Park with the Cobras fresh off the bye and raring to go.

Forget last year’s 68-point loss as any form guide given the Cobras were in the preparatory phase of a rebuild following a mass exit of players post the 2022 season.

Twelve months on, the next measurement of growth and progress comes to a head in front of a Cobras home crowd who would (fairly) be unsure where they stand in the pecking order - curious what their best is capable of.

Well Brendan McCartney's disciplined Roosters loom the perfect candidates to provide some of the answers - a proud blend of youth and experience that will keep you honest with and without the ball to the last seconds of every quarter.

McCartney respects the competition, is never too far ahead and will reiterate his message of playing the minutes against the Cobras.

The fight for a top three finish just got harder with the improvements of Sunbury and East Point- no results will be taken for granted.

The Roosters were outscored in the second half last week against a young Redan boasting 10+ Under 19 eligible players.

The Cobras won't have that many but aren't shy on their share of Under 20 representatives.

The Roosters will understand keeping a young group in check is to deny momentum.

McCartney's group are good at that, they suck all the air out of a game and have you fight for the simplest pleasures in footy.

Even though the Roosters are likely to be without Collingwood VFL listed Sam Glover who booted four goals at their last meet, expect Jamie Quick (11 goals, 4 games, comp #15), Ned Nash (13 goals, 6 games, comp #11) and Hugh Trigg (10 goals, 6 games, comp #17) to prove more than a handful in the front half and the primary beneficiaries of an inform midfield. 

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After a tough month, the Swans get a golden opportunity to end a three-game losing streak when they host the winless Panthers.

Expect dangerous Swans forward Andrew Hooper to have every chance of matching his six goal return from their last meet.

More broadly, the likelihood of the Swans matching the heights of a 158-point scoreline will be an interesting watch as the Panthers endeavour to 'dig in' for longer.

The addition of former Collingwood and Hawthorn left footer Tom Phillips is a welcoming bonus for Travis Hodgson’s group still yet to win a game since Round 9, 2022.

Young Panther Jarrod Bibby has been a solid contributor despite the clubs run of outs alongside former Sunbury junior Ryder Rousch and key big man Broden Collins.

Former Collingwood VFL listed giant Darrean Wyatt and Geelong VFL listed Darby Schilder have added some necessary aerial presence for the battle.

But the challenge for the Panthers this week won't come in the air.

A swarm of improving young Swans namely Wil Liston, Paddy Simpson, Wyatt Squires and the Rinaldi boys are progressing nicely, an adequate support base to more experienced trio Call Wellings (despite his age), Lauchlan Dalgleish, Marcus Powling and the X-factor Hooper.

Both coaches will cast a keen eye on their abilities to retain the footy.

Costly turnovers have been a frustrating constant for the most part. Some clean entries will at least give the respective loyal and faithful in attendance something to smile about.

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Two sides, two agendas.

The travelling Devils look to end a two-game losing streak when they face the Burra whose two season wins have come against the bottom two teams.

But the nature of the Burras’ previous form will account for very little as Devils’ coach Dan Jordan eyes a correction from his own group who failed to deliver on expectation in their previous two starts.

Sure, it's no surprise for any side at the moment falling short of Sunbury (8 points) and Melton (67 points) but it was the way they went about it.

Since three-quarter time of the Sunbury game in Round 6 the Devils have been outscored 140 (21.14) to 45 (6.9), while being smashed in all key areas of pressure confirming a clear drop of intent from the reigning premier.

The last five quarters of the Devils’ season has seen them cough up 21 goals from just 64 entries while forward half has also had its challenges with just six goals from 44 inside 50s for the period.

Expect a response this weekend from a proud led group both on and off field.     

For the Burra, a win last week over the struggling Panthers could be just what Tony Lockyer’s men needed.

The feeling of a win on the back of impactful returns from Riley O'Keefe and Luke Kiel will have the Burra up and about, well, for as long as the Devils allow it.

Both sides have had pressure issues in recent weeks, so the race is on to find who can resemble closest to their best for longer.

While Lockyer has surely tempered expectations on the season whole for his group, there'll be no denying the Burras an appetite from week-to-week adding to their two win tally.    

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Gee, if Lakers' coach Rohan Brown conceded a gulf in class between his young group and Sunbury last week, I’m at wits end to predict the superlatives the former Beaufort coach will come up with for Melton.

The Bloods, alongside Sunbury and East Point are the form sides in the comp taking everything before them and putting away any side that lapses on the job. And a memo for Brown and his group - the Bloods don't discriminate having made the reigning premiers look second rate in front of their home crowd last week.

Just where do you start containing the Bloods? Troy Scoble's improving group managed 16 goals from their 42 forward 50 entries against the Devils, hitting the scoreboard in one way shape or form with more than half their opportunities. Super effort.

Their midfield is sound, led by Jono O'Brien in the ruck, and a handful of rotations all capable of impacting with and without the ball.

In defence the Bloods take more intercept marks than any side in the comp and will feast on any Lakers errant or pressured entries.

Forward 50 entries for the visiting Lakers will be in the minority range adding to a heightened level of care factor importance on the ball carrier to deliver.

Getting through the Bloods is not easy, especially at MacPhersons Park.

If the Lakers can usurp their last score of 44 against the Bloods, they will have shown plenty of character to warrant more of the consistent narrative around resilience coming out of CE Brown Reserve.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, the reality is there's a headache whichever way you look in the form of a Bloods jumper.

A tough day at the office is expected for the touring party.   

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