The Ballarat FNL join the wider football community in apologising for the historical racism shown towards indigenous players, such as that bravely laid bare by Robert Muir in recent days.

The disrespect shown towards Robert during his playing days in the BFL is not a reflection of the modern game and is one the league and each of its affiliated clubs have worked hard to stamp out in recent times.

With the passing of many years, it is now difficult to understand how such decisions could have been made in 1971 and the current League Board does not condone any such actions of racism.

The racist views and behaviours of the period in which Robert Muir experienced such disrespect do not, rightly, fit with our modern society. It is our hope that as a League and a community we have learnt from the past to ensure such mistakes are not made again.

The Ballarat FNL will continue every effort to make the game as inclusive and welcoming for all participants, regardless of race, gender, sexual orientation or religion.

In footy, the numbers tell their own story. The McDonald's Ballarat Football Netball League, in partnership with The Courier and Premier Data, bring you all the numbers from the McDonald's Ballarat Senior Men's competition.

It is set to be a massive season of local football and you can get a whole new perspective on the McDonald's Ballarat Senior Men's competition with full match stats exclusively in The Courier.

Digital subscribers will have access to in-depth coverage like never before. See full player-by-player stats analysis, break down the numbers from each match and see where your team is dominating... or not.

Get all the numbers, analysis and see the evidence for yourself, only at: www.thecourier.com.au/subscribe

The McDonald's Ballarat FNL is excited to announce a partnership with Premier Data to provide senior competition stats in Season 2022.

The provision of match statistics by Premier Data will ensure all senior BFNL football games played in 2022 will have a thorough review, with the data provided helping to tell the full story of where games have been won and lost. 

As a leading competition stats provider across community football, Premier Data has a proven track record of efficiency, accuracy and professionalism that will further enhance the Ballarat FNL’s standing as the most prominent and progressive league in regional Victoria. 

With a live-streamed Match of The Round and other exciting announcements to come that will sit alongside the introduction of competition stats, the BFNL looks forward to providing greater access to members and supporters than has ever been available in the past. 

From Premier Data founder Tony Pucella: 

"Premier Data are thrilled to have partnered with the Ballarat FNL for 2022. General Manager Shane Anwyl and the league executive has worked hard to now provide the coaches, players and clubs with the premier supplier and currency of Aussie Rules statistics in Australia, Premier Data. 

"The Ballarat FNL is one of the strongest leagues in Victoria, and its ability to tell the story by the numbers only enhances its standings as a destination league. Coaches and clubs will look forward to the most comprehensive breakdown of matches and the season with endless stats and vision to leave nothing to chance. 

"Premier Data and excited for the journey ahead and increased interest to an icon of leagues across Victoria. 

“This is an amazing opportunity to help showcase some of the best footballers in the state while helping to provide an added level of excitement and commercial opportunities to the clubs and Ballarat FNL after some challenging years.” 

After a hotly contested home and away season, we have finally reached the pointy end of the year. There will be plenty of intrigue ahead of the weekend with do-or-die clashes and potential premiership favouritism on the line!

Maddingley Park, Bacchus Marsh plays host to league heavyweights Melton and Darley for a highly anticipated Qualifying Final.

Trying to find differences between the two sides is like trying to split peas despite the Devils’ 2-0 season record over the reigning premiers.

Over recent weeks the Bloods have looked to be coasting with an eye toward the business end they know so well.

Despite a topsy-turvy run with injury in the back half of the season, both sides look primed and ready to go. From the outside, only Brett McIntyre (Melton) and Mace Cousins (Darley) are likely to miss.

The Bloods won't be dwelling on their earlier defeats to Darley too much, rather as a learning tool, limiting the prospect of a third straight loss to the Devils and possible elimination final next week.

The minor premiers had excuses at Darley Park in their 21-point loss losing Lachie Watkins (heavy knock), Ryan Carter (ill), Brody Sullivan (ankle) and Lachlan Walker (knee) in the latter stages but all will be ok to play this weekend.

Brenton Payne (15 goals from 5 games) and Jono O'Brien missed the Round 17 loss and will add to the aerial presence (Payne) and physicality around stoppage (O'Brien).

The Devils have won seven games in a row and arrive with no excuses. In both wins over the Bloods this year the Devils had more ball (+82 and +68) representing 11-point (Round 8) and 21-point (Round 17) advantages.

Finding a winner between these two is a difficult task. Both sides rank one and two in offence and defence and have eight players inside the top 50 goalkickers for 2023 but only one has access to the reigning Henderson Medalist in Brett Bewley.      

Scoop’s tip: Darley

East Point won't know themselves when they return home (by chance) for an elimination final with cross town rival Sebastopol.

It will be just their third game on Eastern Oval since Round 9, one of those more recently against the Burra in Round 16.

While the Kangas’ 4-4 win/loss record at home in 2023 should be of little concern for the Burra, any advantage given the evenness of the competition can't be ignored.

Sebastopol have proven tough to beat in Ballarat all year - in fact last week’s loss to Redan was their first at home, and for the record, the first time they had trailed at halftime during any of their 13 games in the west.

Kangas’ star mid Matty Johnston (concussion) returns to bolster the midfield stocks, joining his brother and Henderson Medal chance Jordy for first crack at the depth laden Burra who have seemingly hit a late hurdle.

A season ending broken leg to playing coach Luke Kiel will surely have rattled the group, not mentioning the fitness clouds over crucial playmakers Toby Hutt and James Keeble.

Kiel's DNA is made for finals while Hutt (in best 3 out of 4 times) and Keeble (2 out 4) featured prominently for the Burra in last year’s arduous four week finals campaign.

While the Burra's confidence levels should be high heading in with two previous wins over the Kangas already this season (34 points in Round 8 and 9 points in Round 16), don’t be so sure this result is all said and done.   

Expect the Kangas to embrace the underdog tag and really serve it up to the Burra and steal one of the upsets of the season to date.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Just what version of Redan we're likely to see will determine the potential outcome of this sudden death elimination final at Eastern Oval on Sunday.

Sure, Brendan McCartney's North Ballarat have a 2-0 season advantage heading in but there's a certain feel about what the Lions can produce if they can deliver their best.

Redan did have some joy at Eastern Oval earlier in the year (Round 6) downing East Point by 13 points while North Ballarat fell 20 points shy of the Kangas in Round 5.

Clutching at straws I know, but just identifying some form at the ground that also brought the end to the Roosters’ finals campaign in the corresponding fixture against Sebastopol last year.

While we're unsure of what version we'll get from Redan, you can be confident of what to expect from McCartney's North Ballarat.

Their top end is as good as any on their day namely - Jack Riding, Jamie Quick, Stewart Crameri, Cam McCullum and the Collingwood VFL listed Sam Glover is also a chance to feature.

But for all intent and purposes, the Lions’ unpredictable best is good enough to progress. Isaac Grant (54 goals) and a pain-free Lachie George head an enigmatic group untapped on it's potential.

Just where to start denying the Lions on their day is a wave that's proven in more recent times over Sebastopol and Darley.

Again, the Lions’ back six will be stretched by the highly talented Roosters front half, and will require a chop-out from their mids to keep the game in check.

North Ballarat will start warm favorites and deservedly so on consistency of work ethic and foundation alone but there's a lingering feeling that all lower placed teams in week one of BFNL finals will look the winners at some stage.

Who really knows?    

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Darley and North Ballarat head to City Oval this Saturday on a quest for premiership glory. With a number of seesawing results throughout the year its set to be a classic game to roundout the 2023 season.

The Bragging Rights

Darley or North Ballarat will become the BFNL’s most successful team of the last 15 years with a third premiership win when they meet in Saturday’s grand final at City Oval.

East Point and Redan have also won two premierships dating back to 2009.

The Build-Up

The Devils enjoyed last weekend off after their 61-point semi final win over the Roosters and look raring to go under coach Dan Jordan in just his second year at the helm.

Jordan’s army held a light training session last Saturday on Darley Park before a BBQ and viewing of the preliminary final in their new facility.

It wasn’t long before the Devils would learn their grand final opponents as North Ballarat kicked five unanswered goals in the opening term and the first nine goals of the game to end surprise packet East Point’s dream run on the penultimate weekend of the McDonald’s BFNL season.

The Midfield Battle

Reigning dual Henderson Medallist Brett Bewley (comp rank #1 average disposals per game - 38.3) will lead the Devils onto City Oval for the clubs first Grand Final since 2017 alongside Vice Captain, dual Premiership player and 2023 Henderson Medallist runner-up Luther Baker (comp rank #3 average for centre clearances per game)

The Bewley and Baker midfield combo have been fondly (to a degree!) referred to as B1 and B2, a formidable pairing alongside integral season additions Matt Denham (21 disposals per game average) and promising young ruckman Lucas Impey (39 hit-outs avg and comp rank #1 for 1%s avg per game).

The Roosters, buoyed with the aerial dominance of premier ruckman Cam McCullum (59 hit outs avg per game including 13 to advantage) will aim at denying the Devils B1, B2 punch with a win at the coalface providing enough supply via ball magnets Riley Polkinghorne (30 disposals avg per game, 14 contested) and Jack Riding (25/14).

Despite the separation on the scoreboard at their previous meet, the difference in clearance numbers was marginal (+4 Darley).

The Book Ends

Plenty will be asked of Darley’s young team defence, led by Matthew Brett (comp rank #2 average intercept marks per game, 85% disposal efficiency) to hold up for another week against dangerous duo Jamie Quick (49 goals / 15 games) and Sam Glover (17 goals / 8 games).

The Devils will have put time into Quick especially, given the x-factor forward has been responsible for 34% of the Roosters goals in his last six matches. Note, Glover won’t have flown under the radar of Jordan either given his proven match winning potential.

At the opposite end and Devils’ key forwards Billy Myers (48 goals) and Darren Leonard (18 goals) must provide aerially against a sound North Ballarat defence led by Ryan Hobbs (4.5 avg intercepts per game), Isaac Lovisson (3.5 avg intercepts per game) and Josh Sparkman (25 disposal avg per game, and 7 intercepts).

While Hobbs and Lovisson are defensively disciplined by nature, it’s Sparkman’s (5.4 rebounds & 2.5 I50s avg per game) role in transition that can impact the Roosters’ scoring potential.

The Score Form

In the second half of the season Brendan McCartney’s group have a modest five wins from their last nine games, while Darley have gone nine from nine in the same period.

The Roosters have averaged 61.7 points per game (61.4 AGST) during this streak and will need to score, given the Devils have been held to under 70 points just once for the season.

The Devils have as many as eight of the BFNLs top 50 goal scorers, highlighting an enviable spread of options.

For their last nine games, not including their Round 16 fixture against Melton South, the Devils average 92 points for per game and a miserly 48 points against

Given the even nature of the Devils’ returns (Myers the exception) expect McCartney to leave it up to his trusted cavalry to determine like-for-like match ups ahead of the opening bounce.

The Wash-Up

Both sides boast quality top end talent and have the numbers to back it up. Could one of the lesser knowns get under the radar and make a name for themselves on the competition’s biggest stage?

Plenty of untold stories will soon become reality and forever etched into BFNL folklore.

I’m with match favourites Darley - their best footy is the new benchmark.

The Tips

Scoop - Darley 18 points

Jackson Merrett (East Point): Darley 47 points

Aaron Tymms (Melton): Darley 22 pts

Luke Kiel (Sebastopol): Darley 21 pts

Gary Learmonth (Redan): Darley 27 pts

Travis Hodgson (Sunbury): Darley 29 pts

Jason Williams (Bacchus Marsh): Darley 10 pts

Chris Maple (Ballarat): North Ballarat 6pts

Tim Shearer (Lake Wendouree): Darley 23 pts

Ryan Hoy (Melton South): North Ballarat 5 pts

The wait is over.

Two of the competitions best performed teams in 2024 will go head-to-head for the McDonald’s BFNL premiership cup at City Oval on Saturday.

On form alone, there's no two sides more deserving of a chance securing the time honoured silverware. 

The Bloods, under new coach Troy Scoble, have been a model of consistency having won 15 of 16 home and away games, plus two finals, marching into their third grand final in the last five completed seasons.

Not to be outdone, East Point went through the home and away season with 14 wins in a row but have had to endure three 'down to the wire' finals enroute to the grand final including an unforgettable 150 minute extra-time win over Darley in last week’s prelim.

In fact, it was the Kangas’ sixth game in a row against top six opposition, the grand final will mark number seven in as many weeks.

Recently crowned BFNL Coach of the Year, Joe Carmody, will need to extract something special if his boys can go back to the well, restore energy levels and execute against a ruthless Bloods’ outfit who have been sitting back watching everything unfold on the back of a week off.

For the record, Melton's last six games against top six opposition has been spread over 91 days, a much easier preparation on the body.

But what say of the mind?

Carmody will surely channel the advantages of a gruelling preparation adopting the old theory 'iron sharpens iron'.

The former Ballarat Swans coach has no other choice.

Kangas fans can be guaranteed this messaging will be well received by a core group of experienced leaders led by Matty Johnston who will still be buzzing after his Henderson Medal crowning on Monday night and Jackson Merrett who will endeavour to represent, spreading the optimism.

Ambition is one thing, execution another.

I know the Kangas have had terrible conditions to endure over the last month but when system and shape take a back seat to 'territory gain' for long enough it can be unsettling, especially if a fine day lands upon us.

System is rinse, repeat, execute, trust week in, week out - the Bloods’ 'one wood' essentially.

Something tells me the more recent version of the Kangas have had to prioritise their time more in the recovery space.

The Bloods are all on the same page, their exits look clean and energised.

Handball give and receive options are abundant, their foot skills, especially in transition, exemplary.

I fear for the Kangas defending the Bloods on the spread.

Scoble's unit will look like they're running on top of the ground for long periods, the Kangas I hasten to add, through it given an arduous last seven weeks.

I wish the Kangas all the best, but I truly believe they're up against it despite being the only side to have downed the Bloods in 2024.

It would be a monumental achievement for Carmody and his talent laden group to win a third flag for the club in the last five completed seasons but given the prep it looks a tough ask.

Unfortunately, Ferrari's need fuel too!

The Bloods will not take anything for granted.

Under Scoble, nothing is complete until the final siren on grand final day.

They'll be made to earn everything that comes their way I assure you.

If indeed, that is in the form of a premiership cup, what a united, emotional accomplishment that would be capping an otherwise challenging year for the Bloods loyal and faithful.   

THE FORM GUIDE
Last six games v top six opposition

*Not including extra-time

NOTE

Melton has kept their opponents to one goal or less in 14/24 sample size quarters.

Melton have been held to one goal or less in 6/24 sample size quarters

East Point has kept their opponents to one goal or less in 11/24 sample size quarters.

East Point have been held to one goal or less in 5/24 sample size quarters.

PLAYER WATCH

DEFENDERS
Melton: Adrian Monitto (#45), Riley Walker (#29)and Lachie Phillips (#9)are the genesis in transition for the Bloods. Monitto and Walker especially provide the spread, run, carry and distribution in the absence of the doubtful Jordy Cotter (#4)and will stretch the ground, making it uncomfortable for the Kangas.

East Point: Jackson Merrett (#1) and Jacob Brown (#4)are the experience and cornerstone of the Kangas’ defence. Merrett ranks first in the comp uncontested marks, third for marks, eigth for effective kicks and fourth for overall kicks. Merrett is the go-to distributor. Brown, not dissimilar to Merrett ranks fourth in the comp for effective kicks, seventh for kicks, fourth for marks AND second for intercept marks. What is also worthy of note is Brown ranks 24th in the comp for handball receives.  

MIDFIELDERS
Melton: Jaycob Hickey (#10)averages 27.4 disposals, ranks eighth in the comp for clearances and 11th for goal involvements while Jack Walker (#11)averages 26.1 disposals, ranks in the top 10 for contested possessions and hard ball gets.

East Point: Matty Johnston (#7)the 2024 Henderson Medallist ranks first in the comp for contested possessions and second for disposals. Johnston also features in the top 10 for a host of other KPIs and ranks elite in all areas when the Kangas have possession of the ball. After a third place finish in the Henderson Medal Mickitja Rotumah-Onus (#2)ranks among the top 25 in the comp for clearances, contested possessions, hard ball gets, ground ball, goal assists/involvements and handballs. 

FORWARDS
Melton:The 2024 Tony Lockett Medallist, Braedan Kight (#7), has kicked 78 goals in 2024. Ryan Carter (#23)is fourth on the goalkicking table with 43.

East Point: Bryson McDougall (#12)is second in the league for goals with 72. McDougall has taken more marks I50 than other player in the BFNL and ranks second for total contested marks. Strahan Robinson (#30)has 32 goals and ranks elite for contested marks and marks I50 (9th).

FINAL WORD - TIPS AND MARGINS

Scoop (BFNL) - Melton 30 points

Tony Lockyer (Sebastopol) - Melton 23 pts

Dan Jordan (Darley) - Melton 24 pts

Gary Learmonth (Redan) - Melton 12 pts

Chris Maple (Ballarat) - Melton 17 pts

Dennis Armfield (Bacchus Marsh) - Melton 17 pts

Brendan McCartney (North Ballarat) - East Point 4 pts

Rohan Brown (Lake Wendouree) - Melton 24 pts

Matty White (Sunbury) - Melton 28 pts

Travis Hodgson (Melton South) - East Point 3 pts

The penultimate weekend in the BFNL football competition will see North Ballarat and East Point go head-to-head for a chance to join Darley in the Grand Final.

Giant killers East Point continue their dream run into a preliminary final for a third scalp having ousted league heavyweights Sebastopol (3rd) and Melton (1st).

Next up is Brendan McCartney's well organised North Ballarat outfit, the very team the Roos overcame in Round 18 at Mars Stadium to sneak into the final six.

In fact, the Kangas should hold no fears for the Roosters on the BFNL’s penultimate day having won all of their last three meets.

Possibly, the Kangas greatest concern lies at selection with a handful of top end Coates League Talent players now available.

But what a risk to upset the apple cart that has performed so well.

Given the GWV Rebels are done, the window is open for the likes of the Charleston brothers, Fred Valpied, Archie Caldow, Ollie Hannaford and Ned Renfree to be included.

Not to mention Jordy Johnston and his potential return from a thumb injury.

While he resembled more of Woody Harrelson's character in 'King Pin' on Sunday, you wouldn't put it past the miracle matchwinner making a premature cameo return.

Sure, depth quality is a nice problem to have but I don't envy Jackson Merrett's quandary over the magnets.

It will be business as usual for McCartney's boys in the lead up despite coming off a disappointing 61-point loss to Darley.

When you consider the Roosters were near full-strength last week, expect a forgive run to be granted, a mulligan if you will.

The Roosters’ top end talent is too good to ignore, so don't expect a repeat performance of their semi final failings.

They're a proud group and will prove very hard to beat. 

Only three times this year have VFL listed trio Sam Glover, Jamie Quick and Jack Riding featured in the same team for a win (Sunbury) and two losses (Sebastopol, Darley).

Finding the right spot for these three to have the greatest impact is a challenge any BFNL coach would like to have with the trio, Glover (forward or back), Quick (forward deep/high) and Riding (mid/forward) all versatile in their own way.

The Roosters will look for a spike in their efficiency by foot and their cleanliness at ground level for these Kangas are coming. 

Aerially the Roosters are sound, well-disciplined and more than capable.

Just who will be asking the questions of who in the Roosters’ defence v Kangas’ forward battle makes for compelling viewing.

While McCartney has said “match ups are becoming a thing of the past” there is no denying Kangas’ trio Bryce McDougall, Jack Jeffrey and 16 year old sensation Strahan Robinson with the young gun kicking five goal the last time these two teams met in Round 18

All three will require some attention given they've combined for 20 of East Point’s 26 goals in week one and two of the finals.

Furthermore, the proximity of those deep shots on goal is a concern and will test the Roosters disciplined defence.

In the midfield, Kangas duo Matty Johnston and Joe Dodd are in form and have been instrumental at the business end with their clearance numbers.

Johnston's clean ground ball ability will need to be matched or denied by the Roosters who have the advantage of premier tap ruck Cam McCullum.

The Roosters need a speed injection and clean hands thrown into the midfield to improve on their hit-outs to effective clearance ratio.

The Roosters must find a way to kick a score against the freewheeling Kangas and more often they will give you a chance.

But it will take more than Jamie Quick to get it done. Who will stand up and deliver on the Roosters’ biggest day of their season?

Glover, Riding and Quick are the obvious weapons but is that enough? The Kangas have eight goal scorers in the BFNLs top 50, the Roosters just five.

The Kangas will hit the scoreboard on a predicted warm September day. Can the Roosters go with them on a fast track and make the most of their chances? 

I'm not so sure - tipping the young guns of the Kangas to prevail in an upset under the leadership and courage of their captain Matty Johnston.

TIPS

Scoop – East Point        

Aaron Tymms (Melton) – North Ballarat   

Gary Learmonth (Redan) – East Point

Jason Williams (Bacchus Marsh) – North Ballarat

Tim Shearer (Lake Wendouree) – East Point

Travis Hodgson (Sunbury) – North Ballarat

Chris Maple (Ballarat) – North Ballarat

Jason Hoy (Melton South) – North Ballarat

Luke Kiel (Sebastopol) – East Point

Leading goalkickers (inside BFNL top 50)

North Ballarat: 45 - J.Quick, 17 - E.Lamb, J.Riding, 14 - S.Glover, 13 - S.Crameri

East Point: 34 - B.McDougall, 29 - B.Whittaker, 23 - J.Jeffrey, 22 - L.Canny, 21 - J.Johnston, 20 - S.Robinson, 17 - J.Merrett, 13 - M.Johnston.

The 'FORM LADDER' top 3 v top 3

Darley P4 W3 L1 (lost to North Ballarat)

East Point P3 W2 L1 (lost to Darley)

North Ballarat P5 W1 L4 (lost to East Point x2, Darley x2)

With a grand final spot on the line, Darley and East Point will go head-to-head in an all-or-nothing clash this Saturday at Marty Busch Recreation Reserve

East Point will start warm favourites at Marty Busch Recreation Reserve to progress into a grand final meeting with Melton when they take on reigning premiers Darley on Saturday.

The assignment for the Kangas however may not be as pedestrian as their last meet in Round 13 would suggest.

Expect up to as many as eight changes to the Devils line up from that outing with the inclusions of Brett Bewley (withdrew in warm-up), Billy Myers, Brady Wright (played 5 minutes), Mitch Ward, Zane Le Huray and (potentially) promising tall, Lucas Impey. Handy.

The Kangas will have afforded the Devils a forgive run on July 20, given those key outs in abhorrent conditions, just as Dan Jordan's army have moved on post their Round 1 domination of Joe Carmody's men, setting the stage for a highly anticipated do-or-die decider.

The stakes don't come much higher - a grand final berth for the winner, mad Monday lament for the loser.

The contest is laden with quality on every line - the margins small.

The midfield battle (comp rank #1 & #2 for clearance) sets up this game so well.

Can the Devils restrict the Kangas’ time spent in their potent front half? Effective exits out of stoppage will have its own say as both sides aim to quell recent turnover issues.

Weather permitting, recent numbers suggest we're in for a close one.

Sure, the Kangas have been a standout from Round 2 onwards but the wear and tear of an arduous BFNL season takes its toll on everyone.

The Kangas have played just 32 players this season, six fewer than Darley and seven fewer than Melton.

Sure, that's a healthy list but when you consider Saturday's preliminary final will be the Kangas’ sixth hit out in a row against top six opposition, durability will be challenged.

While the Kangas will need to go to the well again, you know what you're going to get with Carmody's exciting mix of talented youth and experience.

They will surely deliver on expectation, posing questions of their enigmatic opponents. 

Are you (Darley) capable of raising the bar when it counts most? What does this game mean to you?  Because it surely means everything to us.

All will be revealed on this unmissable Saturday showdown as both sides lay themselves bare and without excuse.

Let the players play.

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
East Point: Jackson Merrett (#1) and Jacob Brown (#4)are the experience and cornerstone of the Kangas’ defence. Merrett is ranked first in the comp for uncontested marks, seventh for marks, fourth for kicks and eight for effective kicks. Merrett is the go-to distributor. Brown, not dissimilar to Merrett ranks fourth in the comp for effective kicks, seventh for kicks, sixth for marks and second for intercept marks. What is also worthy of note is Brown ranks 24th in the comp for handball receives.  

Darley: Matthew Brett (#11)Is ranked elite for intercept possessions (9.9), kicks (15.8), Marks (6.1) and 1%s (4.2). Ranks third in the comp for intercept marks.

Midfielders
East Point: Matty Johnston (#7)is the leading contested possession winner in the comp and ranks second for disposals (34.2) and clearances. Johnston also features in the top 10 for a host of other KPIs and ranks elite in all areas when the Kangas have possession of the ball. Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (#2)ranks among the top 25 in the comp for clearances, contested possessions, hard ball gets, ground ball, goal assists/involvements and handballs. 

Darley: Brett Bewley (#2)is ranked first in the comp for disposals (39.8) and clearances (10.3) while partner in crime Luther Baker (#7)ranks elite for disposals (24.7), and is found in the top 10 for centre clearances, contested possessions, and ground ball gets across the comp. 

Forwards
East Point: Bryson McDougall (#12)is second in the league for goals with 71. McDougall has taken more marks inside 50 than other player in the BFNL and ranks second for total contested marks. Teammate Strahan Robinson (#30)has 31 goals, ranks elite for contested marks and marks inside 50 (8th).

Darley: Brady Wright (#15)has 28 goals to his name and ranks third in the comp for contested marks and tenth for marks inside 50. Billy Myers (#10) has 32 goals as the Devils’ leading goalkicker with aerial presence and grunt. 

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Round 1 Football Preview with Scoop!

With Good Friday action done and dusted, eight more clubs will kick off their 2023 campaigns this weekend. It's set to be a big round of BFNL football this Saturday!

Expect underdogs Melton South, under new coaches Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy, to 'bring the heat' early when they face off against cross-town rival and reigning premiers Melton in another Round 1 edition of the local derby.

But that may be 'all she wrote' given where the two teams are at as Aaron Tymms' Bloods unveil their 2022 flag success ahead of the opening bounce.

The Bloods will be hard to beat again in 2023, in fact they're one of the flag favorites for many despite losing a few players in the off-season.

How the Panthers cope with the Bloods 'spoilt for choice' options forward of centre will have a huge say in the extent of the result. The Carter brothers, Braedyn Kight and Luke Heeney all kicked bags of goals at stages last year and the Panthers will be hopeful any resemblance of that can be put on hold for another week. Easier said than done.

Just how these two sides line up is a tough ask ahead of selection considering both have endured some turnover of their lists.

I'm looking forward to the return of the Bloods and how they deal with the status of the reigning premiers and the hunger to go again.

For the Panthers, progress of home-grown talent looks promising regardless of their final win/loss tally. Cody Chapman, Mitch Fino, Riley Theo, Rhys Lee and Jarod Bibby are five that spring to mind.

What influence will the Panthers new additions have? Well that's up to Tymmsy and his support staff to worry about.

Scoop’s tip:Melton to run away with it after half-time.

A youthful Swans outfit under new coach Chris Maple will start underdogs at home first up against the Devils, with up to 10 players missing from the side that reached last years’ preliminary final.

Outside of experienced forward Andrew Hooper (39 goals in 2022), finding avenues to goal may be the Swans’ greatest challenge with close to 30 per cent of last year’s 198 goals having left the club.

Maple is on a mission, blooding youth for sustained success and will look forward to the hit-out against a Dan Jordan led Darley who would be no strangers to the Swans situation. In fact, the Devils path is not too dissimilar, merely 12 months it's senior.

They too, must overcome loss of their own, in particular A-Grade duo Nick Rodda (58 goals) and Dylan Landt. For the record the Devils were eight wins and two losses with Landt and three wins and five losses without.

It’s also worth noting Darley has not beaten Ballarat since Round 18, 2019.

How the club deals with newfound expectation on the back of a 'finals win' season will be intriguing. 

Scoop’s tip: I'm leaning to the more seasoned, experienced Devils led by reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley and ‘full time' addition Billy Myers (Williamstown VFL) to get the job done despite the resistance of key Swans quintet, Bailey Van de Heuval, Will Liston, Marcus Powling, Andrew Hooper and Angus Bade.

Expect Sebastopol to kickstart their season at home on a high when they host a rebuilding Bacchus Marsh.

it will be all systems go for the 'Burra under new coaches Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro as they attempt to end a 48-year premiership drought on the back of two runner-up finishes in 2019 and 2022.

These two sides are on their own separate journeys at present. The 'Burra remain clearly in the premiership window while the final win/loss tally for the Cobras under new Coach Jason Williams will not define their season.

An exodus of key playing personnel in the off-season has tempered any expectations of a Cobras return to finals for the first time since 2018.

Whether inspirational 'Burras leader Tony Lockyer takes his place will be a point of interest, on the comeback trail off a nasty syndesmosis injury sustained in last years’ week one finals win over North Ballarat.

The 'Burras ability to convert scores from Cobras turnover this round will be one area both Kiel and Columbro will cast a keen eye toward as the clubs’ off-season focus leant towards "a capacity to hit the scoreboard more".

For the Cobras, games into emerging organic talent will be the primary focus amid the infancy of their development phase. Expect Williams to find a few diamonds in the rough through opportunity but as for prospects of an upset win in Round 1, that looms a different challenge altogether. Check out Cobra newbies, Luke Goetz (200cm ruck), Jake McReery (mid/forward) and Tom Gillies (forward).

'Burras players, fighting for spots with a 'clean slate' under their new coaches will want to impress and cement their positions. For when all is said and done, the clubs’ last two flag attempts while brave, were simply not enough.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol comfortably.

Sunbury look primed and ready to go ahead of this potential match of the round season opener against North Ballarat.

The Lions’ previous two campaigns have endured horror starts on the win/loss front with Travis Hodgson's men virtually out of finals contention by the halfway mark of the season.

Hodgson and his staff have made no qualms of their intentions to start well, in fact this has been their primary focus and with unbeaten pre-season form coming in.

Sunbury's ins have been pointed, not overkill. Cody Brand (key position utility), Josiah Garistos (defender) and livewire Rivva Karpany (forward) fill the voids. They needed little more despite back-to-back five-win seasons. Josh Guthrie (North Melbourne VFL) and Mitch Lewis (Port Melbourne) are now full time at the club. The Lions will relish the running battle against Brendan Macartney's 'sure to be fit' group.

North Ballarat welcome marquee signing and former AFL 100 gamer Stewart Crameri to provide a key target forward, an area of focus missing at the club last year. Injuries didn't help though. Crameri, aged 34, hasn't played since 2019 but he'll know he's had a hit out come 5pm on the BFNL’s largest ground. Thankfully for Crameri however, his running capacity has been one of his greatest strengths over his career.

The midfield battle will decide this game. North Ballarat's strength this year will be forward of centre - expect the Roosters to kick some decent scores given their options. Sunbury's game style has changed over their last 10 games, all duly noted. If the Lions can win clearance the clearance game they should get the points. Hodgson and Macartney would both agree, this area will have a significant bearing on the result.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury. They will be hard to beat at home all year.

Round 1 Football Preview with 'Scoop'

With anticipation at an all-time high, Round 1 offers plenty of tantalising contests to kick off the 2024 season!

The Cobras are in good hands following the appointment of new coach Dennis Armfield and offsider Andrejs Everitt as they prepare to host Chris Maple's young Swans at Maddingley Park.

Despite both sides missing finals last year, the future looks bright with a host of young talent making up a majority of game day senior lists.

So where do you start tipping a winner here?

The Cobras have the Swans covered aerially with proven talent Jake Owen, Luke Goetz, newcomer rebound defender Rye Penny (Collingwood VFL listed) and progressive youngsters Joel Freeman (21 goals/8 games last year) and Isaac Nixon.

If the Cobras can kick the ball well, which has been their Achilles heel over recent seasons, and maximise the advantage, the chances of posting a winning score will improve significantly.

Poor field kicking, however, will open the door for Maple's Swans who have the leg speed to expose any side on the spread.

While livewire Swans small forward Andrew Hooper is likely to have a pre-determined match up, expect Armfield and Everitt to back in their group having a genuine crack with a focus moreso on the execution of their own game.

The Cobras defence, led by Penny will need to be on their mettle denying the pacy Swans an opportunity to turn the tables on their last visit.

Looking forward to seeing top end Swans Lachie Dalgliesh (new), Will Liston, Callum Wellings (if available), Hooper and Footscray VFL listed duo Angus Bade and Tristan Maple take it up to the Cobras who look as united as a Bacchus Marsh group seen for some time.

PLAYER WATCH

Rye Penny (Bacchus Marsh):Super addition for the Cobras. Expect the rebounding Collingwood VFL listed defender to have immediate impact with his speed and aerial presence.

Lachie Dalgliesh (Ballarat):Former Essendon VFL listed player (30yo, 185cm) expected to play a number of roles for Maple's young Swans. The 30-year old's experience on-field will help extract the most from a group as he eyes a move into coaching sometime in the future.  

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

The Bloods, under new coach Troy Scoble, will start warm favorites making it 11 local derby wins on the trot when they visit the home of cross-town rivals Melton South.

The two sides are at opposite ends of any flag discussions as the Bloods look to restore their reputation as the number one seed following a disappointing straight sets exit from last year’s finals.

Melton South on the other hand just want to be more competitive after a winless 2023.

New coach Travis Hodgson is the man leading the charge, the fightback if you will. It's hard to afford the Panthers a clean slate when assessing their chances despite the Hodgson appointment, a new season dawn and the arrival of bona fide talent.

The club won just one quarter for the 2023 season averaging 29 points per game (187.5 points against).

Unfortunately, the Panthers will be missing up to six players for their season opener, and not expected to resemble their potential best 22 until at least Round 3.

Even then, an injury interrupted pre-season for the returning will surely test conditioning and continuity.

If it's any consolation, the Bloods are tipped to be similarly shy of their best 22, paving an ideal segue for the 'what have's' conversation re-depth in the aftermath.

PLAYER WATCH

Ryan Carter (Melton):Has kicked 25 goals in his last four games against the Panthers.

Patrick Veszpremi (Melton South): Former AFL player with the Western Bulldogs. Will aid the Panthers especially on the smaller ground with his penetrating right foot.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

There's plenty to like about a rejuvenated Sunbury ahead of the 2024 season with a new coach in Matthew White, encouraging acquisitions, Ben Cameron among a few, the return of multiple VFL listed talent and an injury free captain in Tyson Lever.

However, there's no denying the capitulation of the Sunbury Lions last year who post their second season bye, lost their last five games to miss the finals. Saturday will mark 266 days or 38 weeks since their last win for premiership points.

Off-season for BFNL sides who don't make finals leaves a long time for contemplation.

Another opportunity for the proud Sunbury club has finally arrived in the form of a new season opener, albeit on the road against Redan at City Oval.

Solid Pre-season matches against Keilor, Hoppers Crossing and Gisborne should see them cherry ripe to kickstart White's BFNL tenure off on the right foot with no excuses.

Redan hasn't had much luck in the off-season losing Isaac Grant (Hepburn) and more recently star recruit Lachie Bond (leg) who will spend a month on the sidelines.

But luck aside, good or bad won't alter the focus of Redan coach Gary Learmonth who will see the misfortune as an opportunity to blood another exciting youngster into the senior ranks.

Both sides have promising youth, with Sunbury boasting seven players from last year’s BFNL interleague team that defeated the Hampden League.

When you add top end talent (Mitch Lewis, Josh Guthrie for example) to that wealth of youth you make a serious case for an opening round win.

Redan's young guns are a year or two younger than the Sunbury equivalent, call it 25-35 games shy on experience.

But that won't concern Learmonth either, he'll back in his crew getting the job done at home in front of a large contingent of eager eyes and ears.

Call it 'only Round 1' at your peril - these two sides could be fighting for a similar spot come the  business end.

Time to get to work.

PLAYER WATCH

Marty Boyer (Redan):Tall, lean, young left footer dangerous around the goal rose to prominence with a five goal haul last year against the Cobras. Look for further improvement.

Jake Sutton (Sunbury):Quality lead up forward with excellent hands formerly Essendon VFL listed. Will play a prominent role in Sunbury's fortunes in the font half this season (37 goals/11 games last year)

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

The Burra will look to consolidate its recent dominance over the Lakers when the two sides face off at CE Brown Reserve.

Popular leader Tony Lockyer has taken over the reins at Sebastopol who continue to strive for that elusive premiership, a drought dating back to the mid 1970's.

While there are some external reservations on the Burra’s chances, the same cannot be said for those held inside the four walls. Despite losing key contributors James Keeble, Hugo Papst and big man Arnold Kirby in the off season, Lockyer is confident the next wave of Burra talent can fill the void.

The Burra have the unofficial second easiest draw behind Melton and will have every chance to strategise, manage and 'get up' when the whips are cracking.

If the Burra can stay healthy there's no reason why they can't be in the silverware conversation. The journey begins with a likely win over Lake Wendouree.

Looking forward to Bailey Medwell and Jack Bambury taking their game to a new level and the growth of Cooper Littlehales who looks a ready-made type.

While only a brave few would dare tip the Lakers given their returns over the past few seasons, they're not without upside.

Can't wait to see twin towers Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty in action providing an aerial target after a positive pre-season alongside spruik recruit Jayden Wright.

Wishing Lakers coach Rohan Brown all the best in his new role, one of seven new coaches to be appointed by BFNL clubs for the coming season.     

PLAYER WATCH

Cooper Littlehales (Sebastopol): big bodied young player on the rise who has shown plenty of upside in the off season. Future 100 game prospect ready to consolidate his place under Lockyer.

Jayden Wright (Lake Wendouree):Highly rated newcomer from Ararat keen to play footy at the higher level. Can play inside mid or key half back. Strong lad, exciting addition 190cm, 87kg.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The Devils will unfurl their third flag in seven (completed) seasons when they host East Point in a Round 1 blockbuster.

However, that will be all of the 'looking back' coach Dan Jordan will let infiltrate his group, understanding a new season is upon us, and the looming threat of the Kangas is the here and now.

Both sides are laden primarily with midfield and offensive talent with a number of players more than capable of proving the difference.

Get set for another mouthwatering midfield battle as the Devils’ core led by reigning dual Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley and Luther Baker aim to overcome Matty Johnston and the returning Makitja Rottumah-Onus.

The availability of progressive VFL talent Joel Cadman (Darley/Werribee) and Alex Molan (East Point/Essendon VFL) poses a bittersweet scenario for both camps.

Where star Kangas’ playmaker Jordy Johnston starts, mid or forward is a problem new coach Joe Carmody is lucky to have.

A lingering hamstring complaint for Joe Dodd (doubtful) and potential VFL selection for Molan could make Carmody's decision easier. Jackson Merrett (suspended) will also miss.

The Kangas too will have their own challenges defending Devils trio Billy Myers, Will Johnson and Brady Wright. Myers (50) and Johnson (40) combined for 90 of the Devils 284 goals last season (32%). Wright spent the most part of 2023 recovering from injury, and brings plenty of aerial upside that won't be overlooked in Carmody's plans for containment.

PLAYER WATCH

Adam Azzopardi (Darley):Improving young player looking more at home at the level and should thrive with a VFL pre-season under his belt.

Strahan Robinson (East Point):Dangerous aerial presence forward on the Ballarat Rebels list who helped the Kangas charge into a Preliminary Final last year.        

Scoop’s tip: Darley

We're officially into the second half of the season now and the top six mix is just as intriguing as ever.

Scoop previews all the upcoming action in Round 10.

Remember the Bloods? Saturday will mark 21 days between hit-outs for the reigning premiers when they host Round 9 winners Ballarat.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms had reservations about the nature of his bye allocation at the start of the season but given a recent run of injury and illness within the group, the break in hindsight has bordered on timely.

While important Bloods’ big men Liam Carter (calf) and Brett McIntyre (foot) prepare for a lengthy spell on the sidelines, the flag favorites are likely to welcome back midfield duo Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins who missed their 11-point Round 8 loss to Darley.

Newcomer and dasher Brady Rowles is a chance while Adrian Monitto is unlikely.

For the travelling young Swans, a golden opportunity presents - a chance to measure their levels of improvement in a real 'throw at the stumps game' against the competition benchmark.

Paddy Simpson has returned to full fitness following a shoulder complaint, teaming up with reigning club best and fairest Will Liston.

Marcus Powling continues to lead from the opening bounce and has had another ripping season while Andrew Hooper (24 goals), Rhys Perry (9) and Tom Mooney (7) are providing an aerial target forward.

Swans’ coach Chris Maple will need his boys up and about early and reminded of the home side’s dominance in third quarters.

Confidence levels for the visitors should be sky high after a breakout win over Sunbury, however, Melton at Melton are a different proposition altogether.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Yes, that is correct, Darley finally returns home for their first of eight back ended games ahead of a likely finals campaign. But don't expect it to be all champagne and roses for the home side given Redan are in this game up to their eyeballs.

The Devils’ journey back to full health won't be complete for some weeks, opening the door for the seventh placed Lions to replicate their last season success at the Den.

Despite losing to third placed Sebastopol last weekend the young Lions, with a side including five eligible U/19 players, did win each of the last three quarters before finishing five points shy at the final siren.

On the flipside, the undermanned Devils failed to flatter, losing all four quarters at MARS Stadium. Dan Jordan's two trips to North Ballarat in charge of the Devils have ended in 78 and 57-point defeats.

It's unlikely the Devils will see a return of any players already sidelined, while the Lions could welcome back star mid Lachie George (back), joining in-form trio Daniel Bond, Izaac Grant and Cooper Craig-Peters with Nathan Dunstan in the ruck.

For all of Grant's work in his new role through the midfield, the once permanent half forward still has 20 goals in 2023, ranked seventh in the BFNL.

The Devils will need a spark beyond Brett Bewley, Shane Page and Matthew Brett getting it done. Who will stand up? They're capable of finding at least one or two, you can't fluke seven straight wins on the road without a genuine spread of contributors. It might be Darley, just, in a close one.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The underdog Cobras will aim for a hattrick of wins when they host East Point at Maddingley Park.

Unfortunately for Jason William's men, up to five players will return to the Coates Talent Under 18s pathway competition from Saturday's 98-point win over Melton South.

Sure, the winless Panthers is not ideal form, but the importance of those young Cobras are impossible to ignore.

The Cobras would have been an outside chance with the inclusion of their Western Jets and GV Rebels affiliates given the Kangas have lost three of their last four, admittedly all against finals contenders, Sebastopol, Melton and Redan.

Plenty would need to go right for the Cobras to produce one of the upsets of the season. While they celebrated making it two on the bounce last week, you need only go the Cobras first half against the Panthers to suggest they're a fair way off challenging the Kangas, at present.

The Johnston boys are the obvious Kangas’ A-Grade talent Williams will need to curb to be any hope while playing coach Jackson Merrett is cruising under the radar hitting the scoreboard with nine majors in his four games.

Known duo Bryce McDougall (8 goals) and Brad Whittaker (16 goals - missed last week) will need some containing too, not mentioning the Kangas next wave of young talent who are more than capable - Liam Canny, Liam Howard, Jack Jeffrey and Patrick Hannaford to name four.

Containing the Cobras top end influence is the obvious task looming ahead for Merrett. Jake Owen with 16 goals for the season, Jake McCreery, who has been named in the best on five occasions and Luke Goetz in the ruck tick all the boxes.  

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Expect Sebastopol's stingy defence (comp rank #1) to deny the Lions forwards in a low scoring affair at Marty Busch Reserve.

Five times already this season has the Burra kept opposition to 57 points or less. If the visitors can't find avenues to goal, tipping a result in this game could be easier than first thought.

While the Lions disappointed on the road last week in their 26-point loss to Ballarat, coach Travis Hodgson would like their chances despite the home side owning the favorites tag.

They will miss their Captain Tyson Lever (foot) once again but will sweat on the availability of Essendon VFL listed player Harry Minton-Connell who missed for precautionary reasons last week with a hamstring complaint. Mitch Lewis will also miss.

On the other hand the Burra could welcome Werribee VFL listed pair Jay Dahlhaus and Jesse Clark to bolster stocks given the Tigers have the bye.

While Sebastopol assumed a majority of control in last week’s five-point win over Redan, they did lose three quarters, which must be of some concern.

Burras’ dual coach combo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro will need to find suitable match ups for the Lions forwards. Fortunately, the Burra aren't bereft of options.

Like most, the game will be decided primarily at the coalface. Can Sunbury find enough impetus around the contest to deny the Burra on their home deck?

They clearly failed the brief against much younger opposition last week so expect a correction on intensity, especially early.

Despite the prospect of some major outs for the 'Burra ahead of Saturday, mainly Tony Lockyer with a cork, the home side should do enough to make it a seventh win of the season.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Expect North Ballarat to continue on their winning ways when they meet a one-win Lake Wendouree outfit.

Brendan McCartney's men are doing plenty right through the middle part of the season, never more so than last week’s 57-point demolition job of ladder leaders Darley.

The Roosters are in form, binding well with a feverish appetite to win the footy. Their top end players are in a purple patch of form and will look to improve in the coming weeks with the return of important utility Tom Hotchin from a 12 month layoff with an ACL injury.

Takeover Lakers’ coach Tim Shearer won't have to look far for the handful of Roosters laden with match winning talent.

Jamie Quick (32 goals), Riley Polkinghorne, Cam McCallum, Stewart Crameri and Werribee VFL listed Jack Riding head an unofficial top five, each in ripping form. But knowing is one thing, containing obviously another.

If the Lakers can match the trademark heat of the Roosters, maximum damage will be spared. It was encouraging to see Lakers’ duo Tom Zampatti and Michael Foster feature prominently in last week’s loss to East Point while you can bank on the week-to-week output from the O'Connell and Helyar boys.

Tipping the final score to resemble something similar to their last meeting in early 2022.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

As we enter the second half of an all anticipated 2024 season, a number of season defining clashes present themselves for Round 10.

Sunbury host Melton in a highly anticipated top of the table clash in the BFNL's Match of the Round.

The numbers give every indication very little separates the two sides.

The Bloods have a slight edge in most KPIs according to the stats including scoring, pressure, disposals (except for handballs), contested ball, marks, clearances (overall and centre).

The advantage is so narrow, the mere fact Sunbury are playing at home near squares the ledger.

Identifying a weakness, enough to swing the pendulum of favour has not been easy.

Given the nature of near mirror image performance to date, even the tactical battle between the magnets off field will surely play a pivotal role.

In the event of one side getting the jump, can the opposition find a way back?

Coaches Matty White (Sunbury) and Troy Scoble (Melton) are astute mentors of the game but have rarely been tested or stretched in their seven and eight game winning season - a challenging day beckons.

Sure, Sunbury had to find a way back against the Devils (eight point win) and the Bloods had to dig in to hold the Roosters at bay (six point win) but East Point have proven both are gettable under finals like pressure.

Nonetheless, the Lions have been super impressive with wins of 25 (Redan), 53, 59, 81,128 and 144 points.

On the flipside, the Bloods remaining six wins make a compelling case for the favorites tag - 67 (Darley), 70, 76, 117, 118 and 188 points. Ridiculous.

Given the similarities in the two sides’ defence and midfield make-ups, it's the Bloods’ potent and less predictable front half that has me leaning to a win for the visitors.

Melton has six players with 10 season goals or more, including four of the top 12 goalkickers in the competition - B.Kight (48), R.Carter (19), K.Borg (15), R.Davis (15).

Sunbury has just two players with 10 goals or more - J.Sutton (36) and M.McLean (27) who in fairness rank #2 and #3 behind Kight.

Furthermore, the Bloods hold the advantage for marks Inside forward 50 (15.3/13.8) of which Braedan Kight (5.4) is responsible for 35%.

Lions duo Jake Sutton (4.6 @33%) and Mitch McLean (2.5 @18%) make up more than half for the hosts highlighting a greater focus and predictability of entries for the competition's #1 ranked defence to navigate.

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Darley arrive at Melton South fresh off a 21-day break endeavouring to reboot its title defence when they take on the winless Panthers.

Sure, the result has 'foregone conclusion' written all over it but Devils coach Dan Jordan will be looking for his group to build on good habits ahead of a challenging period of 'double ups' at the back end of their draw against the likes of Melton, Sunbury and North Ballarat.

Jordan won't be in a rush either, well aware anything resembling the best version of the Devils will take time.

The tired old cliche 'one week at a time' fits the narrative to a tee in this scenario as the promising collective, eye a peak in form, health and fitness toward the business end of the season.

The Devils job at hand has been made easier in the absence of a handful of key Panthers due to injury.

Patrick Veszpremi (hand), Anthony Wilson (hamstring), Tom Phillips (hand), Jeff Garlett (hamstring), Lachie Pritchard (cork), Nathan Gemmel (hamstring) and Jesse Geddes (concussion) are all unavailable.

Sure, the aforementioned have varying degrees of ability but the point of mentioning them all is the depth factor. As many as five players who took part in last week’s 174-point loss to the Lakers will be replaced by five players that missed out on selection ahead of the humiliating defeat.

A tough afternoon is expected for the Panthers - containing the likes of Brett Bewley, Billy Myers, Luther Baker and co will test the resilience of the most loyal Panthers, both on and off field.

Expect Myers and Brady Wright to feature prominently, hitting the scoreboard.

The Devils will be happy to get through unscathed, injury free. For the Panthers, another test against formidable opposition awaits. 5pm for some you would think, can't come quick enough.

Scoop’s tip
Darley

Visiting East Point will aim to buck the trend of home success for North Ballarat and emulate the feats of their nine-point win at Mars Stadium in Round 18 last year.

The simple fact is, the Kangas are flying under new season coach Joe Carmody and have taken all before them since their bye in Round 2.

The journey since has been unparalleled with seven wins on the trot including Melton and Sunbury. Super effort.

But one man - Brendan McCartney, who leads an army of willing young men, stands in their way of making it eight on the bounce.

The experienced mentor faced a similar scenario last year when the Kangas surged into a preliminary final on the back of four straight wins.

To suggest McCartney's choice of words were emotive in the lead up would be an understatement as he went on the record saying "they (East Point) won't be able to get away with what they have over recent weeks."

The tale of the tape would later confirm Macartney's due diligence to be on point as the Roosters went on to dismantle the inform Kangas by 41 points.

Expect much of the same on the resistance front from the proud Roosters despite being well shy of the personnel that got it done last time.

McCartney will have the plan to find a way, it will all be about execution and accountability.

Let's not forget the Roosters have lost just two games this year and went within a goal of Melton at MacPherson Park. 

It seems they're flying under the radar at the moment, having not played a top five side since the May 11th loss to Sunbury.

The Roosters’ next big test under McCartney has arrived.

Can they deny the Kangas who average 73 points per game against top five opposition, while North Ballarat average 51.

Plenty will be asked of the Roosters’ defence (comp rank #3) to hold out a rampant Kangas front half (comp rank #3) combo who boast four of the competitions top 20 goalkickers.

Evidently, North Ballarat has just the two (Ned Nash 18 goals, comp rank #10 and Hugh Trigg 13, #14) given the likely absence of Jamie Quick (ankle).

If that wasn't enough for the Roosters to worry about, the ability of the Kangas’ midfield to push forward and hit the scoreboard comparatively speaking, is compelling.

Enough at least to favour Carmody's visiting party getting the job done.   

Scoop’s tip
East Point

Ballarat will look to consolidate their sixth spot on the BFNL table when they host ninth placed Sebastopol.

Not dissimilar to last year, the gap between the Swans’ best and worse remains an ongoing variable for coach Chris Maple to navigate. And mark my words, despite the Swans superior ladder position, this match up looms every bit a danger game.

The Swans vulnerabilities are not new for Maple, he knows better than anyone where his team is at.

In fact, the former Footscray VFL Premiership Coach is probably happy the Swans are in the six given the season sample size gives every indication the top five have a bit on the rest.

It's all about continuing to develop with the potential of a finals berth up for grabs, and what an experience that would be for his group.

Five of the Swans’ eight remaining games are against teams outside the six, suggesting the likelihood of playing finals is a live proposition.

A win for the Swans on their home deck over the Burra will be crucial to their chances but easier said than done.

The arrival of Winter usually coincides with a spike in impact from the bigger bodied, more experienced players.

Burras quintet Tony Lockyer, Luke Kiel, Daniel Widgery, Bailey Medwell and Ryan Noether are largely responsible for the advantage over the Swans in key areas, namely inside 50's, contested possessions, ground ball gets and overall clearances including at ball-ups.

Sure, the Swans have the Burra covered in the numbers around marking but with the decline in weather and recent departure of Rhett Montgomery who was averaging 14 marks per game, the aerial advantage is less of a concern.

The Burra must deliver on the pressure witnessed in their Round 8 loss to Darley and for periods shown against Sunbury last week and somehow manufacture a way to score.

Yes, the Burra have been kept to under 30 points, three times already this season (Ballarat twice) but all were against top four opposition.

There's no denying the Swans hold the advantage on the scoring front averaging two goals more per game while conceding 10 points less.

However, I’m tipping an upset in a low scoring game amid chilly conditions, despite the fact the Swans haven't lost a game to any side below them.

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

The Cobras host the Lions in another cracking match up locked in for Round 10.

Both sides have three wins to date, all against the bottom three sides. Trying to find a winner has come down to its geographic location in the end given very little separates the two on paper.

Ironically the two sides’ last success came on the same day back in Round 6 adding yet another like-for-like stat into the equation. 

Expect only a couple of targeted match ups in the lead up.

Experienced Lions’ defender Jacob Werts is almost certain to go to Jake Owen at the opening bounce - that makes total sense.

But who will the Cobras hierarchy send to mark Lions’ star recruit Lachie Bond who prepares for his second game after a lengthy lay off with a foot complaint.

Bond booted two goals in his Lions debut last week and featured in the best players with limited opportunities.

So, what to make of the numbers alone, establishing a 'favorite' heading into this 50/50 encounter?

Bacchus Marsh lead Redan in all areas of disposals, marks, general play including contested ball, pressure and scoring with the exception of only three KPI's albeit a bare minimum disadvantage - namely inside 50's 44-45, tackles 58-62 and centre clearances 11-12.

Lions’ midfielder Khy Jess is the classic accumulator beyond his years.

In just his first full year out of the GWV Rebels program, the progressive left footer is averaging 20 disposals per game, 12 contested including six clearances and six inside 50s.

It would be an entertaining watch seeing Jess and similar age profile Cobras opponent Josh Huxtable go head to head.

Huxtable, like Jess is just one of a host of young talent expected on display, each backed by an integral core of experience.

Given the more experienced names of both sides are the ones we see featuring among the best players more often than not, this result is likely to come down to the output and impact of the next gen stocks.

Line in the sand game for me. If either of these sides want to pinch the (likely) sixth spot at the business end, winning this match is a massive step in the right direction.

Scoop’s tip
Bacchus Marsh

Come 5pm Saturday each team will have played each other once, giving supporters a true indication of where their club is at on the BFNL table as we pass the halfway mark of the season.

The Swans will enjoy a return to their own deck and a match-up against similar opposition when they host the Cobras.

Both sides, clearly aware of where they're at, will be eyeing a potential eighth place finish on the table - essentially the 'next best' below the main body of teams.

Tipping there won't be much in this game at the end, but the home ground advantage must lean to the Swans on the back of their 26-point win over Sunbury in Round 9.

Matchups won't be too difficult for either side to ascertain given the stand-out consistencies from both teams top end talent.

Swans’ mid Wil Liston proved he was not out of place at Interleague level, especially with an inspirational second quarter that helped the BFNL back into the game, turning a quarter time deficit into a half time advantage against the talented Hampden League.

Bacchus Marsh too had a sole representative, Jack Parente, who was appointed vice-captain behind Redan star Izaac Grant.

Parente, a co-captain of the Cobras at just 20 years old was similarly courageous as Liston over his high minutes game in defence.

The Swans will need a match-up for Jake Owen (16 goals) as the Cobras will Andrew Hooper (26 goals).

The dual in the ruck between Luke Goetz and Michael Powling should be a ripper while at ground level, Swans youngsters Liston and Paddy Simpson go to head-to-head with more seasoned bodies in Jake McCreery and Tyson Shea.

If both sides can nullify avenues to goal, this game will come down to the second tier of options getting it done on the scoreboard and weight of forward 50 entries.

It builds to be a close one, where both sides will have their chances and look the winner at some stage.

Scoop’s tip: Ballarat

All signs point to Redan being a game clear, entrenched in the final six after a successful visit to Melton South this weekend.

While the Lions have lost two of their last three, their win on the road over Darley in Round 10 gave every indication they're a genuine part of the finals conversation.

With Lachie George, Lachie McLean, Liam Hoy and Harry Lawson still to return, the Lions best bares no ceiling passing the halfway mark of the season. Given their proven depth quality, it really is soldier in, soldier out for the Lions at the moment.

Under new coach Gary Learmonth, Redan have two wins against top six opposition (Darley, East Point) and five wins for the season. A sixth win looms against the winless Panthers.

The hosts will have enjoyed last week’s selection and efforts of Cody Chapman and Mitch Fino in the newly introduced Under 23 Interleague concept under Carlton great Anthony Koutoufides.

Both boys validated their call-ups with contributions worthy of radar attention from opposition clubs moving forward - a timely boost in an otherwise long season for the Panthers.

Take your pick of who may get off the leash in front of goal for the Lions, it could be any of Izaac Grant, Grant Bell, Will Madden or Marty Boyer.

Scoop’s tip: Redan

Despite two losses on the bounce heading in, expect Sunbury to resemble some form closer to their best when they return home to meet East Point.

The Lions will be buoyed with the return of inspirational leader Tyson Lever (foot) and midfielder Mitch Lewis (overseas), not to mention a rejuvenated half dozen Under 23 BFNL representatives from last week’s success over the Hampden League.

Yes, Fraser Ampulski, Jake Egan, Jake Sutton, Harrison Minton-Connell, Cody Brand and Riley Miller all played significant roles in the league's meritorious 16-point win.

Not to be outdone, East Point duo Liam Canny and Liam Howard also featured prominently in the result.

The return of Lewis, joining Minton-Connell and Josh Guthrie in the middle provides every chance for the Lions to take it up against the class of the Johnston brothers, Matty and Jordy, and the crumbing ability of Joe Dodd who has worked his way back into some good form after missing early with injury.

It wouldn't be a surprise if the Kangas did get the job done, you're never sure what version of Sunbury you're going to get.

The visitors are more than capable of kicking a winning score on the road despite the new full time midfield role for proven goalkicker Jordy Johnston.

The Kangas have five players with 10 goals or more already in 2023 (20-B.Whittaker, 16-L.Canny, 13-J.Jeffrey, 11-B.McDougall, 10-J.Merrett) while the Lions just three (23-J.Sutton, 15-C.Brand, 12-L.Brennan).

Strangely, on the confidence taken by those six Lions interleague reps and performances along with the returns of Lever and Lewis, that alone is enough to sway the advantage in favour of the home side. Just.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

The Burra won't have a better opportunity downing the wounded Devils at the Den when the two sides meet for the first time since Round 1 last year.

Last time around it was the highly touted Burra losing to the 2021 wooden spooners, a completely unexpected result despite the Devils’ off-season appointment of experienced coach Dan Jordan.

Theorising just how the Devils can get it done is trumped by the strength and quality of depth the previous two-time runners up possess.

Expect Burra quartet Tony Lockyer, James Keeble, Ryan Noether and Grady Snowden to return after missing their Round 10, 27-point win over Sunbury.

How Darley can find a way through Sebastopol's #1 ranked defence will be Jordan's greatest challenge.

Only Melton (four times), North Ballarat and Ballarat have had their way with the Burra over their previous 20 games. The form reads a treat and holds up against any opposition that is not Melton.

Lockyer, Riley O'Keefe, Luke Kiel, Jack Bambury, Hugo Papst and Graydn Snowden make up an enviable back six for any side in regional Victoria let alone the BFNL.

The Devils look a mile off their drought breaking, Round 8 winning performance over Melton on June 3rd.

Some may have thought 'mountain peak' conquered - a short sighted reality to the fact they're merely at base camp as subsequent defeats to North Ballarat and Redan have proven.

The timing of the Devils return to full health will go a long way determining their reach in 2023, but a win against the odds, ahead of schedule will only enhance belief.

On the flipside, a win for the visitors consolidates second position on the ladder with games against Lake Wendoure and Melton South to follow.  

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Reigning premiers Melton will have played one game in 35 days when they host Lake Wendouree this weekend.

But don't let that confuse you, coach Aaron Tymms will have warmed to the break, giving his 'niggle effected' charges enough rest to take on a back-to-back flag mission, replicating East Point's 2018-19 achievement.

The Bloods monstered the Swans in Round 10 with the inclusions of star duo Brenton Payne and Jack Watkins for their first games of the season.

It's unsure when they'll be seen again due to their Port Melbourne and North Melbourne VFL commitments but the Bloods on the whole look back to their best.

We're likely to see confirmation again of that nature against the Lakers. Bloods duo Brady Rowles and Adrian Monitto are not far off a return and could be nursed back for a hit-out as early as the Lakers game after lengthy layoffs.

Young guns Kyle Borg and Conrad Farrugia should be brimming with confidence after solid performances at Interleague level representing the Bloods and will look to carry that form into the latter half of the season while the Lakers’ sole selection Flynn Loader looked dangerous for the BFNL in the front half to warrant a match-up for Tymms.

The Lakers’ faithful will be looking forward to observing the progression of young bigmen duo Felix Fogarty and Tom Zampatti.       

Weather will determine degrees of separation on the scoreboard but if the Lakers were to come close to halving the margin from their most recent encounter, coach Tim Shearer would have been privy to some resistance from his group.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

A number of big clashes await in Round 11 with teams striving for a finals berth set to test themselves against genuine September outfits.

If it's any consolation for the Lions ahead of the weekend, they'll face a Bloods outfit a handful shy of their best 22 with Riley Walker (jaw) and Jordy Cotter (ankle) the latest pairing set for a stint on the sidelines.

While it's clear the top five sides have a clear edge on the remaining six, one spot in the finals is up for grabs.

Given that very little percentage separates those in the running for sixth, Redan won't be rolling over easily and will take it up to the flag favorites for periods.

Can the Lions get bang for buck for their forward 50 entries in the absence of Riley Walker and Cotter?

Grant Bell is on a ten-game stretch returning multiple goals while newcomer and Geelong VFL listed talent Lachie Bond will provide a headache for the Bloods’ defence.

Marty Boyer and Lachie McLean are not shy around goal either and will keep the visitors honest.

Despite injuries to a key few, the Bloods remain the team to beat regardless of any BFNL opposition.

The emotional toll of last week’s nail-biting win over Sunbury can play out in two ways.

One, they're well on the way to at least another minor premiership and no team will stand in their way - or two, there is a chance of a flat performance given the nature of what has transpired.

Whatever the scenario, you would be brave to tip against them.

Not me. 

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

The winless Panthers will endure the second of back-to-back top five assignments when they host North Ballarat at Melton Recreation Reserve.

Both sides have had their fair share of bad luck on the injury front and will look for a response from their respective depth stocks who will be given an opportunity.

Star North Ballarat midfielder Riley Polkinghorne suffered a nasty ankle injury in the second quarter of last week’s loss to East Point and is set for a period on the sidelines, joining fellow playmakers Jamie Quick and Tom Bromley-Lynch.

Credit to the undermanned Roosters hitting the front against East Point in the last quarter before the Kangas were able to steady and kick away late.

While the absence of Polkinghorne will not affect this coming result, the nature of the predicted percentage boost may have taken a hit.

Just 'how far the Roosters?' has been quelled somewhat with the absence of key personnel.

Travis Hodgson's Panthers showed a bit last week against the Devils with their 'top end' players all making a contribution leading one of the youngest sides seen in the BFNL for sometime.

And they will need to produce again to avoid a 20-goal plus defeat.

Even with injury, you know what you're going to get from the Roosters - a feverish appetite for the contest and a well-structured set-up behind the ball that makes it hard for opposition to score.

Given the Panthers’ average less than 30 points per game, surpassing that return will be a challenge.  

Roosters’ coach Brendan McCartney will be hoping to get through unscathed and be looking for his players to develop on good habits ahead of the back end of the season when everything starts to heat up.

North Ballarat's double-up's post the interleague bye includes Darley (A), Melton (H), Bacchus Marsh (H), Ballarat (A), East Point (A) and Redan (A). 

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Sunbury head to Ballarat for a fourth time already this season, to take on the Swans at Alfredton Oval.

Lions coach Matty White would have been proud of his boys last week despite their narrow loss at home to Melton in arguably the best game of the year.

So, for the touring party it's not about rebounding or a response needed against the Swans, rather more of the same that has earned them an impressive seven win season and third spot on the BFNL ladder.

There's enough body of work seen from the Lions giving every indication they're the real deal and you know what you're going to get.

With the off-season addition of quality personnel and spike in performance of players who were already at Sunbury, the future looks bright - not dissimilar to the age profile of Melton that took them to the 2018 Grand Final before the crowning glory achievement of 2022.

For Chris Maple's Ballarat another challenge in the form of top five opposition presents and what an opportunity that is in front of home fans - a chance to measure yourselves against the pointy end.

So far for the Swans however, the challenge has proven beyond them.

Some mini-wins here at home will be the order of the day starting with the one non-negotiable - effort.

For without effort, surely the balance sheet of potential mini wins becomes null and void.

The Swans sit in sixth spot on the ladder with an asterix of vulnerability next to their name.

They along with Redan, Bacchus Marsh and Sebastopol are in a fight for the elusive sixth spot.

If the Swans want to rid themselves of the asterix and potentially making up the numbers come September, an honourable loss is the least we can ask of a group not shy on talent.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Don't expect Darley to have it all their own way when they host the Lakers on Saturday.

Rival coaches have gone on the record complimenting the one-win Lakers on their endeavour for long periods that culminated with an impressive 174-point win over Melton South in Round 9.

Rohan Brown's travelling party will be looking for further improvement off the bye, up against top four opposition.

While it's never really a good time to get Darley at Darley given their recent home record, coach Dan Jordan would be the first to concede the Devils have a bit of work to do recapturing the aura of last year.

So regardless of the two sides separation on the BFNL table, weight of progress will surely be measured in the aftermath.

Just what that looks like for Brown and Jordan is likely to remain 'in-house' but for those of us on the outside, the scoreboard will tell enough.

Did the Melton South game flatter the Lakers? They looked very good on the vision, playing a large part of the group into form for an assignment against a Devils outfit still trying to find their best.

Containing the Devils’ top end talent will be an afternoon long struggle for the developing Lakers who should embrace the experience.

While Brett Bewley and Billy Myers are the obvious trump cards expected to have the greatest influence, Jordan's challenge remains getting a deeper spread of contributors, preferably out of the Devils’ 'bottom half'.

The Lakers’ talls will keep the Devils honest.

Tom Zampatti, Jaydyn Wright and Felix Fogarty make up a healthy spine through the middle and forward of the ball.

Hybrid forward and Lakers’ leading goalkicker Bailey Thompson keeps hitting the scoreboard regardless of the opposition and is likely to have earned the respect out of the Devils’ camp with a designated match up.

Not sure what version we're going to get of these two sides. Darley will surely do enough, but how far?

Will the Devils impress with a tick forward in the right direction or can the Lakers back up their recent efforts by keeping the margin in check, something they've failed to do at Darley Park their previous two visits.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

The Kangas will start warm favorites making it nine wins in a row when they host the Cobras at Eastern Oval.

It's been six years since the Cobras have enjoyed success at the venue and given the sample size of the season to date, don't expect the pattern to change.

The Cobras’ slim chances hang on the availability of premier ruck Luke Goetz who is a genuine barometer for the team, leading with his positivity by voice and proud example with action.

A tough afternoon looms for the Cobras given the depth of talent and form held by the hosts. Just who you target with a match up or run with role is a guess given they've up to 10 players worthy of thought.

The Kangas’ midfield bats as deep as any in the comp and will look to assume control early against a Cobras’ outfit without veteran Tyson Shea and Goetz (doubtful).

The Johnston brothers, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus lead a healthy band at the feet of underrated competitor Joel Van Meel who continues to hold his own for long periods in the ruck with barely a rest.

As if the Cobras’ concerns weren't restricted to the A-Grade midfield talent of the Kangas, the make-up of the hosts forward line poses another quandary for Dennis Armfield and his staff.

Given the plentiful assets at Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody's disposal, maybe Armfield goes down the track of using Saturday as another opportunity to shuffle the magnets, a variation on what we already know.

Maybe there's a better version of the Cobras best 22 and their most suitable positions. Who knows?

What we do know however, is that the Cobras will be stretched by the Kangas to the point where the touring party is left with little choice but to experiment.

Finding the right combination for the Cobras to score, defend and maintain possession between the arcs remains a work in progress jigsaw.

While it's likely the Kangas winning run will continue for at least another week, let's hope for Cobras fans it's an encouraging step in the right direction on the development front. 

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

As we head into the abbreviated second round of matches, the bottom five sides get another opportunity on Saturday to measure progress on their first meet with a cheeky eye on manufacturing a major upset against five sides currently inside the top six.

The Cobras owe coach Jason Williams and their fans a buy-in this week when they host competition benchmark Melton at Maddingley Park.

When you're not expected to win, you can go about the task in two ways - accept the likelihood of defeat and play accordingly or 'dig in' and have a crack. At least, provide some resistance with a pride in the jumper performance.

The Cobras effort won't be judged on win or loss, for the Bloods have won 30 of their last 34 games, an amazing achievement.

For the same period the Cobras have won 13. So even with their backs to the wall, the Cobras can impact.

Win a quarter or win a half will be the 'real' expectations on the Cobras who are likely to play in front of a big crowd.

It's the perfect segue ahead of the clubs Round 13 local derby against Darley.

The Cobras top end talent would surely get a game with the powerhouse Bloods so it's not beyond the realms of possibility the hosts can push the ladder leaders for a half as they did against Sunbury in Round 7, when they led by four points at the half.

Melton on the other hand are cruising and will look to put this game to bed early. Their benchmark status has proven intimidating for struggling teams allowing Aaron Tymms’ boys more often a win on their own terms far too soon.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Given the stark contrast of fortunes of these two sides, it's difficult to mount a case for the winless Panthers making an impression on the fifth placed Lions at Clarke Oval.

The rejuvenated Lions returned to their best last week with an 80-point thumping of East Point and welcomed the return of top end talent duo Tyson Lever and Mitch Lewis.

And don't underestimate the confidence build of no less than six Lions who featured at Interleague level a fortnight ago - all made significant contributions in the win over the Hampden League.

That theory was confirmed immediately after strong performances against the Kangas from Harry Minton-Connell, Jake Sutton (five goals) and Cody Brand.

Unfortunately for the Panthers there'll be nowhere to hide on the wide expanses of the Clarke Oval.

Expect the Lions leg speed advantage on the spread to equate to scores the longer this game goes.

Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse for the Panthers on the injury front, the loss of inspirational leader Cody Chapman (hamstring) only compounds the situation and heightens the degrees of difficulty avoiding a loss in excess of three figures.

Who gets the job for the Panthers on dangerous Lions forward Jake Sutton makes for interesting discussion in the aftermath.

Keeping the Essendon VFL listed talent to eight goals will be a fair effort given a genuine lack of depth at the Panthers and the likelihood of a landslide in forward 50 entries.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Swans coach Chris Maple and his young group have an opportunity to correct on its disappointing Round 6 loss when they meet North Ballarat at Mars Stadium this Saturday.

While most have the Swans winning chances slim at best, Maple can take some confidence into the game knowing his boys have won three of their last four games, including a top six scalp with a win over Sunbury.

The trip to Mars Stadium looms a timely footy audit for the Swans, a real chance to measure improvement against one of the best 'home' performing sides of the last three seasons.

Brendan McCartney's 14-3 record at 'Mars' since taking the reins at North Ballarat in 2021 is impressive and is likely to remain in good stead.

It makes you wonder if McCartney and North Ballarat really needed the bye last week, for they were flying.

No doubting they would have been well educated over the break for an assault on the back half of the season, so look for the Roosters to start well as they so often do.

For the Swans, believe, hang in and assess at the break. Where to start the match-up conversation for Maple's hierarchy is an unknown given the Roosters VFL player affiliations. Maybe adopt McCartney's theory that "matchups are a thing of the past".

Spend more time trying to win the game than saving is easier said than done. Tipping North Ballarat to be very hard to beat for the remainder of the season.  

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

East Point will look to bounce back when they head to City Oval for a meeting with legitimate finals contender Redan.

It was said some weeks ago, seven teams don’t go into six finals places, so one of these teams will have to miss out.

But when you look into the draw, the Kangas have so much more at stake.

After this weekend, the Lions have, on paper, the pick of the draws with North Ballarat, Lake Wendouree, Ballarat, Melton South and Sebastopol to come, essentially just two meetings with top six sides.

The Kangas on the other hand have Melton, Ballarat, Sebastopol, Lakers and North Ballarat, three of your current top six meets.

Getting it done on Saturday will be an ideal launching pad for Jackson Merrett's crew who sit a game and percentage outside the six.

The potential fall-out with finals chances on the line will be dealt a severe blow in the event of loss. But they're more than blessed with the talent to overcome the Lions despite their 13-point loss on Eastern Oval back in Round 6.

Merrett will have had little time for learnings on last week’s defeat against Sunbury given the nature of the loss and may have afforded his boys a 'mulligan' for indifferent performances from a young group are seldomly avoided.

The top end talent at the Kangas led by the Johnston brothers will need to be at their best to topple the mounting depth of the Lions.

Containing in-form Redan duo Isaac Grant and Marty Boyer who combined for 34 shots on goal last week would be a good place to start. 

Scoop’s tip: Redan

While the result for many looms inevitable, there's still plenty to gain for warm favorites Sebastopol when they face the one-win Lakers at Marty Busch Reserve.

Sure, the Burra have only lost three games for the season but recently they give every indication they're shy of their best.

Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro's men have won just one quarter in each of their games against fellow top six opposition Darley (loss), Redan (win), North Ballarat (loss) and Melton (loss).

Exceptions lie only in their three-quarter win over Sunbury and their 'hang on' win against Redan. But you get the drift, wanting more from the highly talented Burra.

And they're more than capable. In fact, a drought breaking premiership would not surprise and getting back to resembling the best version of themselves could be kick started this weekend.

Conditions didn't help last week against the Devils in fairness, but what else can you expect from weather in July.

Expect a steely focus from the visitors today and added buy-in from the players sounding a clear warning to the Lakers - be prepared! 

Staying in the game for the home side will be easier said than done but an improvement on their 15 point tally in Round 6 is a must, a mini win if you will given the final margin is likely to favour the visitors, comfortably.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The action is back after the interleague weekend and sides will have their sights firmly locked on to the backend of the 2024 season.

Plenty will need to go right for Sunbury avoiding a fourth loss in five games when they face Melton for a second time in 21 days.

Who could forget the nailbiting conclusion of their Round 10 meet at the Clarke Oval when Bloods' wingman Kyle Borg put the flag favorites in front just moments ahead of the final siren?

It's hard to push the argument that any have in fact, paving the way for a highly anticipated sequel.

It's often thought the sequel rarely usurps the original but the BFNL Match of the Round crew will be there to bring you all the action LIVE from 2pm Saturday.

While Bloods' defender Riley Walker is expected to return, intercept king Jordy Cotter (foot/ankle) will continue his rehab with an aim to return ahead of finals.

On the flipside, Sunbury have had a relatively good run with injury up until their Round 8 loss to East Point and have had to shuffle the magnets since which has been unsettling, equating to three losses from their last four games.

The Lions most recent 22-point loss to the Swans was no fluke when you look at the numbers in isolation.

Sunbury were beaten in near all KPI's and denied their usual uncontested brand - 51 uncontested marks (down 29 on their season average), marks inside 50 (down 6 ), disposals (down 46), clearances (-16),centre clearance (-8), inside 50s (-25), tackles (-25).

Well done Chris Maple pulling a rabbit out of a hat with all respect, given it was the first win for any side outside of the top five against top five opposition.

The win / loss record for bottom six teams v top five teams is now W1 L29.

A correction from the Lions camp on the numbers front will NOT necessarily guarantee Matt White's pride a winning result against a steely Melton combination that will ask questions of the entire group with and without the ball.

Not dissimilar to Round 10, Sunbury will have their opportunities but can they match the ladder leaders with bang for buck hitting the scoreboard?

Tipping you'll see a host of defenders featuring in the best for the winners, denying potential match winning forwards a day out on their own terms.

Scoop's tip
Melton

The one-win Lakers should hold little or no fears facing the Cobras at Maddingley Park if the last six weeks represents an adequate sample size.

Both sides had their respective first round bye and have won six of their last 20 quarters, four of those coming against bottom side Melton South.

The Lakers, like the Cobras, have just the one win for the period but have a slight percentage edge (72% v 64% last six weeks) adding some weight to the 'winning chance' conversation, albeit on the road.

The Cobras learnt quickly of the importance of big man Luke Goetz (ankle) in his recent absence.

While a return is predicted by some this week, it's far from set in concrete.

Veteran mid Tyson Shea will miss again asking more questions of a young Cobras midfield still finding their way.

I like the thought of dual Cobra BFNL Interleague representatives Isaac Nixon and Rhy Penny up onto a wing in a change up with ferocious leader and coach Dennis Armfield to spend some time behind the ball getting a birds-eye view how his chargers go about it.

Nixon and Penny are fresh off 19 disposal, confidence building performances against the Hampden League and would provide the necessary aerial presence and run with and without the ball to impact this game - shoring up the side gates if you will with a 'Beware of’ sign.  

Needless to add a lot of the Cobras fortunes will rest on the returns of ever consistent forward Jake Owen (23 goals, comp rank #8, in best 6/10 games). Expect Brayden Helyar to get the job.

The Lakers have some aerial presence of their own and will be tough to hold out if conditions suit.

Jaydo Wright, Felix Fogarty, Tom Zampatti, Ben Hayes and leading goalkicker Bailey Thompson (22 goals, comp rank #10) can all take a grab and provide an avenue to score.

Joel O'Connell, Angus Gove, rebound defender Kyle Anderson and exciting 16-year-old Lincoln Koliba will ensure the Cobras are made to earn a fourth win of the season. 

In a 50/50 game, geography had the final say given the Lakers’ struggles away from home.

The Lakers have lost their last 11 games on the road by an average of 74 points including a 92-point defeat here last year.

Scoop’s tip
Bacchus Marsh

If Darley has any legitimate aspirations for a top three finish, a win over North Ballarat is a must.

The Devils will have every opportunity getting the job done over a touring party minus a handful of prime movers including x-factor forward Jamie Quick (ankle) and midfield duo Riley Polkinghorne (ankle) and Brock Leonard (concussion) who have proven a mainstay in pressure and accumulation numbers with and without the ball.

Former Cobra Joel Freeman is expected to debut in Roosters colors having just beat the clearance deadline and will provide a dual pronged aerial target alongside Stewart Crameri (1 game, 2 goals) and opportune forward Ned Nash (20 goals, comp rank #11).

Just how the Roosters find a way denying in form Devils midfield trio Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will be an afternoon long problem for Brendan McCartney and his support staff.

Bewley and Baker especially feature among the top five ball winners in the comp and should thrive in the absence of Polkinghorne and Leonard.

McCartney has little alternative but to focus on the 'what haves' and will need his boys to deliver on their trademark pressure if they're to overcome the Devils who would be well aware of the importance banking the win given remaining 'double up' matches against top three giants East Point, Sunbury and Melton are still to come.

While it will be a 'one week at a time' mission for Dan Jordan and his crew finding their best, there's no denying the Devils top three chances hang in the balance for the here and now.

For North Ballarat, given their 'outs', a win would surely be their most satisfying and deserving of the season, whilst leaving the door ajar on a potential top three finish of their own.

Key Roosters Tom Bromley-Lynch, Simon McCartin and Cam McCallum are expected to return while Devils trio Wil Johnson, Adam Azzopardi and Mitch Ward continue their rehab on the sidelines for at least another week.  

Scoop’s tip
Darley

The Kangas would have fond memories of their last meet against the Burra, a Round 3 encounter that essentially kickstarted their impressive nine game winning streak.

A six-goals-to-one second half under the lights at Eastern Oval was enough to instill the belief and momentum in Joe Carmody's group that sees them now just percentage shy of ladder leaders Melton.

So why the dominance?

The Kangas’ numbers reel ahead of the 'double ups' is compelling, enough to see them with their best chance of winning a flag since their back-to-back achievement of 2018 and 2019.

Carmody's marching band rank #1 for scoring efficiency, centre clearances, groundball gets, marks inside 50 and behinds - rank #2 for kicks, contested possessions, overall clearances, spoils, goals - rank #3 for handballs, contested marks, marks, ball-up clearances, forward 50 tackles, disposal efficiency (kicks and handballs) and rank #4 for disposals.

Pretty impressive, not to mention five players in the top 27 goalkickers including two of the top nine - Bryson McDougall (36 goals, rank #3) and Strahan Robinson (23 goals, rank #9).

So where do you start when you're Burra coach Tony Lockyer trying to tame the flying Kangaroos when one of the biggest struggles of your own team has been scoring?

Well Lockyer is an experienced leader who will narrow the focus of importance. Given where the two teams are at in the context of their respective seasons, Lockyer will be looking for a simple buy-in on the process, hopeful a response from his group will equate to having in them in with a prize fighters chance at three quarter time.

Falling shy of the necessary buy-in would see the Kangas waltz on their merry way to a comfortable tenth win and remain on track for an all-important double chance amid a very even season at the top.

Scoop’s tip
East Point

A cracking game looms at City Oval with the result almost certain to play a role shaping the final six even this far out.

While the thought of finals will be underplayed by these two respective coaches, the lure of the number six spot in the September action will not be denied by fans.

Sure, the two opponents are in the development phase given their age profile but that hasn't stopped the Swans causing the upset of the season to date as recent as Round 11 over third placed Sunbury.

But, as has been the case for a large portion of the season, the Swans’ ability to back up their solid efforts from quarter to quarter let alone game to game has been an ongoing challenge for coach Chris Maple.

For Swans fans, let's hope the win over the Sunbury Lions proves a line in the sand moment and the beginning of something resembling closer to the cliche ambition of consistency.

Hosts Redan today are 0-6 against top six opposition with all four of their season wins coming against the current bottom four. The importance of a win today, bucking the trend would be an understatement and not beyond reach of the Lions. 

The similarities between the two sides around scoring set the tone for another nailbiter despite the Swans having won an extra game and a 10 percent advantage on the BFNL table.

Redan have had two shots more on goal for the season, averaging 4.4 points more per game confirming the like-for-like match up.

The Swans (17.5/40) have won half a quarter more than the Lions while conceding an average of 15.6 points less per game.

All relevant numbers given each team in the BFNL has played each other once.

Looking forward to the battle of the midfield brigades.

If Lions’ pairing Khy Jess and Lachie George can turn their high number territory gains into score involvements, the hosts will prove a handful.

Who will Maple send to GFL listed player Lachie Bond? Angus Bade looks a likely match-up allowing attacking defender Lachie Dalgleish to play a role in the genesis of transition.

Trying conditions are expected, a challenging day for all – both on field and for the decision makers off it.

Flip of the coin game.  

Scoop’s tip
Redan

As the number suggests, Round 13 may prove unlucky for some, with a number of games looking capable of an upset.

The underdogs can take it up to their more fancied opponents for periods, but for how long looms their greatest challenge. 

Ballarat's upset win over Sunbury in Round 9 has added some intrigue to this battle. The Swans remain the pests in the comp shaping the top eight for their best is good enough and proven upset material.

But you can guarantee, Lions coach Travis Hodgson will have done his homework ensuring a 0-2 head to head v lowly Ballarat does not eventuate.

They may have to plan without their VFL affiliates Jack Newitt (Northern Bullants), Jake Sutton (Essendon) and Harry Minton-Connell (Essendon) whose rich vein of recent form has warranted selection at the higher level over the last month.

The Swans were simply too honest for Sunbury at their first meeting - Will Liston, Paddy Simpson and Marcus Powling especially don't play bad games and with the return of Daniel Kennedy, and usual threat of forward Andrew Hooper (33 goals) the visitors will arrive with confidence embracing the underdog tag.

Let's not forget only a week ago at three-quarter time these young Swans under Chris Maple were within 12 points of North Ballarat at Mars Stadium before discipline proved their undoing, conceding the last four goals of the game via free kicks.

Both sides boast promising depth, and it would be nice to see them hang on for another crack given the Lions debuted four players last week.

Not to be outdone the Swans had five players still eligible for the Under 19s take on Brendan McCartney’s Roosters, limiting them to 11 goals despite a 39-point loss.

If the Lions are fair dinkum, they should win, and win well at home against the eighth placed Swans.

Deny the visitors a sniff early and the Lions will be on their way. However, in the event of the door being left slight ajar, beware the momentum of youth.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

The Burra have an opportunity to fine tune their touch, selflessness and game plan when they take on the embattled Panthers whose season can't come to an end quick enough.

Unfortunately for the hosts, it's the painful reality of a season gone awry for various reasons.

Credit to coach Ryan Hoy who has stuck with the club since his move from St Kilda City in the off-season to endure the battle.

And this match-up won't be any easier for them when they take on Sebastopol who are still yet to settle on its own version of their best 22.

No doubt we'll see a few Burras players impact the scoreboard, like many have been able to do against the Panthers this year who average 176 points against per game.

With the result looming foregone, dual Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro will have their fingers crossed their group gets through unscathed after losing quality mid Lachie Cassidy to a recurring low grade hamstring strain. 

Burra forwards Toby Hutt, James Keeble and new edition Jay Dalhaus should enjoy a day out before a like-for-like match up awaits with North Ballarat in Round 14.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Redan missed a golden opportunity last week to go two games and percentage clear of East Point (7th) earning vital separation inside the top six.

But credit to the Kangas, they were far too good and find themselves within less than 1% of Redan.

So again, the pressure is on the Lions to deliver at home, this time against North Ballarat.

The Roosters remaining five games see them come up against team all in the top seven equation, so don't expect the visitors to be taking their foot off the pedal as they an eye an all-important top three finish.

Trying to make excuses for the Lions’ failings last week with arguably their best side in is perplexing.

Maybe their block of games with a young group going back to Round 5 had taken its toll - Melton, East Point, Sunbury, Sebastopol, Darley, Melton South and then the Kangas again.

It’s a tough stretch that continues with a showdown against Brendan McCartney's army who held off the Lions at their earlier meet at Mars Stadium by 13 points - their narrowest win at home for the season.

Redan coach Gary Learmonth will have conceded a forgiving run last week with an eye toward the next challenge. For the record, the Lions three wins at home at this season have come against bottom four sides.

McCartney on the otherhand will be fully aware of his own teams’ challengers en route to finals and will look to make it a seventh win on the trot.

The Roosters’ VFL affiliates are playing well at the higher level and are unlikely for an immediate return, providing the underdog Lions with a realistic 'throw at the stumps' chance. 

Redan's best is good enough, but we don't see it often enough and with North's emphasis on contested ball and tackling, questions will surely be asked of Learmonth's young group.  

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

For all of Melton’s ten wins so far in 2023, their eight-point win over East Point in Round 7 was in fact their narrowest and should give visiting coach Jackson Merrett no reason to fear the reigning premiers.

Furthermore, the Kangas have led the benchmark Bloods at halftime in five of their last six meets and will be wanting for a repeat of that pattern given the context of their season.

Merrett's men are just .57% shy of Redan in sixth place and will need a scalp ahead of the business end to feature given the Lions’ softer draw.

The Bloods are gettable, and will this week be shy, again, of their best 22 and scoring potential as Liam Carter and Ryan Davis are expected to miss for a further week.

To put scoring into perspective, the Bloods have two players available with 12 goals or more, Ryan Carter (31) and Braedyn Kight (18) while the Kangas have four, namely Brad Whittaker (23), Liam Canny (18), Jack Jeffrey (16) and Bryson McDougall (16).

Avenues to goal also include playing coach Jackson Merrett’s 11 goals from 7 games and shouldn't be a problem for the visitors nor the midfield battle for the Johnston brothers are more than capable matching it with Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins.

Tipping this game to be decided by a battle of the defences.

The Bloods hold a distinct advantage in this area conceding 65.8 points per game against top seven opposition while the Kangas seemingly have some work to do in this area averaging 90.9 points against.

The Kangas’ midfield must deny the Bloods weight of entries forward to give themselves a chance.

It's proven a half-time lead for the Kangas would not surprise but whether they can hang on over four quarters is another challenge altogether. 

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Devils will aim to consolidate its top three credentials with a win over cross town rival Bacchus Marsh.

This season's earlier edition of the local derby saw Dan Jordan's men record a 50-point win with the Devils doing enough without setting the world on fire.

Now 12 rounds in, resembling a better version of themselves will be on Jordan's radar, as the Cobras arrive with all bar Jake Long available.

The Cobras will bring pressure, they often do, and energy on the back of a handful of returning youth from the Coates Talent League.

Fundamentally however, it's the Cobras kicking game on the bigger ground (Darley Park) that looms their greatest cause for concern.

They simply don't kick the ball well, validating the 'scrap' post script nature of many rivals’ coaches.

The Devils have had their own battles over the last month with injury and flat performances but looked more like the 8-2 team example with an encouraging win over Sebastopol in Round 11.

Strange when you hear that the Burra and Melton make up the Devils last two wins. Not many can say that in recent times.       

While the Cobras would have fond memories of their last visit to Darley Park in 2022 that ended in a last gasp one-point win, only five players have been retained from that day.

Darley could have up to 15 representatives from that game. Needless to add the Devils have made substantial gains since, are in the 'double chance' conversation and can't afford to be coughing up this one despite the usual local hype.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

A number of heavyweight battles headline Round 13 with plenty of match ups set to determine the look of the ladder as we head into the pointy end of the season.

Despite the anomaly of the Kangas’ Round 1 failings, Joe Carmody's group will start warm favorites turning the tables on the Devils at Eastern Oval.

Since their 96-point wakeup call at Darley Park, the Kangas have taken all before them marching their way through a 10-game winning streak, beating every side bar Dan Jordan's touring party in the process.

For some Kangas, the loss to Darley will be a distant memory but for some it will feel like yesterday given the four-quarter obliteration.

But what a formidable side East Point have become under new season coach Joe Carmody - some rival clubs and players have gone on the record to say they're the best they've seen so far in 2024.

A win for Darley on the road given the form of the Kangas would be arguably Dan Jordan's biggest win outside of finals and the clubs’ seven-year, drought breaking win over Melton in Round 8 last year.

If the 'just going' Devils are still in the game at half time, the numbers suggest their challenges have only just begun.

Post Round 1, East Point's second half returns have been ridiculous.

For third quarters the Kangas are W9-L1 (348-96) averaging near 35 points (for) while conceding less than 10 (9.6) for the period.

Final quarters are just as impressive for the Kangas icing the cake having W9-D1-L0 (298-145), averaging near 30 points (for) and a miserly 14.5 against. The one-sided nature of the Kangas’ second halves equates to W10 L0 (646 pts FOR, 241 pts AGST) - essentially a seven goal advantage.

Darley's task will be made even tougher in the likely absence of star playmaker Billy Myers (calf) who was unsighted after half time in the club’s 12-point win over North Ballarat.

Myers joins Wil Johnson, Adam Azzopardi, Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley on the injury list, an area East Point have been blessed with since the season opener.... until now.

There are concerns for Joe Dodd (dislocated knee), Deng Lual (leg), Geordie Slater (leg) and Strahan Robinson (minor calf) getting up for the BFNL's Match of the Round, leaving the door slightly ajar for the visitors.

I'm not sure the Devils can get it done with their outs, limited avenues to goal and season long struggles for connection unlike their 2023 premiership year, but you can guarantee a Dan Jordan mentored and Brett Bewley (41.8 avg disposals - comp rank #1) led crew will have other ideas.

The Kangas’ top end are all in career best form - Matty Johnston (36 disp avg - comp rank #2), Jordy Johnston (18 goals, 7.4 marks, 6 inside 50s, 10 score involvements), Bryson McDougall (43 goals - comp rank #2), Joel Van Meel (comp rank #1 for hits to advantage 10.8), Jackson Merrett and Jacob Brown (average 17 marks between them in the back half - comp rank #1 and #4 for uncontested marks) and Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (25 disp - 7 clearances).

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

A young Roosters outfit will endeavour to end the Bloods’ six game winning streak at Mars Stadium this Saturday as Melton head up the highway.

Brendan McCartney would be the first to concede it’s a mission easier said than done despite the Roosters’ impressive record at home.

Only East Point (twice), Melton and Ballarat have been successful at the venue dating back to the start of 2022.

Unfortunately for McCartney's group, injuries and unavailability of key personnel will make it tough tp deny the Bloods a seventh win on the trot.

It won’t be without some minor concerns for the Bloods with the absence of Jordy Cotter, Jono O'Brien and Ryan Davis.

Not dissimilar to last week, expect North Ballarat to will this game into an arm wrestle for as long as possible and minimise the damage the Bloods can inflict given an (uncontested) game on their own terms.

The Bloods are so well set up behind the ball, structurally sound and thriving in a period 'all on the same page'.

Forward, they're dynamite at the moment, in rare air, posing a five-pronged attack who rarely miss their opportunities.

The Kights, the Carters and (push forward) winger Kyle Borg are finding isolation aerially and at ground level to swoop and score far too easily.

Can McCartney and his band of inexperienced soldiers find a way to stifle a recurrence? I anticipate they will for periods but for the long haul, albeit four quarters will be a tough ask.

The effort the Bloods brought to the table in the last quarter of last week’s 77-point win over Sunbury was that of a team on a mission with an unquestionable work ethic.

There was simply no let up as the Bloods kicked the last four goals of the game to put the icing on the cake.

Their premiership credentials this far out are compelling.

McCartney has been on the record making us acutely aware over recent seasons, around this time, there's still 'a long way to go'.

In fact, Melton had lost just the one game at this stage last year adding a sense of deja vu to the conversation.  

The Bloods won't find it easy to shrug the resistance of the hosts, East Point and Darley more recently can attest to that.

Somehow, undermanned North Ballarat hit the front in the last quarter against the Kangas and were within a goal late of the Devils before falling 'respectfully' short.

Consider the evidence a reminder for Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble who will take no prisoners regardless of opposition or where they're situated on the table - it's all part of rendering the mission complete.  

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Sunbury host Redan in a must win game for both clubs given their recent records.

These two sides have lost four of their last five games. Sunbury will be desperate to keep their top three credentials alive while Redan's chances of pinching a spot in the finals action hang by a thread.

In a battle between the Lions in the 'East' and the Lions in the 'West', just who is the hungrier of the two prides and more methodical in the stalking of their prey will surely earn the all-important four premiership points.

With Darley and North Ballarat starting underdogs this round against East Point and Melton respectively it's the ideal opportunity for Sunbury to bounce back.

A win could see the Lions of the 'East' (Sunbury) return into third place come 5pm Saturday, and they should get it done especially on their own territory.

But you can't dismiss the visitors and their agenda with a top six finish still on the cards - just!

Gary Learmonth's group need a win against a team above them if they're to feature.

At the moment seventh placed Redan are W0 L7 against the top six teams. Winning at the Clarke Oval has been a tough assignment for any BFNL touring party regardless of ladder position.

Only Melton (four points) have been successful.

Questions will be asked of Redan as Sunbury welcome back overlap runner and link man Mitch Lewis onto a wing.

Given the size of the Clarke Oval you can't downplay the importance of the wingmen, they're essentially an extension of the midfield.

Expect the former Port Melbourne utility to improve the general makeup of the Sunbury lineup who were without Jack Hannett, Nathan Wood and Jake Egan in last week’s 77-point loss to Melton.

Jordan Tentonello should be fine to go after a 'corky' left him lame on the sidelines for last week’s second half.

Redan's struggles to score are a massive concern given the talent that is in their front half.

The Geelong VFL listed Lachie Bond will appreciate the room at Clarke Oval and be keen for a breakout game alongside more than capable trio Grant Bell, Marty Boyer and Lachie McLean.

Mobile ruckman Rudie Forde is showing great promise and should welcome the big ground giving Khy Jess and Lachie Bond a chance to better a Sunbury midfield that has had its colors lowered in recent weeks against Melton (twice), Ballarat and East Point.

However, I expect in-form Sunbury forwards Jake Sutton and Mitch McLean will prove an afternoon long handful for the Redan defence and arguably the difference in the game come 5pm Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Bacchus Marsh will look to bounce back to the winner’s list when they travel to Melton South this weekend.

After showing periods of promise equating to three wins from their opening six games, the Cobras remain winless post their bye having lost their last five games.

The recent struggles for the Cobras hitting the scoreboard will give the Panthers a live chance recording their first 'quarter win' of the season.

Ironically, it was against the Cobras last year the Panthers recorded their only 'quarter' win of the season.

Since the Cobras’ Round 7 bye, goal returns of nine, six, eight, three and seven have provided them with little chance acquiring an elusive fourth win.

But the perfect opportunity to buck the trend presents in the form of the winless Panthers who average 150 points against per game.

Expect experienced campaigner and tireless key Jake Owen (25 goals - comp rank #7) to feature despite a deliberate match-up from former coach Travis Hodgson who has huge respect for the former Cobras’ captain.  

The Panthers will be refreshed after a week off and buoyed by the recent contributions of Cody Chapman, Mitch Fino and Broden Collins at interleague level that should instill the group with some confidence to take it up to the struggling Cobras for periods.

While Hodgson looks for mini wins from his embattled group, expectations will be much greater out of the Cobras camp led by playing coach Dennis Armfield.

This Round 13 match-up will provide Armfield with the perfect stage to resemble more of the style of footy he wants his group to play.

Failure here to replicate on a simple plan of demands from the former Carlton AFL utility would compound the recent frustrations for a group not shy on talent or will to play for the jumper.

It's all about regaining continuity and connection for the Cobras this weekend.

A spike in enjoyment levels surely follows with compliance, as process takes care of the result, culminating with an overdue rendition of the victory song in smile and unison.

SCOOP’S TIP
Bacchus Marsh

Forget their Round 1 meeting, Lake Wendouree are in with a real live chance upsetting Sebastopol at CE Brown Reserve.

The Lakers consolidated their recent signs of improvement with a 29-point win over Bacchus Marsh ending an 11-game run of outs on the road.

'Run of outs' is probably an understatement given their average 'away' loss for the period was 74 points.

Welcome back!

Excited Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will embrace the challenge against a Burras outfit playing above their three-win season return.

After a horror run with injury, Tony Lockyer’s group are beginning to resemble more of the Burra we're familiar with having taken it up to third placed Darley and more recently second placed East Point.

On both occasions, despite eventual loss, the improving Burra have been within striking distance at the final change.

Not to be outdone, the Lakers were within 25 points of the Devils at three quarter time before the reigning premiers corrected their errant ways in front of goal.

Regardless of the final margin the Lakers did crack in which has been a common theme from rival coaches in the aftermath.

The consensus on the Burra has been equally as encouraging, implying Lockyer's group will trouble a few more fancied runners on the way home.

If that is to be the case, you would think a win over a spirited Lakers is more likely than not. But certainly not the 'given' that was expected in Round 1.

Both sides are on the up, disparity far less than we've seen recent years.

The Lakers should hold no fears for the Burra but must learn good habits around repeat efforts from week to week rather than settling for a monthly celebration in song.

It's time to embrace the next level with work rate, buy-in and consistency. The reward is palpable, we saw what it meant for the group last week.

This match will tell us more about the Lakers and their progress. Can they reproduce and raise the bar?

I guarantee Lockyer and Sebastopol will come ready to test the waters...   

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

As ladder leaders head into Round 14 as favourites, a steely focus is drawn to games set to determine the make-up of the top six with Sebastopol (2nd) hosting North Ballarat (3rd) and East Point (7th) at home to Ballarat (8th).

Given Redan's softer draw on the way home, East Point must win at home against eighth placed Ballarat to keep their finals hopes alive.

The Kangas still have meetings with Sebastopol (H) and North Ballarat (A) to negotiate with on the run home so getting the prized four premiership points here is paramount.

In fairness to East Point (10), come seasons end, only North Ballarat (11) will have played more top seven opposition for the season (out of the top 7).

But that is the way it goes when teams don't play each other twice - you must find a way to get it done. And the 2018/19 premiers have earned the tougher draw given their recent successes.

The Swans, like the Kangas, seemingly play their best footy in Ballarat and will need to present something close to that if they're trouble Jackson Merrett's group at Eastern Oval.

Drastic improvement on their last meet they will need to find - essentially a 45-point differential from Round 4 at Alfredton Oval.

Surely the Swans young group are beginning to tire despite the recent return of Daniel Kennedy and other depth players that played some role last year in their standout third place finish.

But too often the Swans are kept to scores not capable of winning games. On six occasions this year Chris Maple's young group have been kept to six goals or less.

While you’d expect them to surpass that quota, outscoring the freewheeling nature of the Kangas front half, as witnessed in Round 4, looms a different proposition altogether.

Merrett will be under no illusions what's required from his group - win and win well or contemplate missing finals for the first time since 2017.   

Scoop’s tip: East Point

While a win for the visitors will surely take care of itself, the Bloods will aim to get through unscathed ahead of two big games against Sunbury (H) and Darley (A).

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms will consider throwing the magnets around once this game is put to bed as a plan B option for finals, identifying some versatility within his squad.

But don't expect leading forward Ryan Carter to be going anywhere! After his come from behind tied win for the Tony Lockett Medal last year, expect the Bloods to make a certainty of it this time around with a 'Christmas in July', stocking full of goals.

Carter (38 goals) leads the competition by four ahead of Redan's Isaac Grant (34) and Ballarat's Andrew Hooper (33). A double figure bag could be on the radar for the tall, mobile forward.

The Panthers’ young blokes will gain some quality ‘on the job’ learnings running with the likes of Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins. Braedyn Kight will showcase his footy smarts forward and Jordy Cotter down back.

Panthers coach Ryan Hoy, 13 rounds deep into a long season may consider mixing it up at review, highlighting why the Bloods remain the benchmark, and most organised of all clubs in the BFNL.

Making a case for the Panthers upsetting their cross-town rivals today would be a falsehood. Bettering their 161-point loss at their first meet and denying the Bloods a 200-point scoreline looms a more achievable challenge.

Scoop’s tip: Melton

The Devils have a golden opportunity to advance into third place on the BFNL table (with a game in hand) when they start hot favorites against one-win Lake Wendouree.

While the Lakers’ season has been disappointing, they have shown some improvements, albeit in loss, with recent eight-goal returns against finals contenders Sebastopol, North Ballarat and East Point.

Their tough run of footy, including Melton, should hold them in good stead on the competitive front despite the absence of the O'Connell boys (overseas), Callum McKay (shoulder) and Jacob Coxall (concussion issues).

The inclusions of twin towers, former St Josephs (GFL) big man Tom Zampatti and Rebels tall Felix Fogarty has at least given Lakers mid-season appointed coach Tim Shearer some structural presence to work with.

The towering duo have featured three times in the best in their five and four games respectively,

For the Devils, coach Dan Jordan will have a list of priorities wanting to be achieved as his side continues its journey back to full health and fitness ahead of finals.

While the likes of Billy Myers, Luther Baker, Brady Wright and Leigh Spiteri have returned, there's nothing like more game time into rebuilding synergy with the group and their own 'tanks' in the process with big games still to come against North Ballarat, Melton and Sunbury.

Since their arrival home on Darley Park the Devils have been a bit leaky in defence over their three games, averaging 77 points against, despite wins over Bacchus Marsh and Sebastopol.

No doubt the Devils will look to reduce this number against the Lakers with finals-like frugality, a key component if Jordan's crew intend to go deep into finals.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

This battle is just what the competition needs ahead of five remaining home and away rounds that will decide the final make-up of the top six.

Depending on who you ask, both sides could play the underdog card with the Burra strong on their home deck while the Roosters arrive on the back of a seven-game winning streak.

Just what version of the Burra we get to witness on Saturday will go a long way determining their fate. Despite a 155-point win over the winless Panthers last week, the club is still not sure of its best 22.

Rushing Jed Hill. James Keeble, Bailey Medwell, Lachie Cassidy and Arnold Kirby back sounds like the ultimate restock, but how many returns are too many?

Often list turnover in the five or more range from one week to the next can be unsettling on the connection front. That's not including Daniel Widgery, Chase Dummett, Graydn Snowden, Jai Harvey and Ryan Birthesel who were also sidelined.

And connection will be just what Kiel and Columbro will need from their selected group if they're to end North Ballarat's middle season blitz.

Roosters’ coach Brendan McCartney is well aware he'll have to earn a top three finish the hard way with four remaining games against tough opposition - Sebastopol (A), Darley (A), Sunbury (H) and East Point (H).

The availability of the VFL affiliates at both clubs, like it or not, will have a bearing.

The Burras’ Jay Dahlhaus (Werribee) has had an immediate impact in his two games with nine goals, admittedly against the bottom two sides.

For North Ballarat, Jamie Quick (Geelong), Sam Glover (Collingwood) and Jack Riding (Werribee) all share match winning qualities that would pose a headache for the Burras’ hierarchy in the event of their selection.

North Ballarat looks the more settled for mine and on that alone, will lean to McCartney's army in a tight one.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Bye

Bacchus Marsh

Redan

Sunbury

With seasons on the line and claim local bragging rights at stake, there is plenty to play for this weekend as we head into the Round 14 action.

The Ballarat Swans are aiming for three wins on the trot and an opportunity to consolidate their place inside the top six when they travel to CE Brown Reserve to take on the Lakers this Saturday.

The two recent wins for Chris Maple's group ahead of their bye in Round 13 warranted plenty of merit accounting for Sunbury (22 points) and Redan (69 points).

While the jury rests over the scope and potential of the Swans moving forward, we're left to ponder just what version of the Lakers we're going to get.

On six occasions already this season (twice at home) the enigmatic Lakers have been held to five goals or less for the match holding grave fears for their ability recording an upset over the Swans and third win of 2024.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, despite frequent encouragement from rival coaches in the post-match, they're habitual sleepers at the wheel.

In 12/48 quarters this season, the Lakers have conceded six goals or more with nine of those resulting in seven or more.

On the flipside around scoring, the Lakers have been held goalless in 10/48 quarters.

The Lakers have gone on the record requesting no favours or concessions be made around age or where they're at re development. Request granted.

We look for a response from the Lakers on the perfect stage, the BFNL Match of the Round, streamed LIVE across the country.

Can Rohan Brown's Lakers find their groove and catch the Swans napping early off the bye and throw a spanner in the works for Chris Maple ahead of a likely finals preparation?

I'm not so sure - it's really a game the Swans should be winning on exposed form.

Scoop’s tips
Ballarat

Despite recent improvement, the Panthers face a near impossible task containing crosstown rival and ladder leaders Melton when they venture to MacPherson Park.

Where do you start breaking this game down, defining a 'mini win' for Travis Hodgson's struggling group?

I'm not sure even Hodgson has put a finger on it in the lead up.

Weather permitting the Bloods will have every opportunity matching their Round 1 return on the scoreboard in excess of 200 points if they don their kicking boots.

To put the disparity into perspective, Bloods’ star forward Braedan Kight (58 goals) has kicked 15 more goals than the Panthers have for the season.

Even Ryan Carter (29 goals) and Kyle Borg (19 goals) as an unlikely combo have more, highlighting the degrees of difficulty around containment awaiting the embattled Panthers.

What Hodgson and his club can ask for is effort, an area you can't deny the Panthers of in recent weeks.

Their core group led by Cody Chapman are a proud group despite their winless record in 2024 and will need little motivation getting up for another chapter of the local derby.

This match will tell us more about the Panthers than it will the Bloods.

With the result deemed inevitable given the current landscape - just how long the Panthers can hang in and savour a few moments hitting the scoreboard may be enough to redeem a wry smile out of the Hodgson camp, on an otherwise tough afternoon expected for the navy blue and white.   

Scoop’s tip
Melton

Despite the undermanned nature of the Roosters, expect them to start red hot favorites when they host the Cobras at Mars Stadium.

Both sides have had their struggles in more recent times with the Roosters dropping their last two games and the Cobras five of their last six. But the form of Brendan McCartney's inexperienced group reads undoubtedly more favourable (Darley, Melton) than Dennis Armfield's touring party.

Mars Stadium has not been a successful hunting ground for any visitors let alone the Cobras, earmarking the challenge for Armfield as one of the toughest over his short tenure.

I know looking back at previous results has its flaws, but there's no denying the Cobras will be up against it despite retaining the likes of Rye Penny and Wil Lalor.

However, they will miss feverish on-ballers Tyson Shea (jaw) and Jake McCreery (suspended) - both crucial to their fortunes, especially against top five opposition.  

If there was ever a time to get last year’s grand finalists, the time is now.

Just 10 players from the Roosters’ agonising one point loss to the Devils in 2023 took the field last week against Melton.

The absentees would walk into any other BFNL side, plain and simple.

So, the Cobras arrive with an outside prizefighter’s chance of walking away with their biggest win of the season and their first against any side currently above them.

Luke Goetz, Jake Owen and a host of improving youngsters are capable of taking it up to the hosts for periods but can the remaining collective match the trademark effort and intensity of a Roosters group on their home deck for long enough?

I anticipate the assignment proves a bridge too far.  

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The injury ravaged Devils could fall from third to fifth in a fortnight and as low as sixth by the end of the home and away season if they fail to account for Sebastopol at Darley Park.

Given the absence of key personnel in all areas, the Devils (4th) will start underdogs, in my opinion, against a surging Burras (8th) outfit, despite their superior position on the BFNL table.

While the Devils squad of 22 is looking less and less familiar by the week, Tony Lockyer's visiting party is beginning to resemble more like the Burra we know following the return of star mid Lachie Cassidy and attacking half back Jack Bambury.

Key intercept defender Riley O'Keefe was a late out last week in the Burras 58-point win over the Lakers and is likely to return, bolstering stocks even further.

Important inside mid Daniel Widgery who has been in the best 4/10 games will also be in consideration after also missing against the Lakers.

Let's not forget, the Burra arrive on a mission of their own with their season on the line.

Led by Tony Lockyer (in best 9/12), the injury free, now reborn midfielder has been in super form, named 'best on' for the Burra in five of his last eight games.

That's Matty Johnston and Brett Bewley kind of stuff!

Speaking of Bewley, let's address the elephant in the room.

If the reigning dual Henderson Medalist does not play (50/50 as it stands), the Devils will surely struggle given Billy Myers, Brady Wright, Wil Johnson, Zane Le Huray (suspended), Mitch Ward and Jack Bewley are already sidelined.

Surely they won't risk their premiership captain ahead of the bye in Round 15 with important run home matches against Sunbury, Bacchus Marsh and Melton.

It's time for the remaining Devils, led by Luther Baker, Matty Brett and Matty Denham to pick up the slack, find a way and drag the backs-to-the-wall reigning premiers over the line.

Tough ask.    

Scoop’s tip
Sebastopol

Bye

East Point

Sunbury

Redan