With early season form lines starting to take shape, Round 4 presents as an opportunity for teams to continue their winning ways and rectify slow starts.

Dennis Armfield’s Cobras will look to jump the Lions early, coming off their bye in round three, aiming toward a first half-time lead of the season.

The visitors arrive with a sprightly 2-0 record under Matthew White and will like their chances to make it a hattrick of wins on a firm deck expected at Maddingley Park.

The midfield battle provides plenty of interest with Lions trio Josh Guthrie, Jake Egan and Ben Cameron up against welcoming party Jake McCreery, Tyson Shea and Josh Huxtable.

Just who can extricate best from a high number of predicted stoppages at the feet of Fraser Ampulski and Luke Goetz will have a large say in the territory game and inevitably the result.

While both sides provide varied options forward, it's Lions’ lead up spearhead Jake Sutton that looms the Cobras’ greatest challenge.

The snowy haired former Essendon VFL listed player has 11 goals already from his opening two games.

Rye Penny is the Cobras’ best defender but given his rebound attacking style it may be a case of 'robbing Peter to pay Paul' entertaining the unlikely match-up.

The Cobras have a significant presence forward of their own with Jake Owen, Joel Freeman and Isaac Nixon all aerially capable.

Fans of the red, yellow and black will be hopeful they have their kicking boots on providing every chance kicking a winning score.

Tipping you'll need to be in the 80 points range at the final siren to earn the 'W'.    

PLAYER WATCH
Ben Cameron (Sunbury #26)
newcomer averaging 25 disposals. Ranks #2 in the comp for ground ball gets, #7 for hard ball gets, #8 for handballs. Handy type.

Jake McCreery (Bacchus Marsh #20)
Ranks #2 in the comp for Pressure and #1 at the club for inside 50s.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

The Lions host Sebastopol at City Oval in one of the more evenly weighted games in Ballarat for the round.

While I’m prepared to afford Sebastopol a 'mulligan' for their disappointing loss to East Point under the lights at Eastern Oval last week I won't be going as far as tipping them.

With a kind draw this season I still expect the Burra to feature at the business end.

They're not in the Melton conversation we know that, but not many are so let's temper expectations a bit.

This match will tell us even more about where the Burra are at. Sure, personnel reads well on paper but what is their ceiling? Can the 30-50 game players get any better, it's not a given.

Footy is a hard game to play let alone developing into an impact player week in week out after 38 hours on the tools.  

Redan too have a promising group of progressive types with even less experience than their Burra counterparts and will again be asked for the 'impact' effort alongside senior bodies Lachie George, Grant Bell, Patrick Fitzgibbon and Daniel Bond.

The Lions have been without star recruit Lachie Bond and dangerous forward Lachie McLean for their opening three games (W1L2) so now looms as good as time as any for Tony Locker's men to earn valuable premiership points.

Easier said than done however as was proven the case at their last meeting at Marty Busch Reserve ahead of last year’s finals series when the Lions won by 20 points.

PLAYER WATCH

Rory Gunsser (Redan #8)
Left foot distributer - comp rank #10 for disposals averaging 25.7 inc. 20 of those kicks.

Lachlan Cassidy (Sebastopol #12)
'Elite' numbers in most areas including comp rank #1 for tackles, #3 for handballs, #4 for pressure, #6 for score involvements, #7 for clearances.

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

After a tough draw to start the season, Brendan McCartney's one win, one loss Roosters get an opportunity to consolidate with a win over the Lakers (0-3) at Mars Stadium.

Despite missing a handful of top end talent the frugal Roosters barely gave an inch to last year's minor (Melton) and major Premiers (Darley) winning four of the eight quarters including a win.

Any side would take that, especially in the absence of key personnel.

So, what is to gain for the Roosters against the Lakers? A game spent more on their own terms for starters - so finding more ways to goal on the back of that hard work witnessed in their opening two games will enhance their threat even further. 

I've no doubt the Lakers will deliver some contested resistance for periods but it's the impact of scoring either side of those periods for North Ballarat that provides the greatest means for an interesting read in the aftermath.  

Expect North Ballarat to be too strong replicating a margin similar to their previous meet (68 points) and Jamie Quick to get his first bag of the season (five) and match it with a further five score involvements.

Saturday looms as the Lakers’ greatest challenge of the season in so many ways despite losses to Sebastopol, Bacchus Marsh and Ballarat in the opening three weeks. The reality is the Lakers rank 10th for average points scored, scores against, shots on goal, and quarters won.

PLAYER WATCH
Isaac Carey (North Ballarat)
Enjoying his role at wing and half back. Is top 15 in the comp for rebound 50s, defensive 50 tackles, Intercepts and knock ons.

Tom Zampatti (Lake Wendouree)
Important key tall ranks #2 in comp for throw-in clearances and #5 for hit-outs.

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Saturday's match up between league improvers Ballarat and the reigning premier will tell us more about Chris Maple's Swans following wins over Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

How the Swans progressive midfield group cope against experienced Devils’ quartet Billy Myers, Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will go a long way validating the separation on the scoreboard.

The Devils will need to maintain their clearance efficiency advantage (63%-56%) over the Swans or risk being exposed on the spread.

The Swans should hold the faith, believing their group is capable of netting a big fish.

Given their 3-0 start, Saturday's opportunity in front of a home crowd looms the ideal stage to announce their 'official' arrival.

BUT, the Swans will be made to earn that right, with questions raised on all lines.

While the Swans’ abundant leg speed presents a challenge for any opposition, the Devils pose a different assignment altogether (aerially and at ground level) than Bacchus Marsh, Redan and the Lakers.

The Devils are still shifting through their gears since their dominant opening round win over East Point and will aim to peak for longer periods.

For the record, the Devils have won 22 of their last 25 BFNL games.

Swans inclusions Rhett Montgomery (Footscray VFL), Lachie Dalgleish and the availability of Tristan Maple (Footscray VFL) and Angus Bade (Footscray VFL) will only help the hosts cause, denying a versatile and formidable Devils front six led by inform duo Wil Johnson and Brady Wright.   

Naturally, experienced Swans small forward Andrew Hooper will generate his usual level of attention.

PLAYER WATCH
Lewis Rinaldi (Ballarat #24)
Averaging 24 possessions per game, 14 contested (team rank #2), 7 clearances (team rank #1).

Mitch Ward (Darley #9)
Currently the Devils #1 turnover defender (#7 in the comp).

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

It's back to the drawing board again for Travis Hodgson's Melton South following the surprise inclusion of four top end Ovens and Murray league players in last week’s 10 goal loss to Redan.

Given the cameo nature of their selections last week we can hardly call them genuine 'outs' but I’m sure Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody is a little relieved his group has been spared the match up.

In reality, it's a case of how far the Kangas on Saturday at Eastern Oval, a venue the Panthers have been on the wrong end of some big losses in recent years.

Will we see the first big bag of 10 goals from one individual? Kangas’ trio Jordy Johnston, Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson are the obvious front runners and more than capable.

Party stuff aside, Carmody will look to build on good habits. Sure, selflessness and pressure in the front half are on his radar but it’s the back six and their organisation that will be his biggest (season long) project.

Carmody led the Swans into a Preliminary Final in 2022 on the back of sound, organised defence and will replicate some of those traits at his new club.

For Hodgson, another 100 minutes of senior experience into his young group will aid the rebuild theme as the struggling club aims for a 'mini win' even if that be a quarter of football.

The Panthers won 1/64 quarters in 2023 and are 0/12 for the new season.

The challenge continues.

PLAYER WATCH
Jackson Merrett (East Point #1)
Relinquished of coaching duties, injury free and returned with 38 disposals last week in tough conditions.

Darby Schilder (Melton South #14)
Geelong VFL listed made solid impression first up with 20 disposals @75% including 8 marks (3 contested). Plays key back, plenty will be asked of him on Saturday.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Round 5 presents a number of tantalising contests, with the opportunity for first wins and the chance to break away from the pack on the cards for some clubs. Scoop previews all the action coming up this weekend.

Some will suggest that the winner of this contest will assume the third seed favouritism for the flag behind premiership fancies, Melton and Sebastopol, by the time Round 5 concludes.

While the result will not define either side’s season, the outcome should tell us more about Sunbury and their level of improvement.

If you go back to grasp a better sample size of recent form from the Lions, while missing last year’s finals, Sunbury are 6-2 from their last eight games, while Darley sit at 7-1.

If you wanted to dig a little deeper into the form, matches against top six (from last year) opposition sees the Devils with a 5-3 record ahead of the Lions 2-6. Hence the call of onus on Travis Hodgson's near full strength line up at home getting it done.

Not only is Sunbury's list healthy, off-season recruits, Cody Brand, Rivva Karpany and Josiah Garisto have been significant, not mentioning the full-time additions of Mitch Lewis (ex-Port Melbourne VFL) and Josh Guthrie (North Melbourne VFL) - the Lions are primed for success in 2023.

How these two sides settle into their work early will be interesting given the Devils are coming off the bye and Sunbury with dominant wins over the Lakers and Melton South.

Whether the Devils can secure VFL listed duo Mace Cousins and Bailey Young will be important to their chances. The want to bat as deep into the list will likely play its own role in the result.

The best players from both sides have started well in 2023, so there'll be no excuses. Sunbury will start favorites, on home ground advantage alone, and will be keen to play as such. It's fair to say the Lions let their last two matches against the Devils slip through their fingers.

A three peat is unlikely so another mature effort (and some) from Dan Jordan's Devils will be required if they're to leave Clarke Oval with the Premiership points. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

If you're in the 'firm believer' camp regarding Sebastopol's flag prospects this season, expect them to take care of Ballarat on Alfredton Oval and go 3-1 come 5pm on Saturday.

The Burra look more seasoned than the young Swans, with bigger bodies and greater depth. Those features alone will have an impact the further this game goes. In fairness to the Swans, they're under no illusions where they're at and would be the first to accept the underdog tag heading in.

Win/loss aside Swans’ coach Chris Maple will be looking for his young group to hang in longer and take more of their opportunities as they present. Failure to do so will be validated on the scoreboard.

Not to be outdone or ahead of themselves, the Burra concede they too remain a work-in-progress so expect coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro to flirt with the magnets as they strive to find the right combination to challenge for the title moving forward.

The Swans will ask questions of a few Burra players and their capabilities. The job on Swans’ sharpshooter Andrew Hooper is always a difficult task while negating Marcus Powling in the ruck carries its own levels of interest.

Swans midfielder Will Liston has been the beneficiary of Powling's work to be among the top possession winners on the ground. Kiel and Columbro touched on their desire to be a running team with efficient distribution. A run-with-role on Liston will soon determine the running capabilities of a few.

It was pleasing to see Toby Hutt kick a bag of 10 goals last week, he's likely to prove a handful again on projected weight of entries alone. Angus Bade looks the likely match up.

Swans coach Chris Maple summed it up perfectly last week identifying the gulf between their best and worst footy. For how long they bring their best looms their greatest challenge again for anything shy of it could see the young Swans on the wrong end of a blow-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Despite a 3-1 season record (wins over 8th, 9th, 10th) for Redan and an impressive eight wins from their last nine games, reigning Premiers Melton loom a different assignment altogether.

I thought one lifelong Lions’ fan in particular was getting a little ahead of themselves last week touting this match to be top billing, essentially 1v2. Brave call, but for all of Redan's recent form, it pales in comparison to the mighty Bloods.

Redan finished within 10 points on City Oval at their last meet with Melton but the competitions' benchmark was coming off a rare 21-day break and seemingly off their mantle, struggling with the restart.

Don’t expect the Bloods to give the plucky Lions much of a sniff especially if the weather holds up. While one might expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways, the Lions will be hopeful as many of three of their missing six players from last week can return, giving their slim chances of an upset win a welcoming boost - none more so than Footscray VFL affiliate Cooper Craig-Peters.

Melton are not at their best just yet, having trailed at half-time for a second time in three weeks but glimpses of what that resembles has been scary good, against quality opposition - Sunbury, Sebastopol and North Ballarat.

Expect the Bloods to have too many winners across the ground and prove too strong for the Lions.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

For all of North Ballarat's promise (2-2) they've still only won three of their last 10 games giving East Point (2-1) every reason to think they can win at home in an all-important game for both teams.

While the belief that North Ballarat are well and truly in the finals mix this year on sample size thus far, coach Brendan McCartney will be hoping for more evidence of progress against the Kangas. Let's not forget North Ballarat led Melton at half-time last week and turned a few heads midafternoon while East Point piled on nine goals against Ballarat in a match winning second quarter blitz.

North Ballarat will have to get it done without Stewart Crameri (groin) who failed to return after leaving the ground in the third term last week. But the reinforcements, the next gen of North Ballarat soldiers, are well drilled, can run, and not shy on confidence. Surely, it's McCartney's undeniable belief in his boys that exudes the confidence.

There is no reason why North Ballarat can't build on that honest hitout against the Bloods and look the winners for the most part in this game, but if opportunities are not taken, the Kangas will surely swoop.

The Johnston brothers and Alex Molan have led the Kangas midfield while usual suspects Bryce McDougall and Brad Whittaker have looked dangerous forward of centre along with a swarm of young talent waiting to impact at ground level.

Jackson Merrett and Jo Dodd couldn't be far from a return to give the Kangas a major boost but I’m happy to go with my gut at the moment predicting a win for the visitors.     

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

While winless, on the road, and coming off an 18-game losing streak, Expect Lake Wendouree to bring the heat, and even go in favourites, against fellow cellar dwellers Melton South.

On exposed form, bragging rights and a long-awaited celebration are at stake as these two struggling clubs go head-to-head.

Finding a winner despite the winless nature of the two will be easier for most, with every right to assume the Lakers hold the advantage on form, having been competitive for longer periods in their three games to date.

However, Melton South will not know themselves this week on the back of a horror draw namely Melton, East Point, Sunbury and Sebastopol. How they cope with a more evenly matched opposition will go a long way to determining their genuine winning chances.

Either side will be made to earn it, even if the Panthers start underdogs despite being at home. They may have some confidence behind them having beaten the Lakers in Ballarat at their last meet.

Mini wins are a bonus for all clubs in the context of the season but for these two sides there's no such thing. It will be a major result for the winners, and only contemplation of what's next awaits the loser.

This should be an entertaining game. Unfortunately, the Panthers may be too many troops shy of their best 22 to win in front of their faithful. The Lakers while made to earn it, will be hopeful it could be all smiles ahead of the journey home.

Scoop’s tip: Lake Wendouree

Looking ahead to the Round 5 action there is plenty on the line already early on in the 2024 season. With contender or pretender status still up in the air there is everything to play for come Saturday.

The underdog tag won't phase Gary Learmonth's Redan given their recent record over the reigning premiers. And nor will the venue!

For the record the Lions have won four of the last five meetings between the two sides, three of those as underdogs and on three occasions at Darley Park.

The youthful Redan lineup set with the tough assignment will include as many as 10 players still eligible for the Under 19's. Rest assured they're not coming for the experience, rather every intention of winning.

Unfortunately for the Lions I can't see the result ending in anything but an experience. Since the Devils’ upset loss at the hands of Redan (Round 10, 2023),

Dan Jordan's men have gone 10-0 at home with an average winning margin of 62 points! Take the Melton South thrashing (212pts) out and you're still left with a 45+ points advantage.

The Devils are still hitting their straps, striving for the best version of themselves for four quarters.

Jordan is a coach always looking forward but I'm sure the anomalies of recent head-to-head results v Redan has not left the memory bank.

Expect the Devils to be on their mettle, a mission of their own to an extent, putting this game to bed early against a predominantly young group craving for any momentum or sniff of a repeat upset.    

PLAYER WATCH
Leigh Spiteri (Darley)
In form small forward dangerous around goal, four & three majors last two weeks.

Riley Collins (Redan)
Sandringham Dragons rep - clean small forward who has impressed in opening few games. Had 15 disposals last week v Sebastopol, 10 contested.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

The Bloods (3-0) return fresh off the bye for a match-up against league improvers Ballarat.

The bye can play tricks on preparation and translate to starts in games and your capacity to run out games given the interruption, albeit just a week.

For this early time of year especially, teams, and players more to the point, would prefer continuity with their footy in the form of a game every week.

Given the part time nature of the competition, sides can slumber in the void of continuity.

Thats what visiting Swans coach Chris Maple will be hoping for when his young group make the trip to MacPherson Park, hopeful any edge will aid their mission.

The Swans endured a lesson from the Devils last week and will be looking for an immediate response, especially early to get the Bloods on the hop.

If the Swans can be up and about early and it translated to the scoreboard, surely it provides the means of an outside 'throw at the stumps' chance.

Forget last year’s visit from the Swans to MacPherson Park, they're an improved proposition in the here and now.

Yep, the Devils got hold of them last week, but Dan Jordan's army were made to play well and earn the 64-point win.

The same will be asked of Troy Scoble's Melton.

What level of threat the Swans pose to the powerful Bloods will be validated on the scoreboard.

The 'W' I anticipate is beyond them. I won't be on my own with that assessment but there's a curiosity out of both camps and more broadly across the competition, the gap size between the two.

Saturday will tell us.

PLAYER WATCH
Ryan Davis (Melton)
Small forward who can fly under the radar (6 goals / 3 games).

Callan Wellings (Ballarat)
Ex Collingwood VFL knows how to find the footy - had 22 disposals last week v Darley.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Hosts Sunbury (3-0) have done everything right ahead of their first hit out against genuine league heavyweights North Ballarat (2-1).

The Lions look well organised under new coach Matty White.

Compliance to team plan demands are being met on the back of thriving fitness levels and the addition of a handful of players all having an impact in their opening three games.

Sure, the Lions had Redan, Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and duly saluted but they look primed for a timely footy audit on their home deck.

North Ballarat will deny Sunbury the 'outside ball' they've been used to in their three wins to date and will be made to earn every possession, forward 50 entry and score.

Can the Lions withstand the frugal nature of Brendan McCartney's group who deny you any easy ball?

Despite finishing runners-up last year, the Roosters have also added impact players to their make up for the 2024 season, and to great effect given the small sample size.

The visitors have had a tough opening month post bye in Round One having already played Darley (W), Melton (L) and the Lakers (W) and should be ready for the next real challenge that is Sunbury on the big ground at Clarke Oval.

The result of this game will not surprise either way.

Sunbury will start deserved underdogs and will need to replicate finals like qualities to get the job done.

Jack Riding returns from Werribee VFL (bye) for North Ballarat and will provide another hurdle for the Lions to overcome despite the absence of Jamie Quick (doubtful).

The Lions are healthy, in-sync and ready for the North Ballarat challenge.

Surely, they're up to it, aren't they?

PLAYER WATCH
Nathan Wood (Sunbury)
Small defender, solid start to the season - had 27 disposals last week v Bacchus Marsh.

Mal White (North Ballarat)
Newcomer on the rise at new club with another solid game last week including 28 disposals and 2 goals v Lake Wendouree.

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

Given the Burras (1-3) struggles to start the season the Cobras (1-3) are right in with a chance recording a second win in Ballarat from as many visits in the opening five rounds.

Injuries to key Burra playmakers Lachie Cassidy (calf) and Riley O'Keefe (arm) will aid the Cobras’ cause despite the expected inclusions of Werribee listed pair Jay Dahlhaus and Jesse Clark who have the bye in the VFL.

The absence of Jack Bambury (hamstring) hasn't helped the Burra either.

A change of luck, albeit a win will at least get Sebastopol's season back on track in the short term.

A fourth loss in a row however, will hinder their finals chances despite a favourable draw.

For the Cobras, evidence of growth under Dennis Armfield from week to week is paramount.

Bacchus Marsh will arrive with no excuses, sharing a similar age profile to the hosts and give themselves a genuine hope.

Both sides aren't travelling well on the results front but have had their moments of quality play.

More of 'those' moments surely creates more positivity and confidence for two groups aiming to work their way back squaring the ledger.

Can the Cobras execute on the basic fundamentals for long enough to warrant the four premiership points?

That is their greatest challenge for their efforts without the ball have shown merit. 

The Burra on the other hand will be trying everything to avoid a 1-4 start under new coach Tony Lockyer.

PLAYER WATCH
Jed Hill (Sebastopol)
17 disposals last week against Redan. More will be asked of Hill in 2024 between the arcs as he's moved up the ground. More than capable player.

Ethan McKercher (Bacchus Marsh)
Livewire small forward. Doesn't need many possessions to have an impact (21 disp and a goal last week v Sunbury).

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

East Point (2-1) travel across town for a meeting with the Lakers (0-4) ahead of their Round 6 'ultimate challenge' on the road against Melton (3-0).

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will look to consolidate further on the good habits of the previous two weeks with another big win over the struggling Lakers.

Just how the hosts contain the Johnston brothers, season return pair Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown and dangerous forward Strahan Robinson and Bryson McDougall looms a four-quarter struggle.

I can see the Lakers matching it with East for two quarters on the whole, take your pick which ones.

Tipping the final margin on the scoreboard will be reflective of the two quarters East Point were able to 'getaway'.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown has remained positive throughout despite the four losses and will be looking for a response from his young team that can equate to a few 'mini-wins' in game, against a more fancied visiting party.

Unfortunately, we haven't seen much of Lakers exciting new recruit Jayden Wright (ankle - Round 1) but the progress of tall duo Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will again be on display as the hosts aim to spoil the party for the East Point Kangaroos.

PLAYER WATCH
Angus Gove (Lake Wendouree)
Honest as they come, and you can expect much of the same on the weekend. Had a team high 27 disposals last week v North Ballarat.

Jacob Brown (East Point)
Return game to club last week ended in BOG recognition with his 34 disposals and 16 marks v Melton South.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Get set for a big weekend of games as the BFNL celebrates its Indigenous Round! With plenty of blockbusters across the board, Scoop checks out what there is to look forward to come Saturday.

This game is set to tell us more about North Ballarat, who fell short on expectations again last week with a 20-point loss to East Point.

Despite their 2-3 record heading in, the reality is North Ballarat has won just three of its last 11 games with wins over Melton South, Bacchus Marsh and Redan. Brendan McCartney's boys look a far cry from their Round 13 win last year over eventual premiers Melton.

North Ballarat's best is very good but often reserved for MARS Stadium. On Saturday, the young Swans welcome the Roosters and should hold no fears.

For Chris Maple's young boys another step toward closing the gap between their best and worst footy will be a focus. While McCartney has not said anything public resembling a similar narrative, I suspect they're in the same boat.

This battle will be entertaining, an exciting look into the youth of the BFNL and what it holds for the future, especially for these two sides.

While the Swans averted down the path of youth and have been reluctant to spruik finals for obvious reasons, today looms more as an ideal opportunity for the Roosters to put a game to bed. But that task will come with its challenges, especially on the road.

The contest in the middle should be a ripper with Swans duo Marcus Powling and Will Liston taking on Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne. Jack Riding's availability for North Ballarat will be a point of interest while the return of Tom Hotchin (knee) nears by the day.

Expect North Ballarat to do enough without setting the world on fire as both sides strive for a complete team performance. With that seemingly unachievable in a week, expect some individual brilliance to prove the difference. Given that scenario, it's the Roosters who hold the aces.

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

Unbeaten Darley will be happy to get through the meeting with bottom side Melton South unscathed, as a top of the table clash looms with Melton in Round 8.

The struggling Panthers are 0-5 to start the season with each loss in excess of 100 points. In fact, the home side hasn't won a game in its last 12 matches.

Darley on the hand are 4-0 and 10-2 in the same timeframe. Only Melton (11-1) has won more over that period, including a premiership and current run of 10 games unbeaten.

Darley second year coach Dan Jordan will be well aware of the plight suffered by Sunbury after their two week build up (Melton South & Lake Wendouree) into the highly anticipated Round 5 meet with the Devils ended in a 56-point disaster.

Jordan will be hopeful any resemblance for his group (vs Melton South Round 6 & vs Lake Wendouree Round 7) into Melton can be avoided. Sunbury booted scores 170+ against the Panthers and Lakers, proving in essence, a false economy.

A handful of tireless Panthers faithfully led by Cody Chapman will keep the Devils honest for a period before the visitors projected weight of possession and forward 50 entries on the small ground takes its toll on the scoreboard. 

How the Panthers contain the Devils top end talent in Brett Bewley and Billy Myers will tell its own tale, while a way around the Devils’ defence to score presents its own degree of difficulty.

The visitors average just 47.5 points against (comp rank #2) from their opening four games, all on the road.

One overriding concern for new Panthers coach duo Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy is these Devils are just warming up with plenty of scope for improvement. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Expect the Bloods to continue on their winning ways after this round’s meeting with Bacchus Marsh.

While sharing a common goal, it's fair to say these two are at completely different stages of their journey. The Bloods, under Aaron Tymms are aiming to go back-to-back and sit unbeaten on top of the BFNL table with five wins while the rebuilding Cobras, under new coach Jason Williams, are 10^th with a winless start from their four games.

To put the Cobras rebuild into perspective, just six members played in both meetings against Redan (Round 17, 2022) and more recently (Round 4, 2023), essentially five games apart. What we saw of the Cobras in Round 4’s narrow loss to Redan was encouraging, enough almost label last week's bye as untimely.

A stall in momentum looms more likely for the Cobras as they say goodbye to up to six of their Coates Talent League Under 18 representatives who return to Western Jets and GWV Rebels duties.

Depth against the competition benchmark will be exposed, that is a given, but it provides Williams with another sample of size of where the Cobras are at and where greater improvements lie.

The Bloods enviable strength is with their even spread of impact players. Go after two or three, there's another three or four to assume the mantle and get the job done.

When you combine the Bloods even spread of talent with a collective selfless buy-in, the potion equates to an even broader run of success - 10 games unbeaten, including 11 of their last 12 and a drought breaking Premiership.

The Cobras will look to gain the type of learnings only the very best can provide and look to resemble more of Williams vision into the future.      

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Even the most devout Lakers fan would have savoured last week’s win over Melton South, however forecasting Round 6 chances against the Burra could be slim at best.

The Burra sit at 3-1 on the ladder and have been playing some good footy for a while with nine wins from their previous 12 games - their only three losses coming against Melton.

After shrugging off Ballarat in the second half last week, Burra coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro will aim to put this game to bed early, removing any residual confidence from the Lakers after ending an 18-game losing streak last weekend.

The Burra have been difficult to score against in first quarters from their opening four games with a 111-23 point (+88) advantage. With games already against Bacchus Marsh (0.2), Melton (1.1), Melton South (0.1) and Ballarat (2.1). Only the Swans have manufactured more than one goal.

So, heed the warning Lakers, file away last week's win with an eye forward to your next success. While it's unlikely to come against a well drilled Burras outfit, you can minimise the damage by starting well.

For the record the Burra are 133-61 (+72) for second quarters but would concede the one-sided nature of their numbers are enhanced having played three of the four bottom sides. This week’s meeting against the Lakers will make it four bottom side meets for the Burra in their five games. They must be champing on the bit for their next like-for-like challenge.

Can the Lakers be the ones to surprise and provide that? Only time will tell, but a fair dinkum crack is what coach Jack Fitzpatrick will ask for and knowing Kiel and Clumbro, would gladly welcome.          

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The progressive Kangas will be hoping to deny the Lions four-premiership points and remain firmly inside the top six when the two sides meet on Eastern Oval.

The 2018/19 Premiers will start warm favorites considering the Lions three wins have come against Ballarat (8th), Lake Wendouree (9th) and Bacchus Marsh (10th).

As East Point coach Jackson Merrett nears a return to the playing field he's had a birds-eye view into the potential capabilities of his young group.

The Lions will provide a legitimate challenge as both sides eye a spot in the bottom half of the six.

Merrett's boys could not have been more impressive last week disposing of North Ballarat by 20 points. 30 scoring shots to 20 in favour of the Kangas gives every indication the margin could have been greater. 

For Gary Learmonth's Redan some luck on the selection front will only help their cause. Without Lachie George, Cooper Craig-Peters and Liam Hoy last week, the Lions look well shy of their best despite some encouraging performances from the younger brigade in recent weeks.

There were no surprises in the nature of last week’s 67-point loss to Melton, in fact a run against the competition benchmark should hold them in good stead.

The Kangas took care of the Lions at their last meeting, albeit some time ago, but on current form there is not enough evidence to suggest Redan has made up the ground in that time.

For the record, East Point has won four of the last five meetings between the two sides by an average of 48.5 points.

Scoop’s tip: East Point

Get set for a massive weekend of BFNL football action with a number of tantalising contests across the league as we close in on the opening third of season 2024.

Given what transpired at their last meeting it's hard to fathom visiting Sebastopol's chances of repeating the dose are slim at best.

Ironically it was barely 10 games ago the Burra were seemingly up and about heading into a final’s series on the back of a 22-point win over the Roosters.

Unfortunately for Tony Lockyer's group, barring the 80-point win over the Lakers in Round 1, Burra fans have had little to smile about.

And this week’s assignment doesn't get any easier for the Burra who head to Mars Stadium aiming to avoid a fifth straight loss.

The hosts deserve a forgiven run for their failings on the road against Sunbury last week for they were decimated for reasons beyond their control.

Any resemblance of Brendan McCartney's group to the one that downed the Devils in Round 2 or were within a goal of Melton will likely prove too much for the Burra who have had their own share of bad luck with injury and unavailability.

Given the current landscape McCartney will be just happy banking the win and seeing his players healthy with a response following last week’s disappointment.

And I expect them to do so against a Burra outfit completely bereft of confidence. What confidence they do in fact have will not be enough to trouble the Roosters on their home deck.

Lockyer is a realist, he'll be citing 'mini wins' throughout the afternoon to validate signs of improvement given an upset result is firmly in the 'highly unlikely' basket.

While the thought of the Burra slipping to 1-5 on the win/loss front and entrenched in the bottom three, the Roosters will be keen to return to the winners list themselves, avoiding the unlikely scenario going 2 wins and 3 loses come 5pm.

PLAYER WATCH
Brock Leonard (North Ballarat)
Enjoying break-out season with elite returns in most areas - disposals (26.8), Contested possessions 14.8), Handballs (13.2), Clearances (7.5), Inside 50'5 (4.8), Tackles (7.8), Turnovers (5.5), Ground ball gets (11).

Bailey Medwell (Sebastopol)
Shinng light in tough start to the Burra season. Ranks elite for disposals (23.8), Contested possessions (12), Handballs (13), Marks (7.2) and Groundball gets (8.6)

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

Who could forget the Kangas’ nail-biting upset win over the Bloods in last year’s Semi Final?

Well, Melton can.

A fresh set of eyes in the name of a coach into the 2024 season has re-invigorated a Bloods list determined to deliver on a range of new goals and KPI's from week to week, confident process will take care of results.

It’s hard to fault Troy Scoble in the infancy of his Bloods’ reign with the club’s unbeaten, superior percentage record from its opening four games.

Only North Ballarat gave them a scare getting within a goal despite the Bloods leading all day.

It's hoped more broadly the same challenges for the Bloods will come in the form of the Kangas because let's face it - only North Ballarat, East Point, Darley and Sunbury look capable, on exposed form, of upsetting Scoble's scrupulous plan.

Kangas’ coach Joe Carmody will be no stranger to the potency of the Bloods outfit especially forward of the ball.

Denying dangerous quartet Braedan Kight (25 goals, comp rank #1), Ryan Carter (12, #9), Kyle Borg (10, #13) and Ryan Davis (8, #15) opportunities around goal won't be easy.

Sure, the direct matchups will have a say, but it's the source, the providers that will determine this result - namely the midfield.

If, and only if, the Kangas midfield can win stoppage and clearance numbers efficiently enough to limit turnover can they be given a chance. And it's in this area they match up well against the Bloods - The Johnston brothers, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus, Alex Molan (if available) and Joe Dodd are more than capable of getting the numbers to warrant advantage.

It's how efficiently they avoid an unforgiving, rebounding Bloods half back line that will ask more their execution and decision-making abilities.

The Kangas have two primary threats forward, Strahan Robinson (14 goals, rank #5), and Bryson McDougall (12, #10) both of whom proved a handful at their last meet, on the back of an efficient midfield without Jordy Johnston.

The result will tell us more about East Point and their credentials after their horror first round failure against the similar opposition Darley, a month ago.

PLAYER WATCH
Braedan Kight (Melton)
Dangerous x-factor forward leading the Tony Locket Medal with 25 goals (4 games). Averaging just under 17 disposals per game means Kight is kicking a goal every 2.68 possessions (avg). Look out!

Matty Johnston (East Point)
Key driver in the Kangas upset Semi-Final win over the Bloods at their last meet. The classy midfielder is averaging 20 kicks, 13 handballs, 7 marks, 7 clearances and 5 inside 50's in 2024.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Similar to the East Point scenario, this game’s outcome will tell us more about high flying Sunbury (4-0) on their home deck when they meet reigning premiers Darley (4-1).

The Lions have done everything right under new coach Matt White, making the adjustment to team planning and preferred structure look seamless.

Nonetheless, four games in is not enough sample size to get carried away with any forecasting just yet.

Let's see how the Lions perform under the pressure against the likes of Darley, East Point at Eastern Oval (Round 8) and league heavyweights Melton (Round 10).

I'm happy to give decimated North Ballarat a mulligan for their effort last week, due largely for health reasons.

So that leaves the Lions form with a win over Redan (25 points), Melton South and Bacchus Marsh.

In fairness, each of the Lions’ four wins have shown compliance and an heir of dominance that Devils’ coach Dan Jordan cannot ignore.

While Lions forward duo Jake Sutton (20 goals, comp rank #2) and Mitch McLean (13, #6) make up 44% of all Sunbury goals to warrant like for like attention, it's the efficiency of their defence that has seen the greatest improvement on last year.

Tyson Lever, Nathan Wood, Jack Newitt, Jack Hannett, Sean Reilly, newcomers Dean Muir and Jordan Tentonello make up an impressive back seven option and are clearly thriving under the team defence theory with high efficiency numbers.

Their ability to exit cleanly at low risk has been a feature- Wood, Hannett and Muir especially. You know what you're getting with Lever - essentially the licensed beneficiary to rebound pressured or bombed entries with his customary intercept mark game.

However, the likelihood of an experienced Devils’ midfield succumbing to the Lions intentions are slim at best.

In form trio Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matt Denham remain the competition yardstick of midfield combos and will stretch the Lions core for output with and without the ball.

The dominance at their two previous meets was palpable, two wins for the Devils by a margin of 40+ points.

Any midfield advantage for the Devils will equate to considerably more entries inside 50 to a feverish forward line eager to put a dent in the Lions new found levels of trust and confidence.

For the record, Sunbury (4-0) have won 15.5 of their 16 quarters to date (comp rank #1), Darley 15/20 (comp rank #3).

PLAYER WATCH
Mitch McLean (Sunbury)
Confident pressure small forward enjoying weight of Lions forward 50 entries. Kicked 13 goals from 4 games (comp rank #6)

Brett Bewley (Darley)
The reigning dual Henderson Medalist even had Lions fans in awe at his last trip to the Clarke Oval with 50 possessions and six goals out of the midfield. Ridiculous numbers!

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Expect Bacchus Marsh (2-3) to consolidate with back-to-back wins and square their win/loss ledger under new coach Dennis Armfield when they host the embattled Panthers at Maddingley Park.

Ironically, it was this corresponding fixture last year that Melton South won their only quarter of the season after leading the Cobras 3.2 to 1.5 at the first change in Round 9.

As it stands, since the beginning of the 2023 season Melton South have won just one of 80 quarters.

To be frank, this meeting gives every indication of how far for the Cobras.

Armfield will not be taking anything for granted as the Cobras remain a work in progress themselves striving for the complete four quarter performance under the former Carlton utility.

There were many encouraging signs for the Cobras witnessed on the road last week in the club’s big win over Sebastopol.

Surely the group needs little motivation to build on those habits in front of a home crowd given a likely win will see them inside the top six come 5pm ahead of their bye in Round 7.

The Cobras, as their form suggests, can vary from matching it with the best for periods by taking the game on with their encouraging run and carry with the ball and frantic pressure to a stagnant, insular brand Armfield is desperate eradicate.

Count on more of the 'positive' Cobras against the struggling Panthers, an all-in attempt to peak again with an eye toward adding another layer of belief and confidence that will prepare them mentally post bye.

Looking forward to seeing the potency, discipline and isolation of the Cobras front half and what that can amount to.

Surely the team first theme will prevail over the want of any individual's agenda and that be validated on the scoreboard.

Given the right service and weight of entries a compliant Cobras outfit could eye something in the 25-goal range on the scoreboard.

For Travis Hodgson's Melton South, another tough day at the office is expected but they can take solace getting more games into progressive young talent, remaining on the path of increased sense and purpose at the level.

PLAYER WATCH  
Dennis Armfield (Bacchus Marsh)
Despite his primary role as coach the former Carlton player is averaging a handy 16 disposals and 5.4 score involvements. Also 8 goals, 5 games (comp rank #14)

Cody Chapman (Melton South)
An injury interrupted start to the season has since witnessed a positive return for the Panthers Captain - above average for disposals (19) and elite for tackles (6.7)

SCOOP’S TIP
Baccus Marsh

Despite a 66-point loss to Darley last week Gary Learmonth’s young Lions will look to replicate their efforts from the last three quarters when they host Lake Wendouree at City Oval.

While the Lions will again be without a few prime movers, they're not short on quality young depth that can come in and fill a role.

At least 10 Under 19 eligible players including two Under 17s tested their mettle against the Devils and performed admirably. Enough to carry further confidence into this matchup against the winless Lakers.

Lions’ forwards Grant Bell (19 goals) and Marty Boyer (7 goals) will look to bounce back and fill their pockets after a tough day at the office in Round 5.

Expect them to be up and about wreaking havoc with a weight of forward 50 entries that will provide them with every chance hitting the scoreboard.

Tipping Lakers duo Brayden Helyar and Angus Gove might be set the task of containment. Both have enjoyed solid starts to their respective seasons despite the 0-5 narrative.

Lakers big men Tom Zampatti and Felix Fogarty will enjoy a distinct height advantage in the ruck in the absence of Taj Bond who is subject to availability with his Coates Talent League commitments.

Looking forward to seeing if Bailey Thompson can add to his innate ability of hitting the scoreboard.

The wiry forward/mid has 12 goals (comp rank #7) to his name from five games and has impressed.

Lakers’ coach Rohan Brown will be wanting a response from his midfield this week up against a youthful Lions combo with the exception of experienced campaigner Lachie George.

Both sides will again have the opportunity to explore the potential of their young groups in what should be an entertaining watch for those in attendance.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, the Lions look well ahead in the progress stakes, hence their unofficial warm favorites tag.

PLAYER WATCH
Rory Gunsser (Redan)
Excellent inside fifty kick averages elite for kicks (22.2) and inside 50's (5.2)

Will Clark (Lake Wendouree)
Ranks elite for average kicks (19) and turnovers (4.4).

SCOOP’S TIP
Redan

Some interesting road trips headline the action of Round 7 as the respective tiers of the BFNL ladder start to take shape as we roll into the second third of the season.

Scoop previews all the major games coming up this weekend.

The travelling Lions will have to get it done without their captain and reigning club best and fairest winner in Tyson Lever, with the key defender set to be sidelined for a minimum of six weeks following results of recent foot scans with a specialist.

The absence of Lever in the Lions 56-point loss to the Devils in Round 5 was palpable. Coach Travis Hodgson, eager to kickstart the Lions’ season with a few scalps fell horribly short in their most recent match-up against Darley.

So, the search off the bye for another scalp continues for the Lions against the tenth placed Cobras who are yet to win a game.

Cobras’ coach Jason Williams is under no illusions where his new club is at and can assume some positives knowing his draw doesn't get any harder having already met Sebastopol, Darley and Melton who have lost just one game between them.

Externally, few give the Cobras any chance, but this contest is more about Sunbury than Bacchus Marsh who have been transparent, open and honest with their struggles. The Lions on the other hand, have been tipped to be in the conversation come the business end, but that wouldn't be for the first time.

Sunbury's best is very good. Some resemblance of their ceiling today would see a similar result to their last meeting at Clarke Oval. Anything less than a six-goal win for the Lions would indicate Williams' young Cobras were up for the fight, denying the visitors a game played entirely on their terms.

While little wins within games provide the Williams’ camp with tempered belief and confidence, it pales in comparison to the idea of one and all engaged in song and victory.

The history books tell us Sunbury haven’t conquered at Maddingley Park in 9 years, this may be the chance for the Lions to buck the trend.

Scoop’s tip: Sunbury

Beware East Point, these Bloods are just cruising in second gear and this game may well be the perfect entree into a Round 8 showdown with fellow undefeated challengers Darley.

While the 43-point separation at their last meet in favour of the Bloods gives every indication the Kangas have significant ground to make up, note the Bloods had just three more scoring shots that day (12.12-20.7). Not to mention the 25-point half time deficit, the greatest the Bloods have endured at the main break since their 2021, Round 8 loss to North Ballarat when they trailed by 27 points.

In fairness the Kangas are considerably younger in 2023 despite enviable top end talent that can match their more fancied opposition, but the further you go down the list, the reigning premiers hold sway with seemingly minimal separation between their best and worst compared to their rivals.

Bloods’ coach Aaron Tymms has spoken highly of the buy-in from his group, eager to make it back-to-back titles but that is always easier said than done. The flag favorites have found themselves trailing at half time in two of their six games before hitting the gas in the third term. Their 'premiership quarters’ have been an example to the competition, their one wood to use a golfing vernacular.

It takes more than a half to take care of the Bloods.

Can the Kangas sustain a performance worthy of an upset? There will be doubts on the reliability of an enigmatic young group who fell short against Redan at home last round.

Regardless, of the result - both sides will gain significant learnings from the hit-out.   

Scoop’s tip: Melton

Sebastopol can make it five wins against the bottom five sides with a win on the road over North Ballarat at MARS Stadium on Saturday. Somehow, that just doesn't sound right, does it?

North Ballarat is currently outside the six with a 3-3 record so far this season. The seventh placed side will want to replicate the early form that saw them lead reigning premiers Melton at half time in Round 4 by 15 points.

The defensive effort to keep the Bloods to three goals in that half should be the blueprint ahead of the clash with the Burra.

Brendan McCartney's boys will need to bring the heat, for this Burra outfit is ready to burst. Dual coaches Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro have been frothing at the mouth for a challenge resembling something like for like, having played only Melton from the top six up to this point.

McCartney has been bullish on the Roosters’ running ability and attack on the footy. Today the Roosters get another opportunity on their home deck to confirm those beliefs worthy of taking down one of the bona fide contenders in 2023. 

We know the Burra got the better of McCartney's men by 15 points in Round 16 last year, but there was very little in it, in fact North Ballarat led at quarter time and shared an equal 20 shots on goal.

But what is daunting for the home side is the seasoned Burra are coming, and loaded with more experience.

It's unlikely the Roosters will hang onto star duo VFL affiliates Sam Glover and Josh Chatfield who combined for eight goals last week as they return to the higher level.

If that is the case, it stands as an almighty challenge for North Ballarat to get the job done without them.    

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

Expect the Lakers to make some impression on their previous meet against the Devils, labelled by coach Jack Fitzpatrick as their worst performance of last season.

The ninth placed Lakers kept flag contenders Sebastopol to just 10 goals last week on the back of a 102-point win on the road over the Panthers.

But for all the Lakers defensive kudos, they simply can't score. Outside of their win over the Panthers, Fitzpatrick’s boys have managed just 19 goals in four games.

On the flipside, the Devils look to be going from strength with this hit-out posing as the penultimate lead up ahead of a genuine footy audit against the all-conquering, undefeated Bloods.

Devils’ coach Dan Jordan takes nothing for granted with this group, and nor the broader club considering a winless 2021. Since Jordan's appointment the progressive Devils are now 19-7 for win loss including 11 wins from their last 13. Only Melton (12 from 13) have won more over the period.

Given the medium sized nature of the Lakers group, there is little expectation held for their chances albeit at home. The Devils’ 'top end talent', led by reigning Henderson Medalist Brett Bewley (16 goals) and full time addition Billy Myers (19 goals in four games) will prove too much to handle, let alone intercept defender Matty Brett and reborn swingman Darren Leonard.

The Devils hold all the aces ahead of this clash and will get the job done with a bit in hand. Devils’ fans will be hopeful the footy gods are kind, getting through with a win and injury-free ahead of a no excuse showdown against Melton.

But first, they must take care of the Lakers.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

The Swans have the perfect opportunity to give new season coach Chris Maple his second win in charge when they meet winless Melton South.

The Panthers are a mile off troubling any opposition at the moment, crippled by off-season list turnover and injury. Their 2023 campaign went from bad to worse last week on the end of a season high thrashing at the hands of Darley.

While this week’s result seemingly looms as foregone, the extent of the damage poses a challenge for both coaches.

Can Chris Maple's Swans get the percentage boost they so badly need? Can they turn weight of possession into scores? For the Swans have been held to 40 points or less in four of their six games.

On the flipside, can Jason Hamilton and Ryan Hoy's Panthers get enough reinforcements back to take it up to the Swans? All the hierarchy at Pantherland can ask for is a red hot crack in front of their loyal supporters, the players owe them that at least.

The struggling Panthers had 10-minute patches of competitiveness last week and will look to increase that to near 20 minutes per quarter against the one win Swans.

Ballarat sharpshooter Andrew Hooper will be hoping for some silver service delivery - if forthcoming the former Western Bulldog is capable of kicking a tally in the double digits. I'll limit expectations, and tip Hooper to kick seven. Tipping this variable at least appears the greater challenge than the match result.

While we expect to see some resistance from the Panthers, the focus will be on the Swans ability to capitilise on majority opportunity, especially in front of goal.    

Scoop’s tip: Ballarat

With a number of last year's finalists set to face-off for the first time since September action there is plenty to look forward to this weekend.

Expect a monster crowd to witness the renewal of this fierce rivalry when Darley (3rd - W4L2) host Melton (2nd - W4L1).

If the game can live anywhere up to the hype, lock yourself in - we're in for a hell of a ride.

The Devils under Dan Jordan had the wood over the Bloods winning all three meets in 2023.

Prior to that you had to go back to 2017 to find any joy for the Devils, one of the club’s longest run of outs against any team since joining the BFNL in the mid to late 90's.

New Bloods’ coach Troy Scoble will have done his due diligence, having cast an eagle eye over the reigning premier for some time.

The former Geelong development coach will be fully aware of the Devils’ strengths, and gets his first opportunity (of at least two) to find a way through with arguably the best defensive and potent front half combos in the comp.

But it's the battle between the arcs that looms as Scoble’s greatest challenge.

Keeping Devils’ quintet Brett Bewley (41.5 avg disposals), Luther Baker (26.3), Billy Myers (25.5), Adam Azzopardi (20.8) and Matt Denham (23.8) in check won't be easy, a midfield combo that has had a large say in the clubs (current) 11 game winning streak on Darley Park.

On the other hand, Jordan will be the first to concede that previous results account for very little come Saturday and will have endured his own set of prioritising mid-week hoping to find a way through the league heavyweights on the rebound.

The Bloods have matchwinners at both ends and two bona fide mids of their own namely Jack Walker and Jaycob Hickey who average 26 and 27 disposals per game.

The Devils missed Brady Wright last week, his availability will be structurally crucial with his aerial presence alongside Billy Myers who has proven a handful at their previous three meets.

My leaning to the Devils is with Wright in the team and the trust in Jordan's group to resemble more of their best for longer.

Surely the Bloods will bring theirs, they have some improving to do also having won just 3/8 quarters (at home) against fellow top three contenders North Ballarat and East Point. 

TEAM WATCH
Darley
Comp rank #1 for contested possessions (168.7 avg) and contested marks (19.5 avg)

Melton
Comp rank #1 for intercept marks (20 avg) and centre clearance (13 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Visiting Sebastopol (9th - W1 L5) will welcome the idea of celebrating a second win of the season when they meet winless Melton South (11th W0 L5).

The phrase 'better for longer' has been an ongoing struggle for both sides.

Three of the Burra’s five losses saw Tony Locker's men concede six goals or more in four quarters against Melton (twice), Bacchus Marsh and North Ballarat.

They just can't stem the flow on the run in games, I bet Lockyer would have liked the option of a 'time-out' to reset his group.

How Lockyer’s support staff in the dug-out look to stop the bleeding moving forward will be an ongoing case study.

I know the Burra have personnel issues missing up to 16 names from last year’s squad, but the show must go on.

Can the Burra find their feet and connection to trouble a few sides this year? Welcoming back Luke Kiel after a rest will be a major boost for a start.

Resembling the pressure of last week’s opening quarter and a half against North Ballarat will be the level Lockyer demands of his group.

If that can be achieved, expect the Burra to end a five-game losing streak despite their vulnerabilities.

For Travis Hodgson's Panthers, mini-wins will be the order of the day.

Given the current landscape, anything under a 100-point loss could be deemed a mini-win.

That's the unfortunate reality for a team who hasn't won a game since Round 9, 2022.

One positive for the Panthers has been the recent signing of former Collingwood/Hawthorn player Tom Phillips (now Carlton VFL listed). 

TEAM WATCH
Melton South
Comp rank #1 for defensive 50 tackles (18.4 avg)

Sebastopol
Comp rank #2 for creating turnovers

SCOOP’S TIP
Sebastopol

North Ballarat (5th W3 L2) will look to build on last week’s nine goal final term that catapulted Brendan McCartney's men to a 106-point win over Sebastopol when they host Redan (7th W3 L3).

Not too dissimilar to the age profile of the Lions, the young Roosters get another opportunity to show their talents in front of loyal and faithful fans, aiming to keep their unblemished 2024 home record intact.

McCartney conceded his boys were a little slow out of the blocks last week and won't want to give Gary Learmonth's young brigade any momentum.

The Lions will again front with no less than ten Under 19 eligible players who are making healthy progress at the level.

The surface at Mars Stadium is as good as any and will give both sides every chance to deliver on their potential.

Learmonth will look to contain the Roosters, eyeing a match-up for Jamie Quick and Ned Nash who combined for 12 goals last week.

The Quick (10 goals/3 games) match-up especially is always a tough one given his x-factor brilliance.

If anything, you need the elusive forward to aid the cause with an off day.

Cutting supply will be paramount for Learmonth against the competition’s number one ranked side for clearances (Redan #7th) and ball up clearances (Redan #7th).

If it's any consolation the Lions rank second for centre clearances behind Melton - for Redan's sake they'll hope each centre bounce has not come on the back of a Quick or Nash goal.

The midfield battle will be an interesting one.

Lions’ ruckman Taj Bond (if available) will be conceding a lot of weight to North big man Cam McCallum and will need to be smart around stoppage not getting thrown around.

Can Khy Jess, Lachie George and co deny in form trio ball magnets Riley Polkinghorne, Brock Leonard and Elliott Lamb long enough to correlate to an advantage on the scoreboard?

I'm not so sure, especially on Mars, the Roosters play the venue better than any.

Looking forward to seeing if the North Ballarat defence can put an end to Lions’ forward Grant Bell's run of multiple goal returns (8 games).  

TEAM WATCH
North Ballarat
Comp rank #1 for clearances (49.8 avg)

Redan
Have 10+ Under 19 eligible players in senior line-up

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

East Point (4th - W4 L1) return home to consolidate their recent run of good form when they host Ballarat (8th - W3 L2) coming off the bye.

The frenetic nature of last week’s win over Melton will have instilled Joe Carmody's group with the necessary confidence capable of matching it with any opposition.

The Swans arrive without their season-to-date best player Rhett Montgomery who has left the club for the SANFL.

The loss of the rebounding half back will surely impact the win/loss prospects of Chris Maple's group, especially against teams above them - and more immediately East Point.

Sure, the Swans have improved in their second year under Maple, enough to make inroads on their last visit here that ended in a 52-point win to the Kangas.

Given the youthful age profile of the Swans, the bye was timely after big losses against bigger bodied Melton and Darley.

Given last week’s feat, the Kangas won't be any easier assignment for the Swans despite their recent freshen up.

The Kangas’ impressive work between the arcs has amounted to them being the number one team for inside 50's providing dangerous pairing Bryson McDougall and Strahan Robinson with repeat opportunities hitting the scoreboard.

The Johnston brothers and the return of Mickitja Rottumah-Onus and Jacob Brown has seen the weight of inside 50 numbers on the rise at the Kangas.

The young Swans midfield will need to be on their mettle in this uphill battle for time spent in the front half.

Unfortunately for the Swans I’m not convinced they have the personnel to post a winning score, weather permitting on Eastern Oval.

X-factor forward Andrew Hooper (6 goals) is the leading Swans goalkicker ahead of Ben Wardly and Jake Drever (5 apiece).

No Swans player is listed in the top 30 race for the Tony Lockett Medal.

East Point has three - Strahan Robinson (16), Bryson McDougall (13) and Jack Jeffrey.  

Expect the Kangas to usurp the loser of Darley (3rd) v Melton (2nd) on the BFNL ladder come 5pm Saturday.   

TEAM WATCH
East Point
Comp rank #1 for inside 50s (58.4 avg)

Ballarat
Comp rank #2 for Marks (102.6 avg) and Intercept marks (19.4 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Lake Wendouree (10th - W0 L6) host an unbeaten Sunbury outift (1st - W5 L0) who are flying at the moment after recent wins over last year’s grand finalists Darley and North Ballarat.

While it's hard to make a case for the Lakers on the scoreboard, coach Rohan Brown will be asking for genuine effort, at the levels witnessed in last week’s narrow loss to Redan.

Brown went on the record saying his young team were "the most resilient group of any he has coached,". I'm tipping that resilience will be tested to maximum levels given the form of the Lions who have taken all before them under new coach Matty White.

Lakers’ defender Brayden Helyar will likely get first crack at Lions’ leading forward Jake Sutton (22 goals), while the jury is out on a like for like match up with pressure forward Mitch McLean (16).

The two have combined for 38 of Sunbury's 85 goals (44.7%). That's a fair place for the Lakers to start!

But the Lions boast aerial and ground ball quality, not to mention leg speed.

Newcomers Jordan Tentonello, Brock Landt and Ben Cameron all have 'good wheels' and make Sunbury a different proposition in degrees of difficulty to face than recent years.

The Lions’ midfield and forward group are complemented by a well organised defence led by Tyson Lever.

It won't be easy for the Lakers to score unless Bailey Thompson (14 goals) and spruik recruit Jaydon Wright can find a way through in general play.

The odds are against them.    

TEAM WATCH
Lake Wendouree
Comp rank #1 for rebound 50s (44.8 avg)

Sunbury
Comp rank #1 for marks (103 avg)

SCOOP’S TIP
Sunbury

A top of the table clash is just one of many tasty fixtures coming up in Round 8, with hotly contested top six spots on the line and elusive rare wins up for grabs.

Scoop previews this weekend's action.

Unbeaten league heavyweights Melton and Darley face off in a highly anticipated top of the table clash at MacPherson Park.

For all of the Devils’ progression under second year coach Dan Jordan, a timely footy audit awaits against the reigning premiers. Plenty will need to go right for the hunters, Darley, to walk away with the points come 5pm.

In the event of a seventh straight win on the road ahead of the King's Birthday bye, the Devils will have ended a 2226-day winning drought against the Bloods dating back to April 29 Round 2, 2017 and more broadly, a 16-0 winning run at home for Aaron Tymms' men.

While the Bloods current 7-0 season run has a familiar sense of déjà vu, the jury might still be out to see if they're as strong as last year despite similar returns forward from the Carter brothers and the efforts of Brett McIntyre filling the ruck void in the absence of Ben Archard (now returned) and the departed Mark Orr.

The Bloods have proven to be the competition's blueprint for the soldier in, soldier out theory. Today will be no exception with crucial midfielder Jack Walker set to miss with concussion.

Despite the Bloods’ six-year reign, the Devils have rarely been put to the sword, even in more testing times. Needless to say, the Devils’ failings to post a winning score against the Bloods must be corrected if they're to cause an upset win on Saturday.

Finding avenues to goal will go a long way determining the Devils’ fate, with fine weather expected. Sure, the Devils rank one in offence after seven rounds but four of the clubs six wins have come against the bottom four teams who have just three wins between them.

The Bloods will be buoyed with Archard and Kyle Borg back in the mix, but it’s no guarantee that Tymms' all conquering Bloods will have the game weighted on their terms.

The Devils will need midfield duo Brett Bewley and Luther Baker to provide enough drive to challenge the Bloods enviable depth of riches. There is no denying questions will be asked of the Devils’ defence to contain the Bloods’ barometer trio in the Carter brothers and Braedyn Kight but don’t be surprised if there is a cat thrown amongst the pigeons and the flag favorites are knocked off in a close one. 

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Sunbury will look to correct on its previous two slow starts, with a 'statement-like' impression in the first quarter when they host Redan.

While there are doubts on the Sunbury Lions matching it with the top few sides without Tyson Lever (foot), Harrison Minton-Connell (Essendon VFL) and Mitch Lewis (Overseas), Redan are well within their sights.

The visitors too will be without some of their top liners as Lachie George and Liam Hoy endure more time on the sidelines with injury. Redan will be sweating on the availability of Footscray VFL affiliated Cooper Craig-Peters with his selection unknown until Friday. Getting it done on the road without their key mid, George and Hoy will be tough assignment despite a seven-point success at Clarke Oval last year.

Evidently, Craig-Peters missed that game but George and Hoy both featured. To give the visitors some comfort, Sunbury did have Lever, Minton-Connell and Lewis but still fell short.

Just what version we're going to get from these two teams will tell its own story in the aftermath. Both seemingly have patches of minimal impact at stages in games and are prone to conceding back-to-back goals, which would be well known to both camps.

Sunbury simply must get it done at home and rebuild their ruthless Clarke Oval reputation, with the venue once considered a fortress. For the present however, only Lake Wendouree, Bacchus Marsh and North Ballarat have failed to win there over the past two seasons with Sebastopol not making the trip down either. 

There's a bit at stake here, as both sides fight for a similar spot in the top six.

Scoop's tip: Sunbury

You may well expect a similar result to the last time the Roosters met the Panthers at Mars Stadium.

Brendan McCarney's North Ballarat have an opportunity to capitilise on their good doings over the last fortnight that has resulted in the Roosters winning seven of its past eight quarters, including three over flag fancies Sebastopol last week.

If Roosters’ big man Stewart Crameri does indeed play, there's every reason the bona fide key forward will spend a majority of minutes deep inside 50, giving his ailing groin issue some respite.

Cam McCullum and Riley Polkinghorne will enjoy a day out with the latter the likely beneficiary of McCullum's first tap dominance.

Skillful Roosters’ half forward Jamie Quick is every chance to have a big afternoon in front of goal having kicked 17 goals this year to lead the tally for North. While tips on the margin are purely speculative, a mini win for Melton South would be keeping it under 100 points, a feat they haven’t achieved thus far this season. 

Scoop’s tip: North Ballarat

The visiting Kangas will endeavour to back up their near upset performance over competition benchmarks Melton last round when they take on Sebastopol at Marty Busch Reserve, but that will be easier said than done for a young group, especially after such a solid, physical hit-out.

Sebastopol are coming off their own disappointment, finishing 30 points short of North Ballarat and will be eager to atone.

Surely the battle for spots in the Burra line-up is as competitive as ever given their depth, as coaching duo Luke Kiel and Michael Columbro look for a combative response validating their first choice. On paper, the Burra read seriously good, loaded with an enviable blend of talented youth and experience, cherry ripe in the premiership window.

However, sides laden with depth can struggle with ownership, leaving it up to others to carry the slack. If that scenario infiltrates a group, they can be suspect to flat performances. The Burra will not want to be flat against a promising East Point that's for sure so expect Kiel and Columbro to get the response they're after and with it, a much needed scalp in the finals mix.

For Merrett's well led young Kangas, they're progressing in the right direction and will continue to ask questions of any opposition. This time, Sebastopol.

Scoop’s tip: Sebastopol

The travelling Cobras front their best winning opportunity of the season to date when they meet the one-win Lakers.

Coincidentally, the Cobras’ six games in 2023 have been against the top six teams on the ladder as they stand. The Lakers draw hasn't been full of luxuries either, with four of their six games coming against the top six.

But recent history will account for very little today as both sides eye a prized win and a chance to sing as one in victory come 5pm.

Finding a winner is tough. The Lakers, similar to the Cobras, have very inexperienced 'bottom halves' of their groups and what returns will come of those are likely to have a significant bearing on the result.

For if it were solely based on top-end talent, I would lean to the Cobras with Jake Owen, Jake McCreery, Luke Goetz, Eamonn Ogden and in-form consistent duo Tyson Shea and Jack Parente. I'm not sure the Lakers 'bat' as deep with their top end, but to use a cricketing vernacular their tail may wag a little more favourably the further down the list you go.

Both sides will look the winners at some stage in this contest and be hopeful recent lapses in games are kept to a minimum for the result here could well be decided by which team manufactures the greater number of chances in a game of momentum.

While the winners are set to rejoice and embrace this rare opportunity for victory, contemplation and despair awaits the losers.    

Scoop’s tip: Bacchus Marsh

Ahead of the King's Birthday Bye next weekend, teams across the league will be looking to head into the break on a high with strong performances this Saturday.

League improvers Sunbury will aim to make it seven wins on the trot in a dream start for the club under new coach Matty White.

While the Lions are flying and have done everything right, let's not get too ahead of ourselves.

They came from the clouds to beat Darley who were all over them for three quarters and dismantled North Ballarat who had legitimate health issues - both games were at home.

The Lions match ups with East Point and Melton over the next three weeks will tell us more of where Sunbury is at in the pecking order.

What is real for the Lions is they're healthy and have added quality ball users and leg speed to a list many had in the finals conversation last year before they fell off the perch.

Having former Essendon VFL listed dangerous forward Jake Sutton (28 goals - comp #2) full time and breakout accomplice Mitch McLean (21 – comp #4) hitting the scoreboard has been an overwhelming feature for the super-efficient Lions who rank first for conversion on goal, which is a mighty effort given their number of shots on goal. 

The additions of Dean Muir, Ben Cameron, Jordan Tentonello, Ben Eales and Brock Landt should not be underestimated either.

Super depth, with few injuries will make it hard for Joe Carmody's Kangas endeavouring to extend their winning run to six. And why shouldn't they give themselves every chance to deny the all-conquering (thus far) Lions.

Ironically the Kangas’ off day against the Lions in Round 11 last year was arguably the line in the sand game for them having since won 11/15 games since including a preliminary final appearance.

The Kangas remain a serious proposition in their own right given the returns of Jacob Brown, Mikitja Rottumah-Onus and the rise of Alex Molan and Strahan Robinson.

The Johnston's have always been, well, the Johnstons, with Jordy adding fuel to the friendly 'better mid or forward' debate with six reminder goals last week. Jackson Merrett and Bryson McDougall have been healthy too, complementing the Kangas’ run of solid form.

Nonetheless, the hosts must take care with their distribution, especially post clearance given a host of intercept Lions’ defenders will be waiting with open arms to swing the 'Whitey plan' led by Tyson Lever, into action.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

The Cobras’ hierarchy understand that wins over the bottom three teams will not be enough to validate progress under new coach Dennis Armfield.

What they're chasing is a scalp, and North Ballarat present as the ideal footy audit when the two sides meet at Maddingley Park with the Cobras fresh off the bye and raring to go.

Forget last year’s 68-point loss as any form guide given the Cobras were in the preparatory phase of a rebuild following a mass exit of players post the 2022 season.

Twelve months on, the next measurement of growth and progress comes to a head in front of a Cobras home crowd who would (fairly) be unsure where they stand in the pecking order - curious what their best is capable of.

Well Brendan McCartney's disciplined Roosters loom the perfect candidates to provide some of the answers - a proud blend of youth and experience that will keep you honest with and without the ball to the last seconds of every quarter.

McCartney respects the competition, is never too far ahead and will reiterate his message of playing the minutes against the Cobras.

The fight for a top three finish just got harder with the improvements of Sunbury and East Point- no results will be taken for granted.

The Roosters were outscored in the second half last week against a young Redan boasting 10+ Under 19 eligible players.

The Cobras won't have that many but aren't shy on their share of Under 20 representatives.

The Roosters will understand keeping a young group in check is to deny momentum.

McCartney's group are good at that, they suck all the air out of a game and have you fight for the simplest pleasures in footy.

Even though the Roosters are likely to be without Collingwood VFL listed Sam Glover who booted four goals at their last meet, expect Jamie Quick (11 goals, 4 games, comp #15), Ned Nash (13 goals, 6 games, comp #11) and Hugh Trigg (10 goals, 6 games, comp #17) to prove more than a handful in the front half and the primary beneficiaries of an inform midfield. 

SCOOP’S TIP
North Ballarat

After a tough month, the Swans get a golden opportunity to end a three-game losing streak when they host the winless Panthers.

Expect dangerous Swans forward Andrew Hooper to have every chance of matching his six goal return from their last meet.

More broadly, the likelihood of the Swans matching the heights of a 158-point scoreline will be an interesting watch as the Panthers endeavour to 'dig in' for longer.

The addition of former Collingwood and Hawthorn left footer Tom Phillips is a welcoming bonus for Travis Hodgson’s group still yet to win a game since Round 9, 2022.

Young Panther Jarrod Bibby has been a solid contributor despite the clubs run of outs alongside former Sunbury junior Ryder Rousch and key big man Broden Collins.

Former Collingwood VFL listed giant Darrean Wyatt and Geelong VFL listed Darby Schilder have added some necessary aerial presence for the battle.

But the challenge for the Panthers this week won't come in the air.

A swarm of improving young Swans namely Wil Liston, Paddy Simpson, Wyatt Squires and the Rinaldi boys are progressing nicely, an adequate support base to more experienced trio Call Wellings (despite his age), Lauchlan Dalgleish, Marcus Powling and the X-factor Hooper.

Both coaches will cast a keen eye on their abilities to retain the footy.

Costly turnovers have been a frustrating constant for the most part. Some clean entries will at least give the respective loyal and faithful in attendance something to smile about.

SCOOP’S TIP
Ballarat

Two sides, two agendas.

The travelling Devils look to end a two-game losing streak when they face the Burra whose two season wins have come against the bottom two teams.

But the nature of the Burras’ previous form will account for very little as Devils’ coach Dan Jordan eyes a correction from his own group who failed to deliver on expectation in their previous two starts.

Sure, it's no surprise for any side at the moment falling short of Sunbury (8 points) and Melton (67 points) but it was the way they went about it.

Since three-quarter time of the Sunbury game in Round 6 the Devils have been outscored 140 (21.14) to 45 (6.9), while being smashed in all key areas of pressure confirming a clear drop of intent from the reigning premier.

The last five quarters of the Devils’ season has seen them cough up 21 goals from just 64 entries while forward half has also had its challenges with just six goals from 44 inside 50s for the period.

Expect a response this weekend from a proud led group both on and off field.     

For the Burra, a win last week over the struggling Panthers could be just what Tony Lockyer’s men needed.

The feeling of a win on the back of impactful returns from Riley O'Keefe and Luke Kiel will have the Burra up and about, well, for as long as the Devils allow it.

Both sides have had pressure issues in recent weeks, so the race is on to find who can resemble closest to their best for longer.

While Lockyer has surely tempered expectations on the season whole for his group, there'll be no denying the Burras an appetite from week-to-week adding to their two win tally.    

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Gee, if Lakers' coach Rohan Brown conceded a gulf in class between his young group and Sunbury last week, I’m at wits end to predict the superlatives the former Beaufort coach will come up with for Melton.

The Bloods, alongside Sunbury and East Point are the form sides in the comp taking everything before them and putting away any side that lapses on the job. And a memo for Brown and his group - the Bloods don't discriminate having made the reigning premiers look second rate in front of their home crowd last week.

Just where do you start containing the Bloods? Troy Scoble's improving group managed 16 goals from their 42 forward 50 entries against the Devils, hitting the scoreboard in one way shape or form with more than half their opportunities. Super effort.

Their midfield is sound, led by Jono O'Brien in the ruck, and a handful of rotations all capable of impacting with and without the ball.

In defence the Bloods take more intercept marks than any side in the comp and will feast on any Lakers errant or pressured entries.

Forward 50 entries for the visiting Lakers will be in the minority range adding to a heightened level of care factor importance on the ball carrier to deliver.

Getting through the Bloods is not easy, especially at MacPhersons Park.

If the Lakers can usurp their last score of 44 against the Bloods, they will have shown plenty of character to warrant more of the consistent narrative around resilience coming out of CE Brown Reserve.

Unfortunately for the Lakers, the reality is there's a headache whichever way you look in the form of a Bloods jumper.

A tough day at the office is expected for the touring party.   

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

After a weekend off, coaches, players and fans alike will all be hungry to get stuck back into the action this Saturday.

To suggest both sides need a win is an understatement.

For the Lakers, Saturday will mark 400 days since their las win, albeit a 102-point routing of the Panthers who will hit 100 weeks since their last on field success, a six-point win over the Lakers in their corresponding Round 9 fixture way back in 2022.

For one relieved outfit, the run of outs ends this weekend.

With all respect to Travis Hodgson and the Panthers, they're not in the same conversation as the Lakers despite sharing the same 'zero win' season to date.

The Lakers can boast mini wins, equating to four winning quarters from their 32, the Panthers are 0/28.

While scoring and defending has been a struggle for both sides, it's the Lakers who hold the advantage averaging 21 points MORE per game.

There's a similar pattern on the defensive front with Lakers conceding 33 points on average LESS than the Panthers.

Here's hoping the BFNL's Match of the Round is full of goals and game defining moments - enough for one team at least to savour in celebration and song.

It's all about making the most of an opportunity that beckons for these two sides in front of a keen viewing audience. Given the current landscape, who knows when the next victory salute will come.

For The Record
Despite ranking 3^rd (Lakers) and 4^th (Panthers) for average hitouts per game, it does not correlate to other aerial gains with the clubs ranking 10th and #11th in the competition for contested marks and intercept marks.

Lakers’ utility Bailey Thompson has 16 (comp rank #10) of the Lakers’ 54 season goals (30 %).

Scoop’s tip
Lake Wendouree

It felt all clubs welcomed the Kings Birthday break, but if there was one I had to nominate as a possible exception, it would most certainly be East Point.

Since the Kangas’ bye in Round 2 they've won six games on the trot inflicting Melton and Sunbury with their only losses on the way.

Over the period Joe Carmody's Kangas have averaged near 114 points per game, conceding just 50.5 (avg per game) in the process.

If Gary Learmonth's Redan were looking for flaws in the Kangas camp, maybe something as simple as a break in continuity for the Kangas could provide an edge, especially early.

If the Lions could in fact get the jump, momentum can do wonderous things, especially for a young group that has double figure representation from their Under 19 and Under 17 stocks.   

On the flipside I fear for a young Lions group the break has invigorated the Kangas even further.

Their best is very good.

We've known that at the coal face and forward of the ball for a while, but the assurance found now behind the ball in the name of Jacob Brown and Jackson Merrett gives a new look for the Kangas despite their familiarity and experience.

Bryson McDougall, Strahan Robinson and Jack Jeffrey make up just part of the problems that lie ahead for the Lions given the Johnston brothers, Mickitja Rottumah-Onus and Joe Dodd's form through the midfield.

Needless to add, all are goalkicking mids (27 goals combined).

Learmonth will look for further progress from his young group as another timely footy audit presents in the name of East Point.

Excited for the potential debut of star recruit Lachie Bond (foot) who has not been seen since his four goal highlights reel against Drysdale in a pre-season practice match.

Lachie McLean (knee) who hasn't played all season is also in the mix for a return in a possible double boost for the Lions. 

For The Record
While East Point rank #1 for average clearances per game (Redan #8) and #2 for contested ball (Redan #10), Lions midfielder Khy Jess is currently the #1 ranked player in the BFNL for (avg) contested possessions (22 per game).  

Scoop’s tip
East Point

If Chris Maple's young Swans have any aspirations toppling North Ballarat at Mars Stadium, a good start hitting the scoreboard will be paramount.

The hosts have won 21/25 games at the venue since Brendan McCartney took over in 2021.

Ironically Ballarat (2022) was one of those four sides over the journey to upset the narrative, but it will be a much younger Swans outfit endeavouring to upset the winning trend of the Roosters (at home) and the pattern of conviction that comes with it.

Just scoring against the miserly North Ballarat defence has been a struggle for all opponents at Mars Stadium.

Since the start of 2023 the Roosters are 10 wins, two losses, conceding an average just shy of 48 points per game.

Given the cooler conditions forecasted, expect goals, especially for the visitors to come at a premium.

Clearly an improvement on the Swans effort here last year will earmark the bare minimum of expectation, no doubt the experienced Maple won't be beaten on what he already learnt here last year.

The Swans did lead at quarter time on that occasion and were within four points at the half.

The old 'better for longer' adage could not have been more fitting in the aftermath as McCartney's army extended after the break booting seven goals to two.

In the here and now, can the Swans marking game unsettle North Ballarat who are so accountable behind the ball?

The Swans will want to ensure their link up by foot is in order to find a way through especially in the absence of Rhett Montgomery (SANFL).

The Swans are not without a prizefighter’s chance, but I expect the pressure from the hosts at the coalface to prove the overwhelming difference.

The Roosters still have a few important cogs to return - namely Jamie Quick and Simon McCartin. Their presence only enhances the Roosters 'warm favorites' tag.

For The Record
Ballarat rank #1 for average marks per game (103), North Ballarat 10th (67). On the flipside North Ballarat rank #2 for clearances (48.3), Ballarat 7th (42.9)

Scoop’s tip
North Ballarat

The King’s Birthday break was timely for these two sides amid a climbing injury toll ahead of their Round 9 clash at the Clarke Oval.

While the Burras’ on field woes, largely beyond their control, has attracted varying degrees of scrutiny, Sunbury copped some misfortune of their own with injuries to Mitch Lewis, Jake Egan, Nathan Doyle and earlier, season ending ACL tear for Tom Scanlon.

Ben Cameron (Coburg) and Harry Minton-Connell (Williamstown) remain in the VFL.

The loss of personnel surely played a role in the Lions’ first loss of the season on the road against the Kangas in Round 8.

Needless to add, Matty White's group was gallant in defeat despite trailing at every change.

Conceding periods of four and five goals in succession really was the difference.

Just what resemblance of each side’s best 22 we see on Saturday will surely play its own part but given the depth of the Lions and season returns of the Burra to date on the win/loss front, it's hard to entertain a conversation in the 'upset' camp.

But that notion will account for very little to Burra leader Tony Lockyer who is fully aware of where his team is at.

You have to admire the popular veteran having made little reference to the changes in personnel, that has clearly impacted the recent perennial finalists.

Sebastopol will arrive in Sunbury with every intention of winning, despite its unlikelihood.

Darley coach Dan Jordan gave the Burra some encouragement after the Devils’ 19-point win in Round 8 suggesting Lockyer's group will test, if not upset a few sides on the way home.

For Matthew White's Sunbury, it will be all about maintaining their good habits that led them to a promising 6-1 start to the season ahead of a Round 10 blockbuster against Melton.

Special mention to Lions’ forward Mitch McLean who is having a breakout season. His 24 goals to date (comp rank #4) has been complemented with 20 forward 50 tackles (Comp rank #1).

For The Record
Sunbury rank 1st for Handballs (152.7 avg per game), Sebastopol 6th (128.6). Sebastopol rank 3rd (13.4) for Back 50 tackles, Sunbury 10th (8)

Scoop’s tip
Sunbury

Flag favorites Melton will look to consolidate their recent run of good form with a win over Bacchus Marsh at MacPhersons Park.

Call this bout an entree for the Bloods ahead of their top of the table clash on the road to Sunbury in Round 10 - a chance to regroup and fine tune after the week off.

Dennis Armfield's touring Cobras will have had a fortnight to identify and plan for their toughest assignment to date. So where do you start?

Sure, Braedan Kight's 41 goals (7 games) fits the 'concern' criteria.

The Bloods’ captain is averaging a goal every 3.5 disposals in 2024 which is truly remarkable for a 16 disposal player. The damage is not limited there either from the x-factor talent.

While Kight is shy of six feet in height, he leads the competition for marks inside 50 (5.1 avg per game), goal involvements (7.9) and ranks 6th for score involvements (9.9).

At the other end you have a dominant Bloods’ back six led by Jordy Cotter who ranks #1 at the club for kicks, efficiency by foot, marks, intercept marks and intercept possessions.

Only Sunbury's Tyson Lever has taken more intercept marks than Cotter. Keeping the ball away from him despite a clear message will be easier said than done.

The Cobras will need a 'spike' in most areas to compete against the relentless Bloods.

Jake Owen's importance is not capped by his contested marking ability alone (Comp rank #2). The star forward ranks #7 in the comp for both goal involvements (6.3 per game) and score involvements (9.6) - worthy of a bona fide match up from the Scoble camp.

Ruckman Luke Goetz leads the Cobras clearly for intercept marks ahead of defenders Jack Parente, Simon La Franchi and Collingwood VFL listed recruit Rye Penny.

Expect the Cobras, like all other BFNL sides to be stretched in the air and at ground level against the competition yardstick and be made to pay on the scoreboard for their inefficiencies.

For The Record
Melton rank #1 for tackles (69.7 avg per game) and Forward 50 tackles (16.3), Bacchus Marsh 9th (59.7) and 8th (10) respectively. The Cobras rank #2 (16.6 avg per game) for contested marks with a slender advantage over the Bloods 5th (13.4).

Scoop’s tip
Melton

The first week of finals presents us with three blockbuster games all with their own intriguing storylines this coming weekend.

We've waited 105 days for this rematch, and it comes in the form of a mouthwatering qualifying final - can't wait!

Round 6 is a far cry from the hustle, bustle and pressure of a final but in fairness, May 18th went pretty close!

What an outstanding home and away season for these two, losing just three games between them.

The Kangas could find themselves a little stiff not to finish top with just the two losses but that is the current landscape when the Bloods are involved.

Despite finishing second, the Kangas have plenty of upside heading into this bout having beaten the Bloods the last two times including a semi final win last year.

While both of those wins came away from Eastern Oval, Darley Park looms as an undeniable variable for mine to overcome.

East Point have not won at Darley Park for 10 years, that worries me.

If this game were in Ballarat, I would be tipping the Kangas but something tells me the ground and conditions will suit Troy Scoble's planning - he knows the ground so well.

Call it due diligence ahead of time but I guarantee you - observations duly noted.

Even Joe Carmody, a longtime player in the BFNL could barely recall any success at the venue!

But if there was ever a group to break the run of outs for the Kangas at Darley Park, it's this one against the Bloods.

Melton are gettable - the Kangas’ best is arguably better. But can they produce in the white shorts against the season benchmark.

The Bloods, it seems, have been waiting for this day for a while now and I’m not talking weeks, rather 11 months for another crack at a flag that has previously gone awry.

At least Scoble conceded they weren't the best team in it last year, but something tells me that opinion has changed.

The buy-in from the Bloods group is palpable. While they gave every indication last week, they're gettable, so did East Point! Kudos to Ballarat.

Holistically, every bit of blood, sweat and tears shed to this point equate to an unmissable qualifying final, spruik as one for the ages.

As part of the editorial, I’m required to make a choice. I'm leaning to the Bloods but would not be surprised if the Kangas produced the goods following a timely reminder of their mortality last week.

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
Melton: Adrian Monitto (#45), Riley Walker (#29) and Lachie Phillips (#9)are the genesis in transition for the Bloods. Monitto and Walker especially provide the spread, run, carry and distribution in the absence of Jordy Cotter (#4)and will stretch the ground, making it uncomfortable for the Kangas.

East Point: Jackson Merrett (#1) and Jacob Brown (#4)are the experience and cornerstone of the Kangas’ defence. Merrett ranks fourth for in the comp uncontested marks, fifth for marks and sixth for effective kicks and tenth for kicks. Merrett is the go-to distributor. Brown, not dissimilar to Merrett ranks third in the comp for effective kicks, fourteenth for kicks, fourth for marks AND intercept marks. What is also worthy of note is Brown ranks twenty-second in the comp for handball receives.  

Midfielders
Melton: Jaycob Hickey (#10)averages 27.6 disposals, ranks 9 in the comp for clearances and 11th for goal involvements while (#11) Jack Walkeraverages 26.6 disposals, ranks 8 for goal assists and 13th for centre clearances.

East Point: Matty Johnston (#7)ranks third in the comp for disposals (34.1) and contested possessions. Johnston also features in the top 10 for a host of other KPIs and ranks elite in all areas when the Kangas have possession of the ball. Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (#2)ranks among the top 25 in the comp for clearances, contested possessions, handballs, hard ball gets, ground ball gets, goal assists and involvements. 

Forwards
Melton: Braedan Kight (#7)is the league’s leading goalkicker with 75. Ryan Carter (#23)is fifth on the goalkicking table with 41.

East Point: Bryson McDougall (#12)is second in the league for goals with 67. McDougall has taken more marks inside 50 than other player in the BFNL and ranks second for total contested marks. Strahan Robinson (#30)has 31 goals, ranks elite for contested marks and marks inside 50 (10th).

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

Haven't the Swans raised a few eyebrows in the back half of the season, unbeaten since round 10 including a win over Sunbury!

A fourth placed finish for the Swans would have surprised even the most loyal of supporter with Melton, East Point and Darley the only teams finishing above them.

For the record Ballarat has played 7 games this year against top six opposition for two wins and a draw, averaging 54 points FOR and 90 points AGAINST with a poor percentage of 60.

Those numbers amount to very little in the here and now following a breakout win over East Point.

Let's just hope the emotional toll of last week’s feat doesn't drain the life out of this young group who find themselves without no ceiling on the 'possible'.

The competition did look up and take notice, you can take that to the bank.

In fact, none more so than Lions’ coach Matty White who said on ‘The Presser’ a month ago he was “happy not to be playing the Swans again,”.

Footy can be an unpredictable vehicle for planning.

Here we are week one of the finals and Sunbury find themselves up the highway for a rendezvous eliminator against the plucky Swans.

Sunbury have lost their last six games against top six opposition and will be challenged again in Ballarat albeit at Sebastopol.

Injuries I’m sure have derailed Matty White's season that started so promisingly.

The loss of key backs in the latter stages and the recent hamstring injury to midfielder Jake Egan hasn't made the assignment any easier.

For Ballarat aren't the same side they were 10 weeks ago.

Chris Maple's group are a bona fide threat to any oppo.

The group are healthy, in form and bat deep.

Tristan Maple, Lachie Dalgleish, Harry Butler, Will Liston, the Rinaldi brothers and Rhys Perry have all gone to another level impacting BFNL games while the staple core of Angus Bade, Marcus Powling and Andrew Hooper present their own set of challenges.

Apologies to the more than capable remainder.

While Sunbury are in with a real chance to progress, momentum for me is with the Swans. 

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
Ballarat: Rhys Perry (#53) has proven to be solid key defender who ranks elite for intercept marks, contested marks, spoils and 1%ers while the experienced rebound and distribution of Lachie Dalgleish (#14)will be crucial for the Swans. Dalgleish averages 18 kicks from his 22 disposals @74% efficiency. Also ranks elite for marks, intercept marks and possessions, rebound 50s and spoils.

Sunbury: Tyson Lever (#4) ranks second in the comp for Intercept marks (4.9), third for marks (9.1), fourth for intercept possessions (10.3), fifth for spoils (4.1) and tenth for rebound 50s (5.5). 

Midfielders
Ballarat: Will Liston (#2)is a two-time club best and fairest winner who ranks elite for disposals (23.2), contested possessions (10.8), clearances (7.1) and Tackles (6.9 - comp rank #10). Tristan Maple (#7)shares his time between half back/mid and knows how to find the footy averaging 29.2 disposals @76% (comp rank #9) A predominant 'kick' (20/29) sees him an integral part of the Swans’ work between the arcs. Maple is also among the elite rankings for intercept possessions, intercept marks and rebound 50s. The Footscray VFL listed product ranks third in the comp for handball receives and fifth for effective kicks.

Sunbury: Josh Guthrie (#5)ranks elite in all categories with the ball - disposals 33.1 @76% efficiency (comp rank #3), clearances (7.4), Inside 50s (4), Marks (5.9), Goal and score involvements (4.4, 7.3). Guthrie ranks 1 in the comp for handballs (17.4) and 6 for ground ball gets 11.2.

Forwards
Ballarat: Andrew Hooper (#4)is the dangerous small forward with 23 goals from 14 games. Harry Butler (#25)has played 7 games this year for the Swans including six wins and a draw. The athletic key forward ranks elite for goal involvements (5.1) and score involvements (7.9) as well as contested marks and ranks 14th for goals (2.3)

Sunbury:Lead up forward Jake Sutton (#14)has kicked 64 goals (comp rank #3) while pressure forward Mitch McLean (#15)finished in 7th with a breakout 40 goal season. The tale of these two speaks for itself - both make up 46.4% of all Sunbury goals.

SCOOP’S TIP
Ballarat

Darley will start warm favourites on their home deck when they face North Ballarat on Sunday.

Managed trio Matthew Brett, Luther Baker and Matt Denham will return for the Devils who are beginning to resemble something like their best 22 at the right time of the season.

The journey hasn't been smooth sailing for the Roosters either, with a host of key players absent for some, if not all, second half of the season.

While the latest setback, a hamstring injury to Simon McCartin in Round 17 will sideline him for another week, the Roosters’ chances look set for a boost if Riley Polkinghorne (ankle -Round 10) and Ryan Hobbs (hamstring – Round 14) are made available.     

The Roosters’ defence will struggle to match the Devils’ height and aerial presence forward as Brady Wright, Billy Myers and Will Johnson look to capitalise.

Only Noah Cockerill and Liam Deering from the Roosters’ last hit-out in Round 17 resemble any suitable, go-to option.

The fitness of Ryan Hobbs will be crucial to their chances - surely, he's ready to go but will be in need of the run.

The midfield battle is always highly competitive.

The Devils’ combo of Brett Bewley, Luther Baker and Matty Denham is as good as any in the BFNL and will ask questions of a less experienced midfield who know how to find the footy.

Just what advantage the Roosters’ mids can get at the feet of big man Cam McCallum will tell its own story in the aftermath.

Expectations on Polkinghorne in the event of a return will be measured.

The Devils’ defence will need to be on their mettle holding out Roosters’ trio Joel Freeman, Ned Nash and Hugh Trigg.

What is brought to ground will surely open the door for a few speedy Roosters to pounce, removing much of the reliance on Freeman, who is responsible for 45% of North Ballarat's goals in their last four games (18/40).   

While windy, difficult conditions are forecast you can be guaranteed this game will be fought tooth and nail on the inside with very little on offer for the feint hearted.

I expect the Devils to progress with too much firepower for the Roosters who remain essentially in the 'undermanned' space. 

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
Darley: Matthew Brett (#11) ratedelite for disposals (22.4) and intercept possessions (10.5)

North Ballarat: Noah Cockerill (#31)is a disciplined key tall who ranks elite for 1%ers and above average for intercepts (4.6)

Midfielders
Darley: Brett Bewley (#2)Ranks 1 in the comp for disposals (39.9) and clearances (10.4). Luther Baker (#7)is considered elite for disposals (25.3), ranks seventh in the comp for clearances (7.5) and ground ball gets (11.1). 

North Ballarat: Josh Sparkman (#1)is new to the midfield role after VFL experience -elite for disposals (28.5) and 5th in the comp for handball receives and 7th for intercept possessions (8.9) while Riley Polkinghorne (#27) Ranks 3rd in comp for I50s (6.9), 11th in comp for disposals (29.6) and 3rd for ball up clearances (4.4)

Forwards
Darley: Brady Wright (#15)ranks 8th in the comp for contested marks (2.8) and 14th for Marks I50 (2.6) while the medium sized Will Johnson (#22)can play tall with the forward converting 23 goals in 11 games.

North Ballarat: Joel Freeman (#30)has kicked 18 goals in his last 4 games with three bags of five and a finish of three while Ned Nash (#3) has converted 26 goals in a smaller role.

SCOOP’S TIP
Darley

Buckle in for another mesmerising weekend of finals footy coming up with a Grand Final spot on the line and an all-or-nothing clash at City Oval.

If North Ballarat have any reservations about travelling to Darley to take on the Devils, adopt the glass half full approach knowing a 10-win season (4th) has eventuated with a double chance and two opportunities to book a place into the BFNL Grand Final at home on Mars Stadium.

So enough of the byplay, time to focus on two of the form teams of the competition.

The two sides share a win and a loss from their earlier meetings in 2023. August 5^th, their most recent, where the Devils took care of an undermanned Roosters outfit by 34 points.

On that particular day the Roosters were without Jamie Quick, Jack Riding, Harry Loader, Ryan Hobbs and Reggie Palmer. Saturday will unveil arguably Brendan McCartney's best 22 to greet the paddock this year.

Macca's crew arrives with seven wins from their last 10 games but their one win (over Darley) from five games involving the remaining three sides alive in the BFNL race is cause for concern.

Class will not be a problem for the Roosters who are likely to see Sam Glover (Collingwood VFL) and Brock Leonard return from their 17-point win over Redan in the Elimination Final at the expense of veteran Clay Jenkins (knee) and one other (unlucky).

For the record Glover, Quick and Riding have only featured twice in the same team this year for a win and a loss.

Quick, among a handful of Roosters, looks a priority concern for Dan Jordan's Devils given the illusive forward is yet to be held goalless at BFNL level this year.

Throw Stewart Crameri, big man Cal McCullum, Riley Polkinghorne, Tom Bromley Lynch and key posts Hobbs, Harry Loader and Isaac Lovvison into the mix and it's quite easy to make a case for North Ballarat.

Now Darley.

Their obvious toped talent led by Brett Bewley and Billy Myers are in form. The second tier who would welcome being acknowledged as such is growing in numbers by the week as more and more Devils put their hand up to be a part of something special. Dan Jordan's men have won their last eight games on the trot including wins over Melton (twice), North Ballarat and Sebastopol.

While the frugal, well organised nature of the Roosters defence has been broadly acknowledged, the Devils’ defence are sneaking under the radar averaging just 52 points against for their last eight games compared to North Ballarat's 60.5.

There is an advantage to the Devils for scoring (94 average points per game) over the period (Melton South game removed) compared to North Ballarat's 72 avg ppg.

BUT, when taken into account the likely changes ahead of Saturday, you'll find there's little between the two sides - on paper anyway.

Scoop’s tip: Darley

Reigning premiers Melton will have to take the long road if it's to keep their back-to-back flag chances alive with a win over East Point in Sunday's do-or-die First Semi Final at City Oval.

Aaron Tymms, in his last year at the helm of the Bloods, will aim to keep their undefeated season record against all bar Darley alive, hoping to shut out Jackson Merrett's young group early.

The Kangas have answered the call in recent weeks to keep their premiership chances alive with season saving wins over North Ballarat (Rd18) and Sebastopol last week.

And getting it done without their star playmaker Jordy Johnston against Sebastopol with a broken thumb has to be commended.

Their options forward will give the underdog Kangas enough confidence to go toe-to-toe with the Bloods on the scoring front, matching the reigning premiers with eight players inside the top 50 BFNL goalkickers for the season.

Just who can win the midfield battle and provide the greatest number of opportunities will go a long way to validate the result.

The Bloods will look to correct on its failings to capitalise with the aerial dominance around stoppage of ruckman Ben Archard.

For all of the Essendon VFL listed bagman’s returns last week (+88 in the hitouts), the Bloods’ midfield was soundly beaten equating to a landslide inside 50s deficit against the Devils (41-70).

Jackson Merrett will no doubt look to the replay using the Devils’ returns as a blueprint for his side getting it done.

If JJ can make it back, he, Matty Johnston and Joe Dodd are more than capable of matching it with Bloods trio Jono O'Brien, Jack Walker and Lachie Watkins.

The last time these two sides met in Ballarat, albeit on Eastern Oval, the Kangas fell just eight points shy in their Round 7 meet.

While the Kangas led at half time, it was a five-goals-to-two third term that swung momentum back in the Bloods’ favour.

Beating the Bloods is all about playing the minutes, and those minutes well. A lapse as small as the Kangas’ third quarter doings in Round 7 is all that it will take for the Bloods to progress into a preliminary final.

Last week's loss for the Bloods was another reminder they need to find another gear, for the now is shy of their best.

Time to stand up with an emphatic response, call it a rare ‘backs to the wall challenge’ as the no fear Kangas will fancy their own chances despite a third week in a row as pronounced underdogs.  

Scoop’s tip: Melton

And then there were four. Grand final and prelim spots are on the line this weekend as we enter the second week of finals action.

Keen rivals Melton and Darley meet on Saturday to earn their place in the 2024 McDonald’s BFNL Grand Final.

Forget all the hoo-ha surrounding the venue, the Devils have beaten the Bloods just once on Darley Park in seven years.

The Bloods are a better kicking team on the whole and should relish another opportunity to expose the Devils with their spread as they did in their 67-point demolition job back in Round 7.

Saturday's assignment on the big stage will be a tough ask for Dan Jordan's Devils as the Bloods look to peak after a couple of weeks against top three opposition.

If it's any consolation for Jordan, no team in the BFNL has won three in a row against the Devils over his three-year tenure.

Clutching at straws, I know, but the loyal and faithful will take what they can to build a case.

The Bloods will start deserving favourites given their one loss season and unbeaten run of 12 games, dating back 112 days to Round 6.

Troy Scoble has done a fantastic job in his first season in charge, with the Bloods highly fancied taking out the premiership title by a host of rival coaches - most of whom have been on the wrong end of a Melton thrashing.

However, despite the Bloods near faultless campaign, they do look gettable if the last fortnight is any indication.

Sure, conditions made it difficult to replicate world beaters, but the quarters won were split 4-4 with the Devils and the Kangas.

How Jordan goes about winning the disposal and clearance count will tell its own story in the aftermath, a proven recipe for success in the Bloods’ previous two losses against East Point (Round 6) and Darley (2023 Qualifying Final).

Much of the Devils’ fortunes will rest on the back of their highly talented midfield - their ball use out of clearance and their ability to deny the Bloods an inside 50 count shy of 50.

Comparatively speaking, the numbers in isolation suggest there's not a great deal between the two, giving every indication the result may come down to a battle above the shoulders - who is prepared to work the hardest, execute the basic fundamentals under finals pressure, and have the genuine BELIEF to win a game of significant importance against quality opposition.

Have to lean to the Bloods until proven otherwise in a tight one.

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
Melton: Adrian Monitto (#45), Riley Walker (#28) and Lachie Phillips (#9)are the genesis in transition for the Bloods. Monitto and Walker especially provide the spread, run, carry and distribution in the absence of Jordy Cotter (#4)and will stretch the ground, making it uncomfortable for the Devils.

Darley: Matthew Brett (#11) -elite for disposals (22.4) and intercept possessions (10.5)

Midfielders
Melton: Jaycob Hickey (#10)averages 27.2 disposals, ranks ninth in the comp for clearances and tenth for goal involvements while Jack Walker (#11)averages 25.9 disposals, ranks 13th for goal assists and 16th for centre clearances.

Darley: Brett Bewley (#2)ranks first in the comp for disposals (39.9) and clearances (10.5), while partner in crime Luther Baker (#7)is rated elite for disposals (25.2), ranks top 10 in the comp for centre clearances, contested possessions, and ground ball gets. 

Forwards
Melton: Braedan Kight (#7)is the league’s leading goalkicker with 76. Ryan Carter (#23)is fifth on the goalkicking table with 41.

Darley: Brady Wright (#15)ranks eight in the comp for contested marks (2.7) and 11th for Marks I50 (2.7) while Will Johnson (#22)as a medium sized, can play tall. Has kicked 24 goals from 12 games.

SCOOP’S TIP
Melton

A spot in the preliminary final beckons for the winner of this matchup between once 'giant killers' East Point and once 'under the radar' Ballarat.

Strangely, the Kangas have lost their last two while the Swans remain unbeaten since Round 10, removing any thoughts of presumed certainty finding a winner.

Joe Carmody's predominately young group have been up for a while and would surely be feeling the effects of a long season having played just 32 players for the season, essentially four less than the Swans, six less of the Devils and seven less of the Bloods.

The watch on Jackson Merrett who left the field in discomfort for a period last week will be a 'watch this space'.

His kicking has been a feature all year, and his inability to take kick-ins late last week in a tight game is a cause for concern.

The Swans come from behind win against Sunbury last week was the topic of conversation as the competition and even the Ballarat Football Netball Club came to terms of what had transpired.

It's been a whirlwind back half season for Chris Maple's Swans and it's about to get serious.

Asleep at the wheel last week for the opening half won't cut it this week against the strength of the Kangas.

What the Swans can take into the game is a spike in self-belief they can win from anywhere and against Sunday's opponent given their recent success over East Point in Round 18.

For the Swans to win, favourable numbers in areas similar to their round 18 meet must be replicated.

Namely disposals (+49), intercept possessions (+15), marks (+54), uncontested marks (+62), tackles (+12).

Winning the clearance and ground ball contest will be a tough ask, a KPI beyond the Swans in Round 18 despite the morale boosting win.

East Point haven't done much wrong, having played for little stakes against the Swans at their last meet and a forgive run loss in tough conditions against the Bloods in the qualifying final.

Somehow, it's now do-or-die and season on the line stuff.

Something tells me the Kangas have scope for more say in what's to play out in season 2024, they're truly in the mix and would start equal favourites in Ballarat if a preliminary final berth was achieved.

Got to get it done against the fearless Swans who arrive full of momentum and without fear.

The Kangas will be tested but should get the job done... shouldn't they?   

PLAYER WATCH

Defenders
East Point: Jackson Merrett (#1) and Jacob Brown (#4)are the experience and cornerstone of the Kangas’ defence. Merrett ranks second in the comp for uncontested marks, seventh for avg marks and ninth for kicks and effective kicks. Merrett is the go-to distributor. Brown, not dissimilar to Merrett ranks fourth in the comp for effective kicks, 15th for kicks, fifth for marks and seventh for intercept marks. What is also worthy of note is Brown ranks 23rd in the comp for handball receives.  

Ballarat: Rhys Perry (#53)is a solid key defender who ranks elite for intercept marks, contested marks, spoils and 1%s while the experienced rebound and distribution of Lachie Dalgleish (#14)will be crucial for the Swans. Dalgleish averages 18 kicks from his 22 disposals @74% efficiency. Also ranks elite for marks, intercept marks and possessions, rebound 50s and spoils.

Midfielders
East Point: Matty Johnston (#7)ranks third in the comp for avg disposals (33.9) and contested possessions. Johnston also features in the top 10 for a host of other KPIs and ranks elite in all areas when the Kangas have possession of the ball. Mikitja Rottumah-Onus (#2)ranks among the top 25 in the comp for clearances, contested possessions, hard ball gets, ground ball, goal assists/involvements and handballs. 

Ballarat: Will Liston (#2)is a two-time Club B&F winner who ranks elite for disposals (23), contested possessions (10.8), clearances (7.1), Tackles (6.9 - comp rank tenth). Tristan Maple (#7)shares his time between half back/mid and knows how to find the footy averaging 30.2 disposals @74% (comp rank ninth). A predominant 'kick'(20.6/9.6) sees him an integral part of the Swans work between the arcs. Maple is also among the elite rankings for intercept possessions and intercept marks and rebound 50s. The Footscray VFL listed product ranks fourth in the comp for handball receives and fifth for effective kicks.

Forwards
East Point: Bryson McDougall (#12)is second in the league for goals with 70. McDougall has taken more marks I50 than other player in the BFNL and ranks second for total contested marks. Strahan Robinson (#30)has 31 goals, ranks elite for contested marks and marks I50 (9th).

Ballarat: Andrew Hooper (#4)is a dangerous small forward with 25 goals from 15 games. Harry Butler (#25)has played 8 games this year for the Swans including seven wins and a draw. The athletic key forward ranks elite for goal (4.9) and score involvements (7.6) as well as contested marks while averaging two goals per game of his own.

SCOOP’S TIP
East Point

Next up in Scoop's club-by-club predictions is Melton. The Bloods will be feeling the loss of big forward Mark Orr, but with a more settled pre-season and an injury-free start, coach Aaron Tymms is hopeful the club can take the next step in 2021. 

Melton

Scoop’s 2021 prediction: 4th - 8th

EXPECT Melton to tinker with their forward line set up in 2021 in the absence of key big man Mark Orr who has left the club who left the club due to travel.

While Orr's return on the goal front was modest (19) last season in 2019, the structural advantages and flexibility he brings to the line-up will be sorely missed. Not only will the Bloods look a little smaller going forward they will also need to find a pinch-hitting relief option for Ben Archard in the ruck.

Bloods coach Aaron Tymms acknowledged replacing the club’s 2019 Runner Up Best and Fairest won't be easy. You can also add gun midfielders Shaun Campbell (to Parkside) and more recently Connor Griffiths (to Yarrawonga) into the mix of star exits.

"That trio especially will leave a big hole that's for sure," he said.

"We've been throwing the magnets around a bit over pre-season, trying to find the right mix forward with Orry leaving, and [now] how the midfield group will look for us come Round One.

"I expect we'll see players in different roles this year. We could play Ryan Carter forward, but in my opinion, he's one of the best shut down defenders in the comp."

Bloods fans will expect to be a part of the business end conversation for a third successive season after rising to prominence in 2018 with a runners-up result that exceeded expectation. The writing was on the wall for another tilt at a flag in 2019, but their form by their own standards was patchy at best before falling short to Sebastopol in the penultimate week of finals.

Tymms hopes an uninterrupted pre-season and injury-free list will hold them in good stead early for a tough opening month of footy.

"In 2019, we couldn't even get on our ground until Round One, which wasn't ideal," he said.

"And with Archard and Denham going down early with hamstring injuries, it had us on the back foot a little."

While the Bloods had just five players play every game in 2019, they were matched only by East Point for the fewest number of players used (34), mounting the argument that attrition rate is one thing, and who gets injured is another.

Tymms is hopeful there is enough improvement within the club to take the next step in 2021.

Kevin Klix (Deer Park - small forward), Lachlan Watkins (Coburg, Melton South) and youngster Lachlan Phillips (Western Jets/Melton Centrals - midfield) have been welcoming additions for the Bloods in testing times for all clubs post-COVID, while dangerous forward Jordyn Cotter returns after a lengthy lay off with an injury.

"I know we have a young list, most of the guys are still 21-22 years old, but we think there is enough talent here to give it a shake."

Proven match-winning forward, Braedan Kight, is said to be flying on the track, while experienced trio Ben Archard, Matt Denham and runaway 2019 B&F winner Dyson Stevens are moving freely ahead of the shouldering duties that await them in the new season.     

Shaun Campbell (to Parkside), Daniel Walker (to Melton South), Darren Haby (WRFL), Michael Hibbert (work), Mitch Brockwell (to Diggers Rest) join Orr, Campbell and Griffiths as the other notable absentees for 2021.

Who knows what influence the departed and a difficult draw will have on the Bloods in 2021?

I'm on the fence.

*Affilliated players: Jake Greiser (Williamstown VFL)

Tymms' Tips

They finished the decade as a strong force within the BFNL, narrowly missing out on Premiership glory in 2018!

Can the Bloods go all the way in 2021?

The 2022 Federation BFLW Grand Finals will take over Mars Stadium tomorrow. Find all the Grand Final details below, including match times, parking information, entry details and match vision.

Watch the 2022 Federation BFLW Senior Grand Final LIVE from 1:20pm here: https://bit.ly/3KEBMY2

Federation BFLW Grand Finals – Event Information

Ahead of the first Federation BFLW Grand Final Day at Mars Stadium, please see some important information for supporters and attendees to be aware of:

General Information

• MARS Stadium – Creswick Road, Wendouree VIC
• Saturday 3rd September 2022
• The Federation BFLW Grand Finals will be an Alcohol-Free event.

Match Schedule

Admission Fees

BFLW Grand Final 2022

• Adults - $12
• Family (2 adults & 2 children) - $26
• Age Pensioner - $7
• 8 - 16yo - $5
• U/8 – Free
• Footy Record – $2

Note: Eftpos is available and encouraged as the preferred payment method.

Gates & Parking

• Gates open at 7:00am
• Entry into MARS Stadium via Gate 1 (only) located on Creswick Road.

Parking is available at the following locations:

• General Parking:
  • Creswick Road. No parking within concrete barriers stationed outside Gate 1.
  • Around Northern Oval 2. Entry via Beech Avenue ONLY – Cars will NOT be able to move between the North Ballarat Sports Club Carp Park & Northern Oval 2.
  • STRICTLY NO PARKING IN NORTH BALLARAT SPORTS CLUB.

• Disabled Parking:
  • Designated disabled parking can be accessed through North Ballarat Sports Club Entry.
  • PARKING MUST ONLY OCCUR IN DESIGNATED AREA AND IS FOR DISABLED PARKING ONLY.

Grand Final Filming

• All matches will be filmed with the Senior Women’s match being live streamed - link via Facebook and this website on the day.
• Matches will be available for purchase following the Grand Finals and further information will be provided around this in the coming weeks.

Live Scores

• All matches will be live scored on the day for those that are unable to attend the match. Scores can be accessed through specific competitions on the BFNL public results pages here - https://bit.ly/3Q4H8gg

Scoop' Reviews Finals Week 1

Melton, Sebastopol and Darley all claimed wins in Week 1 of the 2022 Carlton Draught BNFL Finals Series.

Minor Premiers and flag favourite Melton took the best part of three quarters to shrug off an honest Ballarat to win by 23 points. 

After trailing at the half (by 1 point), the Bloods added six goals to two in the third term to set up a match-winning 31-point lead at the final change. Ironically the Bloods won just one and a half quarters for the game on their home deck but it was enough to get the job done.

Bloods midfielders Jack Walker (3 goals) and Jacob Hickey (1 goal) were named best for the winners while the outside run and carry of wingman Kyle Borg (2 goals) proved significant. Defenders Jordy Cotter, Brenton Payne and Riley Walker were recognised as key contributors as the underdog Swannies took it up to their more fancied opponents in the first half. Dangerous Bloods forwards Braedan Kight (2 goals), Liam Carter (2 goals) and Ryan Carter (1 goal) were three of nine Bloods players to hit the scoreboard.

There's no doubting plenty of positives for Joe Carmody's Swans to draw from the game despite the loss after testing the Bloods. Clearly, their third quarter alone cost them a genuine crack at the finish. Carmody recognised the efforts of his midfield Will Liston, Sam James and Marcus Powling by naming the in-form trio among the best players with Footscray VFL affiliate Bailey Van de Heuvel and defenders Austin McPherson and Nick Swain. Swans sharpshooter Andrew Hooper finished with three goals. Josh Gibson (hamstring tightness) did not play but is expected to return next week. 

What the coaches said...

Aaron Tymms (Melton):We held strong in the first half when Ballarat had some territory dominance before we were able to get the game back on our terms in the second (half). (We were) really pleased with the contributions from across all lines.

Joe Carmody (Ballarat):We defended really well in the first half and probably didn't get the reward on the scoreboard. Melton outworked us in the third (quarter) and used the ball really well. That was the difference in the end.

Sebastopol has secured a prized double chance, ending North Ballarat's season in the process with a hard-fought 33-point win on the weekend. It was the third straight win for the 'Burras over Brendan McCartney's Roosters in season 2022.

The 'Burras won every quarter and kicked six of the last seven goals to run out deserved winners and progress to a semi-final meeting with Melton. Much of the discussion during the week will be on the progress of 'Burras inspirational leader Tony Lockyer (ankle) who left the field in the second term and did not return. 

Toby Hutt (4 goals) broke the game open in the third term with three goals as the 'Burras added six straight to North Ballarat's 3.4 to lead by 26 points at the final change. Unfortunately for North, 'the tape' will tell a story of wasted/missed opportunity and inferior ball use. Essentially, the right team won, the 'Burras used the ball much better, and made more of their opportunities. But you couldn't shame the Roosters for effort. Their intensity matched the 'Burras but again, their execution of the fundamentals proved their undoing.

'Burras defenders Riley O'Keefe, Ben Trew and Connor O'Shea were named best for the winners while the run and line-breaking carry of Matt Austin and Jed Hill was a highlight in a game played on the inside for the most part. Reigning Henderson Medalist Lachlan Cassidy was solid for four quarters but wasn't alone. Hugo Papst again proved his versatility at either end, answering the call to whatever the coach's needs. Papst is very important to the 'Burras fortunes moving forward, that I'm sure of.

For North Ballarat, forward trio Josh Chatfield, Jamie Quick (1 goal) and Jack Riding (2 goals) were given little time and space to get the game on their terms. In fairness, their influence wasn't helped by poor forward entries. Quick and Riding were more often forced to win their own ball at ground level making it easier for the 'Burras to defend.

Cam McCallum (1 goal) won the majority of hit-outs yet again and slotted a much-needed goal 20 minutes into the third term to get North Ballarat within three points. But that's as close as they would be for the remainder. Isaac Carey, Brock Leonard, and Riley Polkinghorne never gave up the effort while Harry Loader, Ryan Hobbs (before moving forward) and Ned Nash were solid distributors from defence.

A 'throw at the stumps' opportunity against Melton to make the Grand Final awaits Sebastopol this week. For the record, 12 of the 'Burras line-up that featured on Saturday were part of the 2019 Grand Final side.

North Ballarat exits after a tough year, a difficult draw and the untimely injury to key players. McCartney's boys lost five of their last six games after beating Melton in Round 13 - who would have thought? North Ballarat will find some comfort knowing McCartney has signed on to lead the group in 2023.        

What the coaches said...

Michael Searl (Sebastopol):Super proud of the group. We needed to match them on the contested footy and felt we did that well. The belief in the group is important and we have a great opportunity in front of us.

Brendan McCartney (North Ballarat):We worked hard and gave ourselves numerous opportunities but weren't able to convert when we had chances. Sebastopol are well organised and well coached.

Darley withstood an avalanche of inside 50's from East Point in the last quarter to progress through to a Semi-Final meeting with Ballarat. Sure, the Kangas would lament their inaccuracies (1.7 in the last qtr) 

but credit to the Devils' back six and support crew for holding on under immense finals pressure. Players from both sides had barely enough energy to celebrate or commiserate at the final siren. Any last efforts in the immediate aftermath were spent purely on a handshake or embrace -recognition and respect for an old-fashioned battle that went down to the wire.

Kangas Captain Matty Johnston and Mickitja Rotumah-Onus led the charge in the second half, either waltzing out of stoppage or with their run and carry just as the Devils looked to be tiring. But the 'Brett Bewley-less' Devils' blend of youth and experience down back, combined with some Kangas wasted opportunities on goal, amounted to a wholesale, morale-boosting win for one, with heartbreak and disappointment for the other. 

The highlights reel will be a tough assignment for the techs. So where do we start? 

For the winners, Bailey Young was arguably best-on-ground for his four-quarter effort ahead of a host of defenders led by Matthew Brett and Mace Cousins. Bigman Trent Angwin was terrific in the air and was influential between the arcs providing a target for the Devils all day. The Devils' match-winning return of seven goals was shared among seven players.

For East Point, finishing near plus 20 for inside 50's in a game they won just one quarter, says a lot for their final quarter dominance. But alas, couldn't it get done and lost no admirers for their effort.

Kangas youngsters Jesse Cairns and Jack Jeffrey were lively and had their share of the ball while experienced campaigners Joel Van Meel, Clay Bilney and Mitch Walsh were never far from the action. On a tough day for forwards in unassuming breezy conditions, the Kangas managed just five goals, shared among five individual players. Evidently, it was the Kangas' lowest score of the season.

The numbers didn't lie heading in, giving every indication this final was going to be a close one. For the record, the Kangas averaged seven more points (FOR) per game while the Devils were conceding seven fewer points (AGST) per game to suggest a draw could be on the cards.

Missed it by that much...!    

What the coaches said...

Dan Jordan (Darley):I thought we were more efficient in key moments during the first three quarters. But full credit to East Point, they kept coming at us in the last. In the end, we were just happy to hang on in a tight one that could've gone either way.

Jake Bridges (East Point):We can't all play a winning game, someone is sure to lose, yet we can play so that our name, no one may dare accuse. That when the Master referee scores against our name, it won't be whether we've won or lost, but how we have played the game.

Next week:

Saturday, September 3 -Melton vs Sebastopol

Sunday, September 4 - Ballarat vs Darley

The Swans secured second spot and a prized double chance with a narrow three-point win over the Burras at Marty Busch Reserve. It was the Swans' sixth win of the season by a goal or less and the tenth win by 18 points or less. How are the heart rates at Ballarat, we're yet to play a final!

What the Swans do have is character - truckloads of it. Despite their narrow successes, only Melton won more games than Joe Carmody's men in 2022. There's no doubting the Swans line-up is buoyed by the return of big man duo Marcus Powling and Bailey Van de Heuvel. Ruckman Powling missed a large chunk of the season with a torn hamstring but returned to his very best with arguably best-on-ground honours. Josh Gibson and Lachie Dawson booted three goals each for the winners while a wasteful Sebastopol were kept in it by Toby Hutt (three goals), James Keeble and Hugo Papst (two goals each).

The Burras trailed the Swans by 37 points at halftime and were just 1% ahead of Darley on the LIVE ladder, looking down the barrel at a fourth-place finish. But credit Michael Searl and his Burras contingent arresting the game back on their terms with five unanswered third-quarter goals.

Grady Snowden, Luke Kiel and Tony Lockyer featured prominently in the Burras revival and will be hopeful restricting dangerous North trio Jamie Quick, Jack Riding and Josh Chatfield.

Four points separated these two heavyweights at the final change as an arm wrestle of sorts (two goals each) prevailed for the duration as the Swans hung on to record another prizefighting win. 

Ballarat head to Melton on Saturday for a Qualifying Final at Maccy Park while the Burras face 2021 Minor Premiers North Ballarat at Eastern Oval.

What the coaches said:

Michael Searl (Sebastopol):Another tough loss for us against the Swans. (We) didn't capitilise on our early dominance in the first quarter. They completely outworked us in the second quarter and really showed us the importance of work rate. (I'm) proud of the group to really dig deep and come at them in the second half. Lots of learnings to take from the match.

Joe Carmody (Ballarat):We set the game up in the second quarter with some good ball movement and excellent pressure. Sebastopol were very good in the contest in the third quarter. We showed a lot of character to hang on.

Sunbury finished their season on a high, surpassing 100% for and against on their way to a resounding 65-point win over Bacchus Marsh in front of a home crowd.

The Lions finished off their season with four wins from their last six games, an encouraging base for next year under Travis Hodgson who will lead the club into a fourth year in 2023. The Cobras, on the other hand, capitulated to a fifth loss in six games ending their season in eighth place with seven wins.

Veteran forward Leigh Brennan (five goals) shows no signs of ageing, leading a charge of eight Lions players to hit the scoreboard. The Lions led from start to finish and virtually put this game to bed by quarter time despite having had the advantage with the breeze.

Lions stand-outs Tyson Lever and Harry Minton-Connell continued their run of good form while the progression of youth trends in the right direction. Jack Hannett and Jack Newitt topped the list for as many as 12 candidates among best-on-ground conversations.

The Cobras, seemingly bereft of the fight we saw earlier in the year could manage just six goals on a quiet day for the visiting forwards. Six individual Cobras' goalkickers represented their major returns on the scoreboard while young combative ruckman Spencer Meagher was named best for the losing side. Defenders Daniel Veldon, Dominic Miesen and Xavier Jenks toiled manfully behind the ball while Tom German and Riley Stuhldreier were again serviceable contributors in the red, yellow and black.

Both are proud clubs and will prepare for their journey back to finals, for an eighth and ninth place finish, simply won't do.

What the coaches said:

Travis Hodgson (Sunbury):(It was) a good way to finish off the season - it's been a positive two-month block. The Marsh tried hard but our ability to stretch them with legs on the outside was obvious and played a significant role in the result. 

Tom German (Bacchus Marsh):They used the ball well around the ground and we didn't execute well as a team.